Opening of Arctic Sea Transport - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Opening of Arctic Sea Transport

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Bad news full of ice. increased hazard. slower speeds. need special ships ... External forcing the rest of the world. Suez Canal. Pirates. Wars. Shortages ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Opening of Arctic Sea Transport


1
Opening of Arctic Sea Transport
643,000 Google hits
  • Northwest Passage
  • Modest activity
  • Northern Sea Route
  • Not new since 1930s
  • Primary purposes
  • local resupply
  • resource extraction
  • transit traffic
  • Good news
  • Shorter by 40
  • 10 15 days
  • Bad news full of ice
  • increased hazard
  • slower speeds
  • need special ships

2002
Transform an icy graveyard into a shorter
shipping route
2
The Northern Sea Route Tomorrow
  • Continued changes in the future
  • Modest changes in winter
  • Major reduction in summer
  • Seasonal ice-free NSR

Projected ice extent Median of 5 models (HAD,
GFD, ECH, CSM, CGC
Conditions are improving, but shipping is
declining
3
More is happening than physical changes
  • Economic considerations
  • Deteriorating ports and fleets
  • Political situation
  • Fragmented institutions
  • Instability
  • Legal issues
  • Insurance
  • Tariffs
  • Environmental impact
  • Societal consequences
  • Impact on indigenous people
  • External forcing the rest of the world
  • Suez Canal
  • Pirates
  • Wars
  • Shortages

4
Critical for this synthesis effort
Changes
Human dimension
Physical drivers
Impacts
Challenges
Consequences
How is it all connected?
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