Mortality in China 1964 to 2000

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Mortality in China 1964 to 2000

• Judith Banister
• Kenneth Hill

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Data Sources
Population Census age distributions 1964
(7/1) 1982 (7/1) 1990 (7/1) 2000
(11/1) Life Table 5ma from Cancer Epidemiology
Survey 1973-75 Life Table 5ma from household
deaths 1981 from 1982 Census Household deaths by
age for 1989, 1989-90 from 1990 Census Household
deaths by age for 1999-2000 from 2000 Census
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GGB Plot Females, 1964-1982
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GGB Plot Males, 1990-2000
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Summary Results of GGB
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Child Mortality
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Estimates of U5MR in China 1970-2000
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Patterns and Trends in Age-Specific Mortality -
Male
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Patterns and Trends in Age-Specific Mortality -
Female
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Sex Ratios of Age-Specific Mortality Rates
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Annual Rates of Change in Age-Specific Mortality
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Conclusions

• High quality population,death data
• Census coverage has increased gradually over
  time
• Recording of deaths by retrospective census
  questions gives reasonable results
• Adjustment for adult deaths appears
  appropriate for child deaths also
• China 1964-82 achieved e(0) 65 years
• Mortality reduction continued post-1982,
  though female IMR increased
• Potentially negative effects of health system
  changes offset by economic growth
• Gains for men more modest than for women