Kein Folientitel

1
Types of Hazard in Europe
European Regional Consultationin Preparation of
the EWC II
28 -29 July, Potsdam, Germany Jointly Organised
by GFZ, HGF, DKKV

• Workshop Structure
• Disaster Patterns and Emerging Issues
• Advances,Constraints, Case Studies and
  Best Practices
• National and European Planning

Participants 23 Experts from 10 European
Countries, ISDR, UNDP, DKKV, Federal Foreign
Office of Germany
2
Disaster Patterns
Types of Hazard in Europe
Space Weather
Storm Surges
Floods river floods flash floods
Winter Hazards
Land Slides Wild Land Fires
Volcanoes
3
Disaster Patterns
Relative Impact of Natural Disasters

2000-2002
100
Casualities
Economic Losses
80
60
40
32,8
20
2,5
Africa
America
Asia
Europe
Oceania
Source Munich Re
Europe (2000-2002) Casualities 1137 Economic
Losses 33 billion
4
Disaster Patterns
Heaviest Natural Disasters in Europe Since 1980

• What has happened?
• Winterstorms 1990 14,8 billion
• River flood 2002 13,5 billion
• Earthquake Italy 1980 12.0 billion
• Winterstorms 1999 11.0 billion
• Flooding/Landslides 2000 8.5 billion

5
Disaster Patterns, Emerging Issues
Influence of Global Warming ?
New Type of Hazard
Space weather extremes - major power
supply failures - interruptions in
telecommunication - increased radiation
exposure in aircrafts and spacecrafts
- effect on climate change?
6
Constraints, Advances and Shortcomings
The Early Warning Chain Lessons Learned!
Hazard- Vulnerability- Risk- Assessment
Forecast
Forecast
Warning
Response
Science/
Decision
Decision Makers
Population Local Authorities
Science
Techn.
Advances in Hazard Assessment But
Country Wide Vulnerability- and
Risk-Assessment Not Existent But Starting
7
National and European Planning
Some Important Features of Scientific and
Strategic Planning
8
Needs and Recommendations
Scientific/Techn. Needs
Organisational Needs

• Assessment of EW Efficiency - Cost benefit
  analysis

• Improved Chain of Warning - clearly defined
  information- and command chain - local
  group integration - obtain the confidence of
  people at risk - interaction between
  professional/techn. providers and local
  population
• Sustained Dialogue at and between various
  levels and sectors of the early warning
  chain
• Common Actions on a European Level -
  communication - terminology -
  standardisation and harmonisation -
  legislation (common benchmarks) - education
  - training

• Improved Data Collection and -Availability
• Improved Forecasting Models - short term
  forecasting - effect of global warming?
• Risk Maps - country wide and European wide
  - synoptic multitype risk assessment -
  interaction between science and reinsurance
  industry

9
Needs and Recommendations
International Early Warning Platform