Participants:

1
Brazil
Participants
Ulisses E.C. Confalonieri, MD DVM DSc
(Principal Investigator)
Mércia E. Arruda, DSc (Co-PI)
2
Brazil
Activities
Research Activities
3
Brazil
Field Records of Malaria from Pará
4
Brazil
Findings and Achievements
Characterization of a natural decrease in malaria
incidence during ENSO years in northern Amazonia,
Brazil.
Organization of a large data set on
meteorological data (precipitation) and
epidemiological data on tropical diseases,
especially malaria and dengue fever.
5
Brazil
Students Involved
Roberta Costa Dias (Doctoral Program in Public
Health, FIOCRUZ, Brazil).
Helen da Costa Gurgel (Doctoral Program in
Geography, University of Paris X, France).
Mariana G. Camponovo (Doctoral Program in Public
Health, FIOCRUZ, Brazil).
Aline Nobre (MSc. Program on Biostatistics,
Federal University of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil).
Daniele Nogueira (Undergraduate in Meteorology,
Federal University of Pará, Brazil).
6
IPA for Malaria and SOI in Roraima 1980-1985
Brazil
7
Cases of Malaria in the State of Roraima Northern
Brazil (199519961997)
Brazil
8
Brazil
Landsat Image for Castanhal, Pará
9
Brazil
Land Cover Classification for Castanhal, Pará
10
Brazil
Vegetation Cover in Roraima
Source IBGE, 1998.
11
Brazil
(a) Averaged NDVI from AVHRR/NOAA (1982-2000)
(b) Mosaic of Images
Source EMBRAPA Monitoramento por Satélite.
12
Monthly NDVI for Roraima (1982-2000)
Brazil
13
Cases of Malaria and Monthly Precipitation in
Roraima
Brazil
Source FUNASA E ANEEL.
14
Brazil
Adjustments (Objectives/Workplan)
Reduction in the duration of the entomological
field work due to a budget cut.
Expansion of data collection (malaria/precipitatio
n) and analysis to another Amazonian state in
Brazil, due to poor data quality and poor
institutional support.
15
Brazil
Contributions
Demonstration of a linkage between a tropical
infectious disease (malaria) and the ENSO
phenomenon, in a specific area, as a subsidy to
the development of a climate-health early warning
system.
Development of a conceptual model on the social
vulnerability of the population to the health
impacts of climate variability in tropical
America.
Assemblage, in digital format, of large time
series of malaria data (up to 40 years), on a
monthly basis, that otherwise would be lost.
16
Brazil
Publications
CONFALONIERI, U.E.C., 2003. Climate Variability,
Social Vulnerability and Human Health in Brazil.
Proc. V Brazilian Congress on Geographic
Climatology (in press).
COSTA-DIAS, R. CONFALONIERI, U.E.C. HARTMAN,
J., 2003. The influence of precipitation on the
incidence of malaria in the State of Roraima,
Northern Amazonia, Brazil. Submitted to the XXXIX
Brazilian Congress of Tropical Medicine, Belém,
Pará (16-21, March, 2003).
NOBRE, A.A. LOPES, H.F., 2002. Spatial analysis
of the relationships between malaria and rainfall
in the State of Pará. First National Symp.
Probability and Statistics, A. Lindóia, Brazil,
July 2002.
17
Brazil
Related Activities
Coordinating Lead Author of the chapter on Human
Infectious Diseases, Conditions and Trends
Working Group of the MILLENNIUM ECOSYSTEM
ASSESSMENT (UNEP/FAO/WHO).
Co-chair of the scoping meeting on Global
Environmental Change and Health, organized by
DIVERSITAS/IGBP/IHDP/WCRP (Paris, February 2003).
Organizer of the first Interamerican Workshop on
Applications of Remote Sensing Technologies to
the Control of Infectious Diseases, sponsored by
the U.S. Department of State (Rio de Janeiro,
November 2003).