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1
 Canadians for Action on Climate Change Change
the system not the climate
2
  • Canadians for Action on Climate Change
  • Governments key role is to serve as the trustee
    of the commonwealth and the common health for
    this and future generations.  Yet
  • Canada now stands out as one of the last major
    industrialized countries opposed to targets for
    deep reductions in greenhouse gas emissions and
    one of the biggest blockers of climate change
    negotiations.
  • Canadians for Action on Climate Change is a
    developing non-profit NGO of activists, academia,
    physicians and citizens focusing on climate
    change, true cost economy and relocalization. Our
    organization seeks to provide news, reports and
    analysis to inform, educate and develop
    environmental policies for all levels of
    government in Canada.  We are committed to being
    part of an international movement against
    destruction of our shared environment.  Our
    current economy is unsustainable and an unethical
    catalyst to ever increasing global warming. This
    model assumes endless growth and limitless
    potential wealth that completely disregards the
    fact that the earths life support capacity is
    finite.  We respect the integrity, resilience,
    and beauty of the common wealth of all life as
    the foundation for a new sustainable economic
    model for our finite planet that will benefit
    generations to come.
  • You can contact us at canadianclimateaction_at_gmail
    .com
  • http//canadianclimateaction.wordpress.com/

3
As the Coral Triangle Group calls for 50
emissions reductions by 2015, Bolivia calls for
49 and the Small Island States for a minimum of
45 - both by 2020 all based on 1990
baselines. The following are the commitments
that are now being broadly announced.  All
designed around different baselines in order to
confuse the public.  Lets look at 5 countries
to start - India, China, US, Canada the EU.
4
  • World on course for catastrophic 6 rise, reveal
    scientists November 18th, 2009
  • The world is now firmly on course for the
    worst-case scenario in terms of climate change,
    with average global temperatures rising by up to
    6C by the end of the century, leading scientists
    said yesterday. Such a rise which would be much
    higher nearer the poles would have cataclysmic
    and irreversible consequences for the Earth,
    making large parts of the planet uninhabitable
    and threatening the basis of human civilisation.
  • We are headed for it, the scientists said,
    because the carbon dioxide emissions from
    industry, transport and deforestation which are
    responsible for warming the atmosphere have
    increased dramatically since 2002, in a way which
    no one anticipated, and are now running at treble
    the annual rate of the 1990s.
  • This means that the most extreme scenario
    envisaged in the last report from the UN
    Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change,
    published in 2007, is now the one for which
    society is set, according to the 31 researchers
    from seven countries involved in the Global
    Carbon Project.
  • Although the 6C rise and its potential
    disastrous effects have been speculated upon
    before, this is the first time that scientists
    have said that society is now on a path to meet
    it. http//www.independent.co.uk/environment/clima
    te-change/world-on-course-for-catastrophic-6deg-ri
    se-reveal-scientists-1822396.html

5
  • Copenhagen will formalize a great global suicide
    pact.  We are cutting our own throats so that the
    banks and fossil fuel corporations can drain the
    last drop of blood out of humanity and our living
    Earth.  We are witnessing the ultimate
    unimaginable evil - the predatory free (of
    ethics) market economy that is starving more than
    half the world alive today and future generations
    to death.
  • Targets are useless if we don't have a real way
    to meet them.  One of the only measures that can
    save humanity now (in our current monetary
    system) is a global pollution tax / a straight up
    carbon tax which a critical tax which is being
    kept off of the agenda.  No trading no selling
    no profiting just taxing carbon to death
    (literally).

6
  • India announces 24 emission intensity
    reductions from 2005 baseline by 2020
  • IN REALITY THIS MEANS
  • Percentage relative to 1990 34.2
  • Percentage relative to 1994 35.5
  • Percentage relative to 2000  -8.6
  • Percentage relative to 1005 -24.0
  • Percentage relative to 2020 -61.2

7
  • China announces 40 emission intensity
    reductions from 2005 baseline
  • IN REALITY THIS MEANS
  • Percentage relative to 1990 38.0
  • Percentage relative to 1994 19.6
  • Percentage relative to 2000  -8.5
  • Percentage relative to 2005 -40.0
  • Percentage relative to 2020 -58.2

8
  • Even if China succeeds in improving carbon
    intensity, Chinese greenhouse gas emissions will
    continue to grow for some time, as the Chinese
    economy itself will be growing. It's not clear
    from the pledge how large China's emissions will
    be by 2020, but if the country's economy
    continues to grow at its typical 8 to 12 annual
    rate, its carbon emissions could nearly double
    between now and then.

9
  • Carbon intensity targets are like CCS Carbon
    Capture Storage a greenwash for the public that
    looks like action but really is to continue
    business as usual. Increased economic growth and
    corporate output ensure that any reductions will
    be subsumed by expanding operations. We all know
    that nature doesnt care about emissions
    intensities. The absolute concentration of
    greenhouse gases is what will determine the
    severity of the climate crisis.  Once we pass
    irreversible tipping points there is no going
    back.

10
  • US announces 17 emission reductions from 2005
    baseline by 2020
  • IN REALITY THIS MEANS
  • Percentage relative to 1990 -3.4
  • Percentage relative to 1994 -7.8
  • Percentage relative to 2000  -15.7
  • Percentage relative to 2005  -17.
  • Percentage relative to 2007 -17.3
  • Percentage relative to 2020 -15.7
  • John Schellnhuber, director of the Potsdam
    Institute for Climate Impact Research Most
    recently, Schellnhuber told the 4 degrees and
    beyond conference in Oxford Political reality
    must be grounded in physical reality or its
    completely useless. Schellnhuber recently
    briefed U.S. officials from the Barack Obama
    administration he states that they chided him
    that his findings were not grounded in political
    reality and that the U.S. Senate will never
    agree to this.  Schellnhuber told them that the
    U.S. must reduce its emissions from its current
    20 tonnes of carbon per person average to zero
    tonnes per person by 2020 to have an even chance
    of stabilising the climate around two degrees C.

11
  • Canada announces 20 emission reductions from
    2006 baseline by 2020 (I had to use 2005 as a
    baseline as 2006 stats were not available)
  • IN REALITY THIS MEANS
  • Percentage relative to 1990 -1.2
  • Percentage relative to 1994 -6.2
  • Percentage relative to 2000  -18.5
  • Percentage relative to 2005  -17.
  • Percentage relative to 2007 -21.7
  • Percentage relative to 2020 -23.6

12
  • EU announces 20 emission reductions from 2006
    baseline by 2020 (I had to use 2005 as a
    baseline as 2006 stats were not available)
  • IN REALITY THIS MEANS
  • Percentage relative to 1990 -20.0
  • Percentage relative to 1994 -13.7
  • Percentage relative to 2000  -11.8
  • Percentage relative to 2005  -12.8
  • Percentage relative to 2007 -11.7
  • Percentage relative to 2020 -4.6

13
  • Cutting carbon intensity was George Bushs
    proposal for tackling climate change. The
    minority Harper government followed.  In Canada,
    industry and government alike have championed
    carbon intensity targets instead of placing
    absolute caps on emissions to mitigate the
    climate change impact of extracting oil from tar
    sands. This is simply a greenwash.
  • Carbon intensity targets merely distract from
    the reality that tar sands should be shut down.
    Because they are the dirtiest and most
    destructive energy source on the planet, carbon
    intensity targets are meaningless in the face of
    plans to triple production between now and 2020.
    If Canada was serious about climate change, it
    would leave the tar sands in the ground and
    invest in true renewables.

14
  • Agriculture Collapsing
  • 6382 cut in US crop yields for temperature
    alone !
  • Wolfram Schlenker and Michael J. Roberts
    Nonlinear temperature effects indicate severe
    damages to U.S. crop yields under climate change
    PNAS 2009 10615594-15598 published online
    before print August 28, 2009, doi10.1073/pnas.090
    6865106
  • Nonlinear temperature effects indicate severe
    damages to U.S. crop yields under climate change

15
  • The United States produces 41 of the world's
    corn and 38 of the world's soybeans. These crops
    comprise two of the four largest sources of
    caloric energy produced and are thus critical for
    world food supply.
  • We pair a panel of county-level yields for these
    two crops, plus cotton (a warmer-weather crop),
    with a new fine-scale weather dataset that
    incorporates the whole distribution of
    temperatures within each day and across all days
    in the growing season. We find that yields
    increase with temperature up to 29 C for corn,
    30 C for soybeans, and 32 C for cotton but that
    temperatures above these thresholds are very
    harmful.
  • The slope of the decline above the optimum is
    significantly steeper than the incline below it.
    The same nonlinear and asymmetric relationship is
    found when we isolate either time-series or
    cross-sectional variations in temperatures and
    yields. This suggests limited historical
    adaptation of seed varieties or management
    practices to warmer temperatures because the
    cross-section includes farmers' adaptations to
    warmer climates and the time-series does not.
    Holding current growing regions fixed,
    area-weighted average yields are predicted to
    decrease by 3046 before the end of the century
    under the slowest (B1) warming scenario and
    decrease by 6382 under the most rapid warming
    scenario (A1FI) under the Hadley III model.

16
  • The only science that is recognized for
    Copenhagen 2009 is IPCC 07 AR4 on science up to
    the year 2006. While this is insane - there has
    been no objection made to this.  The most
    compelling science on ever accelerating climate
    change is all most recent. However - the torrent
    of scientific data to emerge since IPPC 07 has
    led many scientists to sound the alarms.

17
  • http//www.planetdiet.org/pdf/Slideshow_Climate2
    0Change20and20Livestock20Farming-opt.pdf
  • The greatest single opportunity for reducing
    emissions and retaining carbon is the reform of
    global food production. Food production is the
    largest source of GHG emissions and so must be
    addresses as a priority.
  • We need a conversion of all fossil fuel
    subsidies to organic agro forestry that does not
    raise livestock for slaughter.

18
  • METHANE
  • Livestock causes over 50 of global warming GHG
    emissions according to a the just published
    Worldwatch paper. This huge increase in past
    estimates is because the IPCC underestimates the
    warming effect of methane by stretching it out
    over 100 years. This is future discounting of
    methane's warming and is not scientific.
  • World watch used a 20 year IPCC number of 72 X
    CO2.
  • http//www.worldwatch.org/files/pdf/Livestock20an
    d20Climate20Change.pdf
  • While the IPC uses a global warming potential for
    methane of 25 X CO2
  • (CO2 being 1) the actual global warming effect of
    methane emissions that last 12 years in the
    atmosphere is close to 100.
  • http//fixtheclimate.com/component-1/the-solutions
    -new-research/methane/
  • Research (not related to above) published this
    month by Drew Shindell increases methane warming
    by another 40.
  • http//www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/science/eart
    h-environment/article6895907.ece

19
  • Main methane sources include livestock
    landfills.  We can stop both of these.
  • A global transition from the livestock industry
    to plant agriculture will stop the main cause of
    deforestation (80) therefore will drastically
    reduce CO2 emissions.
  • A plant based diet would be a catalyst to
    immense benefits in human health.  We would see a
    immediate, steep decline in a health care crisis
    we currently face in developed / developing
    countries. (obesity, heart disease, diabetes,
    etc.)

20
  • The IPCC makes no recommendations - as Rajendra
    Pachauri, (Chairman of IPCC) confirmed in a
    recent public statement on 350 ppm1.
  • This means that Copenhagen has no formal
    recommendations from the IPCC. The IPCC states
    that the only policy recommendations can come
    from policy makers.
  • 1 As chairman of the Intergovernmental Panel
    on Climate Change, I cannot take a position
    because we do not make recommendations, said
    Rajendra Pachauri when asked if he supported
    calls to keep atmospheric carbon dioxide
    concentrations below 350 ppm.  But as a human
    being I am fully supportive of that goal. What is
    happening, and what is likely to happen,
    convinces me that the world must be really
    ambitious and very determined at moving toward a
    350 target, http//www.grist.org/article/2009-08-
    25-pachauri-call-for-350-breakthrough-moment-for-c
    limate-movement/

21
  • The IPCC states it cannot define or declare what
    dangerous interference is1. 
  • 1 Indeed, the 2007 IPCC report never mentions
    the word "dangerous," apparently substituting the
    term "reasons for concern." The IPCC itself does
    not define a level at which climate change
    becomes "dangerous."http//www.climate-change-emer
    gency-medical-response.org/defining-dangerous-clim
    ate-change.html

22
  • The Copenhagen Science Congress which is fully
    aware of the post IPCC science still states it
    cannot declare what dangerous interference is. 
    They state that only 'society' can decide1.
  • 1 It is crucial that in Copenhagen in December
    2009 governments from across the world reach
    agreement on tackling the challenge of climate
    change on a collective basis. The United Nations
    Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC)
    has as its central objective actions to avoid a
    level of human interference with the earth's
    climate system that could be termed as dangerous.
    Yet, after 17 years of agreement on this
    Convention the world has still not agreed on what
    would constitute a dangerous level of
    anthropogenic interference. http//blog.rkpachaur
    i.org/blog/13/Why-Copenhagen-is-important-for-the-
    future-of-human-civilization.htm

23
  • The IPCC mitigation calculations that are being
    referred to by all countries, have omitted the
    additional warming from all carbon feedbacks
    which is beyond dangerous.1
  • 1 Cf. Annex 1 p. 31

24
  • It is no measure of health to be well
  • adjusted to a profoundly sick society.
  • Jiddu Krishnamurti

25
  • APATHY THE CANCER OF OUIR SOCIETY
  • We are now at a crossroads.  Some citizens have
    such a deep sense of entitlement that they
    actually fight for their right to harm our
    shared environment.  Such individuals are so
    disconnected from nature that they do not
    understand that their perceived right to
    pollute and degrade our shared environment is at
    the expense of not only their own health, but the
    health and welfare of their own children and the
    people they love.  Such perceived rights and
    senses of entitlement are the root cause of
    climate change which now kills 300,000 people per
    year. 

26
  • Late 2008 Hadley Centre (UK) researchers
    announced new calculations that suggest a rise of
    up to 7 ºC by 2100. And in early in 2009, so did
    MIT.
  • If these projected potential increases occur,
    climate extremes will render the planet UNLIVABLE
    for most life by around 6 ºC (or less) which,
    incredibly, could become a reality BEFORE THE END
    OF THIS CENTURY.

27
  • In short, the fate of perhaps the next
    100 billion people to walk the Earth rests with
    scientists (and those who understand the science)
    trying to communicate the dire nature of the
    climate problem (and the myriad solutions
    available now) as well as the ability of the
    media, the public, opinion-makers and political
    leaders to understand and deal with that science.
  • Two additional papers were published by Nature
    in April 2009. While governments and the United
    Nations set targets for cuts by a certain date,
    this science measured something quite different.
    It measured the total volume of carbon dioxide we
    can produce while still standing a good chance of
    avoiding more than two degrees of warming.

28
  • The obvious conclusions from these three papers
    are glaring. Firstly - The trajectory of cuts is
    more important than the final destination. An 80
    cut by 2050, for example, could produce very
    different outcomes. If much of the cut were made
    towards the beginning of the period, the total
    emissions entering the atmosphere would be much
    smaller than if most of the cut were made at the
    end of the period. Secondly - The measure that
    counts is the peak atmospheric concentration.
    This means that emissions must down to zero, as
    soon as possible. Why would any rational person
    wait until 2015 to hit peak emissions?

29
  • This means that what the governments hoped about
    the trajectory of temperature change are
    ill-founded. Most, including Canadas, are
    working on the assumption that we can overshoot
    the desired targets for temperature and
    atmospheric concentrations of CO2, then watch
    them settle back later.
  • What this science shows - is that wherever
    temperatures peak, that is more or less where
    they will stay. There is no going back.

30
  • Despite overwhelming scientific evidence, the
    December climate conference in Copenhagen is
    being set up to fail.  There is thus far no
    mention of the need to achieve virtual zero CO2
    emissions as quickly as possible and there is an
    ongoing denial that the world has reached a state
    of emergency beyond the point of dangerous
    interference with the climate system that
    threatens the ability of vulnerable populations
    (e.g. children, not even mentioned), future
    generations and most other life to survive.

31
  • None of this is currently on the table. The
    targets and methodology being used by governments
    and the United Nations - which will form the
    basis for their negotiations at Copenhagen - are
    not even wrong they are irrelevant.
  • If we do not set the record right on dangerous
    interference now it never will be corrected and
    there will be no hope for the future.  Time is
    not on our side. We are rapidly shifting the
    composition of the atmosphere, raising levels of
    carbon dioxide higher than theyve been in at
    least the past 800,000 years.

32
  • Climate scientists have discovered a
    particularly inconvenient truth by the time
    definitive predictions of climate change are
    adopted by scientific consensus, the climate
    system may have reached a tipping point at which
    climate change begins to feed on itselfand
    becomes essentially irreversible for centuries
    into the future. The trajectory of current
    melting plummets through the IPCC graphs like
    giant meteorites falling to earth. As the ice
    disappears, the region becomes darker, which
    means that it absorbs more heat. White ice and
    snow reflect 80 percent of sunlight back to
    space, while dark water reflects only 20 percent,
    absorbing a much larger heat load. A recent paper
    published in Geophysical Research Letters1
    shows that the extra warming caused by
    disappearing sea ice penetrates 1500km inland,
    covering almost the entire region of continuous
    permafrost.

33
  • Arctic permafrost contains twice as much carbon
    as the entire global atmosphere. It remains safe
    for as long as the ground stays frozen. But the
    melting has begun. Methane gushers are now
    gassing out of some places with such force that
    they keep the water open in Arctic lakes, through
    the winter.2 The rapidly melting permafrost is
    unleashing methane chimneys from the ocean floor
    along the Russian coastline. Methane is a
    greenhouse gas 25 times more toxic than carbon
    dioxide.
  • 1 Lawrence David M., Slater Andrew G. Tomas
    Robert A., Holland Marika M., Deser Clara,
    Accelerated Arctic land warming and permafrost
    degradation during rapid sea ice loss,
    Geophysical Research Letters, June 2008.
    http//www.agu.org/pubs/crossref/2008/2008GL033985
    .shtml
  • 2 Methane Gas and Arctic permafrost
    http//www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/environment
    /arctic-gas-leak-time-bomb-discovered-13980581.htm
    lixzz0TdluA5SX

34
  • The effects of melting permafrost are not
    incorporated into any global climate models.
    Runaway warming in the Arctic alone could flip
    the entire planet into a new climatic state. The
    Middle Climate could collapse faster and sooner
    than the grimmest forecasts proposed.
  • September 2008 - The first evidence that
    millions of tons of a greenhouse gas 20 times
    more potent than carbon dioxide is being released
    into the atmosphere from beneath the Arctic
    seabed has been discovered by scientists.1
  • The Arctic permafrost holds more carbon in its
    frozen soil than is currently in the entire
    atmosphere today that being 1672 BILLION TONNES.
  • 1 Methane Gas and Arctic permafrost
    http//www.independent.co.uk/environment/climate-c
    hange/exclusive-the-methane-time-bomb-938932.html
    / http//www.independent.co.uk/news/science/hundre
    ds-of-methane-plumes-discovered-941456.html

35
  • August 2009 - Arctic sea ice thickness down 53
    percent1 - Tom Wagner, NASA's cryosphere
    program manager, added "A fantastic change is
    happening on Earth -- it's truly one of the
    biggest changes in environmental conditions on
    Earth since the end of the ice age. It's not an
    easy thing to observe, let alone predict what
    might happen next."2
  • 1 Arctic sea Ice thickness United
    International press, September 2009
    http//www.upi.com/Science_News/2009/09/02/Arctic-
    sea-ice-thickness-down-53-percent/UPI-801812518991
    05/
  • 2 Arctic Sea Ice thickness http//canadianclima
    teaction.wordpress.com/2009/09/18/arctic-sea-ice-t
    hickness-down-53-percent/

36
  • The Arctic summer sea ice is now expected to
    melt entirely within the next five years 80
    years earlier than predicted in the 2007 IPCC
    report.1
  • 1 IPCC, Observations change in snow, ice and
    frozen ground, Fourth Assessment Report, 2007
  • http//ipcc-wg1.ucar.edu/wg1/Report/AR4WG1_Print_C
    h04.pdf

37
  • Fact - as you read this, global average
    temperature is already higher than at any time
    over the last 2 MILLION YEARS.

38
  • We must HALT man made greenhouse gas emissions
    to as near to ZERO (virtual 100, also stated in
    the 2007 IPCC report) as fast as possible through
    conservation and carbon rationing.

39
  • Scientist Bill Hare has had the scientific and
    human integrity to say this many more
    scientists are now starting to speak out. (Mr.
    Hare is with Germanys Potsdam Institute and a
    Lead Author for the IPCCs Climate Change 2007).
  • It has been determined that only zero carbon
    emissions can bring about a reduction in
    atmospheric carbon concentrations. However, we
    know at present time it is technically impossible
    to achieve this therefore we need to set
    ourselves on the pathway that will get us there
    as fast and effectively as possible.

40
  • Only two scientists have stated publicly we are
    now beyond dangerous interference - John Holdren
    and James Hansen. The Climate Action Network FCCC
    (Framework Convention on Climate Change)
    submission does not state we are beyond
    dangerous. We need more scientists to state this
    position if we are to influence the political
    realm.
  • Copenhagen assumes dangerous climate
    interference is some time in the future.

41
  • Speaking at the Kennedy School of Government on
    November 6, 2007, Dr. Holdren stated the
    disruption and its impacts have grown more widely
    than anyone ever expected a few years ago.
  • The world is already experiencing dangerous
    anthropogenic interference in the climate
    system. The question now is whether we can avoid
    catastrophic interference.

42
  • James Hansen Invited to testify before the
    United States Congress, in June of 2007, the
    chief climatologist of NASA declared Special
    interests have blocked transition to our
    renewable energy future. Instead of moving
    heavily into renewable energies, fossil companies
    choose to spread doubt about global warming, as
    tobacco companies discredited the smoking-cancer
    link. CEOs of fossil energy companies know what
    they are doing and are aware of long-term
    consequences of continued business as usual. In
    my opinion, these CEOs should be tried for high
    crimes against humanity and nature. Putting
    profits and super-profits before the climate the
    scandal is enormous.

43
  • Speaking in Washington on the twentieth
    anniversary of his historic testimony, James
    Hansen had a sharp warning for policymakers If
    we dont begin to reduce greenhouse gas emissions
    in the next several years, and get on a very
    different course, then we are in trouble....This
    is the last chance.

44
  • If we are to RACE BACK TO a 'safe' climate
    balance of not more than 1 ºC -- FAST (Bill
    Hare, Worldwatch Institute, State of World 2009,
    Chapter 2), the world community must peak
    emissions as soon as possible, rapidly reduce to
    virtual ZERO emissions, AND REMOVE much of the
    carbon from the atmosphere that has already been
    released.

45
  • John Schellnhuber, director of the Potsdam
    Institute for Climate Impact Research
  • Policymakers who agreed to a two-degree C goal
    at the G20 summit easily fool themselves about
    what emission cuts are needed, Schellnhuber
    said. Even with a two-degree rise, most of the
    worlds coral reefs will be lost, large portions
    of the ocean will become dead zones, mountain
    glaciers will largely vanish and many other
    ecosystems will be at risk, Schellnhuber warned.
    And there is the risk of reaching a tipping point
    where the warming rapidly accelerates.
  • 1 Climate Code Red  http//climatecodered.blog
    spot.com/2009/10/4-degree-world.html
  • Margot Oneill, Countdown to Copenhagen, ABC
    news, 2009 http//blogs.abc.net.au/events/2009/10/
    taking-the-temperature-of-our-climate-scientists-p
    art-1.html

46
  • Myles Allen of the Climate Dynamics group at
    University of Oxfords Atmospheric, Oceanic and
    Planetary Physics Department The climate
    negotiators heading to Copenhagen in December
    must accept the fact that the worlds carbon
    emissions must eventually stop and stop
    completely. There is no sustainable per capita
    carbon emission level because it is the total
    amount of carbon emitted that counts. Carbon
    dioxide remains in the atmosphere for many
    centuries, which makes it the most important
    greenhouse gas to reduce and eliminate. The
    current focus on CO2 concentrations like 450 ppm
    or 350 ppm is the not the right approach since it
    is the total cumulative emissions that determine
    how warm the planet will get. If climate
    negotiators only look at slowing rates of carbon
    emissions, then natural gas will be substituted
    for coal because it has half of the carbon but
    the total amount of carbon in the atmosphere will
    continue to increase.

47
  • Researchers say that global temperature is
    likely to rise more than 3.5C even if every
    country enacts all climate legislation promised
    to date.

48
  • The EU has long stated that 2C is 'not safe',
    and that 2C 'does not exclude runaway climate
    change, it minimizes it'.
  • - 2ºC is now insane because we have Arctic
    carbon feedback from both permafrost and methane
    hydrates at today's 0.78ºC. Permafrost is now
    estimated to contain 2 times atmospheric carbon.

49
  • At todays 0.78ºC we also have Arctic summer ice
    meltdown, which will add up to another 2C to
    heating by 2100.
  • At todays 0.78ºC we have most all planetary
    ice masses melting at an accelerating rate.
  • At todays 0.78ºC we have all of Antarctica
    warming.
  • The term Dangerous climate interference is
    agreed to mean a safe concentration of
    atmospheric GHGases (UN FCCC secretariat).

50
  • Today's atmospheric GHG concentrations determine
    that today's global temperatures will practically
    double (a commitment of an additional 75) and
    the increase will last over 1000 years along with
    global climate disruption. Sea level rise and
    ocean acidification will last thousands.
  • Therefore - the one thing we must have out of
    Copenhagen is an agreement that we now need an
    emergency response because we are in a state of
    emergency beyond dangerous interference risking
    catastrophe1
  • 1 John Holdre, Harvard University JKK
    Multimedia Forum http//www.iop.harvard.edu/Multi
    media-Center/By-Program/JFK-Jr.-Forum/Global-Clima
    te-Disruption-What-Do-We-Know,-What-Should-We-Do

51
  • The only emergency response is an immediate
    reduction of emissions with our target being
    zero.
  • Some would call this impossible. However the
    resources, technologies, and human capacity for
    change are all in place

52
  • We need a greater Than World War 2-Equivalent,
    Emergency Global Mass-Mobilization
  • Humanity must launch a multi-pronged 'Marshall
    Plan/ Manhattan Project/ Apollo
    Program'-equivalent venture on the greatest scale
    ever to confront the climate crisis -- research
    and rapid development/ transference/
    implementation of clean, renewable technologies,
    emergency assistance for/ cooperation with
    fast-developing countries and those onthe front
    lines of devastating impacts, and much, much more
    -- and we must initiate it NOW in order to
    survive.

53
  • The missing ingredient is political will, and
    that is a renewable resource.
  • This is a breathtaking opportunity disguised as
    an insoluble problem. Solving the climate problem
    will create the largest wave of new industries
    and jobs the world has seen in decades.

54
  • Quotes from scientists who are speaking out

55
  • "We are unleashing hell on Australia," said
    Neville Nicholls, Monash University's Professor
    Neville Nicholls, a world expert and lead author
    for the IPCC.

56
  • "... many, many scientists now ... are
    frantically, hysterically worried," said
    Professor Ann Henderson-Sellers, the former head
    of the UNs World Climate Research Program, now
    at Macquarie University.

57
  • Neville Nicholls "We feel like Cassandra (able
    to see catastrophe but doomed to be disbelieved).
    I think this is especially the case with
    Australian scientists, where certain sections of
    the media would prefer to have an article about
    climate change written by the drover's dog rather
    than by a real climate scientist. Earlier this
    week I was contacted by a climate scientist
    friend at Columbia University in New York. He was
    being asked to participate in a briefing on
    climate change science for Australian Parliament
    members and senators, in New York on 6 October
    and wanted me to brief him on the scientific
    knowledge and political leanings of the
    politicians in the delegation. I am happy that
    Australian politicians are seeking briefings from
    real scientists. But I am bemused that they
    thought they needed to travel to New York to get
    a briefing from a climate scientist."

58
  • Two degrees C is already gone as a target,
    said Chris West of the University of Oxfords UK
    Climate Impacts Programme. Four degrees C is
    definitely possibleThis is the biggest challenge
    in our history, West told participants at the 4
    Degrees and Beyond, International Climate Science
    Conference at the University of Oxford last week.

59
  • Richard Betts of the Climate Impacts Research
    Team The models are based on human emissions
    alone, and do not include heat-amplifying
    feedbacks from melting ice or changes in carbon
    sinks. When those are factored in, it moves the
    timetable forward so that reaching four degrees
    by 2060 is a plausible, worst-case scenario with
    the median being 2070. By 2100, 5.5 degrees is
    possible, he said. Few places would experience
    the global average temperature, Betts cautioned,
    noting that the computer models show the Arctic
    warming 15 degrees while many other regions of
    the world would experience 10 degrees of
    additional warming. These scenarios do not
    include potential tipping points like the release
    of the 1.5 trillion tonnes of carbon in northern
    permafrost or the melting of undersea methane
    hydrates.

60
  • the entire world is beyond dangerous climate
    change

61
  • we all are facing a real and rapidly rising risk
    of total catastrophe

62
  • we are in a state of dire emergency

63
  • the only target that can possibly prevent total
    catastrophe is zero carbon emissions

64
  • no measures can work without measures to tax
    carbon

65
  • It is now more than thirty years after the first
    cries of alarm of climatologists, seventeen years
    after the Summit of Rio, twelve years after Kyoto
    and we are still talking.  Little to nothing
    has been accomplished and now we are now out of
    time.  We are on the Titanic.

66
  • The largest, most widely known and discussed
    report of its kind, the Stern Review warns that
    climate change threatens to be the greatest, most
    far-reaching market failure ever because the
    costs of fossil fuel emissions are not
    incorporated into free market accounting and
    polluters are not forced to pay for the
    social/environmental impacts of their pollution.

67
  • Since this report, several other sources
    (including the International Energy Agency, IEA)
    have quoted figures from 250 to over 300 a
    tonne of carbon as the penalties that would be
    necessary in order to drive the conversion of our
    fossil fuel-based energy economy to one of
    conservation and renewables.  In contrast, the
    best policy proposal from the environmental
    movement is one tenth this amount.

68
  • Stern is now the first public leader to state
    that agriculture worldwide will collapse this
    century unless drastic action is taken to slash
    greenhouse gas emissions.  While damages to
    agriculture are not even recognized as a danger
    of global climate change in the Intergovernmental
    Panel on Climate Changes (IPCC, 2007), reasons
    for concern, it is clearly the top threat to
    humanitys survival.

69
  • Our political leaders are pretending that we can
    find a balance between the short-term economic
    interests of the big polluters and maintaining a
    safe climate that is capable of sustaining life.
    As former Government adviser on climate change
    Ross Garnaut said, the failure of this
    generation to act will haunt humanity until the
    end of time1. Just as business as usual will
    destroy our future, so will politics as usual.
    In the present system global economic growth is
    directly linked to emissions and yet this
    suicidal model continues to be promoted growth at
    all costs. 
  • 1Cosmos magazine, Failures on Climate Change
    will haunt the humanity, Agence France Press.
    2009 http//www.cosmosmagazine.com/news/2227/garna
    ut-failure-climate-change-will-haunt-humanity

70
  • Our governments are lying through their teeth.

71
  • Could it be that citizens could sooner see the
    end of the world than the end of a capitalist
    system that is literally killing us?  Positive
    changes are being witnessed as societies around
    the world are now embracing memes such as
    degrowth, steady state economies, the new
    economics foundations, genuine progress
    indicators, the happy planet index and others. 
    We can build a world that places the health,
    happiness and welfare of people ahead of
    profits. 

72
  • A sustainable economy is possible. The barrier
    to accomplishing a better world is not the
    economical or technological constraints, but by
    political power and the will of the people. 
  • Resistance is not futile it is essential.

73
  • Do we want to be remembered as the generation
    that had money for subsidies of big oil and
    fighting wars yet we let the biosphere collapse?

74
  • In the last few weeks, President Nicolas Sarkozy
    has asked world leaders to join a revolution in
    the measurement of economic progress1, Sir
    Nicholas Stern has warned at some point we would
    have to think about whether we want future
    growth2, and John Prescott has called the
    current economic growth model 'immoral'. The
    debate about economic growth has really
    begun.31 Worldpress http//article.wn.com/
    view/2009/09/15/Sarkozy_wants_happiness_used_as_ec
    onomic_indicator/
  • 2Watts Jonathan, Stern Rich nations will have
    to forget about growth to stop climate change,
    The Guardian, September 2009 http//www.businessgr
    een.com/business-green/news/2249397/stern-rich-nat
    ions-forget
  • 3 Watts Jonathan, Current economic growth model
    is 'immoral', says Prescott, The guardian,
    September 4, 2009

75
  • In Prosperity without Growth Economics for a
    Finite Planet Tim Jackson offers a new vision of
    a shared prosperity the capability to flourish
    as human beings - within the ecological limits of
    a finite planet. Fulfilling that vision is simply
    the most urgent task of our times.

76
  • The New Economics describes the problems and
    bizarre contradictions in conventional economics
    as well as the principles of the emerging new
    economics, and it tells the real-world stories of
    how new economics is being successfully put into
    practice around the world.

77
  • Canada and the US together represent less than 5
    percent of humanity yet consume over one-quarter
    of the worlds oil, and contribute to more than
    one-quarter of the worlds greenhouse gas
    emissions. Carbon is the most significant
    greenhouse gas, and Canadas per capita carbon
    footprint is more than twice that of the average
    European, roughly five times the world average,
    and more than 20 times that of many developing
    countries.

78
  • Climate policy and environmental policy is
    characterized by the habituation of low
    expectations and a culture of failure. There is
    an urgent need to understand global warming and
    the tipping points for dangerous impacts that we
    have already crossed as a sustainability
    emergency that takes us beyond the politics of
    failure-inducing compromise.  

79
  • Finally, while we grasp with how we can cut back
    our emissions lets look at annual tons of CO2
    per person and reflect Annual tons of CO2 per
    person

80
  • Ethiopia .01
  • India 1.1
  • China 3.2
  • Sweden 5.6

81
  • France 6.2
  • UK 9.4
  • Japan 9.7
  • Germany 9.8

82
  • CANADA 17.9
  • USA 19.8
  • Its us, the one billion affluent people of the
    world whose footprints are crushing the planet. 
    Surely we can all agree this is grossly
    unethical.  Climate change today accounts for
    over 300,000 deaths throughout the world each
    year.

83
  • Children are the most vulnerable in our
    society. It is the responsibility of every adult
    citizen on our global planet to take every
    precaution to protect our children and mitigate
    against climate change. 

84
  • Climate Change is systemic of a much bigger
    problem.
  • We are part of a cultural phenomenon, a culture
    of self entitlement and our choice to destroy
    our shared environment. Our shared natural
    environment has become a toxic dumping ground.
  • We are paying the highest price
  • Today we are living in what scientists call the
    sixth extinction.  The fastest die off of
    species the Earth has ever seen. The biodiversity
    crisis is due to the destruction of ecosystems,
    the overexploitation of species and natural
    resources, overpopulation, the spread of
    agriculture and livestock, and pollution - all
    contributing to ever accelerating global warming
    caused by humans.
  • We are conducting a vast toxicological
    experiment in which our children and our
    children's children are the experimental
    subjects

85
Ecology and economy are interdependent.  Both
words have a common root the Greek word "oikos"
which means home. A whole earth economy is an
economy based on the happiness, the health and
essential needs of the people and its inhabitants
an intensification and a flourishing of of all
the service and trading activites that create and
support the integrity, resiliance and beauty of
lifes commonwealth.  It recognizes the earth has
ecological limits and that if these limits are
not respected there will be a negative effect on
the social systems and ecosystems that make up
the commonwealth of life on which we depend.  We
have wildly surpassed these limits in an
unprecedented way.  We must stop counting the
consumption of natural capital as income. Bold
new visions of interrelated environmental,
economic and social challenges, including
economic reform and ethical governance is only
possible with bold, visionary leaders.  There is
no reason in the world we cannot build a green,
healthy economies where all life flourishes. 
   LISTEN Download "The New Ecology" podcast
and get the extended "What if ecology mattered?"
conversation with William Rees.
http//www.alternativesjournal.ca/podcasts/the-n
ew-ecology-issue-354 William Rees, co-author of
Our Ecological Footprint, is a human ecologist
and ecological economist at the University of
British Columbias School of Community and
Regional Planning. If you want to know who is
going to change this country, take a look in the
mirror. Maude Barlow

86
  • A Transition to A Whole Earth, Steady State
    Economy is Essential
  • Everything began with the industrial revolution
    in 1750, which gave birth to the capitalist
    system. In two and a half centuries, the so
    called developed countries have consumed a
    large part of the fossil fuels created over five
    million centuries.Competition and the thirst for
    profit without limits of the capitalist system
    are destroying the planet. Under Capitalism we
    are not human beings but consumers. Under
    Capitalism mother earth does not exist, instead
    there are raw materials. Capitalism is the source
    of the asymmetries and imbalances in the world.
    It generates luxury, ostentation and waste for a
    few, while millions in the world die from hunger
    in the world. In the hands of Capitalism
    everything becomes a commodity the water, the
    soil, the human genome, the ancestral cultures,
    justice, ethics, death and life itself.
    Everything, absolutely everything, can be bought
    and sold and under Capitalism. And even climate
    change itself has become a business. Climate
    change has placed all humankind before great
    choice to continue in the ways of capitalism and
    death, or to start down the path of harmony with
    nature and respect for life.
  • Redesigning the Way We Think Live
  • http//www.happyplanetindex.org/engage/charter.ht
    ml
  • http//www.neweconomics.org/gen/

87
Evo Morales Save the Planet from Capitalism
  • Today, our Mother Earth is ill. From the
    beginning of the 21st century we have lived the
    hottest years of the last thousand years. Global
    warming is generating abrupt changes in the
    weather the retreat of glaciers and the decrease
    of the polar ice caps the increase of the sea
    level and the flooding of coastal areas, where
    approximately 60 of the world population live
    the increase in the processes of desertification
    and the decrease of fresh water sources a higher
    frequency in natural disasters that the
    communities of the earth suffer1 the
    extinction of animal and vegetal species and the
    spread of diseases in areas that before were free
    from those diseases.One of the most tragic
    consequences of the climate change is that some
    nations and territories are the condemned to
    disappear by the increase of the sea level.
  • Read Full Opinion Piece Here
    http//councilofcanadianslondon.wordpress.com/2008
    /12/19/climate-change-save-the-planet-from-capital
    ism-evo-morales/

88
Achievements You Will Not Read About in the MSM
(Main Stream Media)
  • Ecuador first to legislate rights for nature 10
    December 2008
  • Ecuador Approves New Constitution Voters
    Approve Rights of NatureEcuador First Country
    in the World to Shift to Rights-Based
    Environmental Protection, Working With Legal
    Defense Fund
  • By an overwhelming margin, the people of Ecuador
    today voted for a new constitution that is the
    first in the world to recognize legally
    enforceable Rights of Nature, or ecosystem
    rights. The Community Environmental Legal Defense
    Fund is pioneering this work in the U.S., where
    it has assisted more than a dozen local
    municipalities with drafting and adopting local
    laws recognizing Rights of Nature. Ecuador is now
    the first country in the world to codify a new
    system of environmental protection based on
    rights. With this vote, the people of Ecuador are
    leading the way for countries around the world to
    fundamentally change how we protect nature.
    Article 1 of the new "Rights for Nature" chapter
    of the Ecuador constitution reads "Nature or
    Pachamama, where life is reproduced and exists,
    has the right to exist, persist, maintain and
    regenerate its vital cycles, structure, functions
    and its processes in evolution. Every person,
    people, community or nationality, will be able to
    demand the recognitions of rights for nature
    before the public bodies."

89
  • Could We Pass Such a Law in North American?
    Probably Not. Why?
  • 1- Apathy caused by a complete disconnect from
    our shared natural environment
  • 2- Entitlement which has been cultivated in the
    very essence of our being in North America
  • 3- Corporations are now more powerful than our
    governments
  • 4- The average citizen is being kept in the dark
    on the severity of climate change and the
    implications
  • Solutions
  • 1- Seek out Independent Media
  • 2- Reconnect Children with Nature
  • 3- Mandatory ecoliteracy courses including
    precautionary principle in work places and all
    levels of government
  • 4- Utilize waiting times in the health sector
    with education. Replace television shows in
    waiting rooms with documentaries. Replace
    irrelevant reading material / magazines with
    those which focus on climate change and health.

90
  • Teach Ecoliteracy in all Levels of Government
  • For those in leadership roles and decision making
    capacity - knowledge of climate change,
    sustainability and environmental degradation
    should not be optional
  • The City of Albuquerque began delivering
    Sustainability Awareness Training in fall of
    2007. Training sessions were available daily from
    October 8-12 and November 13-17, during which
    time 3,800 employees were trained.
  • http//www.cabq.gov/albuquerquegreen/see-it-green-
    reporting

91
  • Direct Action
  • I believe weve reached the stage where it is
    time for civil disobedience. Al Gore, Clinton
    Global Initiative, Sept. 25, 2008

92
  • The Reverse Graffiti Project Art less
    pollution
  • This is what you may call reverse graffiti.
    Brazilian streetartist
  • Alexandre Orion removes soot to draw skulls and
    create Art less pollution.
  • At dawn on July 13, 2006, Brazilian streetartist
    Alexandre Orion started working on a intervention
    in the Max Feffer tunnel Sao Paulo and created
    Art less pollution. The intervention was
    through a process of subtraction, scraping off
    layers of soot from vehicle exhaust built up on
    tunnel walls to produce images of human skulls.
  • Read more about the intervention and see
    pictures at Alexandre Orions website.
  • VIDEO
  • http//www.youtube.com/watch?vJwsBBIIXT0Eeurlh
    ttp//www.facebook.com/home.php
  • Capitalism strikes again Note that since this
    time GreenWorks Clorox Corporation has
    purchased this video for an advertising campaign.

93
Under the Radar Le Clan du Néon
  • Lights Out Activists on Anti-Neon Crusade in
    France. By Adam Sage, Times (UK), November 8,
    2008. "Meet Le Clan du Néon, an increasingly
    popular environmental movement that wants to make
    the City of Lights a little darker. One tactic is
    to turn off neon shop signs at night by reaching
    the external fire switches that control them,
    usually found two or three metres up the
    façade... Le Clan was set up in Paris, but its
    light-hearted and low-tech activist approach to
    ecology has been a hit across the country with
    students, many of whom see the antineon activity
    as a nocturnal lark. Groups have sprung up in
    Normandy, Bordeaux, the Alps and Dordogne.
    Members from the latter have posted an internet
    video that says that in a region bereft of night
    life, turning out the high street lighting is as
    good a way of passing the time as any... The
    thousands of shop signs left on at night in
    Europe consume tens of gigawatt hours of
    electricity a year. In France, where the nuclear
    industry supplies 80 per cent of electricity, the
    result is more radioactive waste. Elsewhere, it
    is hundreds of tonnes of CO2 emissions. 'If all
    the neon signs in the world were turned off, the
    impact on global warming would be very
    significant,' said Nicolas, 28, another Le Clan
    member. 'There ought to be a law against it, but
    since there isn't, we have to go around doing it
    ourselves.
  • Full Article http//www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/ne
    ws/world/europe/article5110640.ece
  • Video http//www.youtube.com/watch?viq6j3O6wAdE

94
  • Today's protesters, tomorrow's saviours.
  • It is pertinent to ask what view our
    great-grandchildren will take when they look back
    in 100 years. The slow cooking of the planet is
    quite distinct from other disputes today. With
    climate change, the ultimate question is whether
    humans can continue to live on this planet at
    all.
  • Plane Stupid Direct Action Group. They were
    disruptive and controversial to say the least.
    Spied upon, locked up and lambasted by the
    establishment of their time. The state considered
    them to be dangerous terrorists and, as Tony Benn
    put it, "Newsnight would have treated the
    suffragettes as trouble-makers." But those women
    who battled for gender equality were later
    vindicated by history. I suppose it's a testament
    to their success that the Climate Change
    Secretary, Ed Miliband, was citing them as an
    example of the sort of movement we need on global
    warming, adding, "Maybe it's an odd thing for
    someone in government to say." Certainly an odd
    thing for someone in government. Put against a
    context of the average Brit emitting 11 tonnes of
    CO2 a year, today's activity didn't just get the
    nation talking, it had a real impact. Like the
    Kingsnorth 6, who shut down one of the dirtiest
    coal plants in Britain and were later acquitted
    by a jury of 12 ordinary people, Plane Stupid
    just made history. Seriously what people will
    think about this protest in 100 years from now?
    Will that generations' politicians be lauding
    today's action as a model for defeating their
    eras' defining challenge?

95
  • Direct Action Becomes Cool
  • Interesting enough Lush produces a product
    called the charity pot where all the proceeds are
    donated to worthy causes. One of the groups to
    benefit is Plane Stupid. Others range from
    Butterfly Conservation to Reprieve, the human
    rights charity.
  • Lush states they believe that there is a long
    tradition of using non-violent protest to create
    change where other means have failed.
    Highlighting the constant growth of habits we
    know we can't sustain, as Plane Stupid has, they
    see as laudatory.
  • http//www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2008/dec/
    12/theairlineindustry-climatechange
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