SIGNALS INTELLIGENCE ARCHITECTUREBASED, CAPABILITYFOCUSED PLANNING

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SIGNALS INTELLIGENCEARCHITECTURE-BASED,
CAPABILITY-FOCUSED PLANNING
DECISION-MAKINGDefense Planning And Analysis
Society (DPAAS)14 April 2004
Aeronautical Systems Center
Rapidly delivering war-winning capability

• Lt Col Randy Kosinski
• ASC/RAJS DSN 785-4357randy.kosinski_at_wpafb.af.mil

THIS BRIEFING IS UNCLASSIFIED
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Overview

• Air Force Transformation
• Air Force Cryptologic Architecture
• SIGINT Team
• SIGINT Investment Strategy Trade-Space
  Management
• Summary

So what? And how? Who cares? What next?

3
A New Order!
So what?
Guidance
DODI5000.2 CJCS 3170 CONOPS Vision
What next?
And how?
Architecture-based, Capabilities-focused Analysis
Data
Analysis Results
Trade Space Management - Reqts definition and
trades - System acquisition D-M -
Interoperability evaluations - Operational
assessment Strategic Planning - Investment
decision-making - Fill gaps New programs,
adjust - Correct misalignments -
Eliminate redundanciesrestructure/ cancel
programs, cost avoidance - Funding
allocation/preservation
Architecture SME Inputs Financial Data
Programmatic Info Roadmaps Capability Lists
Who cares?
Resources
People - SMEs - Teams Tools Facilities
4
USAF Transformation

• AF Policy on Enterprise Architecting, SECAF memo
  dated 6 Aug 2002
• Mission requirements planning, programming, and
  budgeting and acquisition management are
  currently not fully synchronized with
  architecture planning.
• Architectures are the common enabling
  foundation that will integrate business and
  combat support elements with each other and with
  combat operations.
• CSAF Testimony Senate Armed Services Committee,
  25 February 2003
• Focus acquisition and force planning on systems
  that enable specific, effects-based capabilities,
  rather than on individual platforms.
• Transition from collecting data from myriad of
  independent systems (RJ, AWACS, JSTARS) to
  Multi-sensor C2 Constellation.

We are engaged in building a culture of
continual transformation, so that we are always
several steps ahead of any potential
adversaries.
-- CSAF Sight
Picture, 17 July 2003
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Air Force Capability Development and Assessment
Integrated Process
CSAF
AQ Community
AFSAA
M
Develop Guidelines for Risk Assessment

Candidate Solutions
4

Provide Analytical Methodology
A

Cost Schedule

Validation
Provide Analysis Synchronization

No Go
J
Estimates

CRRA
C

Technical Feasibility
O
Go
Modeling Simulation
No Go
M
S
Planning
XP
XOR
-
Integrated CRRA
CONOPS Champions
Guidance
AFSP/AFPP/


Develop Master Effects Construct
ID Effects, Capabilities, Activities
CONOPS

APPG
Scenarios

Prioritize Shortfalls Across CONOPS
Perform Individual CONOPS Risk

Go

ID Gaps Impacts
Guidance
Assessments (CRRA)

To
-
Be Capabilities Roadmap

ID Prioritize Shortfalls W/in
MAJCOMS

Recommended Solutions
CONOPS
No Go
Address Shortfalls
Architec
-
In POM Input
tures
XI
XI
XI
Current

Assist Development of

Ensure Program
POM
XP
Integrated Architecture
Alignment in and
Assist MAJCOMS
Baseline

Assist W/ Data
Across MAJCOMS to
Corporate Structure
w/ Architecture
Collection Mapping
Meet Priorities
Build Integrated POM

Capability

Propose Trades
Ensure Capability

Analyses
Shortfalls Addressed

Adjust TOA
Legend Assist Product Go/No Go
Modeling Simulation
Execution
FEEDBACK
AQ

MAJCOMS
-
Functionals
SIGINT community postured to support USAF
Corporate Process
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Family of Systems Collaboration Framework
Goal

• Cross-Cutting C2ISR Capabilities
• Effects-Based Operations
• Time Sensitive Targeting
• Dynamic Engagement Control
• Horizontal Vertical Integration
• Predictive Battlespace Awareness
• Networked On-Demand Info
• Global Battlespace Visualization
• Persistent Battlespace ISR
• Universal Situational Awareness
• Persistent Intelligence
• Science and Technology Intelligence
• Predictive Support Awareness

ISR Systems Engineering and Integration (Capabilit
y Architecture Based)
C2ISR Architecture Components
Intel Disciplines SIGINT MASINT IMINT TECHINT
OSINT HUMINT CI BMC3
Global Hawk
Predator
Tanker Plus
JSTARS
WCAN
AWACS
U-2
ASIP
ABL
Rivet Joint
DSP/SBIRS
Space-Based Radar
DMSP
Sensors
TBMCS/ SBMCS/DCGS/ GCCS
NTM
Global Information Grid
MILSATCOMM
COMMSAT

• CONOPS focused
• Scenario driven capabilities

CDL/MP-CDL/SCDL/Link 16
MC2A
GPS
NCCT
Non- Traditional ISR
CIP
F-22
Munitions
C2ISR Architecture
Capability Lanes translate between warfighting
capabilities and integrated solutions
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SIGINT Requirements Vetting ProcessToday
SME-Based Decision-Making
Do we use the ORD, the MAP, the RED, or what?
Technology
Requirements
We already know what the requirements are
Just send the money to RJ.
Dave L
Industry
AFRL
CEMO
AOIO
TENCAP
Who has the technology available?
JDTIWG
NSA
TST
ACC
Compass Bright
AIA
U-2
Global Hawk

Rivet Joint
Cobra Ball
Combat Sent
UCAV
Predator
Platform X
We must get out of the mode of thinking only in
terms of platform rather than in terms of
capabilities.
--
CSAF Sight Picture, 17 July 2003

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ArchitectingAn Essential Part of
System-of-Systems Engineering
Architecting is a systematic, rigorous,
reproducible methodology for
capturing, organizing and communicating data
about complex systems.
.to support analysis.
We need to manage uncertainty and complexity and
cope with continuous change.
- Dr. Alexander H. Levis, Chief Scientist,
USAF
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Air Force Cryptologic Architecture (AFCA)
UCS CONOPS
UCAO Technology
ICDs, CDDs, CPDs
Forecast
High-level Operational Concept Definition
ALL VIEWS
System Technology Forecast
AV
-
2
OPERATIONAL VIEWS
OV-1
OV
-
5
OV
-
3
OV
-
4
OV
-
2
OV
-
6A
OV
-
6B
OV
-
Operational Activity/ System Function
Traceability Matrix
SV-5
System Interface Description
SV-9

SYSTEMS VIEWS
SV-1
SV
-
2
SV
-
3
SV
-
4
SV
-
6
SV
-
10A
SV
-
10B
SV
-
10C
SV
-
11
TV
-
1
SV-7
SV-8
TV
-
2
System Performance Parameters Matrix
System Evolution Description
CRRA ISR MAT ISR SDIPT AFSCWG
To AF CONOPS
AF POM SUBMISSION
Capability-Focused Investment Strategy
CCP POM
NAIC Threat
Submission
Assessment
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The AFCA is Blueprint Cornerstone of SIGINT
Planning Process, Investment Strategy
Development, Architecture-based Decision-Making
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AFCA Data must be Alignedwith other Architectures
SC4ISR CONOPS Architecture
C2 Constellation Architecture

• Air Space Expeditionary
• Global Strike
• - Homeland Security
• Global Mobility

• Space C4ISR
• Nuclear Response
• - Global Response

ISR Mission Area Architecture
Air Force Cryptologic Architecture
AFCA to Support Architecture-based
Decision-making at all Levels in the Enterprise
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Many SIGINT Stakeholders
Integrate
Execute
Reconnaissance SPO
Train Equip
Success of SIGINT enterprise is a function of all
elements being integrated
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AF SIGINT Capabilities Working Group (SCWG)
CHARTERED

• Capabilities Investment Strategy
• Concept of Operations - Investment Focus
  - Operational Architecture

DoD Roadmap
REQUIREMENTS
ACQUISITION
AF/XOIR (Co-chair)
SAF/AQIJ (Co-chair)
EXECUTIVE ELEMENT
AFMC ASC/RA ASC/RG ESC/SR WR-ALC/LX AFRL
SIGINT Capabilities Investment Plan
AIA (Chair) ACC AFC2ISRC NSA NRO AOIO AMC AFSOC US
AFE PACAF
Analyses IAW Air Force Cryptologic Architecture
(AFCA)
Requirements Process
Acquisition Process
ANALYTICAL/TECHNICAL ELEMENT
RJ
GH
U-2
DCGS

• Execute IAW Investment Plan
• (Capability, Schedule, funds)
• Execute to program baselines
• - Support Capability Planning
• Flag Issues
• (Investment Plan Deviations)

RJ
GH
U-2
DCGS


PM
PM
PM
PM
CE
CE
CE
CE
RO
RO
RO
RO
Empowered High Powered Teams of requirements
and acquisition professionals to create spiral
development plans to deliver initial capability
to warfighters more quickly, and add capability
increments in future spirals. CSAF Testimony -
SASC, 25 Feb 03
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Program Management Directionfor SCWG to use the
AFCA
Airborne SIGINT Enterprise PMD
I. Executive Summary This Capstone PMD
establishes/provides direction for the Airborne
SIGINT Enterprise (ASE). This enterprise will use
the Air Force Cryptologic Architecture for
planning and decision-making. The primary goal of
ASE is to produce an architecture-based,
capability-focused SIGINT investment strategy for
the USAF.
E. SIGINT Capabilities Working Group will 1.
Plan for the future of the ASE by way of building
a SIGINT investment plan and recommend
implementation of ASE programs IAW the AFCA and
the ASE investment plan. 2. Establish the
priorities of all airborne SIGINT development
efforts to satisfy the operational
requirements. 3. Support ACC POM build with
analysis and recommendations.
SIGINT Capabilities Working Group
PURPOSE Provides a forum for requirements and
acquisition professionals to create spiral
development plans for delivering initial
capabilities to warfighters more quickly and for
providing additional capabilities in future
spirals. GOAL To provide Air Force planners an
architecture-based investment strategy for
developing POM inputs that evolve SIGINT
capabilities based upon the AF, Joint, and
National CONOPs.
SIGINT Community Playing Lead Role in
Architecture-based Planning
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Architecture Necessary, but Not Sufficient

• The intended purpose may be to support
• Trade Space Management
• Requirements Identification
• System acquisition D-M
• Interoperability evaluation/D-M
• Operational assessment
• Architecture facilitates and enables these
  purposes
  BUT does not itself provide
  any conclusions or answers
• Human and automated analysis must be applied
• DoDAF does not attempt to dictate how this
  analysis should be performed

• Strategic Planning
• Investment decision-making
• Funding allocation/preservation
• Fill gaps new programs, adjust
• Eliminate redundancies cancel
• restructure programs

The ability to compare, analyze, and integrate
C4ISR architecturesprovides a cross-functional
perspective that is critical to achieving the Air
Force mission and objectives. - AF/XI C4ISR
Alignment Assessment Guide
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To-Be Investment Strategy (notional)
FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12
Program
Sensor1
DL1
Ground1
TPED1
Sensor1.5
Spiral1
Platform1
Ground2
Mod1
Upgrade1
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Developing The Right SIGINT Investment Strategy
CRRAs
Modeling
A S S E S S M E N T
Critical Capability
Critical Capability
A N A L Y S E S
Recommendation

Recommendation

Recommendation
Recommendation
KEEP
KEEP
KEEP
KEEP
Necessary
Necessary
Duplications
Duplications
Duplications
Duplications

Recommendation

Recommendation

Recommendation
Recommendation
CUT
CUT
CUT
CUT
Critical
Critical
Capability
Capability
Recommendations
Recommendations
(New Systems, Upgrades
(New Systems, Upgrades
Gaps
Gaps
FY08 POM
Non
-
Material Solutions)
Non
-
Material Solutions)
The SCWG will use the AFCA to Influence POM
Decisions
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Should-Be Investment Strategy (notional)
Program
FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12
Sensor1
Cancelled (cost avoidance)
DL1
Ground1
TPED1
Sensor1.5
Spiral 1 accel
Platform1
Platform 2
Mod1
New Starts
Upgrade1
Restructured
Upgrade1.5
Technology
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AFCA Performance Models and Analysiswill Support
Acquisition What-if Drills
Concept Technology Development
System Development Demonstration
Production Deployment
Operations Support

• Excursions
• Scenario Evaluation
• LCCE
• KPP Sensitivity
• Technology Breakthrough
• New Threat
• Thrust/CONOPS Change
• New Requirement
• SAMP/AMP/AP Devel.

• Budget Drill
• LCCE
• Test and Eval. Opportunity
• Logistics Trades
• Acquisition Decisions

• Budget Drill
• Recall
• Schedule Slip
• Requirements Change

• Scenario Evaluation
• KPP Sensitivity
• Change in Intelligence
• Test Eval Opportunity
• New Threat
• New Vulnerability
• Thrust/CONOPS Change
• Budget Drill
• AF/Joint CONOPS Change

Analysis Tasks
Baseline Threat
? / New Threat
Architecture Tool
Threat Definition
Outputs
Outputs

• Architecture Definition
• Performance Reqts
• Technology
• Constraints
• OV/SV/TVs

• Candidate Architecture Definition
• MOEs/MOPs
• Constraint/Special Conditions

Ops Rqmts
Perf. Model
Architecture Definition
? / New Capability
Scenario Environment Definition
Value Model
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Delivering Airborne SIGINT Capabilities
Tomorrow Architecture-based Decision-Making
High-Powered Team of Requirements and Acquisition
Professionals
providing AF Planners an Architecture-Based
Investment Strategy
to Create Spiral Development Plans for
Delivering Initial Capabilities to Operators
Quickly and to Provide Additional Capabilities in
Future Spirals.
Architecture-Based, Capability-Focused Planning
and Decision-Making
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Summary

• Transforming to architecture-based,
  capability-focus planning decision-making
  process
• TEAMing across the community to integrate SIGINT
  activities
• Using the Air Force Cryptologic Architecture
• Producing a coherent SIGINT investment strategy
• Postured to support smart trade-space management

We need to invest our dollars in the most
efficient and effective manner to sustain our
forces and enhance our capabilities for
tomorrow. -- SECAF, July 2003
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