Title: P1252428711AXnBM
1Climate change and what you can do about it
Ron Dembo IPAC, Toronto October 28, 2008
2We live in a finite world
(Courtesy Ed Burtynsky)
3We dont pay to (ab)use it
(Courtesy Ed Burtynsky)
4It didnt seem to matter in 1950 but...
5(No Transcript)
6U.N. Report, October 25, 2007 Human activities
have become a dominant influence on the planets
climate and ecosystem
7The world is getting too small
8More trade
More wealth
More carbon
More land use
8 to 2 Hectares
9Ecological Footprint by Country
World Sustainability Limit
10Global Warming
11Actually hit 430 in 2005 (latest) 10 years ahead
of recent predictions
12CO2 Concentrations the last 1000 years
13Not a question of whether, but when, where and
how much
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15Possible Futures for the Planet
Source IPCC TAR
16Carbon Will be a very important commodity in the
future!
17When we think Carbon
Source Forest Ethics
18Source Forest Ethics
19State of BC Forests
Annual CO2 emissions from coal
26 of total
Annual CO2 emissions from coal
26 of total
Annual CO2 emissions from coal
26 of total
Annual CO2 emissions from deforestation 25
of total
Annual CO2 emissions from deforestation 25
of total
Annual CO2 emissions from deforestation 25
of total
Source IPCC
Source IPCC
Source IPCC
Source Forest Ethics
20Carbon
Nat. Gas 15
Sources
Where do we start?
Petroleum 31
Coal 26
Deforestation 25
Other 3
Source The Nature Conservancy
211,000,000 catalogues daily
22A crazy world 18,000,000,000 catalogues daily!
Source Forest Ethics
23State of World Forests
How Much is Enough?
Source World Resources Institute / Forest Ethics
24Some (minimal) Science
25What world do you want to live in?
Some facts
Source Cisco,CUD08
26The world is warming up What world do you want to
live in?
27The world is warming up What world do you want to
live in? gt 4oC significant and
irreversible changes will occur
28Choose your target
Average Temperature Rise (0C)
What Happens
Model Prediction
600
Some Large cites submerged
4
550
500
20 50 species lost
3
1 4 billion people face water shortages
450
15 - 40 of species lost
2
10 of species lost
Stabilizing at 500ppm means a 50 chance of
exceeding 30C
Source IPCC
29Probability of exceeding 4oC avg. temp rise
At 500 ppm CO2e one in 10 chance
At 550 ppm CO2e one in 4 chance
Source IPCC, Stern 2008
30How to stabilize at 500ppm?
One in 10 chance gt 4oC
31Our challenge
26 tons/person
j
?
2 tons/person
1 ton/person
j
j
2008
2050
2100
Source Stern 2008
32World challenge
7 tons/person
j
?
2 tons/person
1 ton/person
j
j
2008
2050
2100
Source Stern 2008
33Why is this relevant to us?
34We consume 32 times as much as a person in a
developing country!
35Just 16 of the world's population, based in
North America, Europe and Japan consumes 2/3 of
the world's paper and half of its
wood.
36Carbon
CO2 per capita per country
Source Wikimedia
37Canada waste per capita
38Canada environment
39Canada innovation
40We cannot ignore poverty and other indicators
of sustainability
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42This is one big problem!
43No wonder most people feel disempowered and
dont know just how they can contribute
44Some facts
Source Climatic Research Unit British Antarctic
Survey
45Canadians vs. Swedes
46Toronto citizens cover the GTA with a CO2 blanket
3m thick each year!
47So what can we do about it?
48We can use technology to change the way we work
49My recent talk in Vancouver
3.3 Tonnes CO2e
50We can use technology to measure so that we can
manage
51We can influence our supply chain
52We can use technology to make our buildings smart
53We can use technology to make our homes smart
54We can use technology to optimize appliance use
55We can use technology to engage communities
56ICT is part of the problem today (2) but also a
big part of the solution
57How?
58Our buildings are dumb!
59This car has more smarts than our cleverest buildi
ng!
6040 of total US energy consumption and GHG can be
attributed to operating buildings heat light
cooling hot water Another 8 to the materials
used All SUVs in North America 3
SUVs 3
Source Mazria
6148 of our total energy consumption and GHG can
be solved using better design!
Source Mazria
62It is all about how we design
63We can use technology to make our buildings SMART!
64Mazdar
Source Cisco, CUD Sept. 08
65The way we use electricity is dumb!
66The Load Curve Ontario
Coal
Base Load
Nuclear
1 pm
3 am
3 am
67We can make our electricity SMART!
68Lots of buildings, Lots of appliances
SourceRegenenergy
69Reduce Peak Demand
600KW
Typical behaviour
SourceRegenenergy
70Communication enables efficient energy use
EnviroGrids swarm logic ensures that loads
SourceRegenenergy
71What Happens When we get Smart?
50 reduction in peak demand
Source Forbes Nov 2007
72We can influence our supply chain
73Carbon in the Supply Chain
74We can start measuring so that we can manage
75(Benchmark)
(37)
(64)
(13)
(-21)
Building Footprint
TD Centre Dashboard
76Benchmarks
Building Performance
TD Centre Dashboard
77We can use technology to make the invisible
visible!
78We can change culture
79Enterprise Carbon Management
80 Enterprise Carbon Management
Software
Seattle
Cairo Kids
Toronto
Single engine Mass customizable
81- Enterprise Carbon Management
- Top Down (operations)
- Bottom Up (employees)
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84Engage Communities countries without borders
85cities
Toronto Seattle Edmonton Ottawa Evanston Boulder
London(Ont.) PeterboroughVaughn
86universities
U.Toronto U.Manchester U.Guelph U.Waterloo OCAD
Carnegie Mellon Leslie College
87villages
Ashdon Hayes Erin Mills 550 other villages (in
progress)
88Corporations
Services Mining Software Consumer
Products Building Management Banks
89Data Mining in a Country Without Borders
Dept. 1
Level 1
Level 2
Level 3
Level 4
90Local deployment
Global View
Seattle
Cairo Kids
Toronto
91Measure Reduce Offset
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95Who are we?
96Who are we?
97(No Transcript)
98Common Carbon Engine
99Software and Services
100Developing and Selling Offsets
101Engaging Communities, Research
102Zerofootprints Blue Chip Criteria
- Additionality
- Certification
- Public Registry
- Risk and project management
- Carbon leakage
- Meaningful contribution to long-term
sustainability of local communities
103 Tire Recycling Program Quebec ISO 14064 2
certified
- This project utilizes used car and truck tires to
manufacture a variety of products - Recycling tires reduces the need to extract, and
process synthetic rubber, a very energy and
greenhouse gas intensive process - Tires that are not recycled in this area of
Canada are burned. Recycling tires avoids the
greenhouse gas emissions associated with burning
tires.
104 Landfill Gas Recovery Project Ontario ISO
14064 2 based certification
- Captures landfill gas from the East Quarry
landfill and distributes it to a nearby plant
that produces paper with recycled content. - Primary reductions are achieved by preventing gas
release from the landfill - Secondary benefits come from displacing the use
of natural gas.
105 Forest Restoration Project British Columbia,
ISO 14064 2 certified
- The forest restoration project in Maple Ridge,
British Columbia aims to create a forest that
will continue to be healthy beyond the lifespan
of the current generation of trees - Since the project began in 2006, it has created
220,000 tonnes of carbon credits, planting of
over 36,000 indigenous Douglas Firs, Sitka
Spruces, Western Red Cedars, Western Hemlocks and
Cottonwoods.
106 Run of River Hydro Ontario ISO 14064 2
certified
- This project uses the location of an official
heritage site, and harnesses the power of running
river water to produce energy. - Run-of-river projects are engineered so as to
extract the natural power of a river without
disrupting it, meaning that they exact only
minimal strain on the ecosystem while generating
significant amounts of power.
107Software for managing a portfolio of offsets
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111Research
Position Papers
112Publications
Book 174 pages Available on the net. In print
October 2007
113Publications
114Publications
May 29, 2008 Ontario An opportunity for World
Leadership Economic Growth The Skinning
Competition Ron Dembo
115Initiatives
- Zerofootprint Corporate
- Zerofootprint Kids/Youth
- Zerofootprint Cities
- Zerofootprint Universities
- Avoided Deforestation/Micro-Credit
- Eastern Congo
- BlueChip Carbon
- Skinning Toronto
One Technology Platform
116Our Clients Business
117Our Clients - Universities Schools
118Our Clients Cities
Seattle, Washington
119 Our Clients Other Organizations
120We do green
121The End
ron.dembo_at_zerofootprint.net
www.zerofootprint.net