Title: EPayments
1(No Transcript)
2Presentation Agenda
- Revenue Opportunity
- How Does Each Service Make Money
- Functionality
- Penetration
- Industry Topics
3Basic Electronic Payment Processing Categories
- Credit Card Processing
- Electronic Bill Presentment and Payment (EBPP)
- Money Transfer
4Electronic Payments Revenue Opportunity
5EBPP Adoption
- The key metrics for tracking EBPP industry
growth, in our opinion are Subscriber adoption,
transaction volume, and fees. - We expect the number of U.S. households utilizing
EBPP to reach 29 million by 2010. Nearly 18
million U.S. households paying or viewing bills
on-line in 2005. - The most important factor for increased EBPP
adoption in our opinion is the promotion of free
online banking and bill pay by financial
institutions to their customers. - Wells Fargo and Bank of America state their suite
of online banking services, including EBPP, are a
critical customer service function, raising
customer retention and profitability. - Additionally, we think the proliferation of
broadband has directly aided EBPP penetration, as
high-speed Internet services transform web
navigation and bill payment process into a
quicker more convenient experience for the
consumer compare to traditional dial-up. - At year-end 2005, out of approximately 28 million
potential end users, Bank of America counted 14.7
million online banking users and, of those, 7.3
million EBPP users. This represents online
banking and EBPP penetration of 52.5 and 26.1
of total potential end users, respectively. Bank
of America ultimately hopes to achieve 50
penetration for online banking and EBPP.
6Money Transfer
- We define the money services business as
person-to-person remittance (mostly cash)
primarily used by the un-banked and immigrants to
send money overseas. We do not include
international check payments in our definition of
money transfer. - The World Bank estimates the dollar value of
money remitted in 2005 to equal 230 billion,
which should expand at an annual rate of 9 to
354 billion in 2010. With the average
transaction fee of 8.5 of the dollar value being
sent, we think the 17.8 billion revenue
opportunity for 2005 (8.5 x 230 billion) could
grow to 30 billion by 2010 (8.5 x 354 billion).
72003 U.S. Consumer Payments Distribution
Payment Transaction Volume by Payment Instrument
Payment Dollar Value by Payment Instrument
Source 2004 Federal Reserve Payments Report and
RJA Estimates
8U.S. Payment Trends
Average Cash Transaction Size and Total Volume
Total Check Volume at Point-of-Sales (PoS)
Source 2004 Federal Reserve Payments Report and
RJA Estimates
9U.S. Payment Trends (cont)
Average Credit Card Transaction Size and Total
Volume
Average Debit Card Transaction Size and Total
Volume
Source 2004 Federal Reserve Payments Report and
RJA Estimates
10Fixed Cost Infrastructure-Potential for Operating
Leverage
- Most of the companies we cover offer a hosted or
outsourced service which, in some cases, is
branded by the client and sold to their
customers. - These outsource service companies usually charge
on a tiered transaction volume basis, operate a
fixed cost and recurring revenue business model
(please see diagram and description below). - Transaction processing companies generally
perform automated services over a fixed-cost
infrastructure meaning once the costs to
purchase and build the processing platform,
database, information sources, and engineers are
absorbed, there is very little additional expense
per transaction.
11Interchange
- Interchange rates have increased on average by
40 to 1.75 from 1.25 over the past ten years.
- MIPS has declined 90 over the same 10-year
period. - The average revenue per minute on an interstate
domestic telephone call during peak hours has
declined by approximately 58. - Fraud as a percentage of dollar value charged has
declined 38 over the same time period. - Transaction volume and dollar value of credit
card payments have doubled over the same period. - Consumers paying with cash are subsidizing these
interchange rates.
12Retailers Fight BackPrivate Electronic Payments
Networks
13Tempo Payments
- Another closed-end payment network is Tempo
Payments (formerly Debitman). Tempo, a private
company, allows retailers to issue their own
branded debit cards. In some cases a retailer
could pay as little as 10 (90 less) of a
general purpose co-branded credit card
transaction fee on Tempo cards compared to
standard Visa and MasterCard interchange rates,
in part because the Tempo Payments utilizes the
Automated Clearing House (ACH) Network for
clearing.
Source Tempo Payments
14Pay By Touch
Source Pay By Touch
15Green Dot Corporation
- Go to a retail location (includes Walgreens,
CVS). - Purchase a MoneyPak.
- Apply the MoneyPak to GreenDot card either online
or via telephone. - Funds are available immediately.
Source Green Dot Corporation
16National Payment Card
Source National Payment Card
17KKR Buyout of First Data
- On April 2, 2006, First Data announced that
Kohlberg Kravis Roberts (KKR), one of the worlds
largest private equity firms, has offered 34 per
share (or 29 billion in total) to acquire the
company. The purchase price implies valuations
above the industry average, despite First Datas
slower growth. In order to make our comparison of
First Data and Global Payments more meaningful,
we have estimated Global Payments financial
metrics on a calendar year, adjusted from the
companys May fiscal year.
18Potential Benefits of LBO
- First Data announced a plan on its 4Q06 earnings
conference call to consolidate its domestic data
centers and application platforms. While the
company did not give exact details, it stated the
project could cost more than 100 million over
the course of two and a half years. We believe
the proposed transaction could allow the company
to accelerate these investments without the
scrutiny of public markets.
19Risk Sensitivity
20Transaction Processing Valuation Graph