Pep Canadell

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Pep Canadell GCP International Project Office
http//www.GlobalCarbonProject.org
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The Partnership and Stakeholders
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Terrestrial National and Regional Programs
Canadian
Siberia
CarboEruope
North America Carbon Plan
Jp
China
LBA
SA
Australia
NZ
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Ocean National and Regional Programs
Hydrographic Sampling Stations
Pacific Ocean
Courtesy of Chris Sabine
Indian Ocean
Ships of Opportunity
Courtesy of Chris Sabine
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Research Goal
To develop comprehensive, policy-relevant
understanding of the global carbon cycle,
encompassing its natural and human dimensions
and their interactions.
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The Conceptual Framework
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The GCP Mandate
1. To develop a research framework for
integration of the biogeochemical, biophysical
and human components of the global carbon cycle
2. To synthesize current understanding of the
global C cycle and provide rapid feedback to the
research and policy communities and general public
3. To develop tools and conceptual frameworks to
couple the biophysical and human dimensions of
the carbon cycle
4. To provide a global coordinating platform for
regional and national carbon programs to improve
observation network design, data standards,
information and tools transfer, and timing of
campaigns and process-based experiments,
including the development of data-model fusion
schemes, and design of cost effective
observational and research networks
5. To strengthen the carbon-related research
programs of nations and regions, and those in
international programs such as IGBP, IHDP, WCRP,
and the observation community, through better
coordination, articulation of goals, and
development of conceptual frameworks
6. To develop a small number of new research
initiatives that are feasible within a 3-5 year
time framework on difficult and highly
interdisciplinary problems of the carbon cycle
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Portfolio of Activities Products
Respiration Book
CO2 Stabilization Pathways Wk
T. Data Assimilation Data Wk
Publication Science Framework
State-of-the-Art Synthesis Wk
Ocean Coordination Wk
Annual SSC Meeting
Terrestrial Sinks Wk
Research Institute Data Assimilation
2002
2003
2004
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International Project and Affiliate Offices
Max Planck Institute Jena, Germany
IOC/SCOR-CO2 Panel Paris, France
NIES,Tsukuba Japan
NCAR,Boulder USA
CSIRO,Canberra Australia
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Scientific Steering Committee
Co-Chairs Michael Raupach, Australia
(IGBP) Robert Dickinson, USA (WCRP) Oran Young,
USA (IHDP)
Michael Apps, Canada Alain Chedin,
France Cheng-Tung Arthur Chen, China
(Tapei) Peter Cox, UK Ellen Druffel,
USA Christopher Field, USA Patricia Romero
Lankao, Mexico Louis Philipe Lebel,
Thailand Annan Partwardhan, India Monika Rhein,
Germany Christopher Sabine, USA Riccardo
Valentini, Italy Yoshiki Yamagata, Japan
Executive Director Pep Canadell, Australia
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www.GlobalCarbonProject.org
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Focus 1 Patterns and Variability
What are the geographical and temporal patterns
of carbon sources and sinks?
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Data-Model Fusion Use of multiple streams of
datasets
C stock and flux measurements Inventory
analyses Process-based information Climate
data Remote sensing CO2 column from space Inverse
modeling Process-based modeling Retrospective and
forward analyses Many others
Canadell et al. 2000
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Focus 2 Processes, Controls and Interactions
Paleo Naturally dynamics
Land Use Change
New Biospheric Responses
CO2 fertilization
Carbon Storage
Emerging Properties of the coupled system
Institutional Responses
Fossil Fuel Emissions
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Focus 2 Carbon Sink Mechanisms
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Focus 2 Coupling the Climate-Carbon-Human System
Human Dimension
Hadley Center Climate Model
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Focus 3 Future Dynamics of the Carbon Cycle
What are the likely dynamics of the global carbon
cycle into the future?
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GCP-CO2 Panel Workshop 13-15
Jan. 2003, UNESCO, Paris Ocean Carbon Research
and Observation Activities
International CLIVAR/CO2 Lines
Hydrographic Sampling Stations
Ships of Opportunity

• To gather information on activities
• To identify gaps and duplications
• To produce recommendations
• To integrate with other C data

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Research Institute Series 2002-2005 Data
Assimilation in C Cycle Research
Research, Tool development, Educational, Outreach
Atmospheric Data-Model Assimilation, Boulder,
Colorado (US), 20 31 May 2002
http//dataportal.ucar.edu/CDAS/

• Atmospheric Data-Model Assimilation 2002
• Ocean Data-Model Assimilation 2003
• Land Data-Model Assimilation 2004
• Earth System Data-Model Assimilation 2005

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C Consequences of Regional Development Pathways
Contribution to Advanced Institute on
Urbanization, Emission, and the Global Carbon
Cycle START-Packard Foundation NCAR, Boulder,
Colorado, 4 22 August 2003
Source Diane Pataki
Integrating carbon management into development
strategies of cities and their surrounds in the
Asia-Pacific Region Establishing a network of
regional case studies APN proposal submitted
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Energy and Carbon Options and strategies for
reducing greenhouse gas signature over the next
50 years
By using a mix of energy strategies
(renewables, conservation, cogeneration,
efficiency increases) carbon sequestration (in
terrestrial biotic, geological and oceanic sinks)
agricultural practices linked with non-CO2
emissions.

1. To assess mitigation and adaptation options
against environmental, social and economic
(triple-bottom-line) criteria, including (1)
effectiveness (2) technological feasibility
(3) institutional viability (4) economic
viability (5) social acceptability (6)
non-greenhouse impacts
2. To develop and analyse a suite of pathways
(scenarios)
Workshop proposal for 2003
Australia as a case study
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Publication Land Use and the C Cycle in Asia
Pacific
Impacts of land use/cover on the C cycle fire,
erosion, plantations, agriculture,
pasture APN-GCTE-GCP, Kobe, 2001 Publication
due Dec. 2002
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Publication Terrestrial Sinks and their Policy
Relevance
Quantifying Terrestrial Carbon Sinks Science,
Technology and Policy Wengen, Switzerland,
September 25 - 27, 2002 Wengen
Series-GCP-GCTE Publication due Feb 2004
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Atmospheric Composition and Associated Climate
Change
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IPCC 2001
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State-of-the-art Synthesis Towards CO2
Stabilization
Toward CO2 Stabilization Issues, Strategies, and
Consequences Wk Feb. 2003, Ubatuba,
Brazil   SCOPE-GCP Synthesis Activity
Publication due End 2003
SCOPE Series
Topics
1. current status of the carbon cycle 2. future
trends in the carbon cycle 3. potential for
deliberate management of the C cycle 4.
carbon-climate-human interactions.
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Publication Carbon Oxidation Fluxes and
Processes
Science Rh in soils, freshwater, and coastal
zones disturbanc. land use change. Methods
modeling, scaling, experimental
approaches Publication due 2004
IGBP Book Series
Proposal under development
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Science Themes

• Focus 1 Patterns and Variability
• A1.1 Enhancing observational knowledge of major
  C stores and fluxes
• A1.2 Model-data fusion and model development
• A1.3 Comprehensive regional and sectoral carbon
  budgets
• Focus 2 Processes, Controls and Interactions
• A2.1 Mechanisms and feedbacks controlling carbon
  fluxes
• A2.2 Carbon consequences of regional development
  pathways
• A2.3 Emergent properties of the coupled
  carbon-climate-human system
• Focus 3 Future Dynamics of the Carbon Cycle
• A3.1 Future of terrestrial and ocean sinks and
  sources
• A3.2 Future of FF emissions
• A3.3 Carbon21 - Integrated management strategies
• Synthesis, communication, coordination

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Atmospheric CO2 and associated warming
280
180
Thousands of Years (x1000)
Global Carbon Project 2001 IPCC 2001