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Merrill Lynch European Paper Forum

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Title: Merrill Lynch European Paper Forum


1
Merrill Lynch European Paper Forum
  • Lars Bengtsson
  • President, Stora Enso North America
  • London, 9 September 2005

2
  • It should be noted that certain statements herein
    which are not historical facts, including,
    without limitation those regarding expectations
    for market growth and developments expectations
    for growth and profitability and statements
    preceded by believes, expects, anticipates,
    foresees, or similar expressions, are
    forward-looking statements within the meaning of
    the United States Private Securities Litigation
    Reform Act of 1995. Since these statements are
    based on current plans, estimates and
    projections, they involve risks and uncertainties
    which may cause actual results to materially
    differ from those expressed in such
    forward-looking statements. Such factors
    include, but are not limited to(1) operating
    factors such as continued success of
    manufacturing activities and the achievement of
    efficiencies therein, continued success of
    product development, acceptance of new products
    or services by the Groups targeted customers,
    success of the existing and future collaboration
    arrangements, changes in business strategy or
    development plans or targets, changes in the
    degree of protection created by the Groups
    patents and other intellectual property rights,
    the availability of capital on acceptable terms
    (2) industry conditions, such as strength of
    product demand, intensity of competition,
    prevailing and future global market prices for
    the Groups products and the pricing pressures
    thereto, price fluctuations in raw materials,
    financial condition of the customers and the
    competitors of the Group, the potential
    introduction of competing products and
    technologies by competitors and (3) general
    economic conditions, such as rates of economic
    growth in the Groups principal geographic
    markets or fluctuations in exchange and interest
    rates.

3
April - June 2005Results
4
Highlights Q2 2005
I/2005 II/2005 Sales, EUR million 3
144.9 3 187.3 Operating profit, EUR million
112.7 17.7 EPS, EUR 0.07 0.00 EPS,
EUR 0.07 -0.01 Cash EPS, EUR 0.41
0.35 Debt/Equity 0.51 0.58
  • Demand increased moderately for newsprint and
    uncoated fine papers and decreased slightly in
    coated fine paper
  • Profitability was impacted by
  • Finnish labour dispute
  • Strengthening of US dollar
  • Resumption of production after Q1 2005 rebuilds
  • Higher proportion of sales in Europe

) excluding non-recurring items
5
Finnish Labour Dispute Effects
  • Q2 2005 effects of the labour dispute
  • Lost production of paper and board 850 000 tonnes
  • Operating profit was decreased by about EUR 150
    million
  • Q3 2005 effects of the labour dispute
  • Lost production of paper and board 100 000 tonnes
  • Operating profit will be decreased by about EUR
    40 million
  • The new three year agreement changes labour
    practises significantly and contributes to the
    long term competitiveness of the Finnish forest
    products industry
  • Continuous production over holiday periods now
    possible
  • Increased flexibility of outsourcing

6
European Profit Improvement Programme
7
Profit 2007
  • Profit improvement target of EUR 300 million from
    mid 2007 onwards
  • Efficiency improvements in production, sales,
    logistics, working capital management, sourcing
    and administration
  • Closures and disposal of units with especially
    high costs or low long-term earnings potential
  • More information is planned to be announced with
    the third quarter 2005 results

8
North America
9
Stora Enso North AmericaBusiness Results
USD million 2004 H1/04 H2/04 H1/05 Sales (1
000 tonnes) 2 820 1 336 1 484 1 400 Sales 1
997 918 1 079 1 171 EBITDA 142 17 125 106 EBITA
-140 -130 -10 -33 Capital Expenditure
204 120 84 73 Cash flow after Capex
-61 -100 39 33 Market-related downtime (1 000
tonnes) 7 7
  • The North American operations are expected to
    reach EBITA break-even during the third quarter
    of 2005

excluding non-recurring items
10
Stora Enso North AmericaProfit Enhancement
Programme
  • Three-year Programme Included
  • Restructuring selected manufacturing assets
  • Targeted capital investments (USD 250m)
  • Permanent shutdowns of production units
  • Workforce reduction
  • Current Status
  • Three paper machine shutdowns
  • Four paper machines modernised
  • PM 64 Whiting Mills early 2006
  • Labour negotiations not totally completed
  • Workforce currently 5 200 reduced from 7 300 in
    2000
  • The anticipated financial benefits of USD 145
    million p.a. are expected to be reached during
    the second half of 2005

11
Stora Enso North America
Niagara
Duluth
Port Hawkesbury
Stevens Point
Kimberly
Whiting
Wisconsin Rapids
Biron
Publication Paper
Packaging Boards
Fine Paper
12
Reorganisation of Stora Enso North America
  • The North American division was merged into the
    global product divisions on 1 September 2005
  • Coated Magazine Paper, Uncoated Magazine Paper
    and Newsprint have been integrated into Stora
    Enso Publication Paper
  • Fine Paper has been integrated into Stora Enso
    Fine Paper
  • Speciality Papers has been integrated into Stora
    Enso Packaging Boards and
  • North American marketing and sales has been
    integrated into Market Services
  • Support areas will continue to be locally led
  • North American operations will no longer be
    regarded as a division of the company and
    separate reporting of the financial figures will
    be discontinued

13
Recent Events
14
Acquisition of Schneidersöhne Group
  • Schneidersöhne Group In brief
  • By sales volume the second-largest paper merchant
    in Germany and the fifth-largest in Europe
  • Net sales EUR 1 130 million in 2004
  • Sales volume 1 100 000 tonnes of coated and
    uncoated fine paper in 2004
  • 2 100 employees and operations in 11 countries
  • Biggest markets Germany and Switzerland
  • Financial Effects
  • Acquisition price on a debt-free basis of EUR 450
    million
  • Stora Ensos EPS will be improved by EUR 0.02 and
    CEPS EUR 0.05
  • The Groups interest-bearing debt will increase
    by EUR 450 million
  • The debt/equity ratio will increase by 0.06
  • Synergies of EUR 15 million from 2008 onwards
  • Fully consolidated from July 2005

15
Combined Operations of Papyrus and Schneidersöhne
Papyrus
Schneidersöhne
Papyrus Schneidersöhne
Source Eugropa
16
Stora Enso to Joint Venture within Liquid
Packaging Boards in China
  • Stora Enso has signed a letter of intent to start
    a JV with Chinese board producer Foshan Huaxin
    Packaging Co., Ltd.
  • Stora Enso will have a clear majority
    shareholding
  • Final agreement expected to be signed during Q4
    2005
  • Foshan Huaxin Packaging Co., Ltd has begun
    investing USD 160m in building a WLC machine with
    a production capacity of 250k tonnes p.a.
  • Stora Enso plans to change the scope of the
    investment by modifying the machine to
    manufacture primary-fibre-based products such as
    liquid packaging boards, cupstock, cigarette
    boards and other cartonboards at an estimated
    additional cost of USD 90m
  • Stora Enso will be the first producer of liquid
    packaging board for aseptic end uses in China
  • The machine will be completed during the second
    half of 2006

17
Possible Divestment of Grycksbo Mill
  • Stora Enso is exploring the possibility of
    selling its Grycksbo Mill in Sweden
  • Coated fine paper business to focus on
    multi-coated graphical grades
  • Part of Profit 2007 and rationalisation of fine
    paper business
  • Total annual capacity 280 000 tonnes of
    on-machine matt-coated fine papers
  • 500 employees
  • Paper machine Built Rebuilt
  • PM10 1957 1998
  • PM9 1936 1994
  • PM7 1928 1991

18
Emerging Markets
19
Present Operations in South America
  • Veracel a joint venture together with Brazilian
    pulp maker Aracruz, based in Rio de Janeiro
  • A new pulp mill now under construction with 900
    000 tonnes of annual capacity
  • Started-up in May 2005
  • First customer deliveries completed
  • First tonnes to Stora Ensos mills in Finland,
    China and Germany
  • 70 000 hectares of eucalyptus plantations
  • Stora Ensos share of production intended for
    captive use
  • South American division office in Sao Paulo
  • Sales offices in Sao Paulo, Santiago and Buenos
    Aires

Veracel
Aracruz
Sao Paulo
Division office
Sales office
20
Reporting Veracel
  • Veracel is reported as an associated company
    according to the equity accounting method
  • Stora Ensos share of Veracels pre-tax profit is
    shown as part of associated company line
  • Veracel reports in Brazilian reals and Stora Enso
    in euros
  • Impact of currency changes
  • Stora Enso buys the pulp from Veracel according
    to the cost plus method and invoices its mills
    at market price of pulp
  • The result is included in Fine Paper segment

21
Present Operations in China
  • Fine paper mill in Suzhou
  • Capacity 240 000 tonnes coated woodfree
    (including sheeting, in 2005)
  • Paper sold to Chinese market
  • Reliant on imported pulp
  • Core factory in Hangzhou
  • Capacity 30 000 tonnes
  • Cores sold to different industries plastics,
    paper, etc.
  • Joint venture with Shandong Huatai Paper
  • Joint venture with Foshan Huaxin Packaging
  • Plantations in southern China

JV
Plantations
Core board
Fine paper mill
Sales office
22
Shangdong Huatai Paper JV
Stora Enso Suzhou Mill
Corenso Hangzhou
Guangxi, Beihai Stora Enso plantations
Foshan Huaxin Packaging, Zhuhai
23
Present Operations in Russia and Eastern Europe
  • Corrugated packaging board
  • mills in Riga, Balabanova and Arzamas
  • 9 new packaging plants in Russia,Hungary and the
    Baltic States since1995
  • Intercell in Poland and Serbia
  • Sawmilling
  • mill in Karelia operating since Autumn 2003
  • Novgorod mill started up in April 2004
  • 5 sawmills in Estonia, Latvia, extensive
    procurement
  • One sawmill in Alythus, Lithuania
  • Sawmills in Czech Republic
  • Procurement / wood supply from Russia
  • procurement volume in 2004 7.2 Mm3/a
  • 2 port terminals, 4 railway terminals
  • 4 logging companies, total harvest 0.4 Mm3/a

Sawmills
Corrugated packagingboard and packaging materials
Wood procurementfocus
24
Market Outlook
25
Near-term Market OutlookWestern Europe
  • Price Demand Comments

Magazine Papers
SC
Demand seasonally good and prices improving in
non-contractual business
Demand seasonally good and prices improving in
non-contractual business
CMR
Newsprint
Demand firm and prices stable
Fine Papers
WFC
Demand healthy prices are expected to remain
fairly stable
WFU
Upturn in demand price pressure easing
Packaging Boards
Anticipated stable prices and demand
Wood Products
Market balance expected to remain reasonable
improving price outlook
26
Near-term Market OutlookNorth America
  • Price Demand Comments

Magazine Papers
SC
Improved demand prices forecasted to rise
mainly for non-contractual business
CMR
Improved demand prices forecasted to rise mainly
for non-contractual business
Newsprint
Demand rather weak prices expected to rise due
to favourable supply and demand balance
Fine Papers
WFC
Seasonal pick-up in demand prices should remain
stable
27
Paper Price Development in Germany 2000-2005
Euro tonnes
Source PPI Germany pricewatch
28
Paper Price Development in USA2000-2005
USD/mt
Source Pulp Paper Week
29
Appendix
30
Capital Expenditure and Depreciation
Capital expenditure
Depreciation
EUR million
Capital expenditure as of sales
31
Share Buy-Back Programme
  • Current programme approved by AGM 2005 to end 21
    March 2006. Allows repurchase up to
  • A shares 17 900 000
  • R shares 62 150 000
  • Status through 2 September 2005
  • Number of Average of Shares shares
    purchased purchase price authorisation
  • A shares 38 600 10.74 0.2
  • R shares 22 408 200 10.58 36.06
  • 2002 2003 2004 15 July 2005
  • Total shares in issue 899 778 299 864 262 499
    837 243 399 812 977 099

32
Dividend and Share Repurchases
EUR million
EUR
Value of shares repurchased
Dividend paid
Average share price
33
Shares Outstanding
Million
34
Summary Financials
  • EUR million 2004 II/04 I/05 II/05
  • Sales 12 396 3 103 3 145 3 187
  • EBITDA 1 511 361 389 298
  • Operating profit 339 56 113 18
  • Operating profit 709 56 113 6
  • Profit before tax 272 47 84 0
  • Net profit 741 50 59 -10
  • EPS, EUR 0.26 0.06 0.07 0.00
  • EPS, basic, EUR 0.89 0.06 0.07 -0.01
  • CEPS, EUR 1.67 0.43 0.41 0.35
  • ROCE, 3.0 2.1 4.1 0.6
  • Debt/Equity 0.38 0.43 0.51 0.58

excluding non-recurring items
35
Net Financial Items
  • EUR million II/04 III/04 IV/04 I/05 II/05
  • Net interest -34.9 -31.8 -32.6 -27.6
    -40.2
  • Foreign exchange profit/loss -1.6 -1.5 -2.8
    5.7 11.2
  • Valuation of financial instruments 5.9 5.7
    7.1 -19.2 -12.8
  • Other financial items 4.4 0.6 -4.2 -2.0
    7.2
  • Total -26.2 -27.0 -32.5 -43.1 -34.6
  • Higher interest cost owing to increased net debt
    in Q2 2005
  • Estimated quarterly interest expense about EUR
    37-40 million for Q3 and Q4 2005

excluding non-recurring items
36
Debt/Equity
Target lt 0.8
37
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