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Some standard univariate probability distributions

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Characteristic function, moment generating function, cumulant generating functions ... This distribution together with Poisson is widely used in reliability ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Some standard univariate probability distributions


1
Some standard univariate probability distributions
  • Characteristic function, moment generating
    function, cumulant generating functions
  • Discrete distribution
  • Continuous distributions
  • Some distributions associated with normal
  • References

2
Characteristic function, moment generating
function, cumulant generating functions
  • Characteristic function is defined as expectation
    of the function - e(itx)
  • Moment generating function is defined as
    (expectation of e(tx))
  • Moments can be calculated in the following way.
    Obtain derivative of M(t) and take value of it at
    t0
  • Cumulant generting function is defined as
    logarithm of characteristic function

3
Discrete distributions Binomial
  • Let us assume that we carry experiment and result
    of the experiment can be success or failure.
    Probability of success is p. Then probability
    of failure will be q1-p. We carry experiments n
    times. What is probability of k successes
  • Characteristic function
  • Moment generating function
  • Find first and second moments

4
Discrete distributions Poisson
  • When number of trials (n) is large and
    probability of successes (p) is small and np is
    finite and tends to ? then binomial distribution
    converges to Poisson distribution
  • Poisson distribution can be expected to describe
    the distribution an event that occurs rarely in a
    short period. It is used in counting statistics
    to describe of number of registered photons.
  • Find characteristic and moment generating
    functions.
  • Characteristic function is
  • What is the first moment?

5
Discrete distributions Negative Binomial
  • Consider experiment Probability of success is
    p and probability of failure q1-p. We carry out
    experiment until k-th success. We want to find
    probability of j failures. (It is called
    sequential sampling. Sampling is carried out
    until stopping rule is satisfied). If we have j
    failure then it means that we number of trials is
    kj. Last trial was success. Then probability
    that we will have j failures is
  • It is called negative binomial because
    coefficients are from negative binomial series
    p-k(1-q)-k
  • Characteristic function is
  • What is the moment generating function? What is
    the first moment?

6
Continuous distributions uniform
  • Simplest form of continuous distribution is the
    uniform with density
  • Distribution is
  • Moments and other properties are calculated
    easily.

7
Continuous distributions exponential
  • Density of exponential distribution has the form
  • This distribution has two origins.
  • Maximum entropy. If we know that random variable
    is non-negative and we know its first moment
    1/? then maximum entropy distribution has the
    exponential form.
  • From Poisson type random processes. If
    probability distribution of j(t) events occurring
    during time interval 0t) is a Poisson with mean
    value ? t then probability of time elapsing till
    first event occurs has the exponential
    distribution. Let Tr denotes time elapsed until
    r-th event
  • Putting r1 we get e(- ?t). Taking into account
    that P(T1gtt) 1-F1(t) and getting its derivative
    wrt t we arrive to exponential distribution
  • This distribution together with Poisson is widely
    used in reliability studies, life testing etc.

8
Continuous distributions Gamma
  • Gamma distribution can be considered as
    generalisation of exponential distribution. It
    has the form
  • It is probability of time t elapsing befor r
    events happens
  • Characteristic function of this distribution is

9
Continuous distributions Normal
  • Perhaps the most popular and widely used
    continuous distribution is the normal
    distribution. Main reason for this is that that
    usually random variable is the sum of the many
    random variables. According to central limit
    theorem under some conditions (for example
    random variables are independent. first and
    second and third moments exist and finite then
    distribution of sum of random variables converges
    to normal distribution)
  • Density of the normal distribution has the form
  • Another remarkable fact is that if we know mean
    value and variance only then random variable has
    the normal distribution.
  • There many tables for normal distribution.
  • Its characteristic function is

10
Exponential family
  • Exponential family of distributions has the form
  • Many distributions are special case of this
    family.
  • Natural exponential family of distributions is
    the subclass of this family
  • Where A(?) is natural parameter.
  • If we use the fact that distribution should be
    normalised then characteristic function of the
    natural exponential family with natural parameter
    A(?) ? can be derived to be
  • Try to derive it. Hint use normalisation fact.
    Find D(?) and then use expression of
    characteristic function and D(?) .
  • This distribution is used for fitting generlised
    linear models.

11
Continuous distributions ?2
  • Normal variables are called standardized if their
    mean is 0 and variance is 1.
  • Sum of n standardized normal random variables is
    ?2 with n degrees of freedom.
  • Density function is
  • If there are p linear restraints on the random
    variables then degree of freedom becomes n-p.
  • Characteristic function for this distribution is
  • ?2 is used widely in statistics for such tests as
    goodness of fit of model to experiment.

12
Continuous distributions t and F-distributions
  • Two more distribution is closely related with
    normal distribution. We will give them when we
    will discuss sample and sampling distributions.
    One of them is Students t-distribution. It is
    used to test if mean value of the sample is
    significantly different from 0. Another and
    similar application is for tests of differences
    of means of two different samples are different.
  • Fishers F-distribution is distribution ratio of
    the variances of two different samples. It is
    used to test if their variances are different. On
    of the important application is in ANOVA.

13
Reference
  • Johnson, N.L. Kotz, S. (1969, 1970, 1972)
    Distributions in Statistics, I Discrete
    distributions II, III Continuous univariate
    distributions, IV Continuous multivariate
    distributions. Houghton Mufflin, New York.
  • Mardia, K.V. Jupp, P.E. (2000) Directional
    Statistics, John Wiley Sons.
  • Jaynes, E (2003) The Probability theory Logic of
    Science
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