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Chapter 37 Asymmetric Information

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... who want to sell their used cars and 100 people who want to buy a used car. Everyone knows that 50 cars are lemons and 50 are plums. ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Chapter 37 Asymmetric Information


1
  • Chapter 37 Asymmetric Information
  • In reality, it is often the case that one of the
    transacting party has less information than the
    other.
  • Consider a market with 100 people who want to
    sell their used cars and 100 people who want to
    buy a used car. Everyone knows that 50 cars are
    lemons and 50 are plums. The current owner knows
    the quality of his car, but the potential
    purchasers do not.

2
  • The owner of a lemon is happy to part with his
    car for 1000 and that of a plum for 2000. The
    buyers are willing to pay 2400 for a plum and
    1200 for a lemon.
  • If information is symmetric, then the plum will
    sell at some price between 2000 and 2400 while
    the lemon between 1000 and 1200.
  • However, if buyers do not know how much each car
    is worth, then they are willing to pay the
    expected value.

3
  • Since there are 50 lemons and 50 plums, thus
    buyers are willing to pay up to 0.5x1200
    0.5x24001800.
  • Yet at 1800, only the owners of lemons are
    willing to sell their cars. However, in
    equilibrium, buyers cannot have wrong
    expectation, so they expect to see only lemons in
    the market. When this happens, they are willing
    to pay only 1200. Thus only lemons get sold while
    none of the plums do. This differs from the case
    when information is symmetric.

4
  • This is an example of adverse selection. There
    are some other examples like insurance, health
    insurance, (marriage market?) so market
    equilibrium is typically not efficient.
  • There are ways evolved to alleviate this
    inefficiency. For instance, compulsory purchase
    plan, employee insurance as fringe benefits.
  • (Talk a bit about reputation and standardization.)

5
  • Some practices also emerge. For instance, the
    owner of a plum can offer a warranty, a promise
    to pay the purchaser some agreed upon amount if
    the car turned out to break down. Or he can allow
    the purchaser to take his car to a technician to
    examine his car. Now these are called signaling.
  • Suppose we have two types of workers, able and
    unable. Able workers have MPL of a2 while unable
    a1 and a2gta1.

6
  • The fraction of able workers is b.
  • If firms can distinguish two types of workers,
    then they will offer wage a2 to able and to a1
    unable. However, if they cannot, they can only
    offer ba2(1-b)a1. Now if under this wage, both
    types will work, then there is no problem of
    efficiency loss.
  • Suppose now workers can acquire education to
    signal his type.

7
  • Let e2 be the education acquired by able and e1
    by unable. Let c2e2 be the cost for able and c1e1
    for unable.
  • Now workers acquire education first and then
    firms decide how much to pay after observing the
    choice of education by workers. Assume the
    education does not affect the productivity at all
    to simplify. Suppose further that c2ltc1.

8
  • Let e satisfy (a2-a1)/c1 lt elt (a2-a1)/c2. Then
    we have an equilibrium where able workers get
    education e and unable 0. Firms pay a2 when they
    see eand pay a1 when they see 0.
  • Does anyone have an incentive to deviate? Would
    unable mimic able? If he did, then the gain is
    a2-a1 while the cost is c1 e. The first
    inequality guarantees that this is not profitable.

9
  • What about able workers? Would he deviate to
    acquire education of 0? If he did, the loss is
    a2-a1 while the gain is c2e. The second
    inequality guarantees that loss is bigger than
    gain and so it is not profitable to do so. Hence
    it is indeed an equilibrium. This is called a
    separating equilibrium where two types choose
    different signals to separate.
  • In this setup it is a pure waste to signal.

10
  • However, when the competitive equilibrium is not
    efficient, though signaling has cost, it might
    have some benefit and may improve efficiency.
  • Another interesting problem arising in the
    insurance market is known as the moral hazard.
    This relates to the phenomenon that after
    contracting (insured), one transacting party may
    have the incentive to take less care. (talk about
    theft insurance)

11
  • The tradeoffs involved are too little insurance
    means people bear too much risk, too much
    insurance means people will take inadequate care.
    So the whole point is on balancing these two.
  • Hence an insurance policy often includes a
    deductible, the amount that the insured party has
    to pay in any claim. (compared this to premium).
    This is designed to make sure that consumers will
    take some care.

12
  • Now the whole problem becomes how can I get
    someone do something for me? This naturally leads
    us to the incentives problems.
  • Suppose we have a worker (agent) who if exerting
    effort x can produce output yf(x). Efforts are
    not observable but outputs are. Let the cost of x
    be c(x) and the worker has some outside
    opportunity which gives him the utility of u.
    Then the whole problem boils down to choosing the
    payment s(y)s(f(x)) to the worker to max the
    profit of the Principal.

13
  • Now to make the worker participate, we have the
    participation constraint (individual rationality
    IR). That is, s(f(x))-c(x)?u. So if we can
    observe x, the principal simply does maxx
    f(x)-s(f(x)) subject to s(f(x))-c(x)?u. This can
    be solved by maxx f(x)-c(x)-u (). So FOC is
    MP(x)MC(x).
  • But if x is not observable, then we need to worry
    about whether agents will indeed choose x.

14
  • This brings us to another constraint, called the
    incentive compatibility (IC) constraint. It means
    that s(f(x))-c(x)? s(f(x))-c(x) for all x.
  • There is a way to do this, that is, to sell the
    firm to the agents. So s(f(x))f(x)-R. If the
    worker max s(f(x))-c(x)f(x)-c(x)-R, then it
    looks just like (). So x will be chosen if IR
    is OK. To make IR OK, we just choose R so that
    f(x)-c(x)-Ru.

15
  • In short, the sell-out contract is to make the
    agents the residual claimant so that he will take
    the proper care. However, this is good because we
    assume risk neutrality of agents. If agents are
    risk averse, then this incentive scheme may
    entail too much risk on agents and for this
    reason, we do not see that every principal uses
    this kind of scheme to motivate his agents.

16
  • A final note on the voting right of a
    corporation. It is often the case that
    shareholders have the right to vote on various
    issues while bond holders do not. Why is that?
    The answer may lie in the incentives. If a
    corporation produces X dollars and total claim is
    B dollars of bond holders. Then the amount that
    goes to shareholders is X-B. So this makes sure
    the shareholders have the right incentives to max
    X.
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