Title:
1- The Solar Tsunami
- Get ready for dramatic improvements in solar with
breakthroughs in quantum dot nanotechnology and
the SpartzLight -
21st Generation Silicon Solar Technology, 90 of
the Market Too Many Problems
- Too expensive 5/watt, 7-8/watt installed
- Too heavy/bulky50 pounds/m2
- Too limited in output, re peak sun hoursonly
averaging 2.5 hours/day (cloudy climate) - 5.5
(sunny) hours/day - Too limited in supplysilicon-grade solar
shortages keep prices high and reduce
availability - Too limited efficiency/m2only 150 watts/m2 (at
15 efficiency) puts solar put at a low value for
serious power applications.
3The Potential of Solar with Nanotechnology
- Attractive pricing - Less than 2/watt compares
at lower than conventional electrical power
pricing - Ultralight/flexible Suitable for a variety of
applications without most weight or shaping
restrictions - Delivers output from dawn to dusk more than
doubles the peak watts available vs. traditional
solar resulting in better performance per day and
faster ROI payback - Scaleable to vast supply with screen-printing
simplicity in a large-scale, high-speed process,
the limits are not materials or throughput - Efficiency/m2 not hundreds of watts, but
kilowatts as a result of All Day Solars
breakthrough Spartzlight technology.
4Three Generations of Solar Technology
Generation Solar Technology Primary materials Technology Characteristics
1st Crystalline silicon 90 of current market, 30-year old proven technology - 1 photon of sunlight 1 electron
2nd Thin-film silicon (CIGS/CdTe) Lower cost manufacturing process using less silicon/ semiconductor material with similar efficiency results - 1 photon of sunlight 1 electron
3rd Quantum dot Projected very high efficiency, very low cost to manufacture - 1 photon of sunlight multiple excitons (7)
5The future of solar is simpleget more watts per
photon of sunlight!
- 1st and 2nd Generation Solar (1 photon of
sunlight ? single electrons) - Current efficiency ? 15, or 150 watts/m2
- Maximum projected efficiency ? 32, or 320
watts/m2 - 3rd Generation Solar (1 photon of sunlight ?
multiple excitons) - Maximum projected efficiency ? 65 to 100, or
650 watts/m2 to 1000 watts/m2 - The projected result is 4 6 times current solar
efficiencies/m2.
6When with the Solar Tsunami hit shorewhen will
we get product?
- Like a real tsunami heading for shore at 500mph,
the jump from the lab to product delivery will
surprise conventional wisdom and the experts.
With the 1st and 2nd generation solar technology
continuing to grow at 50 per year, this means
that most people in the industry are focused on
keeping up with demand rather than getting ready
for the coming Solar Tsunami. - Nanotechnology improvements in the past two years
have led to - Rapid gains in efficiency and cost reductions
- The projected efficiency/m2 is 4 6 times
current solar product. - The SpartzLight Technology shrinks the
footprint/m2 by 3-5 times over current solar
product - The net combined result leaves existing solar
technology obsolete.
7How does this work better than existing solar
technology?
- 1st and 2nd generation solar technology process
one photon has enough energy to produce one
electron - Quantum dots can be blended and tuned to process
the different wavelengths of infrared (IR),
ultraviolet (UV) and the visible spectra of
sunlight producing enough energy in a photon of
sunlight to force multiple excitons to be
released as solar current. - The IR and UV spectra allows the quantum dot PV
to effectively operate in low light/lumination
and shade situations (dawn to dusk), which is not
possible with 1st and 2nd generation solar
technology.
8If quantum dot technology is the computer, then
Spartzlight is the software
- Thousands of quantum dot researchers are creating
regular breakthroughs and further uses of this
technology - A computer software analogy
- Whatever the efficiency results the quantum dot
developers get per m2 (their chip-set power the
computer), the SpartzLight (software) gets 3-5x
performance per m2 - Our software doesnt work without the quantum
dot computer!
9Small footprint (output/m2) is the key to
expanding solar applications
- A quantum dot product with 10 efficiency (100
watts/m2) in a market of 15 solar would not be
as dramatic without the SpartzLight
Quantum Dot Efficiency Solar Output Watts/m2 With the basic SpartzLight (3X) Total Output Watts/m2
5 50 150 200
10 100 300 400
20 200 600 800
30 300 900 1,200
40 400 1,200 1,600
10What about production costs?
- 1st generation solar crystalline silicon
- 90 of market
- Manufacturing cost is 65 of price
- (i.e. 5/watt - 3/watt cost to mfg. )
- 2nd generation solar thin-film
- 10 of market
- Lower costs through manufacturing
- 3rd generation solar quantum dot
- As efficiency rises, costs drop dramatically
- 10 - 0.60/watt to produce
- 20 - 0.30/watt to produce
- Doubling in efficiency Half the cost per watt
11Increased hours/day output Faster payback!
- Current 1st and 2nd generation solar yields
output averaging 2.5 hours/day (cloudy climate)
5.5 hours/day (sunny climate) - Quantum dot solar can deliver output from dawn to
dusk (9-12 hours) - More than doubles the peak hours of output
- Cuts payback time in half
- Delivers output in low light/shade conditions not
possible with 1st and 2nd generation solar
12Scalability Size is not an issue
- 8 MW/day per plant (at 10 efficiency, 1/watt
cost) - 2.9 GW/year
- Screen printing simplicity combined with low-cost
plant setup (5-8 million equipment) - Increasing efficiency increases output without
additional costs - 20 efficiency - doubles output at same cost -
.50/watt - 40 efficiency - .25/watt
- Potential of 65-100 efficiency - huge advantage
in cost reductions - (.05-10/watt? In a power market where
competitive peak power is 3/watt, this moves
markets!)
13Rapid growth in applications previously not
suitable for solar
- Low cost/fast payback - lt3/watt/2.2 years
- High volume production 3 GWs per plant
- Much smaller footprint only 20-25 required
- Doubling of peak solar hours/day peak shaving
load needs 9-12 hours/day - Expansion in the use and value of solar
electricity and distributed generation
applications previously not suitable for solar
Plug-in hybrid vehicles, laptops, street
lighting, etc.
14Economic development Communities create their
own Non-Silicon Valley
- Local multipliers the key to creating your own
Non-Silicon Valley - Jobs to build power supply
- Money, power and ownership stays in town
- Regional cooperative growth developments
- Local financing local gains/taxes/payments
- Lower fixed operating costs for
government/services - Support local energy security needs with lower
fuel volatility risks and zero emissions
15What we know Size matters
- At the nanometer scale, size matters in big ways!
Its no longer one photon of sunlight delivering
one electronIR (3-1) and UV (7-1) ratios - Demonstrating unique capabilities over
silicon-based and other thin-film solutions
16What we know Upside potential
- For 100 of todays solar market, one photon of
sunlight one electron - Todays solar market 33 maximum theoretical
efficiency 330 watts per square meter - The new quantum dot solar market 65 -100
theoretical efficiency means 650-1000 watts per
square meter. With the addition of the
SpartzLight at 3-5X reduction of footprint, that
means the theoretical efficiency per square meter
jumps to 2600-4000 watts.
17What we know Low-cost, simple application
methods
- Much lower-cost printing methods have been
demonstrated - screen-printing,
- ink-jet printing,
- and even paint-on film
- Each of these lower-cost printing methods leads
to rapid scalability
18What we know Chemical processing
- The biggest leap area of them allweve known for
years about the quantum dots efficiency
potential at the nanoscale level, low-cost
printing was assumednow the chemical processing
methods and costs are changing faster than
envisioned. - The past year breakthroughs demonstrated
- large batches in 2 hours of processing, at room
temperature, without a clean room, water-based,
non-solvent chemicals at a small fraction (1/5th)
of costs a year ago.
19What we know Wavelength tunability
- At the nanometer scale, different mixtures of
quantum dot sizes for IR/UV and visible spectra
produce different results. - Peer-reviewed proven results longer hours with
IR-emphasized quantum dot formulas - This continual progress in wavelength tunability
refinements will support solar products for all
levels of illumination
20What we know Big worldwide effort in
nanotechnology/quantum dots
- National labs - NREL, Los Alamos, Berkeley, etc.
- Universities (Hundreds) - UofToronto, Buffalo,
MIT, Rice, ND, Pitt, Clemson, Penn State, etc. - Countries - U.S., Germany, UK, Korea, China,
Japan, Finland, France, Israel, etc. - Corporate Labs - Evident Tech, Quantum Dot Corp.,
3M, IBM, HP, etc. - Learning curve is improving due to increased
funding, breakthroughs and parallel fields of
opportunity - display technologies, quantum
computers, optical networking, etc.
21How long before the first quantum dot computer
arrives in the market?
- Preparing for the Solar Tsunami realistically,
we need to get corporations, communities, and
countries ready yesterday/ASAP - Coordination takes time - It takes a lot of
people, money, and planning to use 8 MW/day of
solar, per plant, regardless of the exciting
cost/benefit! - Suppliers, customers, and the plans to handle the
flow of product requires preparation whether
the first computer arrives in 6 months or 2
years, the infrastructure to absorb the supply
takes time.
22Jobs/Economic Development
- Scalable Output Local Jobs Creative
Development - Gigawatts of solar tens of thousands of jobs
(with industry estimates of 35 jobs per MW1 GW
35,000 jobs) - How? New technology boosts job growth in many
areas that wont require outsourcing or imported
technologies - Job growth related to Inverters, energy storage,
cabling/ wiring, engineering/ design,
manufacturing, installation, distribution,
financing, software/ smart grid needs,
planning/marketing, etc.
23Economic development Communities create their
own Non-Silicon Valley
- Local multipliers the key to creating your own
Non-Silicon Valley - Jobs to build power supply
- Money, power and ownership stays in town
- Regional cooperative growth developments
- Local financing local gains/taxes/payments
- Lower fixed operating costs for
government/services - Support local energy security needs with lower
fuel volatility risks and zero emissions
24Spartzlight Software supports the overall
growth of the market
- Miniaturization improved the sellability and
growth of the computer industry and it will make
a significant difference with the Solar Tsunami - The SpartzLight Technology reduces the
footprint of the computer by 3-5 times per m2 - Like the BASF ads claimWe dont make the
solarwe make the solar better - An example of synergy Storage technologies
seeking to improve hybrid cars benefit with our
SpartzLight Software with increasing efficiency
from quantum dots advances that improves the
overall effectiveness of their product.
25Growth markets for the Spartzlight Product
- At kilowatts/m2, the Solar Tsunami is here
- Stationary the primary market
- Grid-support, stand-alone, backup
- Vehicle -
- Car, truck, boat, RV
- Mobile
- Computing, communications
- Storage support our parallel growth partners
- Battery, hydrogen, etc.
26Key accelerators for the Solar Tsunami Market
forces
- Rapidly rising energy prices builds urgency for
renewable energy and makes solar more
cost-competitive - Record peak power demands and outages put
additional strain on the electricity grid - The search for energy security in an insecure
world loss of faith in existing systems pulls
research and buyers forward faster than normal
market conditions - Global warming/climate change/scorched earth
scenarios growing urgency for the sake of our
kids and communities - Jobs and economic development the need to
locally build energy self-sufficiency and
sustainable high-growth industry
27Key accelerators for the Solar Tsunami
Technology forces
- Battery technology new methods store 4 times
more, recharge faster and weigh a fraction of
older battery technologies - The speed of Internet communication reduces the
time for breakthroughs to be leveraged by other
researchers - But the biggest accelerator of all? Corporate
desire to reduce energy bills. The Solar Tsunami
dramatically cuts long-term peak power costs for
the biggest pool of money and the most persistent
market catalyst.
28Count on it - the fastest accelerator to the
Solar Tsunami - corporation profits
- Corporations and capitalism the business of
making profitable decisions in the best interests
of their investors - Lacking loyalty to high-cost utility alternatives
theyll choose cost savings every time - Peak power cost savings with quantum dot solar
will boost profits and speed installations - The greater the savings the faster the
acceptance and installation the larger the
Solar Tsunami
29Final thought
- What would you do right now if you knew that
within the next year you have the power to
install GWs of solar at 3/watt that work 9-12
hours/day on one-fourth the size/m2 more than
twice the output per square meter of any other
solar product in the market at less than
one-third the cost? - Surprise! That brutal awareness/shock of what you
need to get in place is a little vision
proceeding the sheer speed (500mph) of the Solar
Tsunami. (Dont say I didnt warn you) - Thomas Spartz - 7/16/2006