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Campaigns and Elections

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Campaigns and Elections Candidates self-starters vs. recruited by parties Motivation Profile Changing campaign styles More personalized Less reliant on ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Campaigns and Elections


1
Campaigns and Elections
2
Candidates
  • self-starters vs. recruited by parties
  • Motivation
  • Profile

3
(No Transcript)
4
Changing campaign styles
  • More personalized
  • Less reliant on organization
  • More expensive
  • More professionals, less volunteers

5
Stump Speaking by George Caleb Bingham c.
1830s
6
Warren Hardings Front Porch Campaign Mass
Media Election, 1920
7
Harry Trumans Whistle Stop Campaign, 1948
8
Television Campaign Ads
Are the biggest part of spending in modern
campaigns.
  • They can be designed to promote a candidate in a
    number of ways
  • Present a biography Introduce the candidate
  • Claim accomplishments/record
  • Compare to other candidates
  • Respond to other ads

An example
Ronald Reagans Morning in America (1984)
Into which category does this fall?
LBJ Daisy (1964)
9
Iowa Caucus and New Hampshire Primary dominate
early political news coverage
10
Primaries
  • Closed
  • Open
  • Blanket
  • Run-off

11
Caucus
12
1860 GOP Convention
13
The Convention
  • Presidential candidates have been nominated by
    the convention method in every election since
    1832.
  • Seating the Delegates.
  • Convention Activities.
  • Speech making
  • Platform formulation
  • Presidential Balloting
  • Acceptance Speeches
  • Becoming less relevant

14
Campaign Finance Terminology
Hard money Soft money Air war Ground war
Political Action Committees (PACs)
Harry Louise Issue Ad
527 Groups (or Committees)
If Parents Acted Like Bush
15
Regulations
  • Hatch Act (1939)
  • Federal Election Campaign Act (1974)
  • McCain-Feingold (2002)

16
(Historical) Legal Regulations on Registration
  • Poll Tax
  • Literacy Test
  • Requiring re-registration at periodic intervals
  • Purging for nonvoting
  • Residency requirements
  • Closing date for registration
  • Office hours for registration may be limited to
    regular business hours
  • Registration offices can be limited or widely
    available
  • Deputy registrars
  • Absentee registration

17
Wolfinger Rosenstones Hypotheses
  • Hypotheses
  • Consequential restrictions
  • Reforms suggested

18
Voter turnout
19
Electoral Law
  • Most states require registration
  • Elections occur on a Tuesday
  • Votes must be cast in the assigned precinct
    during polling hours
  • Absentee ballots need to be requested in advance
  • Elections are SMDP

20
Machinery of Elections
21
How voters decide
  • Socio-economic and demographic factors
  • Education
  • Income/socio-economic status
  • Religion
  • Ethnicity/Race
  • Gender
  • Age
  • Region
  • Psychological factors
  • Party identification
  • Perception of the candidates in terms of image
    and trustworthiness
  • Issue preferences, especially on economic issues

22
Party ID measured on a seven-point scale
23
Cartogram of Electoral College Votes
24
(No Transcript)
25
The Electoral Map 10/15 (Time)
26
2004 Results State Level
Source http//www-personal.umich.edu/mejn/electi
on/
27
2004 Results State (pop adj)
Source http//www-personal.umich.edu/mejn/electi
on/
28
2004 Results State (EC adj)
Source http//www-personal.umich.edu/mejn/electi
on/
29
2004 Results County Level
Source http//www-personal.umich.edu/mejn/electi
on/
30
2004 Results County Level (pop adj)
Source http//www-personal.umich.edu/mejn/electi
on/
31
2004 Results County (intensity)
Source http//www-personal.umich.edu/mejn/electi
on/
32
2004 Results County (intensity, pop)
Source http//www-personal.umich.edu/mejn/electi
on/
33
Caveat Sometimes the polls are wrong
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