Title: QUOTAS OF THE MEMBER STATES
1QUOTAS OF THE MEMBER STATES
- TRADITIONAL METHODOLOGY
- COMPUTATION, DRAWBACKS AND ALTERNATIVES
2QUOTAS -TRADITIONAL METHOD
- The Traditional Method is the simplest approach
to compute a scale of quota assessments - However, it results in a scale that, under
present circumstances, does not strictly adhere
to the ability to pay principle
3QUOTAS -TRADITIONAL METHOD
- The methodology consists of three steps
- Establish a maximum quota of 59.47 (United
States) - Establish a minimum quota of 0.020 for those
member states who pay the minimum quota at the UN
(0.001 which applies to 8 OAS member states) - Multiply the UN quota of the remaining 26 member
states, whose aggregate UN quota is 8.149, by a
factor of 4.954 - The minimum and maximum quotas are set by
agreement among the member states - See Annex I for calculation of this factor
4QUOTAS -TRADITIONAL METHOD
- The scale adds up to 100
- United States 59.470
- 8 member states paying minimum at UN (8 x
0.020) 0.160 - Remaining 26 member states (8.149 x
4.954) 40.370 - Total 100.000
5TRADITIONAL METHODSHORTCOMINGS
- The problem with this approach is that it would
result in calculated quotas that are below the
agreed-upon minimum of 0.020. (See Annex II) - St. Lucia, for example, has a UN quota of 0.002.
Multiplying it by the correction factor of 4.954
would yield a quota of 0.010 - Similar results are obtained when the factor is
applied to Antigua and Barbuda and Haiti, whose
UN quota is 0.003, yielding an OAS quota of
0.015
6TRADITIONAL METHODSHORTCOMINGS
- This situation could be remedied by applying the
minimum quota of 0.020 to St. Lucia, Antigua and
Barbuda, and Haiti. - The difference in percentage points would be
redistributed among the remaining 23 member
states (see Annex III for results)
7TRADITIONAL METHODSHORTCOMINGS
- However, the methodology would yield undesirable
results - St. Lucia, which pays twice as much as 8 other
member states at the UN, would pay the same quota
at the OAS. - The same situation would apply to Antigua and
Barbuda and Haiti, which pay three times as much
as 8 other member states and 50 more than St.
Lucia - This would, in essence, violate the ability to
pay principle set forth in Article 55 of the OAS
charter
8TRADITIONAL METHODALTERNATIVES
- The traditional methodology is essentially a
linear, or constant-proportionality,
calculation. As we have established, it is not
appropriate for the calculation of OAS scales,
given current UN quotas. - The next alternative is an exponential
relationship of the form - Y aXb c
- Where
- Y OAS quota
- X UN quota, and
- a, b, and c are parameters to be determined using
optimization methods (see Annex IV for an example
of the resulting scale) - This solution yields a scale that reflects the UN
rankings and meets the constraints of minimum and
maximum quotas
9ALTERNATIVE METHODY aXb c
- This methodology was first proposed in 1998,
along with another variation thereof. - The member states were unsuccessful in reaching
an agreement on a quota scale based on any of the
alternative methodologies presented. - In 2000, a more sophisticated approach was first
proposed, using logistic regression as the basis
for a new mathematical formula. This is the
latest methodology presented to the CAAP for
consideration
10ANNEX ITRADITIONAL METHOD
- The following charts describe the step-by-step
calculation of the scale using the traditional
method
11OAS MEMBER STATES PAY 30.157 OF THE TOTAL UN
QUOTA
12CALCULATING A NEW QUOTA SCALE
13CALCULATING A NEW QUOTA SCALE
14CALCULATING A NEW QUOTA SCALE
15CALCULATING A NEW QUOTA SCALE
16CALCULATING A NEW QUOTA SCALE
17CALCULATING A NEW QUOTA SCALE
18CALCULATING A NEW QUOTA SCALE
19CALCULATING A NEW QUOTA SCALE
20ANNEX IIResulting ScaleTraditional Method
- The scale that results from applying the
traditional methodology yields quotas for three
member states that are below the minimum, 0.020 - The reason for this is that the minimum OAS quota
is 10 times greater than that of St. Lucia, and
6.67 times greater than those of Antigua and
Barbuda and Haiti, but the proportional rate
applied is only 4.954. - Note that the mathematical relation applied
preserves the UN rankings of the member states
that is, the quota for Antigua and Barbuda is the
same as Haitis, and these are still greater than
that of St. Lucia
21ANNEX IIIResulting ScaleTraditional Method
w/Correction
- The scale should be corrected by enforcing the
minimum quota on those countries whose calculated
quota falls below 0.020. - However, these member states are paying the same
quota at the OAS as those who pay the minimum at
the UN, resulting in a deviation from the
ability to pay principle. - For example, Haiti pays 3 times as much as
Suriname at the UN, but both countries would pay
the same quota at the OAS - This distortion renders the traditional
methodology unusable for our purposes, given
current UN scales.
22ANNEX IVAlternative Method
- The next alternative methodology would be to use
an exponential relationship of the form - Y aXb c
- Where
- X UN quota
- Y OAS quota
- a 5.0891
- b 0.795326
- c -0.00092487
- This solution yields a scale that reflects the
UN rankings and meets the constraints of minimum
and maximum quotas