Air Transport 1903 - 1950

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Air Transport 1903 - 1950
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Air Transport 1950 - 2000
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Air Transport2000 - 2050

• Carbon constrained or carbon free flight.
• Aerospace technology or eco-efficiency?
• UK visitors to Greece 1950 20,000
• 2000 2,000,000
• 2050 ??

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The Problem is the Rate of Growth
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Drivers for Future Growth
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Aviation, City and Regional Development

• High speed carriage of people and high value
  goods over long distances.
• Accessibility to remote and island communities.

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Economic Development(NW England)
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The Multicultural Society
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Travel for Personal Fulfilment
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The Global Society
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Aviations Contribution to the Development of
Humankind

• Patterns of trade / migration
• Global socio-economy
• Intergovernmental alliances EC,SADC,MERCOSUR, AL
• Russia,India,China,Brazil.
• Next Africa?

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Aviation and Sustainable Mobility

• Airports have critical role as inter-modal
  transport hubs.
• Airport capacity provision is therefore critical

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Environment constrains airports when

• Noise, emissions or risk exceed
• regulatory limits
• local agreements
• community tolerance
• political support

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Environment constrains airports when

• The airport cannot ensure secure and adequate
  resources (water, energy) to allow normal
  operations.
• Due competition with other industries, homes,
  tourism, farming.

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Environment Constrains Airports when

• Further infrastructure growth is restricted by
  sensitive habitats, culturally sensitive sites or
  buildings (houses).

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The move away from carbon fuels is more than
Climate Change Issue.

• Increasing demand for aviation fuel by 2050-60?
• Peak oil now
• 50 yrs conventional oil remain
• Alternatives costly and limited production
  potential

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Carbon Free in 50 Years?

• Monumental challenge
• Step change in Technology Infrastructure.
• 20-30 years away?
• Who will fund this change?

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Can we have a Global Society in a Carbon
Constrained World?