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Travel Simulator Laboratory

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Make optimal route-choice (in terms of travel time) Best performance wins a bottle of cheap wine ... Tree routes with different travel time distributions ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Travel Simulator Laboratory


1
Travel Simulator Laboratory
  • TSL An Introduction

Dr. Ir. S. P. Hoogendoorn (s.hoogendoorn_at_ct.tudelf
t.nl)
Faculty of Civil Engineering and Geosciences
2
Presentation overview
  • Project objectives
  • Features of TSL
  • Functional architecture
  • Prototyping examples

3
Example research questions
  • What are determinant choice factors in hybrid
    traffic networks?
  • How does uncertainty influence choice behavior?
  • How does paying for infrastructure affects its
    use?
  • Do travelers anticipate onbehavior of other
    travelers?
  • What is the impact of different types of
    information (road-side system, in-car navigation
    system,graphical user-interface, etc.) and
    control on travel choice?

4
Travel behaviour studies (SAS!)
5
Research objective
  • Interactive simulator (hybrid approach combining
    benefits SP / RP) to study different types of
    adaptive travel choices in a controlled dynamic
    environment, e.g.
  • Decision to acquire and use information, decision
    to pay for use of infrastructure, departure time
    choice, en-route route choice, mode-choice,
    destination choice, etc.
  • Respondents can be subjected repeatedly to either
  • Similar choice conditions over time or
  • Completely different choice conditions
  • Unlike traditional SP approaches, choice context
    is not hypothetical in sense that travelers will
    face (simulated) setting as well as consequences
    of decision-making

6
Pathdemandgenerator
Choicessynthetics
Day-to-day
Trafficsimulation
Participants
En-route
ITS measuressimulator
Networkperformance
Choicealternatives
Choice-setgeneration
7
Main features of laboratory
  • Multi-user capabilities for simultaneous data
    collection from interacting respondents, to study
    behavioral differences between (different types
    of) travelers. System behavior can in part be
    derived from collective responses of involved
    actors
  • Internet-based architecture ensures flexibility
  • Ability to investigate within day / day-to-day
    behavioral dynamics (learning system behavior,
    information characteristics) for different
    uncertainty levels (daily fluctuations OD
    patterns, randomness choice behavior,
    fluctuations traffic conditions)
  • Consideration transport mode alternatives joint
    consideration of urban and motorway networks
  • Inclusion of pricing measures / mechanisms

8
Application examples
  • Prototyping

9
Assignment for information lecture
  • Route-choice simulator to study learning with and
    without information several scenarios
  • Odd study number scenario 1
  • Even study number scenario 2

10
Route choice simulator
  • Make optimal route-choice (in terms of travel
    time)
  • Best performance wins a bottle of cheap wine

11
Route choice simulator example
  • Test travelers learning abilities using TSL
  • Tree routes with different travel time
    distributions
  • Route 1 uniform distribution 15,35 mean 25
    min, Pr(Tgt35)0
  • Route 2 uniform distribution 27,29 mean 28
    min, Pr(Tgt35)0
  • Route 3 Pr(T20)0.8. Pr(T50)0.2 mean 26 min,
    Pr(Tgt35)0.2
  • Scenario 1 only information on performance
    chosen route
  • Scenario 2 information on all routes

12
Test experiment
  • To test set-up and gain some experience with the
    system, 20 respondents were asked to participate
  • Using collected data, adapted Horowitz model was
    estimated
  • Adapted Horowitz model assumes MNL model (Gumbel
    e)

13
Scenario 2
  • Estimation of parameters Maximum Likelihood
    method
  • Parameters are estimated using ALOGIT package
  • Discussion of results
  • Learning effects (parameter values)
  • Statistical significance of results

Modeling effects ATIS
14
Scenario 1
  • Scenario 1 only provide feedback on chosen route
  • Use same model, but let
  • (i.e. Sk(t-1) denotes the last experienced
    travel time of route k)

Modeling effects ATIS
15
Scenario 1
  • Estimation of parameters Maximum Likelihood
    method
  • Discussion of results
  • Learning effects (parameter values)
  • Statistical significance of results
  • Comparison between scenario 1 and 2

Modeling effects ATIS
16
Beneficiaries
  • TU Delft received grant from NWO to build TSL
  • Potential beneficiaries TSL MD-PIT, PITA, AMICI
  • Commonalities between programmes
  • Study behavioral aspects / dynamic responses to
    information, control, financial stimuli (road
    pricing, pay lanes, information acquisition),
    etc.
  • Share need for research tool to (experimentally)
    study within-day and day-to-day dynamic
    behavioral adaptations influence various
    stimuli and external conditions, e.g. traffic
    conditions (congestion), control, information
    (public / private, free / commercial), and
    pricing strategies, in controlled laboratory
    environment

17
State-of-affairs
  • Project will be finished September 2003
  • Achievements
  • Inventory user-needs and requirements
  • Functional specification
  • 2 Prototypes
  • Simulation software design
  • User-interface review
  • ICT architecture design

18
Questions and discussion
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