Population Growth and Demography

1
Population Growth and Demography
Chapter 4 of Richards and Waterbury Article by
Faour
Link to syllabus
Link to Encyclopedia of the Orient
Link to WDI
2
My Tables on Population and Vital Statistics
Tables on Population and Population Growth rates
Table on Vital Statistics
3
Table 4.1 p. 73 (RW). Demographic Indicators.
1970-2003
4
Population Growth in MENA
Source World Bank (2004) Unlocking Employment
5
Population Growth Rates MENA and other Regions
MENA had one of highest rates, has been declining
since 1990
6
Non-Nationals as Share of Labor Force
Source World Bank (2004) Unlocking Employment
7
Larry Summers on Education of Young Women
In 1992, Larry Summers, then chief economist of
the World Bank later US Secretary of Treasury,
and President of Harvard, argued that giving 100
girls one additional year of primary education
would prevent 60 infant deaths and 3 maternal
deaths, while averting some 500 births. This
would have cost 30,000 for 100 girls, thus the
social benefits alone of increased education of
girls is more than sufficient to cover its
costseven before considering the added earnings
power of this education. (Stephen C. Smith Case
Studies in Economic Development)
8
Figure 6-2 (Lynn text). Demographic Transition.
Page 144
Source Lynn, Economic Development
Link to MENA_PopGrowth.xls
9
Demographic Transition in MENA
Source Onn Winckler (2005) Arab Political
Demography (Vol. 1) p. 48-49
10
Death Rates Regions
Source WDI data
11
Death Rates Countries
Source WDI data
12
Birth Rates Regional Averages
Source WDI data
13
BirthRates/1000
14
Total Fertility Rates in LDCs p. 48
Source World Bank (2004) Unlocking the
Employment Potential in the MENA page 48
15
Fertility Regional Aggregates (WDI)
16
Fertility Rates Countries
Source WDI data
17
Figure 4.5 p. 79 (RW) Total Fertility and
Education Morocco, Palestine and Egypt
18
Figure 4.4 p. 79 (RW). Changes in Fertility
Morocco
19
Decomposition of Change in Fertility Rate p. 51
Source World Bank (2004) Unlocking the
Employment Potential in the MENA page 51
20
Schematic Illustration of the Proximate Causes
of the Decline in Egyptian Fertility
Illustrates that the most important cause of the
decline in fertility is the use of contraceptive
methods
Source Robinson and El-Zanaty (2006) The
Demographic Revolution in Modern Egypt
21
Trends in contraceptive prevalence in
MENA-Seltzer
Source Seltzer
22
Link to Individual Country Contraception data
Source WDI, listed in http//www-personal.umd.u
mich.edu/mtwomey/econhelp/344files/R-o-WFert.xls
23
EgyptDemog.pdf
The next few slides come from the following
source.
Source Egypt 1995 Results From the Demographic
and Health Survey, Studies in Family Planning
Vol. 283, 1997
24
Fertility differentials
Egypt
Source Egypt 1995 Results From the Demographic
and Health Survey, Studies in Family Planning
Vol. 283, 1997
25
Contraceptive prevalence
Egypt
Source Egypt 1995 Results From the Demographic
and Health Survey, Studies in Family Planning
Vol. 283, 1997
26
Contraceptive use among married women
Egypt
Source Egypt 1995 Results From the Demographic
and Health Survey, Studies in Family
Planning Vol. 283, 1997
27
Contraceptive Prevalence, by age and number of
living children
Egypt
Source Egypt 1995 Results From the Demographic
and Health Survey, Studies in Family Planning
Vol. 283, 1997
28
Desire to stop childbearing
Egypt
Source Egypt 1995 Results From the Demographic
and Health Survey, Studies in Family Planning
Vol. 283, 1997
29
Percentage Distribution of contraceptive users,
by source of supply
Egypt
30
Demographic Data for Jordan
31
Jordan Fertility Differentials
32
Jordan Contraceptive Use Differentials
33
Jordan Contraceptive prevalence, by age and
number of children
34
Distribution of Modern Methods, by source of
supply
Jordan
35
Demographic Data for Syria
36
Syria Fertility by residence and education
37
Demographic Data on Lebanon
Studies in Family Planning, June 2001
38
Lebanon Fertility Trends
Source Studies in Family Planning, June 2001
39
Lebanon Fertility Differentials
Source Studies in Family Planning, June 2001
40
Lebanon Current Contraceptive Use
Source Studies in Family Planning, June 2001
41
Lebanon Sources of Supply for Modern
Contraceptives
Source Studies in Family Planning, June 2001
42
Lebanon Knowledge of Contraceptive Methods
Source Studies in Family Planning, June 2001
43
Detailed data on Demographic Variable for Turkey
Fix this
44
Turkey Fertility differentials, 1992
Turkey Fertility Differentials, 1992
45
Turkey Contraceptive prevalence differentials
Turkey
46
Turkey Knowledge and use of contraceptives
Turkey
47
Government Policy Orientations
48
Table 4.3 p. 82 (RW). Policy on Fertility Level,
MENA Countries.
49
Arab government policies on fertility and access
to contraceptives
Source Faour (1989)
50
Family Planning in Iran
51
World Bank on Iranian Family Planning
Source World Bank Unlocking the Employment
Potential of the MENA, p. 52
52
Population policy in Iran
Studies in Family Planning, March 2000. First
author is an anthropologist in Montreal second
is Adviser to Ministry of Public Health in Tehran
53
Family Planning in Egypt
54
Egypt Growth of Health Infrastructure 1940-1995
Source Robinson and El-Zanaty (2006) The
Demographic Revolution in Modern Egypt
55
Donor Assistance to the Egyptian Family Program
Source Robinson and El-Zanaty (2006) The
Demographic Revolution in Modern Egypt
56
Egypt Family Planning Poster
Source Kamran Asdar Ali (1997)
57
Another poster
Source Kamran Asdar Ali (1997)
58
Faours comment on population education (p. 260)
59
Arab countries/Islam and abortion
Source Faour (1989) p. 260
60
Arab countries and sterilization
61
Contraceptive prevalence rates by program effort
and socio-economic setting
Source Faour (1989) p. 269
62
Regression Results
Source Faour (1989)
63
The 1994 Cairo Population Conference

• Vatican and certain Muslim countries agreed on
  opposing the position in favor of womens rights,
  family planning, and abortion, as well as
  neo-Malthusian alarms.
• Compromise was to emphasize womens status inside
  the family, downplay Malthus, while separating
  abortion from family planning.

Source Bowen, Abortion, Islam, and the 1994
Cairo Population Conference, IJMES May, 1997
64
(No Transcript)
65
Population Growth countries
66
Population growth, non GCC
67
Egypt Indicators of Mortality Rates
Source Robinson and El-Zanaty (2006) The
Demographic Revolution in Modern Egypt
68
Total Fertility Rates in MENA.
Source World Bank (2004) Unlocking the
Employment Potential in the MENA page 49
69
Contraception in Iran
Iran
Source Hoodfar and Assadpour (2000) Studies in
Family Planning
70
Initially Opposed by Ayatollah Khomeini
Source Hoodfar and Assadpour (2000), p. 20
71
Salehi-Isfahani on Fertility in Iran
Source D. Salehi-Isfahani Familty Planning and
Rural Fertility Decline In Iran A Study in
Program Evaluation
72
Decline in Fertility Iran Turkey
Source D. Salehi-Isfahani Familty Planning and
Rural Fertility Decline In Iran A Study in
Program Evaluation
73
Health Houses in Iran
Source D. Salehi-Isfahani Familty Planning and
Rural Fertility Decline In Iran A Study in
Program Evaluation
74
Limits of Modernist Constructions Asdar Ali p.
43
The Egyptian state in collaboration with
international donor agencies uses its family
planning program as a tool to modernize its
population.. In this process the normalization of
conjugal marriage and the nuclear family helps
construct the modern categories of the
individual, the private and ultimately
modern citizens. In Egypt, however, these
constructions rest on slippery terrain High
unemployment, socioeconomic deprivation and an
undemocratic political environment push most
people to the margins of the system, creating
political conflict and deep resentment