Progetto Energetico Integrato

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WP2 Energy Baseline Assessment and Target Setting
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Objective of WP2 Carry out an energy baseline
assessment within the community
boundaries Define the potential for energy
efficiency and renewable energy sources Set own
individual project objectives Monitor progress
of the project objectives
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Energy accounting procedure It is important that
local communities carry out an overall energy
accounting procedure in order to understand
thoroughly the real state of energy flows and,
thus, the effectiveness of implemented actions to
change such flows. It is known that the
variability of situations among the communities
will give a broader base for the choice and
evaluation of a generic baseline assessment and
monitoring method. Notwithstanding this, it is
considered important that some common rules are
assumed by each community, through a common
energy assessment baseline methodology.
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Energy accounting procedure
Guidelines were implemented for the energy
accounting procedure, leaving to each community
the possibility to adapt the baseline assessment
according to its own characteristics and
requirement. Some points are considered important
in the procedure.
Evolution in time of energy consumptions
Analysis should be carried out in the most
complete way as possible, for the year closest to
the time of drafting of the account and according
to the availability of data.
It is however essential to gather information
even from previous years, in order to be able to
establish a historical track of energy flows. In
this way it is possible to unravel trends which,
presumably, can provide useful information for
future developments of the energy system and to
average yearly fluctuations due to external
factors
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Energy accounting procedure
Energy consumptions disaggregated by sectors
Energy consumption should be split according to
given activity sectors, since this allows to
specify the behaviour of each sector and to
enhance particular actions.
The suggested partitioning is residential,
tertiary, Industrial agricolture, transports.
Energy consumptions disaggregated by vectors
Final energy use should concern all energy
vectors (gas, oil, coal, electricity, etc.) that
are consumed by each analyzed sector during a
year.
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Energy accounting procedure
The final energy balance can be expressed, for
each year, through the following matrix
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Energy accounting procedure
In-depth assessment
According to what efficiency actions the local
community intends to carry out, it could be
useful to gain a more in-depth quantitative
outline in the chosen sector. It may be therefore
necessary to integrate earlier analysis with a
review of energy demand for each sector. This can
be obtained by assessing final energy uses.
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Target setting procedure
to define a reference short-medium time horizon
and to analyze the development of the energy
system within this frame (2015)
Business as usual scenario Evolution of the
system according to standard mechanisms no
particular strategy aimed at changing the energy
system
Potential scenario Maximum improvement potentials
of the system through the large application of
RES/RUE initiatives (potential assessments)
Target scenario Improvement targets of the local
energy system through the selection of a set of
actions (target setting)
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Target setting procedure
Business as usual scenario
The definition of this scenario considers any
future change regarding the energy demand and
supply
Changes will be quantified on the basis of the
future urban structure of the area and according
to the weight, on energy consumptions, of
European national and local plans and of the
development of technological and socio-economical
factors and parameters such as
Future population and demographic structure
Future house offer Future services and
industrial activities Future buildings
energy consumption and needs Future mobility
needs Future use/diffusion of energy
consuming devices among end-users Future
efficiency of energy consuming devices
Future use/diffusion of different energy
production technologies.
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Target setting procedure
Potential scenario
After the identification of the standard
scenario, the potential scenario will has to be
carried on a detailed survey of the available
resources at local level, considering both the
offer of energy sources and the potential of
energy savings. The aim of the survey is the
quantification of the improvement potentials of
the system through the large application of
RES/RUE initiatives. The potential assessments
clearly gives a scenario which is feasible only
theoretically, without defining any time
frame. It describes a limit situation which is
compatible with the technical feasibility of the
interventions and it gives an idea of the maximum
possible results. It is highlighted that,
notwithstanding the term potential, this
scenario has to be related to real conditions.
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Target setting procedure
Target scenario
The identification of the business as usual and
of the potential scenario gives the range of the
impacts of RES and RUE actions. It is then
requested to perform an analysis in order to

• identify and analyze factors that may halt the
  realization of the actions defined in the
  potential scenario
• identify the suitable tools for the overcoming of
  the halting factors
• verify the availability of the tools and the
  needed procedures (of any type managerial,
  legislative, technical...) for their activation.

target setting Definition of the improvement
targets of the local energy system and selection
of a set of actions feasible within the
short-medium time horizon that will identify the
frame of the local energy plan choices (SEC
strategy)
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Target setting procedure
Target scenario
The improvement targets must be characterized by
technological innovation and by the diffusion of
good practises in large sectors, starting from
those showing the highest potential of success.
The final target must transform best practises
into standardized actions. This goal springs
from the awareness that the evolution of the
energy system towards higher consumptions and
emissions levels, can only be halted by the
implementation of extensive actions, involving
the highest possible number of subjects, areas
and technologies.
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Target setting procedure
Target scenario
A precise definition and quantification of
targets must be done simultaneously with the
definition of strategic lines and tools.
Local administrations can contribute to the
definition of targets, strategic lines and tools
considering their role distributed according to
three different levels. It is useful to maintain
such a distribution while defining targets.
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Monitoring procedure
The monitoring process is needed to follow
progresses toward the defined targets, starting
from the present situation. It helps to make
corrections in case reality is not moving in the
target direction.

• The monitoring procedure has to take into
  account
• what to monitor
• how to monitor
• when to monitor

What to monitor The real success of the
implemented strategy to reach the targets is
based on quantitative results. Results can be
reached through a complex process that require
the preparation of proper tools.
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Monitoring procedure

• How to monitor
• Results
• The minitoring process needs to be related to the
  energy assessment process, which can be
  considered a monitoring at time 0.
• As a general rule it is proposed that the
  following three steps be performed
• the monitoring of the energy balance of the whole
  communal area (divided by sectors and
  vectors)
• the monitoring of the single implemented actions
• the comparison and evaluation of the effect of
  single action on the total energy balance.
• Tools
• A list of tools needed to implement the action
  has to be draft at the beginning of the planning
  process. Such tools need to be monitored in terms
  of their effectiveness.

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Monitoring procedure
When to monitor The frecuency of monitoring
depends on the actions that are going to be
implemented (duration, complexity,
etc.). Monitoring of the energy balance of the
whole communal area can be done each year or two
years. Indicators are going to be developed in
order to help the monitoring process.
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Energy accounting procedure
Main results
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Energy accounting procedure
Main results
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Energy accounting procedure
Main results