Title: Public choice
1Public choice
- Alexander W. Cappelen
- Econ 4620
- 091003
2Collective decision-making
- Public production and financing is a possible
solution to important market failures. - But in the absence of a market - how can we solve
the tasks that the market traditionally solves? - How do we decide what to produce and how much?
- How do we ensure an efficient resource
allocation? - How do we distribute costs of production?
- The market resolves this questions by using the
information in the price system. Collective
decisions must rely on other types of information.
3Collective decision-making
- Different voting procedures are different ways to
aggregate individual preferences - The most common voting procedure is simple
majority voting - Qualified majority
- Rank-order voting is an alternative
- Two problems with collective decision making
- Preference revelation
- Preference aggregation
- People disagree about the optimal level of public
expenditures - Differences in preferences
- Differences in income
- Differences in price/tax-cost
4Different preferences
Private goods
Bs indifference curve
As indifference curve
Common budget restrictions
Public goods
5Different income
Private goods
As budget- restriction
A og Bs indifference curve
Bs budget- restriction
Public goods
6Different tax-cost
Private goods
As budget - restriction
A og Bs indifference curve
Bs budget- restriction
Public goods
7Utility as a function of public goods
8The median voter
- Who will decide if there exist a majority
equilibrium? - The median voter (the median voter theorem)
- The number of people who prefers a higher level
of public goods than the median voter is equal to
the number of people who prefers a lower level. - The median voter can thus always secure a
majority for her preferred level. - Does the median voter choose an efficient level
of public goods? - Is the median voters tax price equal to the
average cost of public goods provision? - Is the income of the median voter equal to the
average income?
9Implications for the party structure
- In a two-party system, where both parties want to
maximize their votes, both parties position will
be close to the median voters preferred level
(Hotellings rule). - why?
- Presupposes that
- There is only two parties
- Parties are only concerned with maximizing votes
- Voters have single-peaked preferences
10The voting paradox
- Majority voting does not always give a stable
equilibrium. - Condorcet
- We can illustrate the problem in a simple model
- Three voters I, II, III
- Three alternatives A, B, C
- Preferences
- I A gt B gt C
- II B gt C gt A
- III C gt A gt B
11Majority voting
- We do not have a stable equilibrium in this
situation. We have three possibilities - A against B A wins
- A against C C wins
- B against C B wins
- All three alternatives can win.
- There does not exist any consistent social
preference ordering and therefore no social
welfare function. - We either get a cycle or, if we have a sequence
of votes, the order in which the votes take place
will determine the outcome.
12Arrows impossibility theorem
- Does there exist any political mechanism that
avoids this problem? - Arrow formulates five minimal conditions that all
political mechanism should satisfy. - Pareto-efficiency
- Transitivity
- Nondictatorial choice
- Independence of irrelevant alternatives
- Unrestricted domain
13Arrow cont.
- There does not exist any mechanism that satisfy
these requirements (Arrows impossibility
theorem) - Rank order does not satisfy independence of
irrelevant alternatives. - What is the main problem?
- Voting procedures do not give us enough
information. - In particular we do not get information about the
strength of peoples preferences. - What about the social welfare functions?
- Do they satisfy Arrows five requirements?
14Is this important?
- An example illustrates the practical importance
of Arrows insight. - The decision about a new airport in Oslo in 1992.
- Three alternatives Fornebu (F), Gardermoen (G)
and Hobøl (H). - Studies of the preferences in the different
political parties have shown that we probably
would have got the following results - H is preferred to G (101 64)
- G is preferred to F (101 64)
- F is preferred to H (105 60)
- The chosen sequence of votes resulted in G, but
all the alternatives could have won.
15When is there an equilibrium
- Arrows impossibility theorem tells us that there
is no mechanism that always satisfies the five
requirements. - However, majority voting satisfies these
requirements in some situations - For certain types of preferences when the
preferences are single-peaked.
16Different preferences
Single-peaked preferences
Single-peaked preferences
Double-peaked preferences
17When do we have single-peaked and double-peaked
preferences?
- Preferences for single peaked preferences is
generally single-peaked. - Preferences are generally not single-peaked if
- We vote over combinations of public goods.
- We vote over public goods for which there is a
private alternative. - We vote over issues of redistribution.
18Alternative systems for determining public goods
supply
- Majority voting does not ensure an efficient
supply of public goods. - A public goods that is only valued by a minority
will not be supplied at all - Goods that everyone value equally will typically
be oversupplied since the median voter does not
pay the average cost of production. - Does there exist an alternative solution?
- Lindahl equilibrium
19Lindahl equilibrium
- The Lindahl equilibrium is found at the
intersection between the collective demand cure
and the supply curve. - Lindahls solution involves that everyone pays a
tax (price) equal to her marginal willingness to
pay (in the equilibrium). - The obvious problem is that people do not have
any incentives to reveal their true willingness
to pay.
20Lindahl cont.
Tax price
Tax price
Public expenditures
Public expenditures
Tax price
Public expenditures
21Politics and economics
- We have studied an idealized version of
democratic decision making. - Everyone do not vote
- Is it rational?
- Do people know their own best?
- Lobby organizations have substantial influence
- What motivates politicians?