Title: contact: guy.karsenty@wto.org
1From Trade in Goods to Trade in Tasks Regional
Networks in Global Supply Chains
Project progress report WTO/IDE-JETRO
2Trade determinants
Tariffs
Trade-related infrastructure
Trade patterns
FDI
Trade in intermediate goods
Processing trade
New metrics of vertical trade TVA
Vertical specialization and domestic content of
exports (TVA)
3MFN Applied Tariffs
Source World Tariff Profiles, 2010
4Tariff Escalation in selected Asian
economies (percentage)
Source World Tariff Profiles, 2010
5Source UNCTAD, 2010
6Data Source World Bank Doing Business.
7Regional share of FDI Inward and Outward Flows in
total World 1985, 1995 2008, (percentage).
Data Source UNCTAD, 2010.
Outward
Inward
8Changes in business practices/strategies led to
the development of international outsourcing of
input goods or services
Outsourcing
Offshoring
9The rise of processing trade - Some key figures
The importance of goods for inward processing in
developing economies total exports and imports
(minimum approximation), 2000-2008 (Billion, US
dollars)
Source IMF Balance of Payment statistics
partially completed with WTO estimates for
missing data.
10Trends in world trade of total merchandise,
intermediate goods and other commercial services,
Index 1988 100
Source WTO and UN Comtrade database
11Intermediate goods in trade flows reflect the
role of a country in the GSC
Source WTO and UN Comtrade database
12Measuring value added and vertical specialization
an illustrative example
Source WTO
13Why looking for new metrics of international
trade? Need to fill the information gap between
reality and available data
- Statistical issue Data relevance, i.e. the
degree to which data meets reality - Traditional measures (custom value, country of
origin) could mislead What You See is No More
What You Get - Economic policy issue international trade
policies hinge on the quality of the data used - You cant manage what you cant measure quality
of decisions is based on data - Systemic issue Symbiotic relationship between
statistics, research and policy - Research and policy are limited by the
availability of relevant and accurate statistics.
- Policy and academic theory create a need for
statistics, determine its relevance and in turn,
contribute to its quality - Political issue economic and social effects of
globalization - GVCs have fuelled controversies without adequate
data for the debate on - Labour issues (industrial VA can track labour
content and sectoral origin) - Environment issues (direct transportation- or
indirect as IO technical coefficients relate to
production functions)
14Using IIOs to estimate the import and domestic
content of exports
- International I-O (II-O)tables show the
production and trade linkages by country and
sector, origin and destination and how each
country/sector's output is used, either as input
into other sectors production or as final demand - II-O tables allow to estimate the value of the
imported inputs used directly and indirectly in
the production of exported goods, and - Cover both goods and services
- Tool for
- Identifying the sectoral source of the national
value added imbedded in exports allowing further
research on labour content, CO2 content,
15Source WTO and IDE-JETRO
16World Input-Output Table - Period 1995-2006 -
40 countries included (EU-15, NAFTA, BRI Brazil,
Russia, India CHN China, OTHER Turkey, Japan,
South Korea, Taiwan, Indonesia, Australia - 59
products (corresponding to CPA) - 35 industries
(corresponding to NACE Rev. 1) Business
functions/International Outsourcing - A new
European Survey on Business Functions Trade by
Enterprise Characteristics - Linkages of business
and trade registers to develop firm-level data on
import content of exports