Next Generation Interoperability and New Interoperability Landscapes

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Next Generation InteroperabilityandNew
Interoperability Landscapes

• Paul Gustavson

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The Future
Next Generation Interoperability

• Augmented/mixed reality will replace virtual
  reality.
• Virtual humans will begin to live w/ us.

Dr. Michael Macedonia, Chief Scentist and
Technical Director STRICOM
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Technologies To Watch
Next Generation Interoperability

• Nanotechnology
• Alternative Energy
• Holographic Storage
• Light-Speed Networks
• Information Security
• Electronic Paper
• Biotechnology
• Robotics
• Virtual Reality
• Natural Language

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Technologies To WatchVirtual Reality
Next Generation Interoperability

• In the next decade, we'll see a full-immersion,
  3-D Web that will dramatically change everything
  from business and commerce to entertainment. By
  2020, people will use realistic holographic
  representations of themselves to attend social
  gatherings, which will be virtual, not physical.
  And fantasies, such as singing in front of
  thousands of adoring fans or flirting with a
  celebrity, will become "real."
• Walk-in consoles will be used to enter virtual
  environments and will involve haptics (deriving
  tactile sensations in simulated settings from
  special gloves, for example), video displays,
  audio technology, and olfactory sensors. -
  Jennifer M. DeFeo

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The Future?Ray Kurzweil (1/2)
Next Generation Interoperability

• Imagine a Web, circa 2030, that will offer a
  panoply of virtual environments incorporating all
  of our senses, and in which there will be no
  clear distinction between real and simulated
  people
• ... the next paradigm shift highly realistic,
  3-D, visual-auditory virtual reality. Retinal
  projection systems will provide full-immersion,
  virtual environments that can either overlay
  "real" reality or replace it. People will
  navigate these environments through manual and
  verbal commands, as well as with body movement.
  Visiting a Web site will often mean entering
  virtual-reality environments, such as forests,
  beaches, and conference rooms.
• ... virtual reality in 2010 will look and sound
  like being together in "real" reality. You'll be
  able to establish eye contact, look around your
  partner, and otherwise have the sense of being
  together. The sensors and computers in our
  clothing will track all of our movements and
  project a 3-D image of ourselves into the virtual
  world. This will introduce the opportunity to be
  someone else. The tactile aspect will still be
  limited, though.

Ray Kurzweil author and inventor
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The Future?Ray Kurzweil (2/2)
Next Generation Interoperability

• We'll also interact with simulated
  peoplelifelike avatars that engage in flexible,
  natural-language dialogswho will be a primary
  interface with machine intelligence. We will use
  them to request information, negotiate e-commerce
  transactions, and make reservations.
• Personal avatars will guide us to desired
  locations (using GPS) and even augment our visual
  field of view, via our eyeglass displays, with as
  much background information as desired.
• The virtual personalities won't pass the Turing
  test by 2010, though, meaning we won't be fooled
  into thinking that they're really human. But by
  2030, it won't be feasible to differentiate
  between real and simulated people.

Ray Kurzweil author and inventor
What does it take for all this to happen?
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Where are we going?
Next Generation Interoperability

• we're on the verge of another milestone one
  that involves thinking of an online network as a
  programmable network Instead of just talking to
  a browser, you have programs talking to programs,
  whether it's server-to-server or
  server-to-client. Part of this is peer-to-peer,
  but that's just one part of it. Another key part
  is XML, in which you can have data exchanged
  between systems that weren't designed by a single
  team.

Bill Gates, 2001
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Where are we going?
Next Generation Interoperability

• future innovations evolve around open
  standards, where network effects come into play.
  Just as you could say TCP/IP (the Internet
  protocol stack) was the most significant
  computing innovation in the past 20 years, new
  standards like XML will likely have far-reaching
  effects over the next 20.
• I'd also keep an eye on what's happening in the
  peer-to-peer or distributed computing space.
  Think of it as a Napster for more than music.

Scott McNealy, CEO Sun Microsystems, 2001
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Where are we going?
Next Generation Interoperability

• We strongly believe this is a network world. We
  also believe that new technology leaders emerge.
  They have every time there's been a new change in
  the computing model.
• ... the network world means one that is filled
  with open hardware and software standards. Not de
  facto standards, but truly open standards. Why?
  Because what you're talking about in a network
  world is devices of all kinds being able to link
  into this infrastructure. It's going to dwarf the
  number of PCs that are out there.

Robert Moffat, IBM, 2001
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Potential Impact via BOMs
Next Generation Interoperability

• Next Generation Interoperability
• Rapid Federation Integration
• Multi-FOM Middleware
• New Interoperability Landscapes
• Transforming Simulation Into The Next Media
  Revolution
• Application of BOMs in Experiential Consumer
  Markets
• Commercial Market Potential