Complex Event Processing approach for Strategic Intelligence

1
Complex Event Processing approach for Strategic
Intelligence

• -THALES Research Technology-
• ???

2
Introduction

• Background
• Situation Representation
• Situation Analysis
• Case Study
• CEP Modeling

3
Background

• Strategic Intelligence
• Process for increasing the competitive advantage
  of a business by smart use of available
  information in decision making
• Key issue
• Build a good situation understanding based on a
  context sensitive information
• Important Information Fusion
• Use complex event processing to situation analysis

4
Background

• Why CEP for Situation Analysis?
• Rule-Based modeling
• A good way to build a better situation awareness
• But.
• Problem with production rules
• Limitation of production rule to describe only
  logical combination of fact

5
Background

• Why CEP for Situation Analysis?
• What is it possible to express, to model?
• Modeling capability
• Causality and independence relationship
• What is it possible to do?
• Use and scalability of the technology
• Performed when a pattern is recognised
• Can process the huge number of events
• How can it be extended, enriched with other
  technologies?
• Traceability provided by the formalism
• Linked with its ancestors (its causes)

6
Situation Representation

• Understand at any moment through the analysis of
  incoming information
• A picture of the ongoing situation is bulit
• To built this picture
• Relevant information is first extracted from the
  input data

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Situation Analysis

• Focus on understanding the dynamics of the
  ongoing situation
• The analysis of the ongoing situation
• Allow the system to automatically raise alert
• when some inconsistency is detected
• A strategic business rule has to be applied

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Situation Analysis

• Complex Event Processing
• Event Pattern
• Define a complex activity
• Build from events and connection between them
• Temporal relationship, causal relationship,
  independent relationship
• Logical operators
• Conjunction, disjunction, negation

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Situation Analysis

• Complex Event Processing
• Event Pattern Rule
• A reactive rule triggered by a pattern
• Action
• Defined in the body of the event pattern rule
• Definition
• WHEN (event_pattern_matches)
• WHERE guard_on_evts_of_pattern IS TRUE
• THEN action

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Case Study

• The California Energy Crisis
• An insufficient natural gas and power capacity
• A strong economic growth
• Intermittent power shortage during peak demand
  period
• Wholesale energy price huge increasing
• Unusual climatic condition

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CEP Modeling

• Event Types
• Consider
• Weather monitoring
• Energetic demand estimation
• Energy provider monitoring
• Detecting changes in energetic production capacity

12
CEP Modeling

• Event Types

13
CEP Modeling

• Event Pattern and Rules
• WHEN weather w
• WHERE w.area is in California
• THEN pass w
• WHEN productCapaChanging pcc
• WHERE pcc impacts California
• THEN pass pcc
• WHEN provider p
• WHERE p serves California
• THEN pass p
• .
• .
• .

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Conclusion

• Classic forms of strategic intelligence
• Collect and organise historical information
• Now day
• Need more than just information about an observed
  situation
• Thousands of event
• Must be monitored, analysed
• Use complex event processing
• Can reveal high-level knoweledge and information