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Title: THE%20AMERICAS%20


1
CHAPTER 9
THE AMERICAS NAFTA
2
The Americas PRISMs
  • Do regional free trade agreements discriminate
    against nations outside the region?
  • Should the economic growth of developing nations
    hinge on opening their borders to Godzilla
    nations?
  • Should the U.S. evaluate NAFTA strictly on the
    basis of what it does for America?

3
  1. Should U.S. immigration laws be strictly
    enforced?
  2. Do Mexican immigrants contribute more to the USA
    than they receive from America?
  3. Who should be responsible for the unintended
    negative impacts of free trade agreements on
    companies workers?

4
THE PURPOSE OF NAFTATo eliminate all tariffs
between Canada, Mexico, the USA
5
Whats better than a large slice of pie
(economic growth)?(A slice from a larger pie)
6
Cómo le compara NAFTA con el EU? (How do NAFTA
the EU compare?)
NAFTA is much more modest in scope than the EU,
since NAFTA does not seek political unity
7
  • FTAs SHUFFLING CARDS
  • Free trade agreements reshuffle nations
    economies some old jobs are lost, or receive
    higher pay, or lower pay some new jobs are
    created.
  • Some companies go bankrupt some new companies
    are created
  • Some cities boom others erode.
  • FTAs are Social Darwinism (survival-of-the-fittes
    t) in action.

8
  • Does NAFTA really stand for
  • Not A Free Trade Agreement?
  • (Because only 3 nations benefit--the rest of the
    world still has to pay tariffs to export into the
    NAFTA zone)

9
THE ABC's OF NAFTA
10
LAS ABCS DE LAS TARIFAS
  • A category goods Zero tariffs immediately in
    1994
  • B category tariffs Lower tariffs 20 for 5
    years (1999)
  • C category tariffs Lower tariffs 10 annually
    for 10 years (2007)

11
  • A category Mostly U.S. exports high tech
    products, pharmaceuticals, aerospace
  • B category Low tech manufacturing clothing,
    construction supplies, etc.
  • C category Agriculture, service industries

12
NAFTA's SENSITIVE SECTORS
13
Each NAFTA nation is allowed to designate one
industry (the nations sensitive sector)
thatdoes not have to comply with NAFTA
regulations
14
El sector sensible (sensitive) de México OIL
15
Por qué es la agricultura el sector sensible de
los los Estados Unidos?
16
  • Because the U.S. government doesnt
  • want to cut farm subsidies
  • (required by NAFTA)
  • for fear of causing American farm instability.

17
El sector sensible de Canadá
Canada wants to protect its small companies run
by indigenous non-Anglo-Saxon peoples from
fierce competition from the U.S.
18
NAFTA TENSIONS
19
  • When nations make major economic changes, such as
    a FTA, there are both intended unintended
    outcomes. The unintended outcomes, both good and
    bad, must be considered in evaluating the success
    of any major economic change.

20
UNANTICIPATED OUTCOMES OF NAFTA
  • Asian European companies built factories in
    Mexico in order to export goods to the U.S.
    without tariffs
  • Many Mexican companies closed because they were
    no longer protected by tariffs
  • China began to siphon off jobs FDI from Mexico

21
Mexicos infrastructure for doing NAFTA business
is not nearly big enough
22
NAFTA requires all manufacturers to purchase a
sizable of their parts from CanAmerIco (local
sourcing requirement)
23
  1. Canadians are worried that NAFTA will undermine
    Canadian competitiveness, eventually cutting into
    their socialist comforts (high minimum wage, free
    health care, etc.)
  2. Due to the backing of large farming subsidies,
    American farmers are a major threat to most small
    MX farms
  3. Overall, NAFTA has not compensated for MXs
    innumerable social economic problems
    corruption, over-population, poor education,
    crumbling infrastructure, puny tax base, lack of
    credit, etc.

24
NAFTA HEAD-BUTTING
  • Current legal action Mexico imposed a 20 tariff
    on U.S. soft drinks sweetened with fructose corn
    syrup.
  • Mexico has charged the U.S. with anti-dumping
    tariffs over American beef exports

25
A coalition of environmental labor groups have
subjected Mexico to unfair trading practices in
restricting access (only 20 miles across the
border) of MX trucks to U.S. highways.
26
  • THE POSITIVE IMPACTS OF NAFTA

27
  • MXs trade with the USA has doubled since NAFTA
    went into effect exports to Canada have
    increased 40.
  • 88 of MXs trade is with the USA 11 of USA
    trade is with MX.
  • Between 1994-2000, MX received a record 74B in
    FDI
  • 20M new jobs have been created in the USA
    overall wages increased in the first decade of
    NAFTA.

28
  1. Doubling of USA-MX trade
  2. CanAmerIco received record FDI
  3. Boom for MX fruit/veg
  4. Two-party MX govt.

29
INCREASE IN MEXICOS POST-NAFTA EXPORTS TO THE
U.S.
  • 1981-1986 6 increase
  • 1987-1993 12 increase
  • 1994-2000 19.3 increase
  • 2001-2005 5 increase
  • MXs exports to Canada increased at a 14 average
    annual rate..

30
MEXICOS MARKET SHARE INCREASES IN THE NAFTA
ZONE, 1985 vs. 2000
  • Simple manufactured products 4.5 of NAFTA zone
    vs. 9.5
  • Natural resources mfg 3.1 vs. 3.7
  • Non-natural resources mfg 2.9 vs. 10.6

31
NAFTAS CRITICAL MASS PROCESSHow CanAmerIco
benefits from greater trade cooperation
  • Stimulates trade economic growth
  • Creates resource synergy
  • Attracts FDI
  • Expands the size of the economic pie

32
  1. NAFTA caused a critical mass process of
    economic development in CANIMERICO due to
    drawing in larger FDI to the region, enhancing
    business infrastructure, removing tariff
    protection from weak companies/industries in all
    3 NAFTA nations.
  2. Critical mass occurs when change produces more
    change opportunity produces more opportunity.

33
  1. Many attribute the emergence of Mexicos second
    political party (for the first time since 1929)
    in 2000 was directly tied to structural political
    changes stimulated by NAFTA.
  2. The number of Mexican illegal immigrants into the
    U.S. has been tempered by new jobs generated in
    Mexico by NAFTA. The current immigrant problem
    would likely be far worse without the free trade
    agreement.

34
  • Overall FDI for all 3 NAFTA members has increased
  • The Mexican fresh fruit vegetable business has
    tripled
  • NAFTA export activity through Texas has created
    250,000 new jobs in the state.

35
IMPACT ON THE USA
  • 1. A net increase of 914,000 new manufacturing
    jobs minus a decrease of 766,000 jobs wiped out
    by increased imports from MX a net gain of
    approx. 200,000 jobs
  • 2. Since the U.S. economy is 10X larger than
    Mexicos, the overall impact of NAFTA on the USA
    has been limited

36
Los nuevos servicios vienen con nuevo projectos
de negocio (New services come with new business
projects)
37
Pero el ganador más grande de NAFTA es(But the
biggest winner of NAFTA is TEXAS)
38
18 cents of each dollar stay in
the Texas economy in the form of insurance,
trucking, warehouses, etc.)
39
The poorest counties in Texas (light shaded)
stand to benefit most from NAFTA by their close
proximity of the border.
40
  • THE NEGATIVE IMPACTS OF NAFTA

41
  • IMPACT ON MX
  • MX ag hit by US subsidies
  • No net increase in MX mfging jobs
  • Non-oil exports have quadrupled
  • Wiped out the job infrastructure of lowest paid
    MX workers

42
  • 5. About 30 of maquiladora jobs were siphoned
    off by NAFTA-created jobs in the interior of MX
  • 6. MX agriculture has suffered a net loss in jobs
    revenue due to U.S. agricultural subsidies
  • 7. No increase in net manufacturing jobs in MX
    due to its concentration in component parts that
    are exported to the USA for product assembly
  • 8. Since 1994, MXs non-oil exports have
    increased 400 foreign direct investment by 14
    fold.

43
  • In the decade before NAFTA, Mexicos average
    annual per capita GDP grew at 0.1, compared to
    1.8 in the decade after NAFTA. However,
    post-NAFTA economic structural changes forced
    on Mexico by the IMF (for huge loans made to
    Mexico after its major currency crisis in the
    mid-1980s) wiped out whole swathes of Mexican
    industry that had been painstakingly built up in
    previous years. The result was a slowdown in
    economic growth, lost jobs, and falling wages.
    In effect, the IMFs mandatory structural changes
    in Mexicos economy more than wiped out the gains
    of NAFTA.

44
  • IMPACT ON USA
  • Eliminated 1M jobs (by 2006), mostly in mfging
  • Cumulative 1.2T in trade deficits with MX Can.
  • A major factor in steadily eroding blue collar
    wages in both U.S. Can.

45
  • NAFTA WORRIES
  • Foreign companies exporting to US via MX
  • Lack of tariff protection killed many MX corps
  • No big dent in MX social problems or income gap
    between N S MX

46
  • 4.After 15 years of the NAFTA effect in Latin
    America, only Chile had higher per capita output
    in 2000 than in 1980. A few other Latin
    economies had grown slightly, but they were no
    better off or worse off (during the period of
    NAFTA).
  • 5. The large inflows of foreign capital into
    Mexico and Latin America sometimes destabilized
    banks and national economies (due primarily to
    lower foreign interest rates) and fueled
    inflation (due to temporary excesses of capital
    in affected economies).

47
  • THE BOTTOM LINE ON NAFTA

48
  1. The NAFTA regime and transformation of state
    policies has so far been a success. It has not
    only produced anticipated and desirable policy
    outcomes, but has led to anticipated future
    positive outcomes and rewards.
  2. But the playing filed for the 3 partners has not
    been entirely leveled due to subsidies
    overzealous use of sensitive sector products.
  3. NAFTA has not yet brought about progress in the
    economic gaps between north and south Mexico.
  4. NAFTA has not caused any deterioration in
    Canadas welfare state as of yet.

49
  • The increased FDI business activity associated
    with NAFTA has not yielded more net jobs, but it
    has affected the pattern of jobs, boosting
    employment in some industries, but wiping out
    jobs in others.

50
  • NAFTA has shown that FTAs shift the composition
    of some jobs, with some winners some losers,
    but cannot be expected to create a net job gain
    in economies that are at full-employment, such as
    the USA Canada. In developing economies, such
    as MX, the NAFTA experience demonstrates that
    FTAs cant be counted on to produce much
    employment gain.

51
  • NAFTA was an agreement designed to make life
    easier for corporations, not workers. (Economic
    Policy Institute)
  • Since the 1980s, the wages of U.S. workers have
    not nearly kept pace with American productivity
    increases. If the min wage were based on
    productivity increases, it would 19.12 today.

52
  • 5. NAFTA has been a laboratory for testing
    whether or not neo-liberal capitalism (with its
    emphasis on letting the market, rather than the
    state, control economic growth) is in the best
    interest of developing nations. The regional
    regime has put pressures tensions in
    state-market relationships in both Mexico the
    U.S., deepening domestic cleavages between those
    who advocate the (exclusive) role of markets vs.
    those who wish to let firms stay embedded within
    social, political, historical institutions.
    What is at stake is whether welfare policies will
    survive or be transformed after NAFTAS
    restructuring of state capabilities.

53
THE ECONOMICS OF IMMIGRATION
54
  • LETTER TO THE EDITOR
  • Our southern border is as imaginary as the
    equator. Our politicians cannot see it any more
    than those who are crossing it illegally.
    Politicians wring their hands on this issue as
    though they are being asked to police the
    equator. If they cannot do the job then they
    should turn it over to the private sector. There
    are companies in America that would do an
    excellent job of taking care of our immigration
    problem on the southern border. Policymakers
    tell us that fences will not work. Yet the White
    House still has a fence around it. An estimated
    12 million illegals are in our country. How is it
    that we can send men to the moon but we cant
    send these illegals home?

55
  • LETTER TO THE EDITOR
  • Years ago HMOs lowered premiums and increased
    benefits until they gained control of the health
    care system. Then they tripled and quadrupled the
    premiums and cut benefits. The illegals from
    Mexico are following the HMO playbook. They come
    into our country and work for a third of  the
    average wage. When they take over the food
    industry, field work, motel and hotel jobs,
    restaurant and landscaping, they will then go on
    strike, shut down mainstream America and then
    demand the high wages that the American people
    were being paid before they took their jobs away.

56
  • Immigrant labor (10M strong) is the largest
    international industry in the Southwest USA

57
THE IMPACT OF ILLEGAL IMMIGRATION ON THE U.S.
ECONOMY
  • 1.8 trillion annual spending, U.S.
  • 220.7 billion annual spending, Texas
  • 652 billion annual contribution to U.S. GDP
  • 27 billion or more the costs of education,
    health care and incarceration in six states,
    including Texas

58
  • A 2007 report by the federation said the costs of
    education, health care and incarceration of
    undocumented immigrants in six states, including
    Texas, exceeds 27 billion annually.
  • "We need comprehensive reform that looks at our
    needs and addresses those needs," said the
    president of the group that examined data for 500
    sectors of the economy.

59
ILLEGAL IMMIGRANTS IN THE USA
  1. Estimated 9.3M illegal aliens in 2002 50
    Mexican and 23 other Latin American 23 in
    California, 12 in Texas (approx. 1.1M), 10 in
    Florida
  2. 6M of the 9.3M are believed to be employed,
    making up 5 of the total U.S. labor force.
  3. Growth of the illegal alien population in
    America 13M in 1994 16M in 1997 17.4M in
    2000 19.7M in 2003

60
  • 4. Median weekly earnings of full-time illegal
    immigrants in America 489 versus 643 for
    legal Americans
  • 5. Twenty thousand new H-1B visas were approved
    by Congress in 2004 to bring in skilled specialty
    immigrant workers (computer programmers, nurses)
    to the American economy
  • 6. 75 of day laborers in the U.S. (including 2/3
    of all workers in construction agriculture) are
    illegal.
  • 7. 2/3 of the 20M foreign-born workers in the
    Texas workforce are non-citizens.

61
RECENT GLOBAL LABOR TRENDS
  • 1. The overall of immigrants in the European
    American workforces is rising. Immigrants
    comprise approx. 15 of the American workforce
    today.
  • 2. China developing nations have doubled the
    amount of manufacturing they do for Western
    nations since the early 1990s.
  • 3. The IMF estimates that the global labor supply
    has increased 4-fold since 1980.
  • 4. In a recent study of 18 nations, the average
    real pay of workers has increased 0.24, raising
    questions about how much workers have benefited
    from the worlds recent growth.

62
ESTIMATED OF IMMIGRANT EMPLOYMENT IN U.S.
INDUSTRIES
  • Agriculture 61
  • Domestic housekeeping 36
  • Drywall installers 27
  • Landscaping 26
  • Maintenance 26
  • Meat handlers 25
  • Hand packers 22
  • Cement finishers 22
  • Roofers 21
  • Animal slaughter 20
  • Cleaning 19
  • Laundry 17
  • Apparel 16
  • Hospitality 14
  • Restaurants 11
  • Construction 10

63
  • Recent efforts to heavily fine U.S. companies
    who employ illegal Mexicans have already caused
    serious disruptions in the operations of many
    American businesses, especially in agriculture.
    Many farmers will produce only half of their
    normal crops due to growing labor shortages
    many farmers have chosen not to plant at all.

64
SHOULD AMERICA CLOSE ITS BORDERS?
  • Those who simply want to deport all unauthorized
    immigrants might be surprised at the economic
    result. I dont think they would be very happy.
    It would cause a lot of dislocation in terms of
    trying to maintain industries such as
    agriculture, construction, and hospitality.
  • Curbing the use of immigrant labor would cause
    the Central Texas building boom to fall flat on
    its back.
  • Theres just not enough raw bodies in the
    construction trades. I dont think that Congress
    recognizes the full impact of a closed border
    system.

65
  1. Theres an absolute numerical decline of Anglos
    in the labor force nationwide and in Texas.
    Without people from other cultures and origins
    coming here, wed actually see a decline in the
    American labor force.
  2. The jobs immigrants take are not the jobs
    Americans wont do. Immigrants are doing the
    jobs at the prices that are offered. Roofers and
    cement mixers who used top make 15 an hour
    arent going to work for 8.
  3. Were not just workers. Were not murders or
    criminals. We do important work. We work
    faster, for less money, and we do good work.

66
  • The U.S. has 12-15M undocumented workers
    employed primarily in agriculture, construction,
    food services, tourism. With the low
    unemployment rate below 5, where do we think we
    can realistically find people to fill unskilled
    or semi-skilled jobs? If every illegal immigrant
    was sent back to his country of origin, America
    would have a worker shortage across the board,
    not just in a few industries. Prices would
    skyrocket and it would take longer to get work
    doneif you could find people to do the work at
    all.

67
  • Looked at from a Christian point of view,
    nationalism is a very dangerous principle. The
    Christian understanding of who is our neighbor is
    not limited to those who look like us or who have
    the same citizenship papers.

68
MEXICOS SOCIAL ECONOMIC STRUGGLES
69
MXS CURRENT SOCIAL/ECONOMIC PROBLEMS
  • Rapid population growth (70m to 100M in last 20
    years) has outstripped good economic growth
  • Poor public education (national average of an 8th
    grade education)
  • Systemic corruption saps economic growth from the
    grass roots level drives off investors
  • Low farm subsidies cant compete with high USA
    farm subsidies
  • Mass urban overcrowding under-employment

70
  1. Because MXs average age is one of the youngest
    in the world (22), a million job seekers enter
    the MX economy each year.
  2. But the MX economy creates only 100,000 new jobs
    annually, clearly showing the need for NAFTA.

71
  1. 19m more Mexicans in poverty than 20 years ago,
    despite impressive NAFTA gains
  2. Half of population unable to meet daily needs
  3. 40 of rural Mexicans earn 1.40 daily
  4. Every day, 400-600 rural Mexicans move to urban
    areas, adding to the gross over-crowding
    under-employment

72
  1. China has used labor costs 75 lower (about 50
    cents daily) than Mexicos to pull away 300,000
    manufacturing jobs (especially in clothing) from
    300 MX plants
  2. Chinese workers are much better educated than MX
    workers, making it hard for MX to move up the
    value-chain in manufacturing
  3. MX is overly dependent on unskilled labor jobs

73
MEXICOS CORN DEPENDENCE
  1. MXs corn productivity increased by 30 from
    1993-1999, but wages fell 20.
  2. MX corn farmers largely dropped out of the market
    when heavily subsidized American Canadian corn
    flooded MX.
  3. Then when the U.S. Canada hit corn shortages in
    1996, MX ran out of corn the fatality rate of
    malnourished MX children soared.

74
OVERVIEW OF LATIN AMERICA
75
  • S.A. PER CAPITA GDP
  • Chile 14,500
  • Argentina. 14,400
  • Uruguay 13,300
  • Venezuela 12,800
  • Peru 8,600
  • Columbia 8,200
  • Ecuador 7,700
  • Paraguay 4,800
  • Bolivia 4,300

76
  • C.A. PER CAPITA GDP
  • MX 9803
  • Costa Rica 9481
  • Dominican 7499
  • El Salvador 5041
  • Guatemala 4313
  • Honduras 2876
  • Nicaragua 3634

77
LATIN AMERICAN EXPORTS AS A OF 2004 NATIONAL
GDP
  • ARGENTINA 25
  • BRAZIL 18
  • CHILE 41
  • COLOMBIA 22
  • MEXICO 30
  • PERU 21
  • VENEZUELA 36

78
LATIN AMERICAN IMPORTS AS A OF 2004 NATIONAL
GDP
  • ARGENTINA 18
  • BRAZIL 13
  • CHILE 32
  • COLOMBIA 22
  • MEXICO 32
  • PERU 18
  • VENEZUELA 20

79
AVERAGE GROWTH RATE OF LATIN AMERICAN NATION,
1990-2000
  • ARGENTINA 3.2
  • BRAZIL 1.3
  • CHILE 4.9
  • COLOMBIA 0.8
  • MEXICO 1.8
  • PERU 2.1
  • VENEZUELA -0.1
  • LATIN AMERICA OVERALL 2.0

80
SOURCES OF FDI TO MEXICO
  • USA 63 of MX FDI
  • EU 26
  • Canada 3
  • Japan 2
  • All other nations 6

81
MIDDLE CLASS GROWTH IN LATIN AMERICA
82
LATIN AMERICAN PER CAPITA GDP
  • Mexico 9803
  • Costa Rica 9481
  • Dominican Rep 7499
  • El Salvador 5041
  • Guatemala 4313
  • Honduras 2876
  • Nicaragua 3634

83
  • 1. Economic growth in several South American
    nations is spurring significant middle class
    growth (in contrast to the historical demographic
    profile of a small minority of upper class rich
    vs. a giant majority of lower class poor).
  • 2. The new economic growth is based on
    proliferating small family businesses in contrast
    to the socialized government-backed state
    companies of the 1970s 1980s, which fell apart
    in the regions debt crisis of the 1990s.

84
  • 3. Under new government definitions of poverty,
    families that can provide for their own economic
    needs free of government support are classified
    as residing above the poverty level. Forty
    percent of Argentinas families have now reached
    this level.
  • 4. Economic growth projections for 2010 predict
    that approximately half of Latin American
    families will move above the poverty level, 15M
    Mexican households out of the 27M total by 2012.

85
  • 5. In both Brazil Mexico, the incomes of the
    poorest half of the population are growing faster
    than the average, the overall poverty rate is
    steadily declining.
  • 6. Poverty has declined more in Chile than
    anywhere else in Latin America due to sustained
    new job growth fewer children in families.
    Chiles income distribution is also becoming less
    unequal.
  • 7. Latin America is going faster towards a
    middle class society than we could have imagined
    20 years ago.

86
FREE TRADE AGREEMENT OF THE AMERICAS (FTAA)
87
Creation of a free trade zone from Canada to
Argentina
88
BEYOND NAFTA?
  • When NAFTA came into effect in 1994, 34 nations
    in the Americas pledged to negotiate a regional
    free trade agreement, the Free Trade Agreement of
    the Americas, by 2005. The U.S. initially
    championed the FTAA, hoping it would erode high
    Latin tariffs against American exports. But at
    the 2005 Summit of the Americans conference,
    Latin American nations declined to pursue the
    FTAA for the time being, but Chile, Brazil,
    Colombia pursued bilateral free trade agreements
    with the U.S.

89
  • In recent years, the Andean Community (Bolivia,
    Colombia, Ecuador, Peru, Venezuela) developed
    much closer trade ties with the EU , eclipsing
    the amount of trade Latin American now does with
    the U.S. Brazil Chile have the largest trading
    relationship with the EU overall. The EU now
    invests more in CAN (Andean Community) than the
    U.S. does, accounting for a quarter of all Latin
    American FDI.

90
LATIN AMERICAN FREE TRADE PROGRESS
  • 33 nations have worked since 1998 to put together
    a free trade zone in the Americas by 2005.
  • The Andean Community recently merged with
    MERCOSUR (The Southern Common Market nations of
    Brazil, Argentina, Paraguay Uruguay) to form
    the South American Community of Nations.
  • The U.S. currently has unilateral FTAs with
    Chile, Colombia, Panama pending possible approval
    by Congress.

91
  • Mexico has free trade agreements with the EU,
    Israel, Japan, and several South American
    nations.
  • In addition to its free trade agreement with the
    U.S., Chile has also brokered free trade deals
    with Canada, China, the EU, South Korea, Mexico,
    Panama, Peru, Singapore.

92
CAFTA
  • The Central American Free Trade Agreement (2005)
    removes tariff barriers between the USA 6
    nations El Salvador, Nicaragua, Honduras,
    Guatemala, Costa Rica, the Dominican Republic
  • 80 of the goods from these 6 nations were
    already free of tariffs before CAFTA went into
    effect
  • CAFTA has only 44M people most are not yet
    middle class consumers.

93
  • Latin American opponents of free trade with the
    USA worry that farmers, especially of corn,
    cotton, and wheat, will struggle to compete with
    their heavily subsidized counterparts in the U.S.
    They also worry that American corporations will
    try to take out patents on native plants that can
    be cultivated for medicinal purposes.

94
  • 4. Central American leaders
  • view CAFTA as vital in order to
  • force the region to upgrade
  • competitivelyespecially to keep
  • China from siphoning off FDI and
  • labor-intensive jobs from the region.
  • 5. The U.S. feels CAFTA will also strengthen
    protection of American intellectual property
    (trademarks, patents, etc.) in Central America.

95
  1. CATFA will increase the openness and
    accountability of Central American governments
    because their economies will be subject to close
    scrutiny.
  2. CAFTA will also stimulate regional trade, since
    tariffs and other protectionist barriers will be
    largely outlawed. This will be especially
    important to Nicaragua, the poorest CAFTA member,
    which still has no paved roads to its Atlantic
    coast.

96
  • 8. Economists estimate that CAFTA will produce
    only a .01 annual export gain for the U.S.
    economy, but total annual exports of the 6 CAFTA
    nations to the U.S. should increase by nearly 15
    (2.7B).

97
FTAA THREAT TO MEXICO
  1. If the Free Trade Agreement of the Americas
    becomes reality in some form, Mexico will
    probably face tough competition from the labor
    cost advantages of many Central American
    Caribbean nations.

98
  • THE CAPITALISM SPLIT IN SOUTH AMERICA

99
  • Since 2005, South American nations have diverged
    in capitalist ideology. Chile, Brazil, Colombia,
    Mexico want to pursue neo-liberal
    (traditional non-socialist) capitalism based on
    close ties to the U.S. Venezuela, Bolivia,
    Ecuador, and Argentina favor a less pure form of
    capitalism mixed with varying degrees of
    socialism. (21st century socialism). This
    mixed capitalism is based on the governments
    running utilities, airlines, the oil industries
    as well as forming joint ventures with large
    private corporations holding a large economic
    stake in Latin America.

100
  1. The economic income gap between rich and poor is
    a major reason for growing uneasiness with
    capitalism. In many South American nations, the
    richest 20 own over 60 of the total wealth,
    while the poorest 20 typically average only 5.
  2. Also high inflation (20) the resulting high
    interest rates are commonplace throughout the
    region.

101
  • 3. Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez has launched
    his own Bolivarian Revolution (named after
    Simon Bolivar, who liberated several South
    American nations from colonial control in the
    19th century) designed to lessen the regions
    perceived economic domination by the U.S.
    Western global government organizations (the
    IMF/World Bank, the World Trade Organization)
    to promote greater trade cooperation from
    within the Andean Community.

102
  • US clout in Latin America has sunk to
  • perhaps the lowest point in decades. Latin
    Americans now view the US as a banana republic.
    The major causes are
  • 1.The US financial collapse which promises to
    have significant negative spill over effects for
    Latin America. US lectures to Latin America
    about excess greed and lack of accountability
    have long run hollow, but today they sound even
    more ridiculous.
  • 2. Economic austerity measures pressed on Latin
    America by the US over the past decade.
  • 3. The re-emergence of anti-American leftist
    leaders in several LA nations.

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  • 4. A significant decline of US investment in LA
    from 30 to 20 over the past decade.
  • 5. Rapid trade growth with LA by both China the
    EU.
  • 6. Russian provision of arms military equipment
    to Venezuela.
  • 7. Increasing trade of technology between LA
    France. Similar deals could have been made with
    the US had it been willing to share its
    technology.
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