Title: Prsentation PowerPoint
1EGEE
CLIVAR ATLANTIC, Villefranche s/Mer, April 14,
2003 Bernard BOURLES
2- African Monsoon Multidisciplinary Analyses
- Analyses Multidisciplinaires de la Mousson
Africaine - Afrikanischer Monsun Multidisziplinäre Analysen
- Analisis Multidiciplinar de los Monzones
Africanos - Afrikanske Monsun Multidisiplinære Analyser
3Annual rainfall runoff deficit
Factor 2
4A french initiative towards AMMA
- 2000 French community selected the WAM as a
major research topic with the support of the
french agencies (CNES, CNRS/INSU, IRD,
Météo-France) - Observational and modeling activities exist over
WA - (CATCH, IMPETUS, JET2000, PROMISE, AMIP,
individual works, .) - ? Need of coordination re-enforcement
- Numerous coming satellites missions (research
operational) presenting a strong interest for the
WAM (Clouds, Aerosols, Chemistry, Hydrology) - ? Need of specific coordinated efforts
over Africa - Favorable international context CLIVAR-Africa,
GEWEX (GHP, GCSS, ), EU programs (WAMP,
PROMISE, ), ... - ? Help to re-enforce collaborations between
countries disciplinaries - 2001 French proposition open at the
International Community (White book) - 2002 Increasing international activity to build
up AMMA - Numerous researchers and agencies from African
countries, Europe, USA have declared their strong
interest to participate - Meetings in Africa (Niger), Europe (UK, Germany),
USA -
5AMMA in 2003
- AMMA Scientific Steering Committees exist in
Africa (AMMANET), UK, US and France - First draft of International Science Plan is
nearly finished - Commitments exist from funding agencies (USA,
UK, France, Germany) - Projects endorsed by CLIVAR GEWEX
6ACMAD (African Centre Meteorological Application
for Development), Africa AGRHYMET (Centre
régional du Comité Inter Etats de Lutte contre la
Sécheresse au Sahel), Niger CEH (Centre for
Ecology and Hydrology), UK CIRAD (Centre de
coopération Internationale en Recherche
Agronomique pour le Développement) France CNRS
(Centre National de la Recherche
Scientifique) DMNs (National Meteorological
Direction), Africa German Laboratories HGF
(Helmholtz-Gemeinschaft Deutscher
Forschungszentren) ECMWF (European Centre for
Medium Range Weather Forecasting), UK KNMI (Royal
Netherlands Meteorological Institute),
Netherlands ICTP (International Centre for
Theoretical Physics), Italy IRD (Institut de
Recherche pour le Développement),
France Medias-France, France Météo-France,
France MPI (Max-Planck-Institut für
Meteorologie), Germany NASA, USA NCAR, USA NOAA,
USA African Universities (Abidjan, Dakar, Lagos,
Niamey), Africa University of Copenhagen,
Denmark 3 German Universities, Germany 6 Spanish
Universities, Spain 9 UK Universities, UK USA
Universities, USA
Some declared interests
7Main goals of AMMA
- To provide an improved description and
understanding of the WAM, water cycle,
variability and associated scale interactions - (gt better prediction)
- To identify implement an integrated observing
strategy in WA needed to support research and
prediction (medium-range, seasonal and climate
scale) - To improve our understanding of the atmospheric
chemistry and aerosols over WA and its global
impact - To develop test the long term monitoring of
surface atmosphere (combining satellite and
surface networks) - To implement a strategy to use weather and
climate observations and modeling/assimilation
outputs for applications (health, food security,
water resources, ) - To develop training/education activities for
African countries
It will be achieved through modeling/assimilation
studies, field and satellite observations,
dedicated field campaigns, database building
dissemination, international collaboration
8Main AMMA Program
- Multi-annual program based on
- A multi-disciplinary approach structuring the
existing and new efforts - A nesting of 4 spatial domains and 3 observing
periods - Global Scale 2-way interactions between the WAM
the rest of the globe - Regional Scale Monsoon Dynamics Scale
Interactions, - Continental Water
Cycle, Land and Ocean Processes - Mesoscale Mesoscale Convective Systems,
Tropical Cyclones, - Catchments and
Vegetation - Sub-meso (lt10km) Hydrological Cycle, Vegetation,
Coupling -
-
9Descrip PERIODS
- Long Term Observation Period (LOP)
- Inter-annual and decadal variability
- Numerous historical data exist, but need of a
tremendous effort to collect, homogenize,
document and distribute those data. - New observations for the 2002-2010 period
- Enhanced Observation Period (EOP)
- Two whole seasons (2004-2005-2006- ?)
- Document along the zonal and meridional
transects, the seasonal cycle (surface
atmosphere) ? Surface memory - Document the chemical species and aerosols
- Special Observation Periods (SOP)
- Rainy season of 2006 (IOPs of 2 to 4 days)
- SOP 1 Pre-monsoon Onset stages( 10 May- 5
July) - SOP 2 Monsoon maximum ( 15 July - 15 Aug)
- SOP 3 Late Monsoon ( 15 Aug. - 15 Sept)
-
10Importance of the Gulf of Guinea ?
gt Northward penetration of moist air from the
Gulf of Guinea up to the Sahelian domain that
strongly conditions the WAM (mostly the onset
date and intensity, ie in boreal
spring/summer). High sea surface temperature
(ltgt fluxes) variability in this particular
area (equatorial and coastal upwellings, cold
tongue)
e.g. Cold SST anomaly in the GG gt stronger
meridional energy gradient gt stronger WAM
precipitations
11- Oceanographic (french) component of AMMA
- (Ocean Circulation Study in the Gulf of Guinea,
and its variability) - Program to study the oceanic parameters and
circulation - and their variability in the upper layers of the
eastern Tropical Atlantic, - through a) in situ data, b) satellite data,
- c) numerical model results and d) numerical
experiments. -
- Main goals
- - Comprehension of oceanic processes that govern
the energy exchanges (fluxes heat, humidity,
carbon) at the ocean-atmosphere interface in the
Gulf of Guinea, i.e. particularly the sea surface
temperature, salinity, mixed layer depth (lt-gt
heat content) and circulation, and their
variability, mainly from the seasonal to the
interannual scales. - Better understanding gt better predictibility.
-
EGEE
12EGEE
Methods (1) -1/ Analysis and validation of SST
fields (comparison of SST climatologies,
satellital products in situ measurements)
gt representativity of fluxes at the
ocean-atmosphere interface. (expertise of
fluxes calculation of net balance of
heat/salt/movement from validated satellite data
and model results, and "bulk" algorithm gt
comparison with balances of heat/salt/movement
from atmospheric models and evaluation of the
capacity of these models to force the global
oceanic circulation models). -2/ Analysis of
processes responsible for SST, SSS mixed layer
variability gt Joint analysis of hydrology,
currents, tracers measurements, satellites
products and numerical models. -3/ Analysis
of the boundary layer variability gt
Determination of parameters responsible for the
discrepancy between numerical results and
observations (gt Use of forced biogeochemical
models gt reconstitution of nutrients and carbon
cycles linked to hydrodynamic conditions ?
qualification of dynamical models). gt High
resolution modelisation of the mixed layer (use
of a "pseudo-3D" model the role of surface
heterogeneities approached through the coupling
of the MESO-NH model with the "pseudo-3D" model
they modify the circulation in the lower
atmospheric layers gt modification of
heat/humidity/movement transfers ?
cyclogenesis).
13EGEE
Methods (2) -4/ Specific oceanographic
cruises (EGEE cruises) and validated transits
gt hydrology, current biogeochemical
parameters (nutrients, CO2) data. gt same
sections carried out at two opposite seasons
during 2004-2006 (late spring and early fall ltgt
monsoon and equatorial upwelling onset and late
periods) simultaneously to the the three years
AMMA Enhanced Observation Period -EOP-.
Maintaining of PIRATA ATLAS moorings current
moorings at 10W and 0-0. SOP Specific
cruises planned in 2006 (SOP-1 and SOP-3). -5/
Implementation of a meteorological station at São
Tomé Island (0 N-6E) gt Extension towards
the east of the Gulf of Guinea of meteorological
measurements available along the equator via the
PIRATA network, associated with a tide-gauge
already maintained by IRD LEGOS.
14EGEE
Ocean surface rarely accessible from satellite
due to high cloudiness in the Gulf of Guinea
Need of in situ measurements to validate
climatologies and available satellite data
products
15EGEE
16EGEE
SPECIFIC CRUISES gt Operational cruises twice
a year (ltgt seasonal variability) in the Gulf of
Guinea during three years (ltgt interannual
variability), running through the PIRATA mooring
sites and repeated sections (10W IS TO BE to
surveyed as much as possible) Measurements
gt measurements of SST, SSS, meteorological
parameters (wind etc.) gt measurements of
currents, S, T and O2 in the upper layers (0 to
500/1000 m) gt water samplings for salinity,
nutrients and CO2 system parameters gt surface
drifters deployments (SVP, PROVOR) Data should
be transmitted daily for data assimilation in
the operational numerical models, and for
validation/calibration of satellite measurements
(CORIOLIS/MERCATOR).
17EGEE
Possible tracks of EGEE (2004 2006) cruises
along with PIRATA ATLAS moorings location (black
dots currently operational)
18In the framework of the 2006 SOP (1) - SOP 1
(May - July) in the Gulf of Guinea during the
monsoon upset. COULD BE LIKE AREPETITION OF
EQUALANT 2000 gt Surface to bottom oceanic
measurements (T, S, O2, currents, nutrients,
CFCs, CO2) gt Additional atmospheric and
interface measurements - Instrumented mast can
be to provide high frequency (50Hz) measurements
of turbulence, and thermodynamical and radiation
data (0.1Hz). - Upper air soundings and balloons
(could complement the in-land radio sounding
network and document the vertical flow profile
entering over West Africa). - Surface
Marisonde buoys could also be
deployed. May-June Cotonou -gt 3E meridional
section -gt Pointe Noire -gt Sao Tome -gt
Cotonou June-July Cotonou -gt 3E meridional
section -gt 6S zonal section -gt 10W -gt Abidjan
EGEE
19 In the framework of the 2006 SOP (2) - SOP
3 (end of August - September) in the eastern
tropical Atlantic during the late monsoon and the
eastern tropical Atlantic export off Dakar and
across the Guinea Dome, and repetition of the
10W section. gt air-sea interaction over the
warm waters in relation with cyclogenesis. gt
Additional atmospheric and interface
measurements - Upper air soundings and balloons
could be launched - Surface Marisonde buoys
could be deployed, maybe along with
Aeroclipper. Importance of the northeastern
tropical Atlantic area for WAM, ITCZ / SST / TAV
!!!... gt? Contribution/Implication of US or TAV
group ?
EGEE
20LINKS WITH ARGO CORIOLIS
EGEE
Validated transit Example of February 2003 (R/V
Le Suroit) - Deployments of instrumentations
partly funded by EGEE gt PROVOR profilers
deployments (NOAA IFREMER) gt XBTs and SVP
deployments (NOAA IRD) - SST SSS (TSgraph)
and current (ADCP) measurements along the
tracklines.
SHOM Cruise (R/V B-B) in May 2003 15 PROVOR
(green dots) 60 XBTs TSgraph ADCP
21LINKS WITH PIRATA
EGEE
PIRATA ATLAS buoys in the Gulf of Guinea (France
maintenance)
22Link with GOOS VOS network ?XBT /
thermosalinograph lines (maintained by
IRD) -XBT 5 lines AX05, AX 15 and AX 20
working in operational way. -ThermoSalinograph
s 3 lines AX05, AX 11, and AX15
EGEE
23Link with US projects (refer to presentation by
F.Schott, TAV activities and proposal) Ex. FACT
(Field Study of the Atlantic Cold Tongue) by
J.Carton et al.
EGEE
- How water is exported poleward out of the cold
tongue? - What are the oceanic processes controlling mixed
layer temperature?
- 50 WOCE-type nearsurface drifters 100 XBTs 30
GPS-radiosondes
24AMMA International Oceanic Plans (?) (in
progress) - US CLIVAR discussions and
endorsement ? Baltimore Meeting (Nov. 2002),
Washington Meeting (Feb. 2003)... - T.A.V.
implication ? (see next presentation by
F.Schott, TAV Miami Meeting, March 2003) Existing
proposals that contain potential linkages with
AMMA/EGEE - Field Study of the Atlantic Cold
Tongue, by J.Carton et al. - Effect of
atmospheric forcing, upper ocean teleconnections
and feedbacks on tropical Atlantic SST
variability, by S.Garzoli et al. - Dynamics of
the Atlantic Marine ITCZ Complex, by Y. Kushnir
et al. - AMMA International Meeting (NICE, April
10-11, 2003) gt Need of a Working Group in order
to define the Oceanic Studies and Field Cruises
for the International Science Plan of AMMA
document (in preparation, coordination by
T.Lebel, J.L. Redelsperger, C. Thorncroft) W.G.
??? J.Carton, B.Bourlès, G.Caniaux, S.Garzoli,
Y.Kushnir ???...