By: Dr. Nader Said

1
By Dr. Nader Said
Development Studies Programme
Polling Palestinian Voters (Legislative
Elections 2006)
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About the Elections

• Legislative Elections in West Bank and
  Gaza-January 2006 132 seats.
• Mixed elections system
• - Proportional11 national lists competing
  to win 66
• seats (with 314 candidates).
• - Simple majority voting for individual
  candidates
• 16 different size districts with 412
  candidates
• competing to win 66 seats.
• 2 of the vote minimum threshold to enter the
  competition for seats.

3
Structure of the Exit Poll

• 232 Polling Stations (9).
• Special Security Forces survey.
• More than 600 Research Interviewers.
• 100 Data Processing Programming Personnel.
• Total workforce of over than 900 personnel
  including interviewing, data processing, and
  supervisory staff.
• 8000 completed questionnaires in districts, 2800
  for national lists, and 956 for background
  Questionnaires.

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Profile of Palestinian Voters
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Profile of Palestinian Voters Continue
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Perceived Fairness of Elections Process
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Evaluation of CEC Performance
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Why did you participate?
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Expectations from elections.
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Distribution of vote and seats
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Votes Compared with seats
Proportional System
At District Level
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The Popularity of Hamas (Change and Reform List)
Valid Vote for National lists
Registered Voters
Voting Age Population
21
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The Popularity of Hamas
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Why a vote for Hamas (and not Fateh)
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Voting for Hamas and Fateh

• 1. Age Group

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Voting for Hamas and Fateh

• 2. Gender

17
Voting for Hamas and Fateh

• 3. Education

18
Voting for Hamas and Fateh

• 4. Work / Sector

19
Voting for Hamas and Fateh

• 5. Religiosity

20
Voting for Hamas and Fateh

• 6. Type of Residence

21
Support for President Abbass Program by
Political support
22
Positions Regarding the Results of the Elections

• 74 didnt expect a Hamas overwhelming majority
  in PLC.
• 67 expect that a Hamas led government commit to
  political negotiations with Israel.