State of the World 2006 Chapter One

1
State of the World 2006Chapter One

• China, India, and the New World Order

2
China, India, and the New World Order

• In the last 2 decades, Chinas population has had
  a 9.5 growth rate.
• The economic reform and growing work force in
  India could make the country the worlds
  fastest-growing major economy in the next 15
  years.
• Both countries will become more than just
  economic powers but world powers as well. This
  rise in power makes China and India prominent
  figures in whether the world succeeds in the
  future.
• But with the rise also brings major strains on
  the economy with a shortage of necessary
  resources to continue in the way we are going
  right now.

3
The New World Order

• Rise in World Economies
• The economic successes of China and India are
  based not on the richness of their natural
  resources but on decades of investment in their
  people
• Top universities have produced scientists,
  engineers, and accountants.
• Bangalore helps boost the economy by the success
  of their software industries. Success brought on
  by taking advantage of several available
  resources low wages, knowledge of English, and
  science/ engieering talent
• China becomes a lead automobile manufactorer and
  will become a leading exporter in the near
  future.
• The rise in China and Indias economy has created
  a strain on the global resources available.
• Widespread pollution in both countries causes
  acid rain, poor air quality and little fresh
  water.

4
Choosing An Energy Future

• Coal provides more than 2/3 of Chinas energy and
  over half of Indias. Coal however also aids in
  the pollution of both countries by adding ash,
  sulfur, and sulfur dioxide into the air.
• In 2005, the need of electricity exceeded the
  supply available causing widespread blackouts.
  This caused Chinese companies to install
  oil-based generators.
• The consumption of oil in both countries has
  doubled in the last decade.
• Solar, wind, and biomass have become more
  practical options for China and India as energy
  sources.

5
Turning to World Grain Markets

• China and India depend heavy on foreign oil.
• These two country are largely self-sufficient in
  the food today.
• Since 1985 China has never imported more then 6
  of grain that is consumed
• India has not imported more then 3
• The average Chinese consumer twice as much grain
  directly as the United States
• Look at table 1-3 in book
• Look at page 14 table

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Ecological Capacity enough for everyone.

• Can the world stand the expansion?
• No according to the 2005 Millennium Ecosystem
  Assessment
• The Ecosystem has been challenged even when the
  two most populous nations were just arriving at
  that center of the global economic stage.
• Look at table 1-4 page 16
• The Chinese and Indian footprints could have a
  substantial ecological impact
• The United States footprint keeps growing

7
Making Choices

• China and India have choices to make about
  adopting Western models of development.
• China must acknowledge the widening gap between
  rich and poor and decrease in environmental
  resources due to overpopulation.
• Due to overpopulation, new ideas of
  transportation are being used such as, bikes and
  buses.
• In India, there is a displacement of large groups
  of people due to building of dams, which has
  decreased quality of environment.
• Using rain harvesting in order to build water
  reserves.

8
Rethinking the Global Agenda

• Increased awareness of environmental,
  over-population, economy, and world trade.
• Looking to improve the future by foreseeing the
  inevitable.
• China, India, and USA must have a commitment to
  prosper within limits imposed by nature.
• China and India will need to participate in a
  global effort to built worlds economy
• USA, China, and India will need to reduce
  competition among each other and cooperate for
  sake of the world
• China and India could eventually join the G-8.
• USA, China and India will need to work together
  to convert to new energy resources
• They should commit to developing a new model for
  agriculture

9
Rethinking the Global Agenda

• Discouraging people from an unhealthy
  meat-centered diet could create a better grain
  market.
• Nations will need to understand cultures of India
  and China to further collaborate with each other.
• Professional exchanges.
• View up and coming nation not as contenders but
  as partners in a better global economy.