Community Colleges: Preparing America

1
Community Colleges Preparing
Americas Workforce in the 21st
Century

• Presented by
• Dr. Jesus Jess Carreon
• Chancellor,
• Dallas County Community College District

2
Whats Changing?

• Demographics
• Nature of work
• Workplace
• Worker

3
Future Work

• By 2005, almost half of all workers will be
  employed in industries that produce or are
  intensive users of information technology.

Source U.S.Dept. of Labor
4
Future Work (cont.)

• Baby boomers make up almost half (47) of the
  workforce today.
• Young women are enrolling in college at a higher
  rate (70) than young men (64).

Source U.S.Dept. of Labor
5
Future Work (cont.)

• Small businesses employ about half of the
  nation's private sector workforce.

Source U.S.Dept. of Labor
6
Future Work (cont.)

• With more than 1600 corporate training
  institutions already established, Corporate
  Universities could surpass traditional
  universities, in number, by 2010.

Source U.S.Dept. of Labor
7
75 Million Baby Boomers! (Born
1946 1965)
8
U.S. Population Projections
Source U.S. Census Bureau
9
U.S. Population Projections
Source U.S. Census Bureau
10
Projected U.S. Population - Age
Source U.S. Census Bureau
11
Geographic Distribution
Persons 65

• 52 live in nine states
• California 3.6 million
• Florida 2.8 million
• New York 2.4 million
• Texas 2.1 million
• Pennsylvania 1.9 million
• Ohio, Illinois, Michigan, and New Jersey
  
• each with over 1 million.
• Source U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census

12
Geographic Distribution Persons 65 (cont.)

• Metropolitan areas 77.5
• Suburbs 50.0
• Source U.S. Census Bureau

13
Regional Changes 2025 Total Population

• South and West will comprise majority of growth
• Northeast 17.1
• Midwest 20.7
• West 26
• South 36.2

Source U.S. Census Bureau
14
Projected U.S. Population by Ethnicity
Source U.S. Census Bureau
15
Change Ethnic Groups to 2025

• Caucasian Slowest Growing, still largest
• Hispanic 2nd Fastest Growing, Southwest
• Black 2nd Slowest Growing, all regions
• Asian Fastest Growing, all regions
• American Indian 3rd fastest growing

Source U.S. Census Bureau
16
The Pipeline Challenge America will face a
social and economic crisis unless it succeeds in
promoting and taking advantage of racial and
ethnic diversity. Business Higher Education
Forum - Investing in People Developing All of
Americas Talent on Campus and in the Workplace.
17
Employment Trends
Growth in Civilian Workforce

• 1990-2000 17
• 2000-2010 15
• Source Bureau of Labor Statistics

18
Observations

• Largest shift will be decrease of prime-age
  (25-54) workers in the labor force.
• Over 60 of workers do not have children at home
  but care for elderly family members.
• Shift from defined-benefit to defined-
  contribution pensions has unknown impact.
• Various organizational responses to technology
  impact productivity.
• Source The Urban Institute

19
More Observations

• During 1992-99 expansion, college-educated
  workers accounted for 90 of growth.
• Globalization of production has weakened the
  position of U.S. workers.
• Although 1992-99 expansion increased job
  opportunities, many less educated workers have
  not reentered the job market.
• Source The Urban Institute

20
More Observations (cont.)

• In the next 20 years . . .
• The civilian labor force will see a major change
  in age cohorts.
• Men 16 and over will continue to decline in
  numbers and percentage.
• Minorities and women will continue to increase
  dramatically in the civilian workforce.

Source U.S. Census Bureau
21
Projected U.S. Workforce
Source U.S. Census Bureau
22
Occupations by Replacement Need Created by
Retirees 19982008

• 
  (in thousands)
• Total, all employees 22,205
• Secretaries ......................................
  ................. 519
• Truck drivers, heavy .............................
  ........... 425
• Teachers, elementary school ......................
  ..... 418
• Janitors and cleaners ............................
  ........ 408
• Teachers, secondary school .......................
  ....378
• Registered nurses ................................
  ......... 331
• Bookkeepers, accounting and auditing clerks .
  330
• Teachers, college and university
  ..................... 195
• Source Monthly Labor Review

23
Replacements Needed for Retirees (cont.)

• Administrators, education and related fields ..
  178
• Farmers, except horticultural ....................
  ...... 175
• Supervisors, construction occupations
  ............ 165
• Administrators and officials,.....................
  ........... 143
• Real estate sales occupations ....................
  ... 144
• Insurance sales occupations ......................
  ... 135
• Industrial machinery repairers ...................
  ...... 125
• Maids and housekeeping cleaners
  .................... 122
• Private household cleaners and servants ......
  112
• Physicians .......................................
  ............... 108
• Financial managers ...............................
  ............ 102
• Lawyers.99
• Source Monthly Labor Review

24
Industry Employment 2000-2010

• Service Sector Continues to dominate
  growth adding 20.5 million jobs (19).
• Manufacturing down by 3.
• Health, Business, Human Services, Engineering,
  Management and related services account for 1 of
  every 2 non-farm jobs.
• Source Bureau of Labor Statistics

25
Occupational Employment 2000-2010

• Professional and related occupations will add 7
  and 5.1, respectively.
• Transportation and material moving occupations
  are projected to grow 15.
• Office admin support will grow more slowly.
• 8-10 fastest growing occupations are computer
  related.
• Source Bureau of Labor Statistics

26
Fastest Growing Occupations, 20002010
(National)

• Computer Software Engineer 100
• Computer Support Specialist 97
• Medical Assistants 57
• Soc. Human Serv. Asst. 54
• Physician Asst. 53
• Home Health Aide 47
• Veterinary Asst. 40
• Dental Asst. 37

Source Monthly Labor Review
27
Fastest Growing Occupations, New York
(per year)

• Computer Scientists 7.9
• Computer Support Spec. 6.3
• Paralegals 5.5
• Medical Scientists 4.6
• Post-sec. Health Teachers 4.4
• Sheet Metal Duct Installers 4.4
• Medical Asst. 4.0
• Dental Asst. 3.6
• Source NY Dept. of Labor

28
Fastest Growing Occupations, North
Carolina (per year)

• Computer Scientists 8.0
• Desktop Publishing Spec. 7.0
• Health Practitioners 6.7
• Paralegals 6.5
• Computer Support Spec. 6.4
• Respiratory Therapists 5.8
• Cardiology Techs. 5.7
• Computer Science
• Teachers(post-sec.) 5.7
• Source NC Employment Security Commission

29
Fastest Growing Occupations, Georgia
(per year)

• Computer Engineers 12.8
• Demonstrators Models 11.6
• Human Service Workers 9.0
• Home Health Aides 8.9
• Offset Press Operators 7.2
• Child Care Workers 6.4
• Bakers 5.8
• Private Detectives 5.4
• Physical Therapists 5.1
• Source NW Georgia Career Depot

30
Fastest Growing Occupations, Kentucky
(per year)

• Computer Scientists 13.9
• Physical Therapy Asst. 10
• Personal Home Care Aides 9.6
• Computer Support Spec. 9.1
• Physical Therapists 8.5
• Occupational Therapists 8.2
• Medical Asst. 7.8
• Paralegals 7.2
• Source Kentucky Dept. for Employment Services

31
Fastest Growing Occupations, Indiana
(2000-2008)

• Computer Engineers 100.2
• Computer Support Spec. 73.8
• Home Health Aides 64.7
• Medical Asst. 61.5
• Human Services Asst. 56.8
• Ship Mates 52.9
• Physician Asst. 48.1
• Physical Therapy Asst. 46.4
• Source Indiana Career Postsecondary
  Advancement Center

32
Fastest Growing Occupations, Missouri
(2000-2008)

• Computer Scientists 82.1
• Desktop Publishing Spec. 76.5
• Computer Support Spec. 67.8
• Paralegals 62.4
• Health Practitioners 61.7
• Computer Science Teachers 50.0
• Rec/Leisure/ Fitness Teachers 47.1
• Respiratory Therapists 44.1
• Source Missouri Economic Research Information
  Center

33
Fastest Growing Occupations, Texas
(2000-2010)

• Computer Data Processing 55.5
• Management PR 41.3
• Freight/Transportation Arrangement 41.1
• Automobile Repair 39/7
• Osteopathic Phys. Office Work 38.6
• Individual Family /Services 36.2
• Health Office Occupations 35.9
• Child Care Services 35.8
• Residential Care 32.2
• Source Texas Workforce Commission

34
Fastest Growing Occupations, Montana
(per year)

• Computer Support Spec. 83.6
• Fitness Trainer 59.1
• Home Care Aides 57
• Medical Asst. 52.1
• Human Service Asst. 51.3
• Amusement Rec. Attendants 47.0
• Hotel, Motel Clerks 46.8
• Tour Guides 41.1
• Source Montana Dept. of Labor Industry

35
Fastest Growing Occupations, Oregon
(2000-2008)

• Computer Support Spec. 114
• Human Service Asst. 78
• Private Detectives 62
• Occupational Therapy Aides 55
• Desktop Publishers 52
• Physical Therapists 48
• Physical Therapy Asst. 47
• Child Care Workers 42
• Source OR Labor Market Information System

36
Fastest Growing Occupations, California
(2000-2010)

• Computer Specialists 106.8
• Human Service Asst. 68.7
• Medical Asst. 52.7
• Teachers (Spec. Ed, Pre-School,
• Kindergarten) 51.3
• Dental Asst., Hygienists 50.0
• Medical Records Tech. 49.3
• Speech Pathologists 48.3
• PR Managers 47.7
• Source CA Labor Market Information System

37
Highly Skilled and Unskilled Jobs as a of the
Workforce
New Workforce Skills
Source Bureau of Labor Statistics
38
Median Years of Job Tenure
Declining Job Tenure
Source Bureau of Labor Statistics
39
The Workplace

• Coordinated
• Flexible
• Customer Focused
• Responsive
• Sensitive to Diversity
• Other?_____

• Individual
• Rigid
• Company Focused
• Non-Responsive
• Insensitive to Diversity

40
The 21st Century Worker
Skills Needed

41
Implications for Workforce
Education/Training

• Labor shortage of skilled workers
• Higher levels of education will be necessary to
  secure new, higher-paying jobs 80 of jobs will
  require more post-secondary education
• No easy answer whether supply of qualified
  workers will meet demand in key industry sectors

42
of High School Graduates Attending
College1979-97 and projected to 2010
Path to the American Dream
Source U.S. Department of Education, National
Center for Education Statistics and National
Alliance of Business
43
Projected Supply and Demand of Workers with some
Postsecondary Education
Education Required
Source Bureau of Labor Statistics Bureau , U.S.
Census and National Alliance of Business
44
Total Undergraduate Enrollment in
Postsecondary Education, 1995 and
2015 (in millions)
Tidal Wave II
Source Carnevale, Anthony P. and Richard A. Fry.
Crossing the Great Divide. Educational Testing
Services, 2000.
45
Projected Postsecondary Enrollment Distribution
by Institution, 1975 to 2015
National Perspective
Source U.S. Department of Education, National
Center for Education Statistics and National
Alliance of Business
46
Associate Degree Desired
Does not include all types of training
47
Students Readiness for College

• Among families with incomes greater than 75,000
  per year, lt 60 of HS graduates were highly
  qualified for admission to 4-yr colleges.
• For families under 25,000 per year, 47 were
  not even minimally qualified.
• 63 of community college students take at least
  one remedial course.
• Source U.S. Dept. of Education

48
Preparing a 21st Century Workforce
Everyones Involved

• Providers
• K-16 (includes public and private 2 4 year
  colleges)
• Private vocational schools, consultants
• Industry, businesses and labor unions
• Need for continuous education and training as
  workplace demands change.

49
Fundamental Changes

• Training for new economy credentials
• Vendor provided credentials
• Vendor driven curriculum
• Rapid changes in job expertise
• More than 300 discrete certifications
• Over 2.4 million IT certifications awarded
• Most training providers outside traditional
  higher education
• and on and on

50
Opportunities for
Community Colleges

• Increasing
• Demand for skilled workers
• Shortage of prepared workers
• Job demand for post-secondary education
• Productivity based on skills
• Higher educational attainment
• Enrollment in post-secondary institutions
• Decreasing job tenure

51
More Opportunities for
Community Colleges

• Increasing
• Education level of the workforce
• Enrollment in community colleges
• Diversity of community colleges
• Need for financial assistance
• Anywhere Anytime Learning
  (flexible responsive)
• Competencies vs. completions
• Employer relationships
• Increasing government recognition.

52
Advocacy Issues

• National
• Elected policy makers
• Reauthorization of the Higher Education Act
• Perkins
• Workforce Investment Act (WIA)
• Temporary Aid for Needy Families (TANF)
• Nursing Education
• International Education
• Others?

53
Advocacy Issues (cont.)

• State
• Elected policy makers
• Effect of declining state economies on budgets.
• Emphasize importance of education and training in
  state economy.
• Emphasize the importance of affordable access.
• Emphasize role of workforce training in national
  economy.
• Others?

54
and More Advocacy Issues

• Local/Regional
• Pace of retirements/replacements
• Small and medium size businesses
• Urban, suburbs, rural uniqueness

55
What is Our Boards Game Plan?

• We understand the facts!
• We understand the trends!

56
What is Our Boards Game Plan?

• Question
• How does this Board provide leadership
• for AACC regarding key educational and
• workforce training-related issues?

57
Sources of Demographic and Occupational
Data

• AARP - http//www.aarp.org/
•  
• Americas Career InfoNet - http//www.acinet.org/a
  cinet/default.asp?soccodestfips
•  
• Americas Job Bank - dni.us - http//www.ajb. /
•  
• Bureau of Labor Statistics - http//www.bls.gov/
•  
• Hudson Institute - http//www.hudson.org/
•  

58
Sources of Demographic and Occupational Data
(cont.)

• Monthly Labor Review - http//www.bls.gov/opub/mlr
  /welcome.htm
•  
• National Alliance of Business -
  http//www.nab.com/
•  
• National Center for Education Statistics -
  http//nces.ed.gov/
•  
• National Governors Association -
  http//www.nga.org/
• National Institute on Aging - http//www.nia.nih.g
  ov/
•  

59
Sources of Demographic and Occupational Data
(cont.)

• State Employment Departments, Departments of
  Labor, Labor Market Information Systems
•  
• Urban Institute - http//www.urban.org/
•  
• U.S. Administration on Aging - http//www.aoa.gov/
  
•  
• U.S. Census Bureau - http//www.census.gov/
•  
• U.S. Department of Labor - http//www.dol.gov/
•  
•  
•  

60

• Thank You!
• Dr. Jesus Jess Carreon
• Chancellor,
• Dallas County Community College District
  jcarreon_at_dcccd.edu