Thanks Steve

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Thanks Steve Youngee for another great meeting!
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Carbon Cycle Observations
Land and ocean photosynthesis AVHRR-MODIS
/SeaWiFS Land use/change Landsat and
MODIS Respiration/land surface temperature
MODIS Land biomass Landsat lidar SAR for
vegetation height Permafrost/peat SAR,
SMAP Biomass burning AVHRR-MODIS,
Landsat Atmospheric CO2 OCO, laser sounders
(ASCENDS)
Decadal Survey Missions DESDynI lidar, DESDynI
SAR, ASCENDS, SMAP
Ground measurements/systems are critical
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Status of USAs Civilian Space Assets
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NASA Earth Science NOAA Budgets
-3 B
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Famous Thieves of the George H.W. Bush years
Sean OKeefe, NASA Administrator under George H.
W. Bush, diverted 1 B from NASA Earth and Space
Science between 2001 and 2005 to going to Mars
and back to the Moon
Allen Stanford stole 8 B from his investors
Bernie Madoffs Ponzi Scheme stole 65 B from
investors under the noses of the SEC
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USGEO Observations ReportObserving Earths
Vital Signsto be released summer 2009

• Phil Decola, Jim Tucker, Peter Wilczynski, Mike
  Tanner, Carolyn Vadnais, Wanda Ferrell, Gary
  Foley, Randy Friedl, Lynn Hirsch, Glenn Bethel,
  John Lyon, and a cast of tens

• Viewed as critical national infrastructure
• International collaboration to minimize gaps in
  essential climate variables
• Open data policy mandatory
• Numerical simulation capability mandatory

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Looming Climate Data Gaps

• Ocean color 50 of global photosynthesis
• VIIRS may/may not work for ocean colorin thermal
  vacuum testing now
• If problems with VIIRS, proceed ASAP with
  free-flying ocean color instrument e.g. Ocean
  Radiometer for Carbon Assessment (ORCA)

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Heritage and Future Mission Measurement Progress
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Climate Data Record Quality
SeaWiFS (1997 - )
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Desired Trajectory
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Measurement Quality Index
Current trajectory

MODIS (2002 - )
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Insufficient for Climate Data Record
VIIRS (2011 - )
CZCS (1978-1985)
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NOTE MODIS Aqua climate-quality ocean biology
data have only been achieved because SeaWiFS data
were available for comparison
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Measurement Maturity Index
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Looming Climate Data GapsLand Vegetation

• Add VIIRS to AVHRR-MODIS continuum ASAP gt Jan.
  2011
• Prevent Landsat Data Continuity Mission from
  slipping further -- launch in 2013?
• Add DESDynI lidar for vegetation 3rd dimension
  lt 2015?
• SAR component of DESDynI by 2017?
• Biomass burning from VIIRS?

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OCO Questions

• Can we accelerate OCO replacement?
• Clouds, aerosols, topography, surface albedo?
• 1.0 ppm accuracy? (lt 2.5 ppm goal)
• Sources but not sinks?

OCO
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The Earth Observing System A-TrainFrance,
Canada, USA
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Western Coal
Photo by Aaron Hockney
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Western USA Coal
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(deforestation)
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(deforestation)
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Typo Million!
US Oil Consumption today is about 20 million
barrels of oil/day ANWAR will not save us!
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Cumulative Plot for US Oil
Fit is 29Gb future production EIA reserves
21Gb USGS/MMS assessment 189Gb

• EIA Energy Information Administration of the
  DOE
• Reserves are resources that could be economically
  produced

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What me worry?
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Concluding Thoughts
Research and operations Build multiple satellite
instruments Landsat and MODIS are key climate
sensors Reorder the Decadal Survey by climate
needs
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Thanks!
Photo Schott Glass