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1
  • The Solar Tsunami
  • Get ready for dramatic improvements in solar with
    breakthroughs in quantum dot nanotechnology and
    the SpartzLight

2
1st Generation Silicon Solar Technology, 90 of
the Market Too Many Problems
  • Too expensive 5/watt, 7-8/watt installed
  • Too heavy/bulky50 pounds/m2
  • Too limited in output, re peak sun hoursonly
    averaging 2.5 hours/day (cloudy climate) - 5.5
    (sunny) hours/day
  • Too limited in supplysilicon-grade solar
    shortages keep prices high and reduce
    availability
  • Too limited efficiency/m2only 150 watts/m2 (at
    15 efficiency) puts solar put at a low value for
    serious power applications.

3
The Potential of Solar with Nanotechnology
  • Attractive pricing - Less than 2/watt compares
    at lower than conventional electrical power
    pricing
  • Ultralight/flexible Suitable for a variety of
    applications without most weight or shaping
    restrictions
  • Delivers output from dawn to dusk more than
    doubles the peak watts available vs. traditional
    solar resulting in better performance per day and
    faster ROI payback
  • Scaleable to vast supply with screen-printing
    simplicity in a large-scale, high-speed process,
    the limits are not materials or throughput
  • Efficiency/m2 not hundreds of watts, but
    kilowatts as a result of All Day Solars
    breakthrough Spartzlight technology.

4
Three Generations of Solar Technology
Generation Solar Technology Primary materials Technology Characteristics
1st Crystalline silicon 90 of current market, 30-year old proven technology - 1 photon of sunlight 1 electron
2nd Thin-film silicon (CIGS/CdTe) Lower cost manufacturing process using less silicon/ semiconductor material with similar efficiency results - 1 photon of sunlight 1 electron
3rd Quantum dot Projected very high efficiency, very low cost to manufacture - 1 photon of sunlight multiple excitons (7)
5
The future of solar is simpleget more watts per
photon of sunlight!
  • 1st and 2nd Generation Solar (1 photon of
    sunlight ? single electrons)
  • Current efficiency ? 15, or 150 watts/m2
  • Maximum projected efficiency ? 32, or 320
    watts/m2
  • 3rd Generation Solar (1 photon of sunlight ?
    multiple excitons)
  • Maximum projected efficiency ? 65 to 100, or
    650 watts/m2 to 1000 watts/m2
  • The projected result is 4 6 times current solar
    efficiencies/m2.

6
When with the Solar Tsunami hit shorewhen will
we get product?
  • Like a real tsunami heading for shore at 500mph,
    the jump from the lab to product delivery will
    surprise conventional wisdom and the experts.
    With the 1st and 2nd generation solar technology
    continuing to grow at 50 per year, this means
    that most people in the industry are focused on
    keeping up with demand rather than getting ready
    for the coming Solar Tsunami.
  • Nanotechnology improvements in the past two years
    have led to
  • Rapid gains in efficiency and cost reductions
  • The projected efficiency/m2 is 4 6 times
    current solar product.
  • The SpartzLight Technology shrinks the
    footprint/m2 by 3-5 times over current solar
    product
  • The net combined result leaves existing solar
    technology obsolete.

7
How does this work better than existing solar
technology?
  • 1st and 2nd generation solar technology process
    one photon has enough energy to produce one
    electron
  • Quantum dots can be blended and tuned to process
    the different wavelengths of infrared (IR),
    ultraviolet (UV) and the visible spectra of
    sunlight producing enough energy in a photon of
    sunlight to force multiple excitons to be
    released as solar current.
  • The IR and UV spectra allows the quantum dot PV
    to effectively operate in low light/lumination
    and shade situations (dawn to dusk), which is not
    possible with 1st and 2nd generation solar
    technology.

8
If quantum dot technology is the computer, then
Spartzlight is the software
  • Thousands of quantum dot researchers are creating
    regular breakthroughs and further uses of this
    technology
  • A computer software analogy
  • Whatever the efficiency results the quantum dot
    developers get per m2 (their chip-set power the
    computer), the SpartzLight (software) gets 3-5x
    performance per m2
  • Our software doesnt work without the quantum
    dot computer!

9
Small footprint (output/m2) is the key to
expanding solar applications
  • A quantum dot product with 10 efficiency (100
    watts/m2) in a market of 15 solar would not be
    as dramatic without the SpartzLight

Quantum Dot Efficiency Solar Output Watts/m2 With the basic SpartzLight (3X) Total Output Watts/m2
5 50 150 200
10 100 300 400
20 200 600 800
30 300 900 1,200
40 400 1,200 1,600
10
What about production costs?
  • 1st generation solar crystalline silicon
  • 90 of market
  • Manufacturing cost is 65 of price
  • (i.e. 5/watt - 3/watt cost to mfg. )
  • 2nd generation solar thin-film
  • 10 of market
  • Lower costs through manufacturing
  • 3rd generation solar quantum dot
  • As efficiency rises, costs drop dramatically
  • 10 - 0.60/watt to produce
  • 20 - 0.30/watt to produce
  • Doubling in efficiency Half the cost per watt

11
Increased hours/day output Faster payback!
  • Current 1st and 2nd generation solar yields
    output averaging 2.5 hours/day (cloudy climate)
    5.5 hours/day (sunny climate)
  • Quantum dot solar can deliver output from dawn to
    dusk (9-12 hours)
  • More than doubles the peak hours of output
  • Cuts payback time in half
  • Delivers output in low light/shade conditions not
    possible with 1st and 2nd generation solar

12
Scalability Size is not an issue
  • 8 MW/day per plant (at 10 efficiency, 1/watt
    cost)
  • 2.9 GW/year
  • Screen printing simplicity combined with low-cost
    plant setup (5-8 million equipment)
  • Increasing efficiency increases output without
    additional costs
  • 20 efficiency - doubles output at same cost -
    .50/watt
  • 40 efficiency - .25/watt
  • Potential of 65-100 efficiency - huge advantage
    in cost reductions
  • (.05-10/watt? In a power market where
    competitive peak power is 3/watt, this moves
    markets!)

13
Rapid growth in applications previously not
suitable for solar
  • Low cost/fast payback - lt3/watt/2.2 years
  • High volume production 3 GWs per plant
  • Much smaller footprint only 20-25 required
  • Doubling of peak solar hours/day peak shaving
    load needs 9-12 hours/day
  • Expansion in the use and value of solar
    electricity and distributed generation
    applications previously not suitable for solar
    Plug-in hybrid vehicles, laptops, street
    lighting, etc.

14
Economic development Communities create their
own Non-Silicon Valley
  • Local multipliers the key to creating your own
    Non-Silicon Valley
  • Jobs to build power supply
  • Money, power and ownership stays in town
  • Regional cooperative growth developments
  • Local financing local gains/taxes/payments
  • Lower fixed operating costs for
    government/services
  • Support local energy security needs with lower
    fuel volatility risks and zero emissions

15
What we know Size matters
  • At the nanometer scale, size matters in big ways!
    Its no longer one photon of sunlight delivering
    one electronIR (3-1) and UV (7-1) ratios
  • Demonstrating unique capabilities over
    silicon-based and other thin-film solutions

16
What we know Upside potential
  • For 100 of todays solar market, one photon of
    sunlight one electron
  • Todays solar market 33 maximum theoretical
    efficiency 330 watts per square meter
  • The new quantum dot solar market 65 -100
    theoretical efficiency means 650-1000 watts per
    square meter. With the addition of the
    SpartzLight at 3-5X reduction of footprint, that
    means the theoretical efficiency per square meter
    jumps to 2600-4000 watts.

17
What we know Low-cost, simple application
methods
  • Much lower-cost printing methods have been
    demonstrated
  • screen-printing,
  • ink-jet printing,
  • and even paint-on film
  • Each of these lower-cost printing methods leads
    to rapid scalability

18
What we know Chemical processing
  • The biggest leap area of them allweve known for
    years about the quantum dots efficiency
    potential at the nanoscale level, low-cost
    printing was assumednow the chemical processing
    methods and costs are changing faster than
    envisioned.
  • The past year breakthroughs demonstrated
  • large batches in 2 hours of processing, at room
    temperature, without a clean room, water-based,
    non-solvent chemicals at a small fraction (1/5th)
    of costs a year ago.

19
What we know Wavelength tunability
  • At the nanometer scale, different mixtures of
    quantum dot sizes for IR/UV and visible spectra
    produce different results.
  • Peer-reviewed proven results longer hours with
    IR-emphasized quantum dot formulas
  • This continual progress in wavelength tunability
    refinements will support solar products for all
    levels of illumination

20
What we know Big worldwide effort in
nanotechnology/quantum dots
  • National labs - NREL, Los Alamos, Berkeley, etc.
  • Universities (Hundreds) - UofToronto, Buffalo,
    MIT, Rice, ND, Pitt, Clemson, Penn State, etc.
  • Countries - U.S., Germany, UK, Korea, China,
    Japan, Finland, France, Israel, etc.
  • Corporate Labs - Evident Tech, Quantum Dot Corp.,
    3M, IBM, HP, etc.
  • Learning curve is improving due to increased
    funding, breakthroughs and parallel fields of
    opportunity - display technologies, quantum
    computers, optical networking, etc.

21
How long before the first quantum dot computer
arrives in the market?
  • Preparing for the Solar Tsunami realistically,
    we need to get corporations, communities, and
    countries ready yesterday/ASAP
  • Coordination takes time - It takes a lot of
    people, money, and planning to use 8 MW/day of
    solar, per plant, regardless of the exciting
    cost/benefit!
  • Suppliers, customers, and the plans to handle the
    flow of product requires preparation whether
    the first computer arrives in 6 months or 2
    years, the infrastructure to absorb the supply
    takes time.

22
Jobs/Economic Development
  • Scalable Output Local Jobs Creative
    Development
  • Gigawatts of solar tens of thousands of jobs
    (with industry estimates of 35 jobs per MW1 GW
    35,000 jobs)
  • How? New technology boosts job growth in many
    areas that wont require outsourcing or imported
    technologies
  • Job growth related to Inverters, energy storage,
    cabling/ wiring, engineering/ design,
    manufacturing, installation, distribution,
    financing, software/ smart grid needs,
    planning/marketing, etc.

23
Economic development Communities create their
own Non-Silicon Valley
  • Local multipliers the key to creating your own
    Non-Silicon Valley
  • Jobs to build power supply
  • Money, power and ownership stays in town
  • Regional cooperative growth developments
  • Local financing local gains/taxes/payments
  • Lower fixed operating costs for
    government/services
  • Support local energy security needs with lower
    fuel volatility risks and zero emissions

24
Spartzlight Software supports the overall
growth of the market
  • Miniaturization improved the sellability and
    growth of the computer industry and it will make
    a significant difference with the Solar Tsunami
  • The SpartzLight Technology reduces the
    footprint of the computer by 3-5 times per m2
  • Like the BASF ads claimWe dont make the
    solarwe make the solar better
  • An example of synergy Storage technologies
    seeking to improve hybrid cars benefit with our
    SpartzLight Software with increasing efficiency
    from quantum dots advances that improves the
    overall effectiveness of their product.

25
Growth markets for the Spartzlight Product
  • At kilowatts/m2, the Solar Tsunami is here
  • Stationary the primary market
  • Grid-support, stand-alone, backup
  • Vehicle -
  • Car, truck, boat, RV
  • Mobile
  • Computing, communications
  • Storage support our parallel growth partners
  • Battery, hydrogen, etc.

26
Key accelerators for the Solar Tsunami Market
forces
  • Rapidly rising energy prices builds urgency for
    renewable energy and makes solar more
    cost-competitive
  • Record peak power demands and outages put
    additional strain on the electricity grid
  • The search for energy security in an insecure
    world loss of faith in existing systems pulls
    research and buyers forward faster than normal
    market conditions
  • Global warming/climate change/scorched earth
    scenarios growing urgency for the sake of our
    kids and communities
  • Jobs and economic development the need to
    locally build energy self-sufficiency and
    sustainable high-growth industry

27
Key accelerators for the Solar Tsunami
Technology forces
  • Battery technology new methods store 4 times
    more, recharge faster and weigh a fraction of
    older battery technologies
  • The speed of Internet communication reduces the
    time for breakthroughs to be leveraged by other
    researchers
  • But the biggest accelerator of all? Corporate
    desire to reduce energy bills. The Solar Tsunami
    dramatically cuts long-term peak power costs for
    the biggest pool of money and the most persistent
    market catalyst.

28
Count on it - the fastest accelerator to the
Solar Tsunami - corporation profits
  • Corporations and capitalism the business of
    making profitable decisions in the best interests
    of their investors
  • Lacking loyalty to high-cost utility alternatives
    theyll choose cost savings every time
  • Peak power cost savings with quantum dot solar
    will boost profits and speed installations
  • The greater the savings the faster the
    acceptance and installation the larger the
    Solar Tsunami

29
Final thought
  • What would you do right now if you knew that
    within the next year you have the power to
    install GWs of solar at 3/watt that work 9-12
    hours/day on one-fourth the size/m2 more than
    twice the output per square meter of any other
    solar product in the market at less than
    one-third the cost?
  • Surprise! That brutal awareness/shock of what you
    need to get in place is a little vision
    proceeding the sheer speed (500mph) of the Solar
    Tsunami. (Dont say I didnt warn you)
  • Thomas Spartz - 7/16/2006
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