Title: Tianjin%20Plastics
1Tianjin Plastics
- Group Gamma
- Samir Bhargava
- Jung-Chang Cho
- Jennifer Cota
- Kurt Ellison
- Kelly Hickman
- Jiby Mathews
2Joint Venture
- Tianjin Plastics / Chinese Ministry of Power
Industry - Government owned enterprise
- Uses energy-intensive extrusion process for
production of - raw industrial plastic products
- Maple Energy
- U.S. based international power plant developer
- Established in 1989
- Successful power plant projects in Argentina,
Costa Rica, the Dominican Republic, and the
United Kingdom
3The Proposed Power Plant
- 140 megawatt coal-fired steam-electric plant
- Provide all of Tianjins power needs
- Excess power to be sold on regional electrical
power grid - Construction testing requires 4 years
- Power purchasing agreement with Chinese Ministry
of Power Industry - Provision for free coal feedstock for life of
power plant
4Build-Operate-Transfer (BOT) Agreement
-
- Maple-Tianjin-MOPI Joint Venture
- own manage for 20 years
- Turn over to Hebei Province in 2020
5What is Project Financing?
- Typically used for large-scale, long-term
projects - Lenders look to assets cash flow of project
- Preferred primary method for financing
infrastructures - Structured as a single-purpose corporation
- Lenders have no recourse to non-project assets
6Issue Defined
- Choose the best financing option
- Repatriation
- Currency Risk
7Basic Matrix
Important/ Urgent Low High
Low Export-Import Bank Announcing its Non-Participation in Funding Large Projects in China Contract Fulfillment Not Guaranteed by Chinese Government
High Currency Controls Exchange Rate Risk
8Immediate Matrix
Important/Urgent Low High
Low Inadequate Capital Resources in China Limits on ROI
High Cash Flow Risk Ensure Repatriation of Original Equity Investment
9Fishbone Analysis
10Financing Arrangements
11Constraints Opportunities
- Opportunities
- -Enormous market potential
- -Local economic prosperity
- Constraints
- - Inadequate capital resources
- - Investment barriers
12Available Solutions
- Indirect RMB Swap
- Dollar-Indexed Rate Adjustment
- Borrow in Local Currency
- Back-to-Back Loan
13Decision Criteria
- Feasibility
- Risk Assessment
- Cost
- Cash Flow / NPV
- Internal Rate of Return
14Indirect RMB Swap
- Feasibility?
- Not feasible due to lack of financial derivates
to hedge - Non-existence of financial markets in China
- Chinese government controls the amount of
- Rmb converted to hard currency
15Dollar-Indexed Rate Adjustment
- Power price paid by Tianjin Plastics indexed to
the dollar - -Simplest solution
- -Dependable revenue stream
- -Minor role of costs of production
- -Earnings essentially guaranteed, preserving U.S.
dollar value
- Feasibility?
- -NO -gt MOPI ruled out immediately
- -Revenue structure Rmb based
- -Negative impact on returns of invested capital
-
16Borrow in Local Currency
- Feasible?
- -Yes
- -Cash inflows and outflows in same currency (RMB)
- Risk?
- -Currency valuation risk
- -Maple is not insulated from currency exchange
risk - Cost?
- -Bank of China will charge 13 interest for 10
year loan - -Initial collateral in 100 dollar-denominated
deposit (not required until fourth year)
17Borrow in Local Currency
- Income?
- -4 interest in collateral deposit
- Repatriation?
- -Deposit returned in last 6 years amortization
schedule - -Profits exposed to currency risk
18(No Transcript)
19Local Currency Loan Local Currency Loan Local Currency Loan Local Currency Loan Local Currency Loan
Real Cash Inflows (Repatriation) Real Cash Inflows (Repatriation) Real Cash Inflows (Repatriation) Real Cash Inflows (Repatriation) Real Cash Inflows (Repatriation)
RMB Appreciate RMB Appreciate RMB Depreciate RMB Depreciate
Date Exch. Rate(RMB/) Real CashInflow Exch. Rate(RMB/) Real Cash Inflow
2000 7.51 2,567,474.07 10.99 3,757,195.74
2001 7.30 893,483.46 11.68 1,429,573.53
2002 7.11 939,592.05 12.28 1,622,811.59
2003 6.91 987,636.62 12.92 1,846,637.51
2004 6.71 1,039,053.31 13.53 2,095,140.29
2005 6.51 1,094,057.46 14.06 2,362,895.22
2006 6.31 22,842.97 14.45 52,310.77
Total 7,544,139.95 13,166,564.65
20Back-to-Back Loan
Loan of US 8.415m
Maple Energy (USA)
Wintel (USA)
LIBOR 1.45
Loan of Rmb70.018m
Maple Energy (CHN)
Wintel - China (CHN)
10.5
21Back-to-Back Loan
- Feasible?
- -Yes
- -Cash inflows in U.S. Dollars
- -Cash outflows in local currency (RMB)
- Risk?
- -Currency valuation risk borne by Wintel
- -Maple insulated from currency exchange risk
- -Limited interest rate risk due to variable loan
rate
22Back-to-Back Loan
- Cost?
- -Initial capital loaned to Wintel
- -Immediately converted to current currency
exchange rate (Rmb8.32/) - -Wintel will charge 10.5 for six year loan
- Income?
- -Maple earns LIBOR 1.45 return on six year
loan
23Back-to-Back Loan
- Repatriation?
- -Interest earned on initial capital
- -Initial capital returned in 6 years
- -Profits not exposed to currency risk
24Back-to-Back Loan Back-to-Back Loan Back-to-Back Loan Back-to-Back Loan Back-to-Back Loan
Real Cash Inflows (Repatriation) Real Cash Inflows (Repatriation) Real Cash Inflows (Repatriation) Real Cash Inflows (Repatriation) Real Cash Inflows (Repatriation)
RMB Appreciate RMB Appreciate RMB Depreciate RMB Depreciate
Date Exch. Rate(RMB/) Real CashInflow Exch. Rate(RMB/) Real Cash Inflow
1996 8.32 1,776,346.38 8.32 1,776,346.38
1997 8.32 1,776,346.38 8.32 1,776,346.38
1998 8.32 1,776,346.38 8.32 1,776,346.38
1999 8.32 1,776,346.38 8.32 1,776,346.38
2000 7.51 1,603,408.81 10.99 2,346,399.84
2001 7.30 1,558,573.14 11.68 2,493,717.03
Total 10,267,367.45 11,945,502.37
25Cash Flows for Original Financing Arrangement
26Borrow in Local Currency vs. Back-to-Back Loan
- Cash Flow / NPV
- Borrow in Local Currency 1,003,415
- Back-to-Back Loan 1,639,503
- Internal Rate of Return
- Borrow in Local Currency 15.2
- Back-to-Back Loan 15.3
27Action Plan
- Finance with Back-to-Back Loan
- Feasible, includes Solving Repatriation Issue
- No Currency Risk
- Lower Cost than Borrowing in Local Currency
- -Netting Interest Expense Interest Income
- Lower Cost Leads to Higher NPV IRR