The future of GODAE activities through the IOC

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The future ofGODAEactivitiesthrough the IOC

• Albert Fischer
• IGST, St Johns NL, Canada, 7-9 August 2007

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What is the IOC?

• forum for governmental coordination of marine
  science and marine observations
• 130 Member States
• UN focal point for marine science
• Programs funded both by UNESCO allocation and
  Member State donations for specific activities

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IOC Programmatic areas

• Ocean observations and services
• GOOS, JCOMM, IODE
• Natural hazard warning systems (including
  tsunami)
• coordination of observing systems
• Ocean sciences
• coordination of scientific research for harmful
  algal blooms, coral reefs, in support of
  integrated coastal area management
• coordination of ocean carbon observations
• sponsor of the WCRP, GCOS, GLOBEC
• Capacity building

GCOS-GOOS-WCRP Ocean Observations Panel for
Climate http//ioc.unesco.org/oopc/
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Continuation of GODAE activities post-2008

• JCOMM taking on coordination of the operational
  legacy of GODAE (how explicitly should this be
  tied in with other WMO and IOC activities?)
• Clear need to continue research and development
  activities in ocean forecasting
• community that will continue to exist in some
  form
• coastal forecasting and ecosystems forecasting
  already identified as priorities
• CEOS expressed support for a GODAE follow-on

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Adopted priorities for IOC Ocean Sciencesfor
2008-2013, from the June 2007 IOC Assembly

• The role of the ocean in climate variability and
  climate change, and their impacts on the marine
  environment and on its living resources and
  ecosystems
• Coastal research as a primary element, including
  climate impacts, direct human influences on
  coastal-ocean functioning and ecosystem health,
  integrated coastal management, natural marine
  hazards, and forecasting,
• Science and modelling for the prevention and
  reduction of the impacts of natural hazards,
  including tsunamis,
• Marine assessment as a primary element, with
  emphasis on the science that will underpin the
  Regular Process for GRAME, and its Assessment of
  Assessments,
• Marine Modelling as a basic and cross-cutting
  element of IOC programmes

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Working Group on Marine Modeling

• Advisory group to Ocean Sciences section (chaired
  by N. Smith) suggestedIntroduction of an
  underpinning, cross-cutting element in marine
  modeling, recognizing the need for IOC to
  exercise its mandate and responsibility in new
  technology and its unique position which allows
  it to facilitate interaction and coordination
  among many existing activities.
• approved by the IOC Assembly (June 2007) as a
  part of the short- and medium-term program of the
  IOC.

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Advisory group suggestion

• Vision the primary forum for coordination of
  marine modeling and its application
• Proposed Scope
• coastal ocean modeling
• ecosystems modeling - interdisciplinary focus
• supporting ocean data assimilation and prediction
• coupling (air-sea intra-ocean)
• Coordination of the research that will eventually
  lead to operational tools
• The ocean equivalent to WGNE

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Scoping exercise

• Develop a description of activities that would be
  coordinated and led through such a group -
  networking and coordination
• Eventually develop Terms of Reference for a
  scientific group
• Relationship to other efforts - avoiding
  duplication but also finding common ground
• Working Group on Numerical Experimentation
  (WCRP/CAS)
• CLIVAR Global Synthesis and Observations Panel
  (GSOP) and Working Group on Seasonal-Interannual
  Prediction (WGSIP)
• Research programs IMBER in particular, GLOBEC,
  other SCOR and IGBP groups
• Regional efforts

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Scoping exercise (contd)

• Potential sponsors for program activities
• CEOS/space agencies
• NSF, others
• Suggested streams of GODAE future research
  (assimilation/forecasting for coastal,
  ecosystems) are only one part of this activity
• would GODAE-type RD benefit from being a part of
  a larger enterprise?
• would GODAE be too diluted in such a framework?
• what are the most important links to forge?
• how this concept might take life?
• Realistic

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