CBRFC

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CBRFC Presentation to the CRFS meeting November
19, 2008
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Water Year 2008 Precipitation
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Above Powell 30
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Above Powell 225
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Above Powell 165
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Above Powell 155
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Above Powell 60
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Above Powell 120
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Above Powell 60
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Above Powell 100
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Above Powell 70
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Above Powell 65
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Water Year 2008 SNOWPACK
2007 snowpack
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Water Year 2008 Forecasts
Vallecito
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Flaming Gorge
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Apr-Jul 2007 732/62
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Blue Mesa
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Apr-Jul 2007 1006/140
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Navajo
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Apr-Jul 2007 959/122
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Glen Canyon/Lake Powell
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Apr-Jul 2007 8908/112
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Climate Forecasts
2007 snowpack
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Summary

• ENSO-neutral conditions are present in the
  equatorial Pacific Ocean.
• Equatorial SST anomalies were near-average
  across much of the Pacific Ocean, with small
  areas of negative SST anomalies in parts of the
  east-central Pacific and off the coast of South
  America.
• The atmospheric circulation has been highly
  variable week-to-week due to an active MJO, which
  weakened during the past week.
• Based on recent SST trends and model forecasts,
  ENSO-neutral conditions are expected to continue
  into early 2009.

Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center /
NCEP 10 November 2008
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CPC NOVEMBER TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION OUTLOO
KS
CPC NOV-DEC-JAN TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION OUT
LOOKS
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CPC THREE-MONTH PRECIPITATION OUTLOOKS
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CPC THREE-MONTH TEMPERATURE OUTLOOKS
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Current Conditions
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ESP 2009 April-July OutlookLake Powell Inflow

• Bias adjusted ESP output only
• No SWS input
• No forecaster input
• No coordination

5400 KAF / 68
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