Alternative Energy Sources and Energy Mix Policy in Thailand

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Alternative Energy Sources and Energy Mix Policy
in Thailand
Commented by Dr. Bundit Limmeechokchai ???????????
??????????????????? ??

• 3 ISSUES
• Alternative energy ??????????????????????
• ??????? Energy Mix
• ????? Community-based energy management ????
  ??????? ?????????

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• ???????????????? 4 ????
• ?????????????????????????????????????????????????
  ???
• Energy Scenarios
• Thailand PDP Scenario 2021
• Conclusions

• ?????????????????????????????????????????????
  ??????????????????????????????????????????????????
  ???? (???????? 1, 2 ??? 3)
• ?????? 1.3 ?????????? 4 ???? ?????????????????????
  ????? 7950 GWh ???? 2006 ???? 3861 GWh ???? 2021
  (????????? /??????? ?)
• Grouping of fuels Coal, Oil and NG LNG
• Power imported ???????? 3.6 ???? 8.8 (security
  ?)
• Annual growth rate 2006-2021 5.7 (PDP2007)

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• Energy Scenarios ??????????????????????????????
  ???? WETO, WEO2007 ??? ETP2008 ????????????
• - Climate Scenarios in 2050 (450 ppm CO2)

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• Power Development Plan (PDP 2007)
• ???????? 5 ???????????????????????????????????????
  ???????????? (2006-2021) ?????????????????????????
  ??????????????????????????????????????????????????
  ?????????????????????? ?????? ?????????
  ????????????????????????????????
  ??????????????????????????
• ????????????????? ????????????????????????????????
  ???????????????????????????
• 3.3 ???????? 8 ???????????????????? PDP2007
  ???????????????? CO2 ????????????? 4.5 (????????
  5.7) ????????????????????????????????????????????
  ??????????
• ???? 2004 ??????????? ??? CO2 per capita 4.5
  ton/yr ???????? Asia Pacific 3.5
• Climate Scenarios 1) No coal Lignite after
  2021 and
• 2) No Lignite after 2021 and No new coal after
  2021 (reduction 59001 GWh 83 of Maximum EE)

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• 4. ?????? ???????????????????? 9 ??? 10
• ?????????????????????? ??????????????????????????
  ?????? ??? ?????????? 10 ?? scenarios ?????
• ??????????????????? 2021 No nuclear comes!
  ?????? B1 ??? B3 ?
• ???????????? ?????????? 10 ???????????????????????
  ?????????????? ???????????? ??? ???????? CO2
  ???????? ??? Scenario ?????? PDP2007 ????????
  ????????????????????????????? 70 ??? 75
  ????????? B3 (Vulnerability ?)
• Energy Supply Security ?????????
  ????????????????????????????????? 70-75

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Energy planning is done in the context of other
considerations
Global CO2 Issues
National Economy
Energy System
Electric System
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TODAY PROBLEM ENERGY PLANNING, THE TRILEMMA