Voting by Sex

1
(No Transcript)
2
Voting in the 2004 Presidential Election

• Factors Influencing Voting Choice
• The Result
• Voting by Party and Ideological Orientation
• Voting by socio-economic composition
• Voting by issues
• The Candidates
• Conclusion

3
1. Factors influencing voting choice

• Party Identification
• Socio-Economic structure of the electorate
• Rational Choice (Issue-Based)
• The Candidates

4
2. The Result

• Across the United States
• State by State
• By Region
• By Size of Place

5
U.S.A. Presidential Election Result2004

• Vote College
• Votes
• 51 286
• 58 251 (Edwards 1)
• 1 0

• Popular
• Vote
• G.W. Bush 62m
• J. Kerry 59m
• R. Nader 411K
• and the rest

6
(No Transcript)
7
States by Bush Vote 2004

• Utah 72
• Idaho 69
• Wyoming 69
• Nebraska 66
• Oklahoma 66
• North Dakota 63
• Alabama 63
• Kentucky 62
• Kansas 62

• Alaska 61
• Texas 61
• Indiana 60
• Kentucky 60
• Mississippi 60
• South Dakota 60
• Montana 59
• South Carolina 58
• Georgia 58

8
States by Bush Vote 2004

• Louisiana 57
• Tennessee 57
• North Carolina 56
• West Virginia 56
• Arizona 55
• Arkansas 54
• Virginia 54
• Missouri 53
• Colorado 52

• Florida 52
• Nevada 51
• Ohio 51
• Iowa 50
• New Mexico 50
• States Bush Lost
• New Hampshire 49
• Pennsylvania 49
• Wisconsin 49

9
States by Bush Vote 2004

• Michigan 48
• Minnesota 48
• Oregon 48
• Delaware 46
• New Jersey 46
• Washington 46
• California 45
• Hawaii 45
• Maine 45

• Connecticut 44
• Illinois 44
• Maryland 43
• New York 40
• Rhode Island 39
• Vermont 39
• Massachusetts 37
• Washington DC 9

10
Vote by region
11
Vote by size of community
12
County by County
13
3. Party and Ideological Identification
14
Voting by Party Identification
15
Voting by ideology
16
4. Voting by socio-economic structure of the
electorate

• Social class and income
• Sex
• Ethnicity and Race
• Education
• Age
• Religion
• Sexual orientation
• Gun-owing

17
By Social Class and Income
18
Voting by Income
19
Trade Union Membership
20
Voting by Sex
21
Ethnicity and Voting
22
Voting by Race and Sex
23
Voting by Education
24
Voting by Age
25
Voting by Religion
26
Voting by Church Attendance
27
White Evangelical / Born Again
28
Gay/Lesbian/Bi-Sexual
29
Gun-Owning Family
30
5. Issues

• Most important issue for voter
• State of the economy
• Health Care
• Abortion
• Terrorism/War in Iraq
• Performance of the Bush Administration

31
Voting by Most Important Issue
32
State of the economy
33
Local job situation since 2000
34
Has anyone in your household lost a job since 2000
35
Bush Tax Cuts were
36
Familys financial situation since 2000
37
Availability cost of health-care
38
Abortion should be
39
Are you worried about terrorism?
40
Is Iraq war part of the war against terrorism?
41
Did you approve/disapprove of decision to go to
war in Iraq?
42
How are things going for us in Iraq?
43
Attitude to Bush Administration
44
6.The Candidates
45
Most Important Qualities
46
Bush pays more attention to
47
Kerry mostly says
48
Opinion of Bush and Kerry
49
Trust in handling the economy.
50
Trust in handling terrorism.
51
7. Conclusion
52
Simplified Typology of Bush Kerry Voters

• Republican
• Heartland
• Suburbs/Rural
• Better Off
• White Male
• Protestant/Catholic
• Gun-Owning
• 30
• Conservative
• Moderately Educated

• Democrat
• Seaboard
• Big Cities
• Less Well Off
• Ethnic Female
• Jewish/Other/None
• Unarmed
• gt30
• Liberal
• Poorly or Very-well educated

53
(No Transcript)