Natural Gas Update: Will Seasonality Rule This Year?

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Commodity Trading Research
Natural Gas Update Will Seasonality Rule This
Year?
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• Hi, My name is Justin and Im with Commodity
  Trading Research, today were reviewing our
  recently published article

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• Natural Gas Update Will Seasonality Rule This
  Year?

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• Despite historic volatility in equities the past
  few weeks, the natural gas market has been
  decidedly ho-hum. In fact, Id venture to say
  trading in the commodity is akin to watching
  paint dry.
• Take a look for yourself

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• As you can see, natural gas has been stuck in a
  choppy trading range around 2.70 mmBtu since
  mid-August. Even though temperatures have been
  rather warm in key natural gas usage regions

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• the past few weeks, investors seem content with
  letting prices dwindle.

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• But that may change soon

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• You see, were entering the most bullish time of
  the year for natural gas. According to a 20-year
  seasonality study, natural gas tends to bottom in
  early September and rally through late December.

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• This seasonal rallycomes to fruitionbecause
  investors start pricing in the high demand winter
  heating season, which is right around the corner.

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• Will a seasonal rally take hold this year?

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• While its tempting to embrace the strong odds
  behind seasonal trends we have to be mindful of
  the current supply/demand balance. According the
  US Energy Information Administration (EIA) the
  market is still very well supplied.

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• In fact, for the week of August 28th there were
  3,193 billion cubic feet (bcf) of supply in US
  storage caverns. Thats 4 higher than the
  5-year average and 18.3 higher than last year.

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• Clearly, US natural gas explorers are still
  producing the commodity at a remarkable pace.

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• Heres the deal

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• In order for a sustainable natural gas rally to
  take hold, we need to see two things occur.
• First of all,overall US natural gas production
  must slow meaningfully. And secondly, new demand
  must come online thats capable of reducing
  inventories substantially.

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• While we havent seen either of these factors
  happen just yet, were likely on the cusp of it.

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• How so?

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• I wont get into all the nitty gritty details
  today. However, I am putting the finishing
  toucheson a new report that outlinesthe
  potentially profitable situation in natural gas.

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• With the commodity trading near multi-year lows
  under 3 it will only take a few slight
  fundamental adjustments to send it sharply
  higher.

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• Under the right circumstances, we may see natural
  gas rally50 or more from current prices.
• Be on the lookout for this FREE report as it will
  hit this website soon!

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