Intercensal Population Estimates Program

1
Intercensal Population Estimates Program

• State Data Center Meeting
• September 2003

2
Intercensal Population Estimates Program

• Required under Title 13, Section 181
• During the intervals between each census of
  population the Secretary, to the extent
  feasible, should annually produce and publish for
  each state, county, and local unit of general
  purpose government which has a population of
  50,000 or more, current data on total population
  and population characteristics, and to the extent
  feasible, should biennially produce and publish
  for other local units of general purpose
  government current data on total population.

3
Intercensal Population Estimates Program Uses

• Allocation of over 200 billion in federal funds
  annually
• Controls for federal surveys
• Current Population Survey
• American Community Survey
• Denominators for statistical rates
• Birth and death rates
• Per capita income
• Program planning
• Location of public and private services

4
Intercensal Population Estimates Program Vintage
2002 Products

• July 1, 2002 National, state and county total
  population
• Released
• July 1, 2002 National population by age, sex,
  race, and Hispanic origin
• Released
• July 1, 2002 State and county housing unit
  estimates
• Released
• July 1, 2002 Estimates of Puerto Rico municipios
• Released

5
Intercensal Population Estimates Program Vintage
2002 Products

• July 1, 2002 Subcounty total population
• Released
• July 1, 2002 State and County population
  estimates
  by age,
  sex, race, and Hispanic origin
• To be released week of 9/15/03
• Includes race alone and race alone and in
  combination

6
Intercensal Population Estimates Program Vintage
2003 Products

• Includes April 1, 2000, July 1, 2000, 2001, 2002,
  and 2003 dates
• National and state total population
• Late December 2003 release
• Puerto Rico total population
• Late December 2003 release
• County total population
• April/May 2004 release
• National age, race, sex, Hispanic origin
• March/April 2004 release

7
Intercensal Population Estimates Program Vintage
2003 Products- Cont.

• Includes April 1, 2000, July 1, 2000, 2001, 2002
  and 2003 dates
• State age, sex,race, Hispanic origin
• April/May 2004 release
• Subcounty total population
• June/July 2004
• County age, sex, race, Hispanic origin
• July/August 2004

8
Intercensal Population Estimates Program Vintage
2003 Products- Cont.

• Includes April 1, 2000, July 1, 2000, 2001, 2002
  and 2003 dates
• State and county housing unit estimates
• June/July 2004
• Puerto Rico municipios -total population
• August 2004

9
Intercensal Population Estimates Program Vintage
2003 Products- Cont.

• National Population Projections
• November 2004
• State Population Projections
• November/December 2004
• Revised Intercensal Population Estimates
• 1990 to 2000
• National Estimates by age, sex, race, and
  Hispanic origin
• State and County by age, sex, race, and Hispanic
  origin
• December 2004
• Revised bridging algorithm

10
Intercensal Population Estimates Program Vintage
2003 Products

• Vintage 2003 Estimates base will include
• CQR Updates through May 2003
• BAS Updates effective January 1 2003
• BAS 2003 survey responses received by
• April 1,2003
• Administrative updates through May 2003

11
Intercensal Population Estimates Program Vintage
2003 Products

• Vintage 2003 Estimates will include
• Challenges received by October 1, 2003
• Special Censuses processed by
• September 1, 2003

12
Intercensal Population Estimates Program

• Dissemination Strategy
• Continue with Pre-release calls to Steering
  Committee
• Embargo days for press most likely to continue
• Little change to current site