The Future of First Coast Transportation Is Now

1
How Do We Keep The First Coast MOVING?
Developing A Needs Plan June
2004
2
Spring Workshops (March/April)

• Ranked goals
• Identified key transportation issues
• Will be used in evaluation criteria

3
LRTP Update Process
?
Set Goals and Objectives
?
Forecast Future Conditions
NOW
Develop a Needs Plan
Determine Financial Resources
Summer 2004
Summer/Fall 2004
Develop a Cost Feasible Plan
Fall 2004
Determine Air Quality Conformity
December 2004
Adopt 2030 Plan
4
Needs Plan Development Process
How will we grow? Whats already planned to
handle growth? Where are there still
problems? Which roads cant be widened? What are
the possible solutions?
Forecasted Future Conditions
Existing plus Committed Network
Level of Service Deficiencies
Constrained Corridors
Needs Plan Alternatives Highway Transit
5
Future Conditions
Growth 2000-2030
First Coast MPO Region

• Population
• 678,040
• 63

6
Future Conditions
Growth 2000-2030
First Coast MPO Region

• Dwelling Units
• 296,727
• 59

7
Future Conditions
Growth 2000-2030
First Coast MPO Region

• Employment
• 259,890
• 49

8
Future Conditions
Growth 2000-2030
First Coast MPO Region

• School Enrollment
• 174,991
• 61

9
Population Growth Clay County

• Highest - Branan Field-Chaffee/South Outer Loop
  corridor
• Doctors Inlet/Ridgewood up by 72,815
• Continued - Fleming Island, Green Cove
  Springs, Middleburg
• Orange Park - reached growth potential

10
Household Growth Clay County

• Highest - Lake Asbury/Mid-Central Planning
  District
• Second highest Branan Field-Chaffee/South
  Outer Loop corridor
• Orange Park - reached growth potential

11
Employment Growth Clay County

• Similar to population and households
• Additional growth expected in Southwest County

12
School Enrollment Growth Clay County

• Highest - Lake Asbury/Mid-Central Planning
  District
• Second highest - Fleming Island and Branan
  Field- Chaffee/South Outer Loop

13
Population Growth Duval County

• North - most significant growth
• Highest net growth - Southeast (88,419)
• Coastal areas have already reached growth
  potential

14
Household Growth Duval County

• Highest significant in North
• Southeast will add 43,772 households
• Coastal areas - reached growth potential

15
Employment Growth Duval County

• Highest North at 126, 32,244
• Southeast continued growth at 58, 81,638

16
School Enrollment Growth Duval County

• Growth in school enrollment is uniform at 43
  throughout the County

17
Population Growth St. Johns County

• Highest Switzerland/Orangedale (494) and
  Palm Valley (444)
• These two districts will add 66,205 people
• Minimal growth expected along coast

18
Household Growth St. Johns County

• Highest - Ponte Vedra, Palm Valley, Fruit Cove,
  and Switzerland/Orangedale
• Minimal growth expected along coast

19
Employment Growth St. Johns County

• Most of employment in County projected to more
  than double by 2030
• South Ponte Vedra Beach only area not expected
  to grow

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School Enrollment Growth St. Johns County

• Highest - Ponte Vedra, Switzerland, Orangedale,
  and Palm Valley areas
• South Ponte Vedra Beach is only area not
  expected to grow

21

Future Conditions
2010 E C Network
Existing plus Committed Projects

• Add capacity, planned and funded to 2010
• 5-year Transportation Improvement Program (TIP)
• Better Jacksonville Plan
• Local/developer-funded projects
• Coordinated with FCMPO, FDOT, and County
  staffs

22

Future Conditions
2030 LOS Deficiencies
Traffic Congestion

• Based on growth projections
• Assumes EC projects completed
• Measured by Level of Service (LOS)

A B C D E F
Deficient
23

2030 LOS Deficiencies
Were seeing a lot of RED
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Future Conditions
Constrained Corridors
Roadways or Segments

• Cant be widened due to physical, environmental
  or political reasons
• Other Options
• - Transit
• - Travel Demand Management (TDM)
• - Transportation Systems Management (TSM)
• - Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS)

25

Needs Plan Alternatives
Highway Emphasis

• Started with 2025 Needs Plan
• Added highway projects where 2030 LOS worsened
  from 2025
• Included new projects in St. Augustine area
• Obtained most current highway transit
  alignments under consideration by JTA, FDOT and
  Counties
• More highways and less transit than other
  alternative

26

Needs Plan Alternatives
Transit Emphasis

• Largely based on 2025 Transit Emphasis
  Alternative
• Obtained most current rapid transit alignments
  under consideration by JTA
• More transit and fewer highways than other
  alternative
• Additional ITS projects as alternatives to
  roadway widening

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Needs Plan Alternatives
Your Task

• Review lists and maps provided
• Mark specific projects to be DELETED
• List and draw specific projects to be ADDED
• - Include limits FROM and TO
• - Describe WHAT
• examples widen to X lanes, add bus
  service, etc.

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For more info Wanda Forrest, LRTP Project
Manager First Coast MPO 904.306.7514
wforrest_at_fcmpo.com Websites www.firstcoast20
30.com www.firstcoastmpo.com