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Investor Update

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YTD production has averaged 85,335 BOE/day, ahead of expectations. ... RBC Dominion Securities Dirk Lever. Raymond James Kristopher Zack. Scotia Capital Brian Ector ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Investor Update


1
Investor Update
  • November 2006

2
Canadian Oil GasIncome Trust
  • Provides regular monthly cash distributions to
    unitholders from the sale of both crude oil and
    natural gas
  • Replenishes its asset base on an ongoing basis
    through the active development of existing
    properties and the acquisition of additional
    assets
  • Focuses on long-life reserve assets with
    predictable production profiles and repeatable
    development to provide steady income for
    investors
  • Has a long history of providing investors with a
    lower risk investment in the oil and gas industry

3
StraightforwardBusiness Model
OIL GAS PRODUCTION
CASH FLOW
DEVELOP ACQUIRE ASSETS
60-90 Cash Distributed
10-40 Development Debt Repayment

EQUITY (as required)
DEBT
UNITHOLDERS
4
Taxation for U.S. Residents
  • For U.S. tax purposes, Enerplus is a corporation,
    NOT an MLP and is treated like most other
    dividend paying corporations in the U.S.
  • Monthly cash payments are considered Qualified
    Dividend Income
  • - Unitholders should receive a Form 1099 DIV from
    their broker
  • U.S. residents are subject to a 15 Canadian
    withholding tax which appears on their Form 1099
    DIV and can be used on an individuals income tax
    return, where eligible, as a foreign tax credit
  • As a corporation, Enerplus units are eligible
    investmentsfor IRAs and are not considered
    Unrelated Business TaxableIncome (UBTI)
  • Fully qualified for Regulated Investment
    Companies (RICs)

5
Enerplus
  • 20 year track record of managing our business
    through many different economic environments
  • Excellent portfolio of oil and gas properties
    with significant internal development
    opportunities across a variety of play types
  • One of the longest reserve life indices in the
    sector
  • Disciplined approach to acquisitions
  • Large size and strong balance sheet offers
    advantages in acquisitions and strategic
    investments
  • Unique exposure to U.S. Bakken oil and Canadian
    oil sands

6
Corporate Profile
  • FINANCIAL
  • Market Capitalization US 5.6 Billion
  • Total Enterprise Value (1) US 6.2 Billion
  • Trading Symbols (TSX/NYSE) ERF.un/ERF
  • YTD Avg. Daily Trading Value (2) US 43 Million
  • Long Term Debt /12 Month Trailing Funds Flow
    Ratio (3) 0.6x
  • Current Annualized Yield (4) 10
  • OPERATIONAL
  • Proved Probable Reserve Life Index (5) 13.5
    years
  • 2006 Daily Production Outlook 85,500 BOE/day
  • crude oil and natural gas liquids 48
  • natural gas 52
  • 2006 Exit Production Rate Outlook 88,000 BOE/day
  • Production Operated 65
  • 2006 Capital Development Budget US 432 Million
  • Market Cap. at November 6th, 2006 plus
    outstanding debt (net of cash) at Sept 30th, 2006
  • Calculated using average daily volumes traded YTD
    x weighted average daily closing price figure
    YTD, (NYSE figures adjusted to account for FX _at_
    CDN 0.89 / US 1.00)
  • At September 30th, 2006
  • Calculated using the November 20th distribution
    multiplied by 12 months and divided by the
    November 6th closing price on the TSX
  • Company interest reserves at December 31st, 2005

7
Balanced Strategy
Organic Growth
Accretive Acquisitions
  • Lyco Energy Corporation
  • Sleeping Giant LLC
  • ChevronTexaco Assets
  • Resource play focus conventional and
    unconventional
  • 4 years of identifiable conventional development
    opportunities
  • Strong in-house technical team

Long-Term Sustainability
8
Competitive Advantages
  • Enjoy one of the longest reserve life indices in
    our sector
  • Lower base declines
  • Supports selective acquisitions
  • Reduces impact of commodity price drops
  • Encourages patient investment
  • Resource play focused
  • Relatively low geologic risk
  • Potential for large scale development
  • Attractive long-term declines and RLI
  • Predictable results

9
Competitive Advantages
  • Diversification by property and commodity
  • Valuable insights across the industry
  • Expanded opportunity set
  • Balanced commodity mix
  • Execution Capabilities
  • Size and purchasing power
  • Partner orientation
  • Strong project management skills
  • Experienced technical staff

10
YTD Highlights
  • YTD production has averaged 85,335 BOE/day, ahead
    of expectations. As a result, our 2006
    production guidance has increased to 85,500
    BOE/day
  • Operating costs are in line with expectations,
    but given our higher production volumes, we have
    lowered our full year estimate to 7.80/BOE
  • Cash distributions have been maintained at
    CDN0.42/unit throughout the year with a payout
    ratio of 69
  • We continue to expect our internal development
    program will replace our annual production
    decline and have spent 368 million YTD on
    development and drilling activities, 208 million
    funded from cash flow
  • Our debt to cash flow ratio remains one of the
    lowest in the sector at 0.6x

11
5 Year Performance
Represents a 5 year simple return of 59 per
annum to U.S. investors (1)
  • At November 6th, 2006
  • Includes the declared, yet unpaid, distribution
    amount of CDN0.42 (assuming FX of US0.89 /
    CDN1.00)

12
5 Year Reserve Life Index
Calculated using proved probable reserves for
2003 2005. Prior years reflect established
reserves
13
Active Developer
DrillingSuccess Rate
99
98
99
99
99
Development Capital Spending
368.1
Capital spending and success rate YTD 2006
14
Strategically Positioned
  • Internal development opportunity set on
    conventional assets has increased to almost 1
    billion (over 1,500 drilling locations currently
    identified)
  • Potential for 200 million in SAGD development
    and 500 million in mining development associated
    with our oil sands project before considering a
    potential upgrader or mining expansions
  • Establishment of our U.S. office in Denver
    positions us to expand our investment and
    capitalize on opportunities in the U.S.
  • Investing significant capital for future
    production and cash flow beyond 2006

15
Key Resource Plays
  • Joslyn Oil Sands Project
  • Enerplus is one of the only conventional oil
    gas trusts with a significant interest in the
    oil sands
  • Sizeable mining and SAGD development project
  • Crude Oil Waterfloods
  • Represents 20 of our current production
  • Predictable secondary recovery scheme with low
    decline rates and significant original oil in
    place
  • Other Conventional Oil Gas
  • Includes a variety of both operated and
    non-operated oil gas production
  • Diverse property set provides numerous
    development opportunities
  • Shallow Natural Gas
  • Long life, sweet gas representing 15 of our
    current production
  • Will represent approximately half of our
    drilling activity in 2006
  • Coalbed Methane
  • This emerging resource play is characterized
    by low risk, repeatable drilling opportunities
  • Principal activity to date focused on the
    Horseshoe Canyon formation
  • Bakken Oil
  • Produces over 11,600 BOE/day or 14 of our
    current production
  • 42 degree API oil with low operating costs

16
Bakken Resource Play
  • The Bakken is the primary oil charged formation
    within the Williston Basin
  • Large, aerially extensive accumulations of light
    oil with very low geological risk
  • Potential for material impact due to size,
    excellent economics, repeatability and long
    reserve life
  • Relatively predictable timing, cost, production
    rate and reserves (manufacturing-like in nature)
  • Ongoing value creation from technology and
    program execution (drilling times, frac design,
    optimization of well length and well spacing, and
    improved recovery)

Williston Basin
17
Sleeping Giant Project
  • Operated property producing from the Bakken
    formation in Richland County, Montana with an
    average W.I. of approximately 70 in lands held
  • High netback sweet crude oil (42 API) with
    operating costs of 1.80/BOE
  • 133 horizontal/ 9 vertical wells currently
    producing over net 11,600 BOE/day
  • 25 remaining drilling locations identified in the
    Sleeping Giant Project (for full development to 2
    wells/section), with 3 rigs contracted
  • 120,000 net acres of undeveloped land in Montana
    North Dakota
  • Additional potential upside in higher density
    infill drilling, waterflooding, CO2 flooding and
    high pressure air injection

Saskatchewan
Manitoba
Williston Basin Bakken OilProducers
Montana
North Dakota
Bakken Oil Wells
Enerplus lands
18
Canadian Oil SandsBackground
  • Widely viewed and accepted as the cornerstone of
    Canadas production growth
  • Oil sands production now exceeds1 million
    bbls/day and is expected to increase to nearly
    3.5 million bbls/day by 2015
  • 175 billion barrels of proved recoverable
    remaining reserves in the oil sands
  • 20 of reserves attributed to mining projects
  • 80 of reserves attributed to in-situ production
    such as SAGD
  • Proved conventional oil reserves in Canada only
    4.4 billion barrels
  • Enerplus is one of the only conventional oil
    gas trusts with a significant interest in the oil
    sands

19
Joslyn Project
  • Acquired 16 W.I. in Joslyn Oil Sands project in
    2002 for 16 million
  • Joslyn has 2 billion barrels of gross(300 MMbbls
    net to Enerplus) recoverable resources
  • In 2005, Total S.A. acquired our partner Deer
    Creek Energy Limited for 1.7 billion
  • Expect production from the first commercial SAGD
    Phase to begin in 2007 with peak production in
    2008
  • Application filed for first mining phase in
    February. Interim reserve report from our
    independent engineers confirms a recoverable
    resource of 950 MMbbls (142 MMbbls net to
    Enerplus) for this first mining phase
  • In Q106, we sold 1 of our 16 Joslyn working
    interest for an equity position in Laricina
    Energy Ltd., an emerging oil sands company
  • In addition to our Joslyn activities, we continue
    to evaluate new areas primarily with a focus on
    expanding our oil sands business into other SAGD
    areas

Oil Sands Project Utilizing Steam Assisted
Gravity Drainage Mining
30 year project life
Mining
Phases I II - 200,000 barrels of bitumen per day
SAGD
Phases I to III - 25,000 barrels of bitumen per
day
20
Joslyn Project
TOTALS PLANS (1)
(1) The information presented in this table
reflects Enerplus 15 working interest after the
sale of 1 to Laricina. GLJ estimates may vary
from Totals.(2) Start up for SAGD refers to
initial steaming. Start up for mining refers to
initial extraction.
21
Hedging Overview
Our risk management strategies are designed to
partially mitigate a volatile price environment
while providing a degree of stability to the
economics associated with our acquisitions and
development projects, together with our overall
financial position.
(1) Daily production volumes based on 06 YTD
average daily production, volumes net of royalties
22
Cash Distributions
August 2004 November 2006
2006
2004
2005
November US payment (declared, but unpaid)
assumes an exchange ratio of US0.89/CDN1.00
23
10 Year Compound Return
October 4th, 1996 November 3rd, 2006 (1)
(1) Sources Bloomberg TSX MarketData for
SP/TSX Capped Energy Trust Index Assumes the
reinvestment of distributions and/or dividends
Based on the weekly closing price of Enerplus
trust units on the Toronto Stock Exchange. SP
500 was converted to CDN using the closing
exchange rate at week end
24
Summary
  • Proven track record and expertise in the oil and
    gas industry with demonstrated sustainability
    through several price cycles
  • Significant development inventory available to
    replace production organically
  • Superior assets with one of the longest RLIs in
    the oil and gas sector
  • Focused on long-life resource plays shallow gas,
    oil waterfloods, Bakken oil, CBM and oil sands
    development
  • Size advantage in acquisitions and project
    development, operating in both Canada and the U.S.

25
Analyst Coverage
Company Analyst (Canada) BMO Nesbitt
Burns Gordon Tait CIBC World Markets Brad
Borggard Canaccord Capital Bruce McDonald
FirstEnergy Capital Corp. Jill Angevine National
Bank Financial Menal Patel Peters Co.
Limited Jeff Martin RBC Dominion Securities Dirk
Lever   Raymond James Kristopher Zack Scotia
Capital Brian Ector TD Newcrest Roger
Serin Tristone Capital Cristina Lopez (United
States) Citigroup Richard Roy Merrill Lynch
Andrew Fairbanks Morningstar Kish Patel
26
Disclaimer
  • Except for the historical and present factual
    information contained herein, the matters set
    forth in this presentation, including words such
    as expects, projects, plans and similar
    expressions, are forward-looking statements
    within the meaning of applicable securities
    legislation. These forward-looking statements
    are subject to risks and uncertainties which may
    cause actual results to differ materially from
    current expectations. Many of these risks and
    uncertainties are described in Enerplus' Annual
    Information Form under the heading Risk
    Factors and in the Management's Discussion and
    Analysis in the Annual Report under the heading
    Risk Factors and Risk Management. Readers are
    also referred to risk factors described in other
    documents Enerplus files with the Canadian and
    U.S. securities authorities. Copies of these
    documents are available without charge from
    Enerplus.
  • Enerplus files reports and other information with
    the Canadian securities authorities and the U.S.
    Securities and Exchange Commission. Some of these
    reports and other information have been prepared
    in accordance with the disclosure requirements in
    Canada which differ from those in the United
    States. All of Enerplus Canadian public filings
    are available at www.sedar.com and all U.S.
    public filings are available at www.sec.gov.
  • All financial figures are in Canadian dollars
    unless otherwise stated
  • Enerplus financial statements are prepared in
    accordance with Canadian generally accepted
    accounting principles (GAAP). Canadian GAAP
    differs in some significant respects from U.S.
    GAAP and therefore this financial information may
    not be directly comparable to the financial
    information typically provided by U.S. companies.
    The principal differences as they may apply to
    Enerplus are summarized in Note 15 to the Funds
    audited consolidated financial statements for the
    year ended December 31, 2005. A complete copy of
    the audited financial statements and notes is
    available without charge from Enerplus.

27
Disclaimer
  • Enerplus uses the terms funds flow from
    operations and cash available for
    distribution. These terms do not have any
    standardized meaning as prescribed by Canadian
    GAAP and therefore may not be comparable with the
    calculation of similar measures for other
    entities.
  • Enerplus has adopted the standard of 6 Mcf1
    barrel of oil equivalent (BOE) when converting
    natural gas to BOEs. BOEs may be misleading,
    particularly if used in isolation. A BOE
    conversion ratio of 6 Mcf1 BOE is based on an
    energy equivalency conversion method primarily
    applicable at the burner tip and does not
    represent a value equivalency at the wellhead.
  • Unless otherwise stated, all production volumes
    are stated on a gross basis, that is, our working
    interest production before the deduction of any
    royalty interest production.
  • Unless otherwise stated, reserve figures and any
    resulting metrics are calculated based upon
    company interest reserves using forecast prices
    and costs. Company interest reserves are our
    working interest (operated and non-operated)
    share of reserves before the deduction of any
    royalty interest reserves, but inclusive of any
    royalty interest reserves owned by Enerplus.
    Company interest is not a term defined or
    recognized under National Instrument 51-101 (NI
    51-101) and does not have a standardized meaning
    under NI 51-101. Full NI 51-101 compliant reserve
    disclosure is available in our Annual Information
    Form under the heading Oil and Natural Gas
    Reserves.
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