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Seasonal Climate Prediction at Climate Prediction Center CPCNCEPNWSNOAADoC Huug van den Dool huug.va PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Seasonal Climate Prediction at Climate Prediction Center CPCNCEPNWSNOAADoC Huug van den Dool huug.va - Last season. Lead time 12.5 months ... The target seasons are, from top to bottom, MAM, ... bottom line (all leads/all seasons); JFM95-FMA2002, Skill of CPC ...
Last season. Lead time 12.5 months ... The target seasons are, from top to bottom, MAM, ... bottom line (all leads/all seasons); JFM95-FMA2002, Skill of CPC ...
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Huug van den Dool / Dave Unger PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Huug van den Dool / Dave Unger - Last Year: Ridge Regression as a Consolidation Method, to yield, potentially, non-equal weights. This Year: see new Posters on Consolidation by ...
Last Year: Ridge Regression as a Consolidation Method, to yield, potentially, non-equal weights. This Year: see new Posters on Consolidation by ...
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Huug van den Dool and Suranjana Saha Prediction Skill and Predictability in CFS PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Huug van den Dool and Suranjana Saha Prediction Skill and Predictability in CFS - Huug van den Dool and Suranjana Saha Prediction Skill and Predictability in CFS
Huug van den Dool and Suranjana Saha Prediction Skill and Predictability in CFS
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Verification of Daily CFS forecasts Huug van den Dool PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Verification of Daily CFS forecasts Huug van den Dool - Here we look at CFS(T62L64) as NWP (never mind the delayed ocean ... Chi200 improves tremendously from cleaning up the bias, especially early on. 375 forecasts ...
Here we look at CFS(T62L64) as NWP (never mind the delayed ocean ... Chi200 improves tremendously from cleaning up the bias, especially early on. 375 forecasts ...
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Huug van den Dool and Steve Lord International Multi Model Ensemble PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Huug van den Dool and Steve Lord International Multi Model Ensemble - well in deterministic scoring (AC) for Prate and. very well in probability scoring (BS) for Prate and T2m. over both USA and EUROPEAN domains ...
well in deterministic scoring (AC) for Prate and. very well in probability scoring (BS) for Prate and T2m. over both USA and EUROPEAN domains ...
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Notes on NWP and the History of Long Range Forecasting Don Gilman ret and Huug van den Dool, NOAANCE PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Notes on NWP and the History of Long Range Forecasting Don Gilman ret and Huug van den Dool, NOAANCE - The precursors of NWP ( NCP) are: ... What is the skill of NCP vis- -vis other methods (like CCA) How to combine Methods A, B and C? ...
The precursors of NWP ( NCP) are: ... What is the skill of NCP vis- -vis other methods (like CCA) How to combine Methods A, B and C? ...
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NAO and its Predictability PowerPoint PPT Presentation
NAO and its Predictability - NAO and its Predictability ke Johansson SMHI Visiting Scientist EMC Acknowledgements Suranjana Saha, EMC Huug van den Dool, CPC
NAO and its Predictability ke Johansson SMHI Visiting Scientist EMC Acknowledgements Suranjana Saha, EMC Huug van den Dool, CPC
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Supporting Materials Jan2009 Monthly Prediction PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Supporting Materials Jan2009 Monthly Prediction - Supporting Materials Jan2009 Monthly Prediction. Huug van den Dool, ... Snow Cover. What else? Short-term NWP. Persistence of current low-frequency anomalies ...
Supporting Materials Jan2009 Monthly Prediction. Huug van den Dool, ... Snow Cover. What else? Short-term NWP. Persistence of current low-frequency anomalies ...
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Convectively Forced Gravity Wave Drag GWDC in the CFS and GFS PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Convectively Forced Gravity Wave Drag GWDC in the CFS and GFS - Huug van den Dool. Mark Iredell. Theory by Chun and Baik 1998 ... Data Assimilation and Week-1 runs with GFS. Conclusions. Suggestions. OUTLINE ...
Huug van den Dool. Mark Iredell. Theory by Chun and Baik 1998 ... Data Assimilation and Week-1 runs with GFS. Conclusions. Suggestions. OUTLINE ...
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An evaluation of the probabilistic information in multi-model ensembles PowerPoint PPT Presentation
An evaluation of the probabilistic information in multi-model ensembles - Huug van den Dool , Malaquias Pena, Peitao Peng, and Suranjana Saha ... Doubles trends. Errors in estimating high frequency model forecasts. U.S. T and P consolidation ...
Huug van den Dool , Malaquias Pena, Peitao Peng, and Suranjana Saha ... Doubles trends. Errors in estimating high frequency model forecasts. U.S. T and P consolidation ...
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CFS reanalysis design PowerPoint PPT Presentation
CFS reanalysis design - Jack Woollen, Huug van den Dool, Catherine Thiaw and many others ... 37 Pressure (hPa) Levels: pgb, egy and diab (atmosphere) ...
Jack Woollen, Huug van den Dool, Catherine Thiaw and many others ... 37 Pressure (hPa) Levels: pgb, egy and diab (atmosphere) ...
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Variability, Predictability and Prediction of DJF season Climate in CFS PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Variability, Predictability and Prediction of DJF season Climate in CFS - Peitao Peng1, Qin Zhang1, Arun Kumar1, Huug van den ... In NDJ, ENSO reaches its peak. In February, Atmospheric ... show us brighter future ...
Peitao Peng1, Qin Zhang1, Arun Kumar1, Huug van den ... In NDJ, ENSO reaches its peak. In February, Atmospheric ... show us brighter future ...
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North American Drought Briefing: Monitoring PowerPoint PPT Presentation
North American Drought Briefing: Monitoring - CPC: Kingtse Mo, Wanru Wu, Muthuvel Chelliah, Wesley Ebisuzaki, Yun Fan, Huug ... Princeton Univ.: Eric Wood, Lifeng Luo, Justin Scheffield ...
CPC: Kingtse Mo, Wanru Wu, Muthuvel Chelliah, Wesley Ebisuzaki, Yun Fan, Huug ... Princeton Univ.: Eric Wood, Lifeng Luo, Justin Scheffield ...
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Land Surface Memory PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Land Surface Memory - ... Current CPC soil moisture monitor & prediction activities: Drought & flood monitoring Empirical forecast tools (Constructed Analog) ...
... Current CPC soil moisture monitor & prediction activities: Drought & flood monitoring Empirical forecast tools (Constructed Analog) ...
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Summer Precipitation Regimes over North America and Prediction PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Summer Precipitation Regimes over North America and Prediction - Title: Precipitation Regimes for the United States and Seasonal Prediction Author: kmporty Last modified by: kmo Created Date: 10/6/2003 10:05:55 PM
Title: Precipitation Regimes for the United States and Seasonal Prediction Author: kmporty Last modified by: kmo Created Date: 10/6/2003 10:05:55 PM
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Recent and planed NCEP climate modeling activities PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Recent and planed NCEP climate modeling activities - Recent and planed NCEP climate modeling activities Hua-Lu Pan EMC/NCEP
Recent and planed NCEP climate modeling activities Hua-Lu Pan EMC/NCEP
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Hindcast Skill in SST Prediction in the new coupled NCEP Ocean-Atmosphere Model PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Hindcast Skill in SST Prediction in the new coupled NCEP Ocean-Atmosphere Model - Hindcast Skill in the new coupled NCEP Ocean-Atmosphere Model E M C Suranjana Saha, Wanqiu Wang, Hua-Lu Pan and the NCEP/EMC Climate and Weather Modeling Branch
Hindcast Skill in the new coupled NCEP Ocean-Atmosphere Model E M C Suranjana Saha, Wanqiu Wang, Hua-Lu Pan and the NCEP/EMC Climate and Weather Modeling Branch
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Verification of Seasonal Climate Prediction with the NCEP Seasonal Forecast GCM in 2001/2002 PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Verification of Seasonal Climate Prediction with the NCEP Seasonal Forecast GCM in 2001/2002 - Verification of Seasonal Climate Prediction with the NCEP ... M.-D. Chou short wave radiation. M.-D. Chou long wave radiation. Original Slingo-type cloud ...
Verification of Seasonal Climate Prediction with the NCEP ... M.-D. Chou short wave radiation. M.-D. Chou long wave radiation. Original Slingo-type cloud ...
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Impact of Model Choice PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Impact of Model Choice - Improving Seasonal Hydrologic Prediction at NCEP via Land Surface Modeling and Assimilation Advancements and Collaborations in Coupled and Uncoupled Prediction ...
Improving Seasonal Hydrologic Prediction at NCEP via Land Surface Modeling and Assimilation Advancements and Collaborations in Coupled and Uncoupled Prediction ...
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CFS reanalysis design PowerPoint PPT Presentation
CFS reanalysis design - NOAA/CPC is actively involved in the monitoring of the Reanalysis ... NCDC/NOAA will be responsible for the archival and distribution of both the CFS ...
NOAA/CPC is actively involved in the monitoring of the Reanalysis ... NCDC/NOAA will be responsible for the archival and distribution of both the CFS ...
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Conclusions: PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Conclusions: - OR rather: How to deal with trends' in a real time forecast setting.? How to improve Trend forecast tools? How to physically explain Trends? Intro I ...
OR rather: How to deal with trends' in a real time forecast setting.? How to improve Trend forecast tools? How to physically explain Trends? Intro I ...
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North American Drought Briefing: Monitoring PowerPoint PPT Presentation
North American Drought Briefing: Monitoring - The Southeast drought continues, but shows sign of improvement ... Southeast shows some improvement in the recent season, but it is still very dry ...
The Southeast drought continues, but shows sign of improvement ... Southeast shows some improvement in the recent season, but it is still very dry ...
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NAO and its Predictability PowerPoint PPT Presentation
NAO and its Predictability - Teleconnection pattern with centers of action near Iceland and the Azores ... Stykkisholm r, Iceland vs Ponta Delgada, Azores. SW Iceland vs Lisbon, Portugal ...
Teleconnection pattern with centers of action near Iceland and the Azores ... Stykkisholm r, Iceland vs Ponta Delgada, Azores. SW Iceland vs Lisbon, Portugal ...
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Review of Ocean Data Assimilation and Forecasting at NCEP/EMC PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Review of Ocean Data Assimilation and Forecasting at NCEP/EMC - Review of Ocean Data Assimilation and Forecasting at NCEP/EMC S. Lord, D. Behringer, H-L Pan, H. Tolman Overview GODAS and operational CFS CFS Reanalysis (and ...
Review of Ocean Data Assimilation and Forecasting at NCEP/EMC S. Lord, D. Behringer, H-L Pan, H. Tolman Overview GODAS and operational CFS CFS Reanalysis (and ...
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Verification of the NCEP Operational GFS predictions in the stratosphere in winter seasons of 20056 PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Verification of the NCEP Operational GFS predictions in the stratosphere in winter seasons of 20056 - Verification of the NCEP Operational GFS predictions in the stratosphere in winter seasons of 20056
Verification of the NCEP Operational GFS predictions in the stratosphere in winter seasons of 20056
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Land surface memory PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Land surface memory - Improve weather & climate prediction with more accurate land initial conditions. Improve land surface model via data validation& model intercomparisons ...
Improve weather & climate prediction with more accurate land initial conditions. Improve land surface model via data validation& model intercomparisons ...
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North American Drought Briefing For Jan PowerPoint PPT Presentation
North American Drought Briefing For Jan - Exceptional drought D4: SPI -2. Ref: Svoboda et al. (2002) 5 ... Exceptional drought D4: 2%. Ref: Svoboda et al. (2002) 7. Monthly Streamflow Conditions ...
Exceptional drought D4: SPI -2. Ref: Svoboda et al. (2002) 5 ... Exceptional drought D4: 2%. Ref: Svoboda et al. (2002) 7. Monthly Streamflow Conditions ...
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Statistical Downscaling Approach PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Statistical Downscaling Approach - Yellow- downscaled & bias corrected ensemble mean, 10%, bias range 0.2-0.3 ... averaged DV: apply decreasing weights to past N static DVs (above bullet) ...
Yellow- downscaled & bias corrected ensemble mean, 10%, bias range 0.2-0.3 ... averaged DV: apply decreasing weights to past N static DVs (above bullet) ...
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Application of LDASera Land Surface Models to Drought Monitoring and Prediction PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Application of LDASera Land Surface Models to Drought Monitoring and Prediction - Rutgers Univ. John Schaake. Qingyun Duan. NWS/OHD. Tilden Meyers ... In football, everything is complicated by the presence of the other team. Jean-Paul Sartre ...
Rutgers Univ. John Schaake. Qingyun Duan. NWS/OHD. Tilden Meyers ... In football, everything is complicated by the presence of the other team. Jean-Paul Sartre ...
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CPC Forecasts: Current Methods and Future Requirements PowerPoint PPT Presentation
CPC Forecasts: Current Methods and Future Requirements - Title: Climate Prediction Center National Centers for Environmental Prediction National Weather Service Author: BOBC Last modified by: eolenic Created Date
Title: Climate Prediction Center National Centers for Environmental Prediction National Weather Service Author: BOBC Last modified by: eolenic Created Date
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Development of Precipitation Outlooks for the Global Tropics Keyed to the MJO Cycle PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Development of Precipitation Outlooks for the Global Tropics Keyed to the MJO Cycle - Jon Gottschalck1, Qin Zhang1, Michelle L'Heureux1, Peitao Peng1, ... 1 NOAA / NWS / NCEP Climate Prediction Center. 2 Pusan National University, Busan, Korea ...
Jon Gottschalck1, Qin Zhang1, Michelle L'Heureux1, Peitao Peng1, ... 1 NOAA / NWS / NCEP Climate Prediction Center. 2 Pusan National University, Busan, Korea ...
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Statistical Downscaling Approach PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Statistical Downscaling Approach - Statistical Downscaling Approach & its Application in EMC Bo Cui1, Zoltan Toth2, Yuejian Zhu2 1SAIC at Environmental Modeling Center, NCEP/NWS
Statistical Downscaling Approach & its Application in EMC Bo Cui1, Zoltan Toth2, Yuejian Zhu2 1SAIC at Environmental Modeling Center, NCEP/NWS
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CFS reanalysis design PowerPoint PPT Presentation
CFS reanalysis design - A new Reanalysis of the atmosphere, ocean, seaice and land over the 31-year ... will be generated from a coupled atmosphere ocean seaice - land system ...
A new Reanalysis of the atmosphere, ocean, seaice and land over the 31-year ... will be generated from a coupled atmosphere ocean seaice - land system ...
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CFS reanalysis design PowerPoint PPT Presentation
CFS reanalysis design - ... to a global resolution of 0.5 degree northwards and southwards of 10N and ... Coupled 2-day forecast from initial conditions from every cycle, will be made ...
... to a global resolution of 0.5 degree northwards and southwards of 10N and ... Coupled 2-day forecast from initial conditions from every cycle, will be made ...
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EOT2 EOT1 EOT PowerPoint PPT Presentation
EOT2 EOT1 EOT - ... that explains the most of the remaining domain integrated variance. ... Explained Variance (EV) as a function of mode (m=1,25) for seasonal mean (JFM) ...
... that explains the most of the remaining domain integrated variance. ... Explained Variance (EV) as a function of mode (m=1,25) for seasonal mean (JFM) ...
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MJO Working Group Meeting PowerPoint PPT Presentation
MJO Working Group Meeting - ... chance of above average rainfall for the eastern Indian Ocean / Indonesia ... of tropical cyclogenesis in the southern Indian Ocean northwest of Australia ...
... chance of above average rainfall for the eastern Indian Ocean / Indonesia ... of tropical cyclogenesis in the southern Indian Ocean northwest of Australia ...
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P1253296783SQlOf PowerPoint PPT Presentation
P1253296783SQlOf - The preliminary results show that the CPC global (near real time) soil moisture ... Auto correlations of the global land surface soil moisture,which show that cold ...
The preliminary results show that the CPC global (near real time) soil moisture ... Auto correlations of the global land surface soil moisture,which show that cold ...
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