Title: Prevention Of Diabetes
1Prevention Of DiabetesA Dream Or A Reality
- By
- Professor
- Dr Intekhab Alam
- Department of Medicine
- Postgraduate Medical Institute,
- Lady Reading Hospital, Peshawar
2The worldwide pandemic oftype 2 diabetes
World wide diabetesprevalence (millions)
2000
2010
2025
International Diabetes Federation Diabetes Atlas
2000 Amos et al. Diabet Med 199714 (Suppl
5)S1-S85.
3Estimated Growth in the Prevalence of Diabetes
1994-2010
McCarty, Zimmet 1994
4Association of Age Diabetes
Age distribution Caucasians
S.Asian
- 25-34 0 2.3
- 35-44 0.7 4.9
- 45-54 3.0 6.3
- 55-64 4.0 12.5
- 65-74 6.1 10.7
- Newcastle Unwin et al
WPR-IDF, Beijing May 2002
5Reduction in life expectancy in type 2 diabetes
Panzram G. Diabetologia 198730123-31
6The continuum of glucose intolerance
Type 2 Diabetes
Disability Death
Complications
Normal
IGT
Preclinical state
Clinical disease
Complications
Secondary intervention
Tertiary intervention
Primary prevention
7Classification of glucose intolerance
2-h plasma glucose (mmol/L)
11.1
7.8
NGT
IGT
6.1
IFG
IGT/IFG
FPG (mmol/L)
7.0
Type 2 Diabetes
approximately 1 in 7 people aged over 40 years
have impaired glucose tolerance (IGT)
8Progression to type 2 diabetes
Annual rates of progression to moresevere forms
of glucose intolerance
IFG IGT IFG IGT Type 2 diabetes
Normal glucose tolerance 1.3 3.9 0.5 0.6
IFG - 3.7 6.5 2.4
IGT - - 0.9 2.7
IFG IGT - - - 9.9
Koehler et al. Diabetologia 200144 Suppl 1A108
9IGT is driving the worldwide diabetes pandemic
50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0
IGT
Undiagnosedtype 2 diabetes
of population
Diagnosedtype 2 diabetes
20-44
45-54
55-64
?65
Age (years)
Harris. Consultant. 199737 SupplS9
10- OBESITY is the driving force behind IGT
- Prevalence of OBESITY is reaching
- epidemic proportions worldwide. In
- USA 50 of the population is
- overweight while 20-22 is obese.
- A person with a BMI of 30 carries
- 5 times higher risk of developing
- diabetes than a person with a
- normal BMI.
11Obesity and prevalence of IGT
Body mass index (kg/m2)
Lindahl et al. Diabetes Care 1999221988-1992
12IGT and risk of diabetes
Impaired glucose tolerance
Highest quartile 2-hour insulin
Highest quartile fasting insulin
Triglycerides gt2.5 mmol/l (221 mg/dl)
HDL lt1 mmol/l (39 mg/dl)
Waist-hip ratio gt1.0
BMI gt30 gm-2
Hypertension
Family history of diabetes
Relative risk of developingdiabetes (? 95 CI)
Mykkanen et al (1993)
13Consequences of IGT
- All cause mortality is 1.96 times higher than in
people with normal glucose tolerance - Mortality per 1000 person-years is 20.8 for IGT
as compared to 40.9 with DM. - 40-50 of adults with IGT will develop type 2
diabetes within ten years. - IGT clusters with other and is itself a CV risk
factor.
14Whom and when to screen for IGT
- Individuals gt45 yrs of age especially who have
BMI of gt25 kg/m2. - Individuals lt45 with BMI gt30 or who have one or
more of the following risk factors - ive family history,LowHDL, high TG, HTN, h/o
GDM, Infant birth wt gt9lbs, belonging to
noncaucasian group.
15Primary Prevention in Diabetes
Risk Factors for Type 2 Diabetes
GENETIC FACTORS - Ethnicity - Family history
(40)
GESTATIONAL DIABETES AND PARITY
CENTRAL OBESITY
INCREASING AGE
PHYSICAL INACTIVITY
Williams G, Pickup JC. Handbook of Diabetes. 2nd
Edition, Blackwell Science. 1999.
16Strategies In Prevention Of Diabetes
- Intensive lifestyle counseling
- Pharmacotherapy
- Established antidiabetic agents
- Metformin, Acarbose, Glitazones
- ACE inhibitors and ARBs
- Ramipril, Losartan, Valsartan, Candesarttan
17- PROSPECTIVE TRIALS OF DIABETES PREVEENTION
- 1. Da Qing Impaired Glucose Tolerance and
Diabetes Study - 2. The Finnish Study(DPS)
- 3. The Diabetes Prevention Program(DPP)
- 4. Troglitazone in Prevention of Diabetes(TRIPOD)
- 5. Study to prevent NIDDM (STOP-NIDDM)
- 6. Xenical in the Prevention of Diabetes in Obese
Subjects(XENDOS)
18Da Qing impaired glucose tolerance and Diabetes
study
- Number of patients 577 with IGT
- Mean BMI lt25 vs gt25 kg/m2
- Major intervention control vs diet only vs
exercise only vs both - Average follow up 6 yrs.
- ConclusionIncidence of diabetes control group
67.7, Diet only 43.8, Exercise only 41.1 and
46 in both intervention (plt0.05) - 26.3 in lt25 and 51.1 in gt25 BMI subjects
19The Finnish study(DPS)
- Number of patients 522 with IGT
- Mean age 55
- Mean BMI 31 kg/m2
- Major intervention Intensive lifestyle
counseling. - Average follow up 3.2 yrs.
- Relative risk reduction 58 with ILSC
(incidence of DM in control group 23 vs 11 in
Intensive Group) - NNT 22 for one yr and 5 for 5yrs
20The Diabetes Prevention Program(DPP)
- Number of patients 3,234 with IGT
- Mean age 51
- Mean BMI 34 kg/m2
- Major intervention Intensive LSC vs Metformin
standard LSC vs Placebostandard LSC - Average follow up 2.8 yrs.
- Relative risk reduction 58 with ILSC
- 31 with Metformin
- NNT 7 for ILSC and 14 for Metformin for 3yrs
21Troglitazone in Prevention of Diabetes(TRIPOD
study)
- Number of patients 235 with GDM
- Major intervention Troglitazone vs Placebo
- Average follow up 2.6 yrs.
- Relative risk reduction 56 with Troglitazone
- Study was dropped following withdrawal of the
drug from the market in 1998 -
22Study to Prevent- NIDDM(STOP-NIDDM trial)
- Number of patients 1429 with IGT
- Mean age 55
- Mean BMI 31 kg/m2
- Major intervention Acarbose vs Placebo
- Average follow up 3.3 yrs.
- Relative risk reduction 32 for DM and
- 34 for HTN
- NNT 11 cases for 3.3yrs
-
23Xenical in Prevention of Diabetes in Obese
Subjects(XENDOS)
- Number of patients 3305 with obesity
- 79 with normal and 21 with IGT
- Mean BMI 30 kg/m2
- Major intervention Orlistat 120mg TDS
- Objective To see the effect of Orlistat on
the progression of diabetes - Average follow up 4 yrs.
- Relative risk reduction 37 in all (p0.0032)
,45 in IGT subjects (p0.0024) -
24- TRIALS SHOWING A REDUCTION IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF
DIABETES - The Heart Outcomes Prevention Evaluation(HOPE).
- Losartan Intervention for Endpoint(LIFE)
Reduction in Hypertension Study - West of Scotland Coronary Prevention
Study(WOSCOPS). - The Heart and Estrogen/Progestin Replacement
Study(HERS). - Candesartan in Heart Failure-Assessment of
Reduction in Mortality and Morbidity(CHARM
25The Heart Outcomes Prevention Evaluation (HOPE)
- Number of patients 9297 with high risk of
vascular disease - Mean age 55 or older
- Major intervention Ramipril 10mg
- Primary endpoint composite outcome of Stroke, MI
or cardiovascular death. - Average follow up 4.5 yrs.
- Post hoc analysis of 5270 nondiabetic subjects
revealed a 34 lower rate of newer diabetes in
treated group(plt0.001).
26Losartan Intervention for Endpoint (LIFE)
Reduction in Hypertension Study
- Number of patients 9193 with HTN LVH.
- Mean age 55-80
- Objectives to assess the ability of
Losartan to reduce cardiovascular morbidity
and mortality. - Intervention Losartan vs Atenolol
- In 7998 nondiabetic subjects Losartan reduced the
new onset of diabetes by 25 as compared to
Atenolol (p0.001)
27West of Scotland Coronary Prevention
Study(WOSCOPS)
- Number of patients 5974 with h/o MI
- Mean age 45-65
- Objective to assess cardiovascular events
- Intervention Pravastatin vs Placebo
- 30 reduction in the development of diabetes with
Pravastatin compared to placebo
28The Heart and Estrogen/Progestron Replacement
Study (HERS)
- Number of patients 2763 postmeno-
- pausal women
- Intervention Combination of conjugated
estrogen and progesteron vs placebo. - Primary endpoint Occurrence of CHD
- Average follow up 4.1 yrs.
- Conclusion no reduction in CHD. Out of 2029
nondiabetic women a 35(p0.006) risk reduction
for the development of DM was noted with an NNT
of 30 for 4 yrs.
29Cadesartan in Heart Failure-Assessment of
Reduction in Mortality and Morbidity(CHARM)
- Number of patients 7601 with CHF
- Intervention Candesartan
- Primary endpoint CHF hospitalization
or CV death - Average follow up 3.2 yrs
- Conclusion Significant reduction in CHF
hospitalization(plt0.0001). - 22 reduction in new-onset DM.
30- TRIALS IN PROGRESS
- The Early Diabetes Prevention Trial (EDIT).
- Diabetes Reduction Assessment with Ramipril and
Rosiglitazone Medication(DREAM). - Nateglinide and Valsartan in Impaired Glucose
Tolerance Outcomes Research (NAVIGATOR).
31The Early Diabetes Intervention Trial (EDIT)
- Number of patients 631 with IGT
- Intervention Acarbose vs Metformin vs
combination of AM vs Placebo - Primary endpoint Occurrence of DM
- Average follow up 6 yrs.
- Interim results at 3 yrs 522 subjects have
remained in the trial showing an 8 risk
reduction with Acarbose(p0.12) and 37 for
Metformin(p0.17) - Expected follow up for 6 yrs.
32Diabetes Reduction Assessment with Ramipril and
Rosiglitazone Medication(DREAM)
- Number of patients 4000 with IGT
- Intervention Combination of Ramipril and
Rosiglitazone vs placebo - Primary endpoint new onset DM or
- all-cause mortality
- Average follow up 3 yrs.
- Ongoing trial, results expected in April 2007.
33Nateglinide and Valsartan in Impared Glucose
Tolerance Outcomes Research (NAVIGATOR)
- Number of patients 7500 with IGT
- Intervention Valsartan vs Nateglinide
- Primary endpoint new onset DM or CV events
and all-cause mortality - Ages of the participants 50 yrs or older with
CVD - 55 yrs or older with risk factors
for CVD - Average follow up 5-6 yrs.
- Ongoing trial (results in 2006-7)
34Diabetes Prevention Strategies And Outcomes
INTERVENTION Intensive lifestyle Metformin Acarbo
se Pravastatin Ramipril Estrogen/progesterone ILS
C Orlistat Troglitazone Losartan Candesartan Ros
iglitazone Natiglinide Valsartan
STUDY DPP, FDP DPP,EDIT STOP-NIDDM,
EDIT WOSCOPS HOPE,DREAM HERS XENDOS TRIPOD LIFE CH
ARM DREAM NAVIGATOR
RR 58 a 31 a 25 a ongoing 30 a 34 a 35
a 37 56 25 22 ongoing ongoing
a versus standard lifestyle advice b versus
intensive lifestyle advice
35Metformin the foundation oral therapy that
offers prevention of type 2 diabetes and its
complications
36Prevention of complications
- Clinical outcome benefits with Metformin
37Patients randomised to Metformin in theUK
Prospective Diabetes Study
Patients allocated to metformin n342
850 mg ? 1700 mg ? 2550 mg
Metformin dosing protocol
Follow up 6-20 years Median 10 years
UKPDS 34. Lancet 1998352854-65
38Benefits beyond blood glucose controlwith
metformin in the UKPDS
Metformin Intensive (n342)
Sulphonylurea / Insulin Intensive (n951)
Diabetes-related deaths All-cause mortality Any
diabetes-related endpoint Myocardial
infarction Stroke Compared with conventional
therapy (overweight group)
Change in risk ? 42 ? 36 ? 32 ? 39 ? 41
P value 0.017 0.011 0.0023 0.01 0.13
Change in risk ? 20 ? 8 ? 7 ? 21 ?
14
P value 0.19 0.49 0.46 0.11 0.60
UKPDS 34. Lancet 1998352854-65
39Clinical outcomes for metforminin the UKPDS
Myocardialinfarction
Stroke
Diabetes deaths
? 42
? 39
? 41
Median dose 2550 mg/day
UKPDS 34. Lancet 1998352854-65
40Risk reductions from intervention studies in
type 2 diabetes
Clinical Outcomes Diabetes-related deaths
() All-cause mortality () All MI () Fatal MI
() All stroke () Fatal stroke () Follow-up
(years)
UKPDS Captopril Atenolol n1148 32 18 21 28 44 58
8.4
HOT Felodipine Aspirin n1501 67 43 51 - 30 - 3.8
4S Simva-statin n202 36 43 55 - 62 - 5.4
UKPDS SU/Ins n3867 10 6 16
6 ()11 ()17 10.7
HOPE Ramipril n3577 37 24 22 - 33 - 4.5
UKPDS Metformin n753 42 36 39 50 41 25 10.7
41Prevention of complications
- Optimising the dose of Metformin
42Metformin is frequently under-dosed
Metformin dosage (mg/day)
Scarpello. Br J Diabetes Vasc Dis 2001128-36
43Optimising metformin dosage evidence-based
conclusions
Metformin daily dosage (mg)
500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000
Glycaemic benefits Clinical benefits Tolerance
and safety
44Metformin foundation therapy for prevention of
type 2 diabetes and its complications
- Reduced morbidity and mortality in the UKPDS
- Unique reduction of cardiovascular complications
beyond that expected from blood glucose control - IDF and ADA guidelines favour the use of
metformin as foundation therapy for type 2
diabetes where possible - The antihyperglycaemic efficacy of metformin is
dose-related with an optimal daily dose of 2000
mg/day - Metformin is well tolerated across its dosage
range - Gastrointestinal side-effects are usually
transient - Minimised by slow dosage titration
- Only about 5 of patients cannot tolerate
metformin - Proven to prevent or delay type 2 diabetes (DPP)
45Conclusions
- We face a global pandemic of type 2 diabetes.
- IGT and type 2 diabetes are stages in the
progression of dysglycaemia. - Interventions at the IGT stage (pharmacological
or lifestyle) may delay or prevent type 2
diabetes. - Failure to identify IGT meant that there was a
missed opportunity to prevent diabetes.
46Conclusion
Benefits of diabetes prevention for patients
- "Every year a person can live free of diabetes
means an added year of life free of the pain,
disability, and medical costs incurred by this
disease"
47Thankyou very much