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Sin ttulo de diapositiva

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Increasing uncertainty when estimating power production with ... Highly roughed on the hilltop. 4. EXPERIMENTAL VALIDATION. vs. AEP (Anual Energy Production) ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Sin ttulo de diapositiva


1
A METHODOLOGY FOR ESTIMATING WIND FARM PRODUCTION
THROUGH CFD CODES. DESCRIPTION AND VALIDATION
Daniel Cabezón, Ignacio Martí CENER, National
Renewable Energy Centre (Spain) Wind Energy
Department dcabezon_at_cener.com
2
INDEX
  • Introduction
  • Description of the methodology
  • 3.1 Numerical model
  • 3.2 Estimation of wind farm power
  • Alaiz wind farm
  • Experimental validation
  • Conclusions

3
1. INTRODUCTION
  • Complex terrain sites
  • Increasing uncertainty when estimating power
    production with linear models
  • Higher uncertainties for larger wind farms and
    for larger distances to meteorological mast
  • The proposed analysis
  • Presents a methodology for estimating power
    production of large wind farms through a CFD
    (Computational Fluid Dynamics) code
  • Compiles power measurements of a real wind farm
    during a 4 years period
  • Validates the methodology in terms of power
    production for each wind turbine and compares it
    with conventional tools

4
2. DESCRIPTION OF THE METHODOLOGY
  • 2.1 NUMERICAL MODEL

5
2. DESCRIPTION OF THE METHODOLOGY
  • 2.2 ESTIMATION OF WIND FARM POWER
  • How wind speed estimation is transformed into
    power estimation?
  • The CFD model solves instantaneous situations
    for every direction
  • 1 simulation for sector f Field of
    V,TI,P when wind comes from f

CFD - Output
Ratios Wind Turbine velocity Mast velocity for
sector f and WTi
6
2. DESCRIPTION OF THE METHODOLOGY
  • 2.2 ESTIMATION OF WIND FARM POWER

INPUTS
OUTPUTS
Wind speed and direction at MAST
Net Annual Energy Production / Wind Turbine
RATIOS Wind Turbine velocity Mast velocity for
sector f and WTi
Net Annual Energy Production at Wind Farm
WAKE EFFECTS for sector f and WTi
Normalized POWER CURVE for WTi
7
2. DESCRIPTION OF THE METHODOLOGY
  • 2.2 ESTIMATION OF WIND FARM POWER

WT50
WT1
WT2
WT3
WT1
WT2
WT3
WT50
bin_1
bin_2
bin_3
. . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
INPUT
. . .
bin_30
WT1
WT2
ANNUAL FREQUENCY (HRS) FOR EACH WIND TURBINE
FOR SECTOR f
WT3
. . .
WIND SPEED FOR EACH WIND TURBINE FOR SECTOR f
. .
WT50
INPUT
8
2. DESCRIPTION OF THE METHODOLOGY
  • 2.2 ESTIMATION OF WIND FARM POWER

WT1
WT2
WT3
WT50
WT1
WT2
WT3
WT50
WT1
WT2
WT50
bin_1
bin_1
20º
bin_2
bin_2
40º
bin_3
bin_3
60º
. . .
. . .
. . .
bin_30
bin_30
340º
INPUT
INPUT
ANNUAL FREQUENCY (HRS)
POWER CURVES
WAKE EFFECTS
PARK
WT1
WT2
WT3
WT4
WT5
WT50
. . .
PRODUCTION / WT (GWh)
9
3. ALAIZ WIND FARM
  • Alaiz hill site
  • Complex terrain (global RIX 16 )
  • 4 kilometers hill, E-W orientation
  • Prevailing wind direction N
  • Highly roughed on the hilltop

Measurement campaign met masts
Wind farm met mast
  • Alaiz wind farm
  • Installed power 33.09 MW
  • 49 WTs (660 kW) 1 WT (750 kW)
  • Measurement campaign 1996-1997
  • Wind farm measurements 2000 (40 WTs)
    2001-2003 (50 WTs)

10
4. EXPERIMENTAL VALIDATION
AEP (Anual Energy Production)
COMPARATIVE
AEP 2000
WT1_WT40
(AEP_WTi / AEP_ref) MODELLED
WAsP
AEP 2001
WT1_WT50
vs
MEASUREMENTS
AEP 2002
(AEP_WTi / AEP_ref) REAL
CFD
WT1_WT50
AEP 2003
WT1_WT50
AEP Average
AEP_ref AEP corresponding to the nearest WT to
the met mast
  • AEP for just north direction at Alaiz_9 (20º
    sector)
  • Production filtering WT availability gt 70
  • Modeling from Alaiz3_55 and Alaiz 6_40

11
4. EXPERIMENTAL VALIDATION
I. AEP modelling from ALAIZ 3 55 m
WT_refWT_28
1
3
2
4
Underestimation on WT 13 to 19
20º degrees turning clockwise!
12
4. EXPERIMENTAL VALIDATION
I. AEP modelling from ALAIZ 3 55 m
20º degrees turning clockwise around Alaiz 2
23.2
ALAIZ 2
9.7
ALAIZ 6
28.2
ALAIZ 3
  • Turning caused by an upstream hill
  • Production moved to sector 2 (10º-30º)

13
4. EXPERIMENTAL VALIDATION
II. AEP modelling from ALAIZ 6 40 m
WT_refWT_35
  • Similar trend for Alaiz3_55 y Alaiz 6_40
  • Underestimation for alignement 1(WT1_WT11) and 2
    (WT12_WT19)

14
4. EXPERIMENTAL VALIDATION
III. Global Error. Wind Farm AEP
  • Results using one met. mast

AEP Error from ALAIZ 3_55
AEP Error from ALAIZ 6_40
  • CFD errors below 18. WAsP errors up to 39.5

15
4. EXPERIMENTAL VALIDATION
WT segregation according to similar RIX indexes
IV. Combined WAsP simulation with 2 masts
ALAIZ 6
ALAIZ 3
  • Results using two met. masts

16
4. EXPERIMENTAL VALIDATION
IV. Combined WAsP simulation with 2 masts
  • Global Production Error with Alaiz6_40 -31
  • Global Production Error with Alaiz6_40
    Alaiz3_55 -29.2
  • Using two met. masts with WAsP the error
    decreases in a 1.8

17
5. CONCLUSIONS
  • A specific methodology for the estimation of
    wind farm output power from CFD codes has been
    developped and validated in a complex terrain
    wind farm.
  • Only conventional inputs needed (mast data,
    power curve).
  • Uncertainty decrease of 25 at the test site
    based on power measurements
  • CFD annual absolute error variation in AEP are
    in the range 0.46 - 17.41 for a wind farm in
    complex terrain while with WAsP the error range
    is 16.64 - 39.5.
  • The reduction of errors with WAsP using two
    meteorological masts in this case was only 1.8.
  • A CFD simulation with CENER methodology can help
    to increase accuracy in AEP estimation reducing
    the number of meteorological masts.

18
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