Title: 2004
12004
2Where Does the Time Go?
And how lack of control over it changed us?
- Take a look at a typical day. Have consumer
behavior patterns changed markedly in the past
few years and why? - What have we had to change in order to cope?
- When and how do people make purchasing decisions?
- Has that affected attitudes toward advertising?
- How has that affected peoples media
accessibility whats possible, where are we? - What is time poverty and how can it affect
communications strategies?
Theyre right. Timing is everything.
3Changing Workforce
In the Total U.S.--
- In 1960
- 38 of all women work, but few women with young
children go to work - 61 of families are nuclear
- Majority of families have only one worker
- Majority of families have only one vehicle
- America was neighborhood centric
- We had Mass Media and small, segmented
neighborhoods
- In 2000
- 61 of women work, including two-thirds of women
with children under 6. - Between 63 and 74 of Women 18-54 in any of the
top 60 markets work part or full time. - Between 55 and 62 of Hispanic women 18-54 work
full or part time. - 25 of all family households in America are
headed by a woman alone - 67 of families are NOT nuclear
- Shift to dual-earner families, higher income
households, and one vehicle per worker - We have small, segmented mediaand few
geographical neighborhoods.
Source U.S. Census from June 2003, Report by
Nancy McGuckin, Travel Behavior Analyst Nanda
Srinivasan, Cambridge Systematics Inc. Horowitz
Associates, Inc Hal Kapp in American Way
1-15-2004 Scarborough data on 60 markets from
2003 Summary
4The number of commuters has increasedthe number
of roads really has not.
Millions of Workers commuting by POVU.S. Census
(Personally operated vehicles)
We drive 3,175 more miles, or 36 more each year
than in 1980.(Energy Information Administration
Monthly Energy Review, Oct 2002)
Source U.S. Census and the National Household
Travel Survey, June 2003.
5Crowded Roads Extend Drive Time
The average distance to work is longer, and its
taking longer to get there.
Source NHTS, Alan Piarski, reported in USA
Today May 19, 2004.
6A Real Shift to Longer Commutes in the U.S. means
more time out of home
A 20 increase in commutes over 30 minutes one
way and a30 increase in commutes over 45
minutes one way
The average annual delay per peak road traveler
climbed from 24 hours in 1982 to 62 hours in
2002 in top 11 markets.
Source U.S. Census. Texas Traffic Institute 2004
report
7Time Spent in Slow Lane Increases
Congestion Growth Trend Increased Sharply from
2001 to 2002
Source Texas Traffic Institute 2004
8You Get the Picture
- There are now three sure things
- Death
- Taxes
- Traffic
And youd better believe thataffects where and
how we spend our time.
9On Average, People Spend More Than 15 Hours Per
Week In-Car
Total Time Spent In-Car (as Driver or Passenger)
During (HoursMinutes)
Nearly 14 of Waking Hours
Base Currently Drive/Ride In Cars
Source Arbitron Edison NAB In Car Study October
2003.
10To cope, we change lifestyle patterns we leave
home earlier than ever before.
A new AP report released 7/1/2004 reported the
same findingspeople are Leaving home earlier to
cope with increased traffic.
What time do you usually leave home to go to
your primary job?
Nearly 65 of workers leave home before 8AM
Base Work Outside the Home
Source Arbitron Edison NAB In Car Study October
2003.
11We begin to see the consequences
- of women working and traffic growing and
increased travel, on all people. - We leave home earlier and stay away longer.
- We sleep one hour less each night than we did in
1970. - We work 8 hours more each week than in 1973.
- Two-parent families are working 700 more hours
annually than 20 years ago. - Were spending more time, and more of our time in
vehicles. Is that just because of increased
traffic congestion? Or is something else
different?
Source Labor Dept 2003.
12Last Minute Living
Well, the daily tasks didnt go away. They
actually increased. We just do them at a
different time. Welcome to the result of time
poverty the daily phenomenon called Plan
B Where we live our lives with last minute
planning.
13Nationwide, since 1990 the average American added
more recreation, errands and shopping than work
trips.
When do we make those additional trips?
In Los Angeles the average person makes 3.5 trips
per day, but only 1.1 of those happens in the
morning.
Source Arbitron/SCBA Los Angeles DMA Lifestyle
Study Released February 2002 and NHTS Data
Series, June 2003.
14All Vehicles in Motion The Changing Peak Period
American are spending more time in travel.
Source NHTS 2001
15Look at the In Car Listening Patterns in
Different CitiesAQH Comparison
Market after market, the same factors affect how
we are able to live our lives.
Source Arbitron, Fall 2003, DMA Ratings
Estimates, Persons 12.
16Shopping tasks have shiftedbeen shoved-- into
the Commute Home
In the course of a typical workweek, how often
do you shop? Adults 18
16
22
62
64
Base Work Full/Part Time
Source Arbitron Edison NAB In Car Study October
2003.
17It is more and more critical for retailers to
reach people in their vehicles
Retailers were the first to recognize and adapt
to the changes in our lifestyles and purchasing
patterns.
18What has changed since the 80s?
- Big Box stores
- Cross over goods in drug stores, grocery stores
- Take Out Delis in grocery stores
- Curb delivery of food to go
- Fax Machines
- Voicemail
- Personal Computers (remember typewriters?)
- The internet
- Email
- eBay or Amazon.com
- Cell phones
- 30 fewer POV commuting to work
- We had neither the need nor the opportunity
- to live a Plan B existence.
19More purchasing decisions are being made last
minuteoften under stress
In general, when do you usually make the
decision to stop at a store on your way home from
work?
Notice that they all add up to about 90 or more.
Base Work Full/Part Time
Source Arbitron Edison NAB In Car Study October
2003.
20The consequences become clearer
- of women working, travel and traffic growing.
- Weve added more trips to each day.
- Whats for dinner? is one of the most
stress-inducing phrases there is. And it comes
up everyday. Usually on the way home, when we
dont have a clue as to the answer or how to come
by it. - The Culinary Institute reported that by 1998, at
4PM on any day 78 of people didnt know what
they were going to have for dinner. - Were shopping, buying, deciding, especially
about food, every day. - Andwere making more through the windshield
purchasing decisions. - According to the ANA, 64 of the vacations booked
last year were booked within two weeks of when
they were taken. - In fact, we are teaching consumers to move into
the purchase patterns that are consistent with
Plan B, or Last Minute Living.
21Where do we make these stops?
In the last month, have you stopped on your way
home from work to?
Base Work Full/Part Time
Source Arbitron Edison NAB In Car Study October
2003.
22Workers Make Many Stopson the Commute Home
(Continued)
In the last month, have you stopped on your way
home from work to?
Base Work Full/Part Time
Source Arbitron Edison NAB In Car Study October
2003.
23Average Number of Stops During WorkweekLos
Angeles Market
People make food-buying choices everyday.
Base Work Full/Part Time
Source Arbitron/SCBA Los Angeles DMA Lifestyle
Study Released February 2002
24Media accessibility and selections?
25Source Veronis Suhler Stevenson Communications
Industry Forecast as reported in the Wall Street
Journal, January 26, 2004.
Heres where V/S says well spend our media time.
Note Ages varied by survey subjectExcludes
MP3s and Internet downloading, which is included
in InternetPlayback of prerecorded VHS
cassettes and DVDs.
26The New VSS Forecast Says Media Usage Will
Continue to Increase
- By 2008, the average consumer will spend 78 hours
a week with mediaand Advertiser-supported media
will decline to a 54.1 share of that time. - Media usage will continue to be influenced by
longer commutes and more time spent with niche
sectors of media (niche formats, niche magazines,
internet sites, cable programming, etc). - Time spent with Radio will continue to increase
32.5 of the average consumers weekly commercial
media usage is now spent with radio.
People will continue to create virtual
neighborhoods to replace the geographical ones
they cant participate in anymore.
Source Veronis Suhler Stevenson 2004
Communications Industry Forecast, released August
2, 2004
27What Happened to Neighborhoods
- while we were on our way to work, stuck
in worsening traffic, focusing on last minute
decisions that let us get through a day but keep
us out of our homes? - We werent around to participate in
neighborhoods. - So we had to find a way to replace them. A way
to engage with other people.
28Maslows Hierarchy of Human Needs
Abraham Maslow, 1954 (worldwide recognized
authority on human motivation)
29What is the Level of Engagement?
One key measurement of consumer engagement is
the amount of time spent with a medium during a
typical day.
In the last 24 hours, approximately how much
time did you spend? (Mean)
Base All Respondents
Source Arbitron Edison NAB In Car Study October
2003.
30What about Los Angeles? Adults 25-54 Time Spent
Listening
- Adults 25-54 spend over 3 hours a day listening
to the radio.
Source The Media Audit, Los Angeles,
August-September 2003, Adults 25-54. Note
outdoor is based on miles driven per day.
31What about San Francisco? Adults 25-54 Media
Time
- Adults 25-54 spend almost 3 hours a day listening
to the radio.
Source The Media Audit, San Francisco, April-May
2003, Adults 25-54. Note Outdoor is measured by
miles driven per day.
32What about Dallas? Adults 25-54 Media Time
- Adults 25-54 spend almost 3 1/2 hours a day
listening to the radio.
Source The Media Audit, Dallas/Ft. Worth, TX,
July-August 2003, Adults 25-54. Note outdoor is
based on miles driven per day.
33What about Detroit? Adults 25-54 Time Spent
Listening
- Adults 25-54 spend over 3 hours a day listening
to the radio.
Source The Media Audit, Detroit, MI, December
2003/January 2004, Adults 25-54. Note outdoor
is based on miles driven per day.
34What about Sacramento? Adults 25-54 Time Spent
Listening
- Adults 25-54 spend over 3 hours a day listening
to the radio.
Source The Media Audit, Sacramento, June-July
2004, Adults 25-54. Note outdoor is based on
miles driven per day.
35What about Sacramento? Adults 18-34 Time Spent
Listening
- Adults 18-34 spend almost 3 ½ hours a day
listening to the radio.
Source The Media Audit, Sacramento, June-July
2004, Adults 18-34. Note outdoor is based on
miles driven per day.
36What about Sacramento? Hispanic Adults 18 Time
Spent Listening
- Hispanic Adults 18 spend 2 ½ hours a day
listening to the radio.
Source The Media Audit, Sacramento, June-July
2004, Hispanic Adults 18. Note outdoor is
based on miles driven per day.
37What about Sacramento? Working Women Time Spent
Listening
- Working Women spend almost 3 ½ hours a day
listening to the radio.
Source The Media Audit, Sacramento, June-July
2004, Working Women 18. Note outdoor is based
on miles driven per day.
38What about Sacramento? Working Mothers Time
Spent Listening
- Working Mothers spend over 3 hours a day
listening to the radio.
Source The Media Audit, Sacramento, June-July
2004, Working Mothers 18. Note outdoor is
based on miles driven per day.
39What about Sacramento? Business
Owners/Partners/Corporate Offices Media Time
- Business Owners/Partners/Corporate Officers spend
almost 4 ½ hours a day listening to the radio.
Source The Media Audit, Sacramento, June-July
2004, Adults 18. Note outdoor is based on
miles driven per day.
40What about Sacramento? Adults 18 Who Plan To Buy
Furniture Next Year Time Spent Listening
- Adults 18 who plan to buy furniture next year
spend almost 3 hours a day listening to the radio.
Source The Media Audit, Sacramento, June-July
2004, Adults 18. Note outdoor is based on
miles driven per day.
41What about Sacramento? Adults 18 Who Visited A
Fast Food Restaurant 3 Times In the Past Week
Time Spent Listening
- Adults 18 who visited a fast food restaurant 3
times in the past week spend almost 3 ½ hours a
day listening to the radio.
Source The Media Audit, Sacramento, June-July
2004, Adults 18. Note outdoor is based on
miles driven per day.
42What about Sacramento? Adults 18 Who Plan To Buy
A Car Time Spent Listening
- Adults 18 who plan to buy a car spend almost 4
hours a day listening to the radio.
Source The Media Audit, Sacramento, June-July
2004, Adults 18. Note outdoor is based on
miles driven per day.
43Which medium do you spend the most time with?
Radio vs. Television - Weekday
What are the odds of reaching people?
We go with the POSSIBLE. For the most part, most
people spend more time with radio each weekday
than with any other medium.
Los Angeles Market
Source Arbitron/SCBA Los Angeles DMA Lifestyle
Study Released February 2002
44Radio vs. Television - Weekend
Compare weekend media usage see the impact of
weekday factors. Media usage is a product of what
we are able to do more than what we want or
intend to do.
Los Angeles Market
A18 make only 3.2 trips over the weekend (1.6
per day)
Source Arbitron/SCBA Los Angeles DMA Lifestyle
Study Released February 2002, Adults 18.
45Where Can You Find Us?
- As study after study has shown, broadcast TV
viewership is falling, cable viewership is highly
fragmented, people are spending less time reading
newspapers and magazines, but listening to more
radio and turning in ever-increasing numbers to
the Internet. - e-Marketing.com newsletter
- July 1, 2004
46So where and why are we using radio?
- What roles does it play in our lives?
47Working People spend nearly 2 hours a day in
vehicles, and over 3-1/2 hours in total listening
to radio just between 5A and 8P.Working Adults
18
Market TSL Market TSL
In car listening now accounts for 34 of time
spent listening by Adults 18.
Source Arbitron Fall 2003, DMA Ratings, Working
Adults 18. Used with permission from The
Arbitron Company. Metro Ratings 2003
Arbitron/Edison National In Car Survey
48So, if people are spending more time in cars,
what are they doing while in them?
Using Device In-Car
Base Driven/Ridden In a Car in Last Month
Source Arbitron Edison NAB In Car Study October
2003.
49Radio Is Overwhelmingly theDevice Most Used
In-Car
Using Device In-Car Almost All or Most of the
Times In-Car
Base Adults 18 Driven/Ridden In a Car in Last
Month
Source Arbitron Edison NAB In Car Study October
2003.
50among all age groups
Spending Most Time with Radio In-Car
Base Driven/Ridden In a Car in Last Month
Source Arbitron Edison NAB In Car Study October
2003.
51Radio Is Most Essential In-Car Device for a Large
Majority
If you could ONLY EVER use ONE device in your
primary car, which one device would you choose?
Adults 25
But what makes it an effective advertising tool?
Base Driven/Ridden In a Car in Last Month
Source Arbitron Edison NAB In Car Study October
2003.
52Radio Stations are Cult Brands.
- "The one thing all cult brands have in common
is that they understand they're not just selling
a product or service, they're selling other
customers to each other. When you buy a Harley,
you're buying a ticket to a new communal
experience. - Its about appealing to people's emotional
needs.
Theyre creating virtual communities.
Bolivar J. Bueno, with Matt Ragas "The Power of
Cult Branding How 9 Magnetic Brands Turned
Customers Into Loyal Followers (and Yours Can,
Too)."
53Let us define buzz ... It is foremost a
transfer of information from someone who is in
the know to one who isnt, or if you prefer, from
the hip to the less hip. The most important
factor is whether talk crosses community lines.
Communities can be any group whose members share
some commonality, from a physical community, a
town, say, to a college fraternity, to the
patrons of a particular saloon. David
Godes Professor Harvard Business School Dina
Mayzlin Yales School of Management August 2003
Here are you new neighborhoods
Or, a Radio Stations Core Listeners
People use their radio stations to create virtual
communities.
54Its about Connection
- People relate to media in much the same way they
relate to other people. To feel involved, they
must benefit from the relationship. Its about
connecting, and its more difficult than ever,
because people are rejecting media that fail to
meet their specific interests and lifestyles. - Mike Drexler
- CEO
- Optimedia USA
- Adweek, February 9, 2004
Radio stations, appointment TV programs
(American Idol), TV Talk Show Hosts (especially
Oprah) and TV news programs all connect
emotionally to consumers and provide the
opportunity for organic integration.
55The average person spends about 75-80 of their
listening time with just 2 to 3 stations the
virtual communities where they live and
participate.
People have 18 FM preset buttons on their car
radios.
And we DO connect. 80 of the people program
only 6 or fewer.
Average of FM Stations 5.01 Average of AM
Stations 1.68
Number of Preset Stations Reported Base
Driven/Ridden In a Car in Last Month
Source Arbitron Edison NAB In Car Study October
2003.
56What happens when you put 70 DJs at Disneyland
attractions for one day?
- Record shattering attendance.
We didnt offer anythingbut the chance to come
by and say hi.
Dec 13, 2003 at Disneyland Park
57Source 2004 Wirthlin Worldwide Study Findings
Study conducted for Radio Advertising Effective
Lab (RAEL) a two-phase survey among adults 18-54
August 18, 2004
Personal Relevance Personal Connections How
Radio Ads Affect Consumers
- Radio listening is a one-on-one and
emotion-driven experience, and listeners believe
that both the medium and its advertising are more
relevant to them (compared to television and
newspapers). - Wirthlin Worldwide
- Study conducted for Radio Advertising Effective
Lab (RAEL) - a two-phase survey among adults 18-54
- August 18, 2004
- The individual consumer perceives the Radio
program (inclusive of the ads) to be speaking to
him personally, rather than to the mass audience.
The study verifies the attributes of Radio and
its strength in delivering a strong personal
connection with consumers
Natalie Swed Stone U.S. Director, National Radio
Investment OMD and RAEL Research Committee member
58Commercials are a Useful Source of Info About
Products and Services in My Area Los Angeles
How do we get information about where to shop,
what to do?
Radio is Viral
Item asked on 1-7 scale where 5-7 Agreement
Source Arbitron/SCBA Los Angeles DMA Lifestyle
Study Released February 2002, Adults 18.
59Heres the antidote to Last Minute Living
While listening to the radio while in a car,
have you ever heard of a sale or special that
motivated you to visit a certain store?
Saying Yes
Source Arbitron Edison NAB In Car Study October
2003.
60Things People Hear When Listening to the Radio
People respond to what they hear on the radio.
Source Arbitron Edison NAB In Car Study October
2003.
61This is Community Word of Mouth at Work.
Source Arbitron Edison NAB In Car Study October
2003.
62About cell phones..
These are the virtual communities that people
choose to be part of.
Base Use Cell/Car Phone
Source Arbitron Edison NAB In Car Study October
2003.
63The past 5 years have brought exponential changes
to how we live our lives.
- Peoples lives changed because of
- Things we cant control
- dealing with traffic and additional travel take
time away from home and often force us to change
plans - the need to go to work taking us out of the home
- Being forced to make more unplanned choices
everyday - how and what to feed the family that day
- where to shop or stop after work
- sources of entertainment and escape
- Life has become more impromptu The Last Minute
Living that is Plan B prevails and has become
Plan A. - Socialization opportunities have had to be
restructured we create more virtual
neighborhoods as we spend less time in physical
ones.
64Bottom line how do advertisers make this work
for them?
Organic Integration in our Virtual Communities
- The most successful advertiser models are good
members of the community. - They provide solutions (like Saturn of Miami
Dade, Expedia, Office Depot, State Farm
Insurance, McDonalds, Tri-State Mercedes (We
understand. We live here too.), Jiffy Lube, GM
Onstar, Union Bank and Bank of the West - They share information and enthusiasm (like Nick
Alexander, AIS Auto Insurance, Universal Nissan,
Home Depot, Trader Joes, Pavillions, Albertsons
or OSH or No on Prop 66) - They do their part to entertain (like Robbins
Bros, IKEA or Bud Light)
They talk to us where we are spending 33 or more
of our media time, where we have time and place
to think and dream or are looking for community.
And we reward good neighbors with good business.
65The fact is RADIO is the most possible of media
in our daily lives. This is how people are
spending at least 33 their media time every day.
Are you using it to your best advantage?
66How the National In-Car StudyWas Conducted
- 1,505 telephone interviews were conducted in July
2003 - National U.S. random sample
- Spring 2003 Arbitron diary keepers age 12
- 98.4 of the sample had driven or ridden as a
passenger in non-public transportation vehicles
(car/truck/van, etc.) in the last month
Source Arbitron Edison NAB In Car Study October
2003.
67Los Angeles Lifestyle Study Background
- 1000 telephone interviews (August 2001) with
Winter/Spring 2001 diarykeepers (43.6 response
rate). - Random sample of diarykeepers 18 in Los Angeles,
Orange, Riverside, San Bernardino, and Ventura
counties. - Data replicates market by age, sex, ethnicity
- Comparison data from 1999 study.
- Data pattern comparisons with other markets
throughout the country to see if patterns appeal
and lifestyle study answers would apply
Source Arbitron/SCBA Los Angeles DMA Lifestyle
Study Released February 2002, Adults 18.
68Emotional Connection in Advertising
- The ARF and AAAA are undertaking research with
the support of the ANA in the area of brain
science. - The "heart of the matter" could be that we
continue to follow a flawed model of how
advertising works. - Advertising effectiveness today may, in fact, be
subject to non-rational decision making rules and
even higher order learning, both of which we
refer to as "emotional response". - The accepted model of how advertising works does
not account for higher order learning or
emotional response. - The goal of this project is to develop an
understanding of and ways to measure the
emotional response to advertising
Source Reported by the ARF July 2004.