Summarization Station

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Summarization Station

• Chapter 3 Exploring The Future
  
  R.C. Mackin

• Introduction Acting out our future in a fair,
  
• effective, and efficient manner. Aims to set
  forth structured
• disciplined thinking as a key to sustainable
  transition.
• 4 Strategies for Exploring Future Scientific
  Credibility, Political Legitimacy, Practical
  Utility, and Effectivenesswith various mixture
  of approaches to fulfill these strategies.
• Effective Tool Causal Process Models //
  Effective Strategy Extrapolation
• In lieu of science, Expert Judgments have
  worked, as has Strategic Gaming assessment,
  predicting outcomes of varying levels of
  uncertainty.
• IAMs (Integrated Assessment Models) link
  formal environmental models with societal issues
  and social processes, using Scenarios Regional
  Information Systems
• History of Regional Information Systems,
  citing examples of mediation between conflicting
  groups to benefit both sides and environment at
  the same time
• Conclusion Two-Generation goal of possible
  sustainable transition
• - (1) Advances in basic knowledge, (2)
  Utilization of knowledge via social capacity
  and technology, (3) political will to act on
  knowledge

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Critique Evaluation Critiquation
Chapter 3 Exploring The Future

R.C. Mackin

• Cost-Benefit Analysis in all proposals, giving
  drawbacks and perks of each method. i.e. Pros and
  Cons of Study Panels
• Questions limits and precision of literature like
  Silent Spring, though this paper itself is guilty
  of its accusations
• Case Study on Hunger and Carbon does poor job of
  linking the two entities (What is the
  significance?)
• Sure, I agree with many of the points, but how
  will my reading this paper actually lead to a
  sustainable transition ?
• Relies too heavily on expert analyses when the
  trickle down effect of such analyses intellect
  is questionable
• - Does not seem too be concerned with the
  Last Oasis (Sandra Postel)