POLS 1301

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POLS 1301 American Government Organization

• Instructor Dr. Jeff Karp
• TA Josh Ozymy

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Some announcements

• Books no need to purchase Politics after Sept.
  11. no class reading from book
• Even if do not have books now must complete the
  reading prior to exams
• Notetaker

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Outline for Day

• Instructions for Clickers
• Does the republic need reform?

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Instructions for Clickers

• Response pads can be purchased at the campus
  bookstore. Registration codes can be purchased
  online for a reduced price (see details below).

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Purchase Device

• You are required to purchase and register an
  eInstruction response pad which will be used to
  participate in course exercises.
• You can purchase the device at the university
  bookstore for 4. The cost for registration is
  15 which can be completed through the
  eInstruction website (see below).
• Alternatively there are a limited number of
  registration codes for purchase at the university
  bookstore for 22.50.

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Register device

• After you purchase the device you must register
  it at http//www.einstruction.com/.
• On the home page select students in the top
  right hand corner and then select Texas Tech from
  the drop down menu and choose course The class
  key is S2072P457.
• You must purchase and register these devices in
  your name by Tuesday, September 16, 2004.

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Do Presidential Election Campaigns Matter?

• Ad Wars
• Convention
• http//www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,129669,00.html
  
• Talk Show Appearances
• http//www.comedycentral.com

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"Trial Heat"

• Bushs share of vote Gallup Poll published
  right after Labor Day growth rate for real
  Gross Domestic Product for the second quarter
• James Campbell
• www.politicalforecasting.com

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Jobs Model 51.16

• Bushs share of vote
• July presidential popularity
• six-month GNP change (interacted with whether or
  not the president is running)
• incumbent party advantage
• job growth over the administration. 
• All measures are taken mid-summer of the election
  year.

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From Primary to General Election 54.7

• Bushs share of vote
• Primary support of the major-party nominees
• Long-term partisanship
• Presidential vote cycle
• Helmut Norpoth

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SOURCE www.politicalforecasting.com
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Questions

• What about campaigns?
• Conventions
• Media coverage
• Advertising
• Is popular vote the important outcome?
• Effects on elections lower on the ballot?
• What is the purpose of an election?

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About the course

• Instructor Prof. Jeffrey Karp
• email j.karp_at_ttu.edu
• Office Holden Hall 219 742-4048
• Office Hours W 1000-1200pm TH 430-530pm
• TA David Watson
• email davidthomas92_at_hotmail.com
• Office Holden Hall 216 742-2631
• Office Hours M 3-4 T,TH 2-3 W 2-4 F 9-10

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Books

• www.atomicdog.com webpage for book
• http//www.jkarp.com/f2004/ Course webpage
• HH only www.einstruction.com

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Next Class Meeting

• Reading Squire ch. 1 Donovan ch. 1
• Topics Does the Republic Need Reforming?