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Some standard univariate probability distributions

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Title: Some standard univariate probability distributions


1
Some standard univariate probability distributions
  • Characteristic function, moment generating
    function, cumulant generating functions
  • Discrete distribution
  • Continuous distributions
  • Some distributions associated with normal
  • References

2
Characteristic function, moment generating
function, cumulant generating functions
  • Characteristic function is defined as expectation
    of the function - e(itx)
  • Moment generating function is defined as
    (expectation of e(tx))
  • Moments can be calculated in the following way.
    Obtain derivative of M(t) and take the value of
    it at t0
  • Cumulant generting function is defined as
    logarithm of the characteristic function

3
Discrete distributions Binomial
  • Let us assume that we carry out experiment and
    the result of the experiment can be success or
    failure. The probability of success in one
    experiment is p. Then probability of failure is
    q1-p. We carry out experiments n times.
    Distribution of k successes is binomial
  • Characteristic function
  • Moment generating function
  • Find the first and the second moments.

4
Discrete distributions Poisson
  • When number of the trials (n) is large and the
    probability of successes (p) is small and np is
    finite and tends to ? then the binomial
    distribution converges to Poisson distribution
  • Poisson distribution is used to describe the
    distribution of an event that occurs rarely (rare
    events) in a short time period. It is used in
    counting statistics to describe the number of
    registered photons.
  • Characteristic function is
  • What is the first moment?

5
Discrete distributions Negative Binomial
  • Consider an experiment Probability of success
    is p and probability of failure is q1-p. We
    carry out experiment until k-th success. We want
    to find the probability of j failures. (It is
    called sequential sampling. Sampling is carried
    out until stopping rule - k successes - is
    satisfied). If we have j failures then it means
    that the number of trials is kj. Last trial was
    success. Then the probability that we will have j
    failures is
  • It is called negative binomial because
    coefficients have the from of negative binomial
    series p-k(1-q)-k
  • Characteristic function is
  • What is the moment generating function? What is
    the first moment?

6
Continuous distributions uniform
  • The simplest form of the continuous distribution
    is the uniform with density
  • Cumulative distribution function is
  • Moments and other properties are calculated
    easily.

7
Continuous distributions exponential
  • Density of exponential distribution has the form
  • This distribution has two origins.
  • Maximum entropy. If we know that random variable
    is non-negative and we know its first moment
    1/? then maximum entropy distribution has the
    exponential form.
  • From Poisson type random processes. If
    probability distribution of j(t) events occurring
    during time interval 0t) is a Poisson with mean
    value ? t then probability of time elapsing till
    the first event occurs has the exponential
    distribution. Let Tr denotes time elapsed until
    r-th event
  • Putting r1 we get e(- ?t). Taking into account
    that P(T1gtt) 1-F1(t) and getting its derivative
    wrt t we arrive to exponential distribution
  • This distribution together with Poisson is widely
    used in reliability studies, life testing etc.

8
Continuous distributions Gamma
  • Gamma distribution can be considered as
    generalisation of the exponential distribution.
    It has the form
  • It is probability of time t elapsing before r
    events happens
  • Characteristic function of this distribution is
  • If there are r independently and identically
    exponentially distributed random variables then
    the distribution of their sum is Gamma.

9
Continuous distributions Normal
  • Perhaps the most popular and widely used
    continuous distribution is the normal
    distribution. Main reason for this is that that
    usually random variable is the sum of the many
    random variables. According to central limit
    theorem under some conditions (for example
    random variables are independent. first and
    second and third moments exist and finite then
    distribution of sum of random variables converges
    to normal distribution)
  • Density of the normal distribution has the form
  • There many tables for normal distribution.
  • Its characteristic function is

10
Central limit theorem
  • Let assume that we have n independent random
    variables Xi, i 1,..,n. If first, second and
    third moments (this condition can be relaxed) are
    finite then the sum of these random variables for
    sufficiently large n will be approximately
    normally distributed.
  • Because of this theorem in many cases assumption
    of normal distribution is sufficiently good and
    tests based on this assumption give satisfactory
    results.
  • Sometimes statements are made that

11
Exponential family
  • Exponential family of distributions has the form
  • Many distributions are special case of this
    family.
  • Natural exponential family of distributions is
    the subclass of this family
  • Where A(?) is natural parameter.
  • If we use the fact that distribution should be
    normalised then characteristic function of the
    natural exponential family with natural parameter
    A(?) ? can be derived to be
  • Try to derive it. Hint use the normalisation
    factor. Find D and then use expression of
    characteristic function and D.
  • This distribution is used for fitting generlised
    linear models.

12
Exponential family Examples
  • Many well known distributions belong to this
    family (All distributions mentioned in this
    lecture are from exponential family).
  • Binomial
  • Poisson
  • Gamma
  • Normal

13
Continuous distributions ?2
  • Normal variables are called standardized if their
    mean is 0 and variance is 1.
  • Sum of n standardized normal random variables is
    ?2 with n degrees of freedom.
  • Density function is
  • If there are p linear restraints on the random
    variables then degree of freedom becomes n-p.
  • Characteristic function for this distribution is
  • ?2 is used widely in statistics for such tests as
    goodness of fit of model to experiment.

14
Continuous distributions t and F-distributions
  • Two more distribution is closely related with
    normal distribution. We will give them when we
    will discuss sample and sampling distributions.
    One of them is Students t-distribution. It is
    used to test if mean value of the sample is
    significantly different from 0. Another and
    similar application is for tests of differences
    of means of two different samples are different.
  • Fishers F-distribution is distribution ratio of
    the variances of two different samples. It is
    used to test if their variances are different. On
    of the important application is in ANOVA.

15
Reference
  • Johnson, N.L. Kotz, S. (1969, 1970, 1972)
    Distributions in Statistics, I Discrete
    distributions II, III Continuous univariate
    distributions, IV Continuous multivariate
    distributions. Houghton Mufflin, New York.
  • Mardia, K.V. Jupp, P.E. (2000) Directional
    Statistics, John Wiley Sons.
  • Jaynes, E (2003) The Probability theory Logic of
    Science
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