Title: Some standard univariate probability distributions
1Some standard univariate probability distributions
- Characteristic function, moment generating
function, cumulant generating functions - Discrete distribution
- Continuous distributions
- Some distributions associated with normal
- References
2Characteristic function, moment generating
function, cumulant generating functions
- Characteristic function is defined as expectation
of the function - e(itx) - Moment generating function is defined as
(expectation of e(tx)) - Moments can be calculated in the following way.
Obtain derivative of M(t) and take value of it at
t0 - Cumulant generting function is defined as
logarithm of characteristic function
3Discrete distributions Binomial
- Let us assume that we carry experiment and result
of the experiment can be success or failure.
Probability of success is p. Then probability
of failure will be q1-p. We carry experiments n
times. What is probability of k successes - Characteristic function
- Moment generating function
- Find first and second moments
4Discrete distributions Poisson
- When number of trials (n) is large and
probability of successes (p) is small and np is
finite and tends to ? then binomial distribution
converges to Poisson distribution - Poisson distribution can be expected to describe
the distribution an event that occurs rarely in a
short period. It is used in counting statistics
to describe of number of registered photons. - Find characteristic and moment generating
functions. - Characteristic function is
- What is the first moment?
5Discrete distributions Negative Binomial
- Consider experiment Probability of success is
p and probability of failure q1-p. We carry out
experiment until k-th success. We want to find
probability of j failures. (It is called
sequential sampling. Sampling is carried out
until stopping rule is satisfied). If we have j
failure then it means that we number of trials is
kj. Last trial was success. Then probability
that we will have j failures is - It is called negative binomial because
coefficients are from negative binomial series
p-k(1-q)-k - Characteristic function is
- What is the moment generating function? What is
the first moment?
6Continuous distributions uniform
- Simplest form of continuous distribution is the
uniform with density - Distribution is
- Moments and other properties are calculated
easily.
7Continuous distributions exponential
- Density of exponential distribution has the form
- This distribution has two origins.
- Maximum entropy. If we know that random variable
is non-negative and we know its first moment
1/? then maximum entropy distribution has the
exponential form. - From Poisson type random processes. If
probability distribution of j(t) events occurring
during time interval 0t) is a Poisson with mean
value ? t then probability of time elapsing till
first event occurs has the exponential
distribution. Let Tr denotes time elapsed until
r-th event - Putting r1 we get e(- ?t). Taking into account
that P(T1gtt) 1-F1(t) and getting its derivative
wrt t we arrive to exponential distribution - This distribution together with Poisson is widely
used in reliability studies, life testing etc.
8Continuous distributions Gamma
- Gamma distribution can be considered as
generalisation of exponential distribution. It
has the form - It is probability of time t elapsing befor r
events happens - Characteristic function of this distribution is
9Continuous distributions Normal
- Perhaps the most popular and widely used
continuous distribution is the normal
distribution. Main reason for this is that that
usually random variable is the sum of the many
random variables. According to central limit
theorem under some conditions (for example
random variables are independent. first and
second and third moments exist and finite then
distribution of sum of random variables converges
to normal distribution) - Density of the normal distribution has the form
- Another remarkable fact is that if we know mean
value and variance only then random variable has
the normal distribution. - There many tables for normal distribution.
- Its characteristic function is
10Exponential family
- Exponential family of distributions has the form
- Many distributions are special case of this
family. - Natural exponential family of distributions is
the subclass of this family - Where A(?) is natural parameter.
- If we use the fact that distribution should be
normalised then characteristic function of the
natural exponential family with natural parameter
A(?) ? can be derived to be - Try to derive it. Hint use normalisation fact.
Find D(?) and then use expression of
characteristic function and D(?) . - This distribution is used for fitting generlised
linear models.
11Continuous distributions ?2
- Normal variables are called standardized if their
mean is 0 and variance is 1. - Sum of n standardized normal random variables is
?2 with n degrees of freedom. - Density function is
- If there are p linear restraints on the random
variables then degree of freedom becomes n-p. - Characteristic function for this distribution is
- ?2 is used widely in statistics for such tests as
goodness of fit of model to experiment.
12Continuous distributions t and F-distributions
- Two more distribution is closely related with
normal distribution. We will give them when we
will discuss sample and sampling distributions.
One of them is Students t-distribution. It is
used to test if mean value of the sample is
significantly different from 0. Another and
similar application is for tests of differences
of means of two different samples are different. - Fishers F-distribution is distribution ratio of
the variances of two different samples. It is
used to test if their variances are different. On
of the important application is in ANOVA.
13Reference
- Johnson, N.L. Kotz, S. (1969, 1970, 1972)
Distributions in Statistics, I Discrete
distributions II, III Continuous univariate
distributions, IV Continuous multivariate
distributions. Houghton Mufflin, New York. - Mardia, K.V. Jupp, P.E. (2000) Directional
Statistics, John Wiley Sons. - Jaynes, E (2003) The Probability theory Logic of
Science