Title: Principles of Managerial Finance 9th Edition
1Principles of Managerial Finance9th Edition
Institutions, Securities, Markets and Rates
2Learning Objectives
- Understand the relationship between financial
institutions and markets, and the role of the
money market. - Describe the key characteristics and types of
corporate bonds. - Differentiate between debt and equity capital.
- Discuss the rights, characteristics, and features
of both common and preferred stock.
3Learning Objectives
- Review the operation of the capital market,
particularly the securities exchanges and the
role of the investment banker. - Describe the interest rate fundamentals and the
basic relationship between risk and rates of
return.
4Financial Institutions Markets
- Firms that require funds from external sources
can obtain them in three ways - through a bank or other financial institution
- through financial markets
- through private placements
- This chapter will focus on financial institutions
and markets
5Financial Institutions Markets
Financial Institutions
- Financial institutions are intermediaries that
channel the savings of individuals, businesses,
and governments into loans or investments. - The key suppliers and demanders of funds are
individuals, businesses, and governments. - In general, individuals are net suppliers of
funds, while businesses and governments are net
demanders of funds.
6Financial Intermediaries in the U.S.
7The Changing Role of Financial Institutions
DIDMCA
- A revolution in the financial services industry
began with the passage of the Depository
Institutions Deregulation and Monetary Control
Act of 1980. - This legislation was crafted and passed as a
result of the tumultuous conditions in the
financial markets during the late 1970s which
resulted in rapid disintermediation.
8The Changing Role of Financial Institutions
DIDMCA
- DIDMCA (1980) actually consisted of two parts
Depository Institutions Deregulation and Monetary
Control. - DID was designed to do a number of things
- curtail regulation Q (interest rate ceilings)
- increase various sources of funding available to
banks - expand the scope and activity of SLs by allowing
them to invest in other than home mortgages
9The Changing Role of Financial Institutions
DIDMCA
- The monetary control (MC) portion of DIDMCA was
designed to extend the Feds control to thrifts
and nonmember banks by extending reserve
requirements and other controls to them. - This permitted both greater competition for
deposits and more flexibility in terms of the
types of investments various institutions could
make.
10Financial Markets
- Financial markets provide a forum in which
suppliers of funds and demanders of funds can
transact business directly. - The two key financial markets are the money
market and the capital market. - Transactions in short term marketable securities
take place in the money market while transactions
in long-term securities take place in the capital
market.
11Financial Markets
- Whether subsequently traded in the money or
capital market, securities are first issued
through the primary market. - The primary market is the only one in which a
corporation or government is directly involved in
and receives the proceeds from the transaction. - Once issued, securities then trade on the
secondary markets such as the New York Stock
Exchange or NASDAQ.
12Financial Markets
13Claims to Wealth
- While real assets include the direct ownership
of tangible assets such as land or buildings,
financial assets represent claims against the
income and assets of those who issued the
claims. - Types of financial assets include stocks, bonds,
and bank deposits. - Some financial assets, such as stocks and bonds,
can be traded in the secondary markets while
others, such as bank deposits, cannot.
14The Relationship between Financial Institutions
and Financial Markets
Indirect finance
Direct finance
15The Money Market
- The money market exists as a result of the
interaction between the suppliers and demanders
of short-term funds (those having a maturity of a
year or less). - Most money market transactions are made in
marketable securities which are short-term debt
instruments such as T-bills and commercial paper. - Money market transactions can be executed
directly or through an intermediary.
16Money market instrument
- Treasury bill
- Bankers acceptance
- Negotiable certificate of deposit
- Commercial paper
- Federal funds
17The Money Market
- The international equivalent of the domestic
(U.S.) money market is the Eurocurrency market. - The Eurocurrency market is a market for
short-term bank deposits denominated in U.S.
dollars or other marketable currencies. - The Eurocurrency market has grown rapidly mainly
because it is unregulated and because it meets
the needs of international borrowers and lenders.
18Corporate Bonds
- Bonds are long-term debt instruments issued by
corporations. - Corporate bonds typically pay interest
semiannually, pay fixed coupon interest, have a
par or face value of 1,000 and have an original
maturity of 10 to 30 years. - Furthermore, they have a prior claim on the
firms assets (in from of stockholders) but do
not represent ownership in the firm.
19Corporate Bonds
Legal Aspects
- The bond indenture specifies the conditions
under which it has been issued. - It outlines both the rights of bondholders and
duties of the issuing corporation. - It also specifies the timing of interest and
principal payments, any restrictive covenants,
and sinking fund requirements.
20Corporate Bonds
Legal Aspects
- Common standard debt provisions in the
indenture typically include - the maintenance of satisfactory accounting
records - periodically furnishing audited financial
statements - the payment of taxes and other liabilities when
due - the maintenance of all facilities in good working
order - identification of any collateral pledged against
the bond
21Corporate Bonds
Legal Aspects
- Common restrictive provisions (or covenants) in
the indenture typically include - the maintenance of a minimum level of liquidity
- prohibiting the sale of accounts receivable
- the imposition of certain fixed asset investments
- constraints on subsequent borrowing
- limits on annual cash dividend payments
22Corporate Bonds
Legal Aspects
- An additional restrictive provision often
included in the indenture is a sinking fund
requirement, which specifies the manner in
which a bond is systematically retired prior to
maturity. - Sinking funds typically dictate that the firm
make semi- annual or annual payments to a trustee
who then purchases the bonds in the market.
23Corporate Bonds
Cost of Bonds
- In general, the longer the bonds maturity, the
higher the interest rate (or cost) to the firm. - In addition, the larger the size of the
offering, the lower will be the cost (in
terms) of the bond. - Finally, the greater the risk of the issuing
firm, the higher the cost of the issue.
24Corporate Bonds
General Features
- The conversion feature of convertible bonds
allows bondholders to exchange their bonds for a
specified number of shares of common stock. - Bondholders will exercise this option only when
the market price of the stock is greater than
the conversion price. - A call feature (callable bond), which is
included in most corporate issues, gives the
issuer the opportunity to repurchase the bond
prior to maturity at the call price.
25Corporate Bonds
General Features
- In general, the call premium is equal to one
year of coupon interest and compensates the
holder for having it called prior to maturity. - Furthermore, issuers will exercise the call
feature when interest rates fall and the issuer
can refund the issue at a lower cost. - Issuers typically must pay a higher rate to
investors for the call feature compared to
issues without the feature.
26Corporate Bonds
General Features
- Bonds also are occasionally issued with stock
purchase warrants attached to them to make them
more attractive to investors. - Warrants give the bondholder the right to
purchase a certain number of shares of the same
firms common stock at a specified price during
a specified period of time. - Including warrants typically allow the firm to
raise debt capital at a lower cost than would be
possible in their absence.
27Variety of Corporate Debt
Secured Bond
Mortgage Bonds
- Mortgage bonds are backed by real estate and/or
the physical assets of the corporation. - The real assets pledged will have a market value
greater than the bond issue. - If the company defaults on the bonds, the real
assets are sold off to pay off the mortgage bond
holders.
28Variety of Corporate Debt
Equipment Trust Certificates
Secured Bond
- Equipment trust certificates are very similar to
automobile loans. - When you borrow money for your new car, you make
a down payment. Then you make your monthly
installment payments. - At no time throughout the life of the loan is
your car worth less than the outstanding amount
of the loan.
29Variety of Corporate Debt
Equipment Trust Certificates
Secured Bond
- Many railroad and transportation companies use
equipment trust certificates to meet their
financing needs. airline trustee
investor - Usually, 20 of the purchase price is put down by
the company in the form of a down payment. Then
the balance is paid off over 15 years.
lease
fund
ETC
Serial payment
fund
buy
Airplane manufacturer
30Variety of Corporate Debt
Equipment Trust Certificates
- When the company is finished paying off the loan,
it receives clear title from the trustee. - If the company defaults on its loan, the
equipment is sold off and the bond holders are
paid off.
31Variety of Corporate Debt
Equipment Trust Certificates
- Equipment Trust Certificates are serial bonds.
- That is, each time a payment is made, a portion
of that payment is interest and a portion of that
payment is principal. - In this way, as previously stated, the loan
amount never exceeds the collateral value.
32Variety of Corporate Debt
Debentures
Unsecured Bond
- Debentures are unsecured promissory notes that
are supported by the general creditworthiness of
the issuing company. - Because no assets are pledged, these bonds are
riskier than collateralized bonds. - As a result, they are often referred to as
subordinate debt and carry higher interest rates
and/or other features to make them more desirable
to investors.
33Variety of Corporate Debt
Unsecured Bond
Income Bonds
- Income bonds will only pay interest if income is
earned by the issuing company and only to the
extent that income is earned. - Income bonds are the only bonds issued where
failure to pay the interest in a timely fashion
does not lead to immediate default. - As a result, income bonds are considered to be
extremely risky.
34Variety of Corporate Debt
Income Bonds
- In general, income bonds are issued by a company
in bankruptcy. - The company facing bankruptcy will meet with its
creditors (usually bond holders) and agree to
issue new income bonds in exchange for the old
bonds. - Because failure to pay interest would land the
company back into bankruptcy court, the creditors
agree that interest will only be paid to the
extent earned.
35Variety of Corporate Debt
Convertible Bonds
- Convertible bonds are one type of hybrid
security. - They are like bonds in that they pay a fixed rate
of interest and have a maturity date. - They are also like stock because they give the
investor an option to convert the bond into a
specified number of shares of stock. - The market price of a convertible bond therefore
depends both on the firms stock price and
prevailing interest rates.
36Variety of Corporate Debt
Variable Interest Rate Bonds (floating-rate bonds)
- Variable interest rate bonds are bonds with
coupon rates that vary with changes in short-term
interest rates (like adjustable rate mortgages). - Usually, the interest rate is pegged to another
rate such as U.S. Treasury bills. - In general, the market price of a variable rate
bond will be less volatile. - On most bonds, an increase in interest rates will
result in a decrease in market price.
37Variety of Corporate Debt
Discount and Zero Coupon Bonds
- A zero coupon bond pays no coupon interest from
year to year the way most bonds do. - Investors earn their returns by purchasing the
bonds at deep discounts from the bonds face
value, and then receiving the full face value at
maturity. - Since the return on a zero depends strictly on
the issuing firms ability to pay the face value
at maturity, only the most creditworthy firms are
able to issue them.
38Variety of Corporate Debt
High-Yield (Junk) Bonds
- High-yield bonds are not a different type of bond
-- simply a bond of lower quality. - Bonds rated BB (SP) or Ba (Moodys) or lower are
considered to be junk. - Junk bonds are usually debentures and are
subordinated to the firms other debt. - In general, junk bonds pay around 3 to 4 percent
higher yields to investors than higher-grade
bonds.
39Variety of Corporate Debt
Extendible Notes
- Extendible Notes Short-tern ( 1-5 years) note
renewable at the option of holders in the new
market rate.
40Variety of Corporate Debt
Putable Bonds
- Putable bond bonds redeemable at par value at
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41Retiring Debt
Serial-Bonds
- A serial bond is simply one in which some of the
bonds in the issue mature or are retired each
year rather than all at once. - Serial bonds are usually used by companies to
finance costly equipment, or by municipalities to
finance capital improvements. - Also, the assets financed are usually used as
collateral to secure the bonds.
42Retiring Debt
Sinking Funds
- A sinking fund is simply a series of periodic
payments to retire part of a debt issue. - In most cases, the periodic payments plus the
interest earned on those deposits retire the debt
at maturity. - In some cases, the firm sets aside funds and
randomly selects bonds to be called. - Strong sinking funds set aside a large amount to
be retired (say 10 per year).
43Retiring Debt
Sinking Funds
- Weak sinking funds will leave most of the issue
outstanding until maturity. - This is sometimes referred to as a balloon
payment. - Bonds with strong sinking funds are generally
considered to be less risky than those with weak
sinking funds.
44Retiring Debt
Repurchasing Debt
- Firms that have outstanding bonds which have
substantially declined in price and are selling
at a discount are sometimes repurchased by the
issuer in the open market. - Thus, a firm with bonds selling at 500 with a
face value of 1000 can cut their financing costs
in half. - However, this decision must be weighed against
any alternative uses for the cash used to execute
the repurchase. also the subsequent financing
needs.
When interest rate
45Retiring Debt
Eurobond Foreign bond
Callable Bonds
- A call feature gives the issuer the right (or
option) to retire a debt issue prior to maturity. - Issuers tend to call bonds that were issued
during a period of high interest rates because it
gives them the opportunity to refund the debt at
a lower rate. - To protect investors, callable bonds usually
require the issuer to pay a call premium which
amounts to one year of extra interest expense
(but usually declines over time). - putable bond holders have the option to redeem
it at par at every 1 to 5 years or when firms
liquidate, MA,
46Bond Risk
Sources of Risk
- Default Risk
- Risk that the interest will not be paid
- Risk that the principal will not be paid
- Risk that the price of the bond will decline due
to poor company prospects - Inflation Risk
- Call Risk
- Interest Rate Risk.
47Corporate Bonds
Bond Ratings
Junk bond
48The Nature of Equity Capital
Contrasting Debt Equity
49The Nature of Equity Capital
Voice in Management
- Unlike bondholders and other credit holders,
holders of equity capital are owners of the firm. - Common equity holders have voting rights that
permit them to elect the firms board of
directors and to vote on special issues. - Bondholders and preferred stockholders receive no
such privileges.
50The Nature of Equity Capital
Claims on Income Assets
- Equity holders are have a residual claim on the
firms income and assets. - Their claims can not be paid until the claims of
all creditors, including both interest and
principle payments on debt have been satisfied. - Because equity holders are the last to receive
distributions, they expect greater returns to
compensate them for the additional risk they bear.
51The Nature of Equity Capital
Maturity
- Unlike debt, equity capital is a permanent form
of financing. - Equity has no maturity date and never has to be
repaid by the firm.
52The Nature of Equity Capital
Tax Treatment
- While interest paid to bondholders is
tax-deductible to the firm, dividends paid to
preferred and common stock holders is not. - In effect, this lowers the cost of debt relative
to the cost of equity as a source of financing to
the firm.
53Common Stock
Stockholder Rights
Voting Rights
Nonvoting common stock Super-voting common stock
In general, voting rights are relatively
meaningless since share ownership is very widely
dispersed among a large number of individual
shareholders. As a result, directors and top
management are relatively well-insulated.
This has begun to diminish to some extent in
recent years due to the rapid expansion of large
institutional investors such as mutual funds and
insurance companies.
54Common Stock
Stockholder Rights
- Voting Rights
- traditional voting
Under traditional voting, each share owned gives
the shareholder the right to vote for one
individual for each seat on the board of
directors.
Under this system, if the majority of
shareholders vote as a block, the minority could
never elect a director.
55Common Stock
Stockholder Rights
- Voting Rights
- traditional voting
- cumulative voting
This system empowers minority stockholders by
permitting each stockholder to cast all of his or
her votes for one candidate for the firms board
of directors.
56Common Stock
Stockholder Rights
- Voting Rights
- traditional voting
- cumulative voting
- Example
Under traditional voting, a shareholder with 100
shares can vote 100 shares for each of 5 members
of the board of directors.
Under cumulative voting, a shareholder with 100
shares can vote 500 shares for just one member
running for the board of directors.
57Common Stock
Stockholder Rights
- Voting Rights
- Preemptive Rights
A preemptive right gives a shareholder the right
to maintain his or her proportionate share of the
company by requiring that all new shares issued
must be done so through a rights offering.
Under a rights offering, a shareholder who owns
10 of the shares outstanding has the right to
purchase 10 of any additional shares issued.
58- Rights offering the firm gives existing
shareholders a right to purchase additional
shares at pro rata basis at price lower than the
market
59Common Stock
Stockholder Rights
- Ownership
- Outstanding shares issued shares-treasury shares
- Additional shares that can be issued in the
future authorized shares outstanding shares
Privately owned Closely owned Publicly owned
60Common Stock
Stockholder Rights
- Voting Rights
- Preemptive Rights
- Proxies
Proxies are frequently used in the voting process
since many smaller stockholders do not attend the
annual meeting. Shareholders must sign a proxy
statement giving their votes to another party who
will then vote their shares.
61Common Stock
Dividends
- Payment of dividends is at the discretion of the
Board of Directors. - Dividends may be made in cash, additional shares
of stock, and even merchandise. - Stockholders are residual claimants -- they
receive dividend payments only after all claims
have been settled with the government, creditors,
and preferred stockholders.
62Common Stock
International Stock Issues
- The international market for common stock is not
as large as that for international debt. - However, cross-border trading and issuance of
stock has increased dramatically during the past
20 years. - Much of this increase has been driven by the
desire of investors to diversify their portfolios
internationally.
63Common Stock
International Stock Issues
Stock Issued in Foreign Markets
- A growing number of firms are beginning to list
their stocks on foreign markets. - Issuing stock internationally both broadens the
companys ownership base and helps it to
integrate itself in the local business scene.
64Common Stock
International Stock Issues
Foreign Stocks in U.S. Markets
- Only the largest foreign firms choose to list
their stocks in the U.S. because of the rigid
reporting requirements of the U.S. markets. - Most foreign firms instead choose to tap the U.S.
markets using ADRs -- claims issued by U.S. banks
representing ownership shares of foreign stock
trading in U.S. markets.
65Preferred Stock
- Preferred stock is an equity instrument that
usually pays a fixed dividend and has a prior
claim on the firms earnings and assets in case
of liquidation. - The dividend is expressed as either a dollar
amount or as a percentage of its par value. - Therefore, unlike common stock a preferred
stocks par value may have real significance. - If a firm fails to pay a preferred stock
dividend, the dividend is said to be in arrears.
no par value
66Preferred Stock
- In general, and arrearage must be paid before
common stockholders receive a dividend. - Preferred stocks which possess this
characteristic are called cumulative preferred
stocks. v.s. non-cumulative P.S. - Preferred stocks are also often referred to as
hybrid securities because they possess the
characteristics of both common stocks and bonds. - Preferred stocks are like common stocks because
they are perpetual securities with no maturity
date.
67Preferred Stock
Convertible Restrictive covenant
- Preferred stocks are like bonds because they are
fixed income securities. Dividends never change. - Because preferred stocks are perpetual, many have
call features which give the issuing firm the
option to retire them should the need or
advantage arise. - In addition, some preferred stocks have mandatory
sinking funds which allow the firm to retire the
issue over time. - Finally, participating preferred stock allows
preferred stockholders to participate with common
stockholders in the receipt of dividends beyond a
specified amount.
68Preferred Stocks Bonds Contrasted
- Preferred stocks are riskier than bonds from the
investor perspective because - Bond terms are legal obligations
- The investor cannot expect the firm to redeem
preferred stock for a preset face value. It must
be sold in the market at an uncertain price. - Preferred stock prices are therefore more
variable and thus riskier than bond prices.
69Disadvantages of Preferred Stock
- Preferred stock offers no protection from
inflation. - Preferred stock tends to be less marketable than
either bonds or common stock resulting in a large
bid-ask spread. - Inferior position to bondholders.
- Yields are insufficient for most (non-corporate)
investors to justify risk.
70Securities Exchanges
- role
- Financing
- Investment
- Efficient market
- Price discovery
- Liquidity
P
S
D
Q
71Securities Exchanges
Organized Exchanges
- Organized securities exchanges are tangible
secondary markets where outstanding securities
are bought and sold. - They account for over 60 of the dollar volume
of domestic shares traded. - Only the largest and most profitable companies
meet the requirements necessary to be listed on
the New York Stock Exchange.
72Securities Exchanges
Organized Exchanges
- Only those that own a seat on the exchange can
make transactions on the floor (there are
currently 1,366 seats). - Trading is conducted through an auction process
where - specialists make a market in selected
securities. - As compensation for executing orders,
specialists make - money on the spread (ask price - bid price).
- Bid price dealers highest purchasing price
- Ask price dealers lowest selling price
73Securities Exchanges
Organized Exchanges
Requirements NYSE AMEX shares held by
public 1,100,000
400,000 stockholders with 100 shares
2,000 1,200 pretax income
(latest year)
2,500,000 750,000 pretax income
(prior 2 years)
2,000,000 N/A MV of public shares
held 18,000,000
300,000 tangible assets
16,000,000 4,000,000
74Securities Exchanges
Over-the-Counter Exchange
- The over-the-counter (OTC) market is an
intangible market for securities transactions. - The OTC is a computer-based market where dealers
make a market in selected securities and are
linked to buyers and sellers through the NASDAQ
System. - Dealers also make money on the spread.
75Securities Price Quotations
Bond Quotations
76Securities Price Quotations
Stock Quotations
77Functions of Investment Bankers
Underwriting, Private Placement Best Efforts
not in the text book
- Corporations typically raise debt and equity
capital using the services of investment bankers
through public offerings. - When underwriting a security issue, an
investment bankers guarantees the issuer will
receive a specified amount of money from the
issue. - The investment banker purchases the securities
from the firm at a lower price than the planned
resale price.
78Functions of Investment Bankers
Underwriting, Private Placement Best Efforts
- When underwriting an issue, the investment
banker bears the risk of price changes between
the time of purchase and the time of resale. - With a private placement, the investment banker
arranges for the direct sale of the issue to
one or more individuals or firms and receives a
commission for acting as the intermediary in the
transaction. - When a firm issues securities on a best efforts
basis, compensation is based on the number of
securities sold.
79Functions of Investment Bankers
Advising
- Underwriters also act as advisors and
consultants for corporations. - They can assist firms in planning both the
timing of an issue and the amount and features
of an issue. - They also can assist in evaluating mergers and
acquisitions.
80Other Aspects of Investment Banking
Selecting an Investment Banker
- An investment banker may be selected through
competitive bidding, where the banker or group
of bankers that bids the highest price for an
issue is chosen for the underwriting. - With a negotiated offering, the investment
banker is merely hired rather than awarded the
issue through a competitive bid.
81Other Aspects of Investment Banking
Syndicating the Underwriting
- Underwriting syndicates are typically formed
when companies bring large issues to the market. - Each investment banker in the syndicate normally
underwrites a portion of the issue in order to
reduce the risk of loss for any single firm and
insure wider distribution of shares. - The syndicate does so by creating a selling
group which distributes the shares to the
investing public.
82Other Aspects of Investment Banking
Registration Requirements
- Before a new security can be issued, the firm
must file a registration statement with the SEC
at least 20 days before approval is granted. - One part of the registration statement called
the prospectus details the firms operating and
financial position. - However, a prospectus may be distributed to
potential investors during the approval period
as long as a red herring is printed on the front
cover.
83Other Aspects of Investment Banking
Registration Requirements
- As an alternative to filing cumbersome
registration statements, firms with more than
150 million in outstanding stock can use a
procedure called shelf registration. - This allows the firm to file a single document
that covers all issues during the subsequent 2
year period. - As a result, the approved securities are kept
on the shelf until the need for or market
conditions are appropriate for issue.
84Other Aspects of Investment Banking
Pricing Distributing an Issue
- In general, underwriters wait until the end of
the registration period to price securities to
ensure marketability. - If the issue is fully sold, it is considered an
oversubscribed issue if not fully sold, it
is considered undersubscribed. - In order to stabilize the issue at the initial
offering price as it is being offered for sale,
investment bankers often place orders to
purchase the security themselves.
85Other Aspects of Investment Banking
Cost of Investment Banking Services
- Investment bankers earn their income by
profiting on the spread. - The spread is difference between the price paid
for the securities by the investment banker and
the eventual selling price in the marketplace. - In general, costs for underwriting equity is
highest, followed by preferred stock, and then
bonds. - In percentage terms, costs can be as high as 17
for small stock offerings to as low as 1.6 for
large bond issues.
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spread)
87Other Aspects of Investment Banking
Private Placements
- Although diminishing in frequency, firms can
also negotiate private placements rather than
public offerings. - Private placements can reduce administrative and
issuance costs for firms since registration and
approval from the SEC is not required. - However, they do pose problems for purchasers
since the securities cannot not be resold via
secondary markets.
88Risk Structure of Interest Rates
k1nominal interest rate kreal interest
rate IPexpected inflation RP1risk
premium k1kIPRP1 kIPrfrisk-free
rate
Default risk premium Liquidity risk premium Tax
risk premium Interest rate risk
premium Contractual provisions
Interest rate risk Price risk Reinvestment
risk Price risk if maturity Price risk
if coupon interest rate Price risk
if market rate
89Interest Rates Required Returns
Term Structure of Interest Rates
- The term structure of interest rates relates the
interest rate to the time to maturity for
securities with a common default risk profile. - Typically, treasury securities are used to
construct yield curves since all have zero risk
of default. - However, yield curves could also be constructed
with AAA or BBB corporate bonds or other types
of similar risk securities.
90Interest Rates Required Returns
Term Structure of Interest Rates
Impact of Inflation
91Interest Rates Required Returns
Term Structure of Interest Rates
Yield Curves
92Theories of Term Structure
Expectations Hypothesis
- This theory suggest that the shape of the yield
curve reflects investors expectations about the
future direction of inflation and interest
rates. - Therefore, an upward-sloping yield curve
reflects expectations of higher future
inflation and interest rates. - In general, the very strong relationship between
inflation and interest rates supports this
theory.
93Theories of Term Structure
Liquidity Preference Theory
- This theory contends that long term interest
rates tend to be higher than short term rates
for two reasons - long-term securities are perceived to be riskier
than short-term securities - borrowers are generally willing to pay more for
long-term funds because they can lock in at a
rate for a longer period of time and avoid the
need to roll over the debt.
94Theories of Term Structure
Market Segmentation Theory
- This theory suggests that the market for debt at
any point in time is segmented on the basis of
maturity. - As a result, the shape of the yield curve will
depend on the supply and demand for a given
maturity at a given point in time.
95Risk Premiums
Issue Issuer Characteristics
- Default Risk
- Interest rate Risk
- Liquidity Risk
- Contractual Provisions
- Tax Risk
return
Risk and return
risk