Title: Financing Schools
1Patrick F. Bassett, NAIS President/Mark Mitchell,
VP for Financial Aid Services
Financing Schools
Sarah Daignault, NBOA Executive Director
2Financing Education in the 21st CenturyHow can
we make it work?
3Goals for a Schools Financing Task Force
- Understand the current situation - inside and out
- Look at trend data Ones own school benchmark
group customized report and NAIS StatsOnline
10-year Trends - Explore options for the future
4The Box
Endowment Income Annual Giving
Salaries
Small Classes
Affordable Tuitions
Facility Costs
Financial Aid
5Goals for a Schools Financing Task Force
- Understand the current situation - inside and out
- Look at trend data
- Ones own school benchmark group customized
report - NAIS StatsOnline 10-year Trends
- Explore options for the future
6NAIS Customized Our School vs. Benchmark
SchoolsSample Rpt Now 5 yrs Ago 10 yrs
Ago Now 5 yrs Ago 10 yrs Ago
7NAIS Customized Our School vs. Benchmark
SchoolsSample Rpt Now 5 yrs Ago 10 yrs
Ago Now 5 yrs Ago 10 yrs Ago
8NAIS Customized Our School vs. Benchmark
SchoolsSample Rpt Now 5 yrs Ago 10 yrs
Ago Now 5 yrs Ago 10 yrs Ago
9NAIS Customize Our School vs. Benchmark
SchoolsSample Rpt Now 5 yrs Ago 10
yrs Ago Now 5 yrs
Ago 10 yrs Ago
10NAIS 10-Year Data
- What the 10-Year Global Trends Tell Us
11Median NAIS tuition 2003-04, Gr 12 Day,
16,000 Boarding 30,335 Up 30 in real
dollars CPI 3. Questions Can we and should we
continue on this path? Do significant price
increases deleteriously affect demand?
12Enrollment Up 20 Inelasticity of pricingso
far, we havent hit the break point where
increased price dampens demand. Question Will
we?
13Admissions Funnel Ratios/Enrollee 8.4 3.1
1.4 (Day) 15.0 3.3 1.6 (Boarding) Increased
demand, about the same enrollment increased
selectivity. Until
14recent hiccup Pre-school 9th entry level dip.
Demographic destiny?
15Median Salaries 30,000 (Low), 42,405
(Median), 61,575 (Top) (vs. public schools,
projected for 2003-04 to be 32,500 to start and
47,500 median). Attrition 10.1 NAIS 11 US
Businesses 13.2 US Teachers 22.8 Small
Privates. NAIS starting and median salaries not
up by much over 10 years 11.1 What is driving
increased costs and tuitions if not increased
faculty salaries?
16Whats driving increased tuitions? Overall staff
up 31.8.
17StudentFaculty Ratio 9.21 Day and 7.11
Boarding Question If you add a program, what
program will you sunset?
18Overall Annual Attrition 9.2 Day and 14.9
Boarders Down, overall by 7.7 percent. Were
making better matches and providing better value.
Low vs. high attrition schools class size and
school size not the issue for our schools
students services are important.
19Substantive increase in students of color to an
average of 20.
2047 increase in FOC (to avg. of 10.0 of Total
Faculty, Admin of Color 7.4 of Admin Overall
staff 13.3) 20 of staff of color seems to
be the tipping point for schools.
21Grants up 38 but recipients up only 1.8. on
Fin Aid 14.7 day and 33.7 boarding
(overall15.6 5.5 remission 21) Total of
Students on Aid Who Are of Color (43.5),
International (3.8), White (52.7) Avg Grant
7,522 day and 12,177 boarding
22Families by Total Income SSS Filers(Actual
dollars, not inflation-adjusted)
Family Income
23Annual Giving Trends
Giving is up 3 from last year, 10 from 2 years
ago, 41 from five years ago and 48 from ten
years. Avg 1217 for all schools, 1465 for
Core Sample Schools.
24Annual Giving Cohorts
Avg Gift by Up over last yr. 5 years ago.
10 yrs ago. Parents 915 4 49 63 Trustee
s 4774 0 43 74 NB ISM IRS data
(June 2003) Avg giving to all charities gt2K (
for 75-100K income) gt4k (for gt100K income)
gt6K (for gt200K income)
25Endowment Trends
Endowment is up 6 from last year, down 1 from 2
years ago, up 10 from five years ago and 97
from ten years. Avg 29,246 for all schools,
34,656 for Core Sample Schools. (Day schools
avg. 16,686 for all schools, more than 10
times that for boarding schools)
26Summary Trend Data 1992-2002 Why Were in a Fix
- Skyrocketing tuitions
- Increased Staff
- Lower StudentTeacher ratio
- Modest gains in salary
- Increased selectivity
- More financial aid to the same number of
students - Higher income families requesting financial aid
Are we on track for the same patterns for the
next 10 years? If so, and we think its unwise,
what do we change?
27Tuition vs. CPI
- 1955 to 1980 tuitions went up at roughly the same
rate as the CPI - Since 1980 tuitions have been going up much
faster than the CPI - Attending our schools is becoming more expensive
at an unsustainable rate
28Demographics 1980s
- Mid 80s
- Drop on school-age population
- Recession
- Public School reform
- Independent School response
- Lowered admission standards
- Altered mission statement
29Demographics 1990s
- Mid 90s
- School-age Population boom
- Economic boom
- Public School decline
- Response
- Soaring tuitions
- Tighter admission standards
30Opportunity Lost
- At a time when independent schools were most able
to alter how we do business, we did not.
31Pricing and Costs
32The Car of Tuition
- No reverse gear
- No brake, except the emergency brake
- Only accelerates more than the last time
Scott Looney, Cranbrook School
33Driving The Car
- Driver Board of Trustees
- Backseat drivers
- Teachers
- Parents
34Pricing Strategies
- Short Term Tuition discounting when the school
is under enrolled (net tuition revenue approach) - Long Term Matching tuitions with long term
financial strategy - Set tuition to maximize the revenue necessary to
run the best program to achieve the mission,
while not setting prices beyond the means of our
current and future customers.
35The PAVS MatrixConcepts affecting demand and
affordability
- Prestige The public perception of the quality
of the school based on its historical reputation
of preparing students for success - Affordability the perception of the price of
enrolling after considering any financial
assistance from sources other than family. High
affordability means a family thinks the school is
within its meanslow affordability is out of reach
Courtesy of Marketing Independent Schools in the
21st Century, Chapter six, The Affordability
Dilemma by Mark Mitchell
36The PAVS MatrixConcepts affecting demand and
affordability
- Value the perception of what a family is
receiving for the money it is paying, whatever
the sum. Value results from a variety of
factors including prestige and affordability and
student outcomes. - Sacrifice the degree to which a family is
willing to forego certain things in order to
devote a portion of its resources to school costs
that otherwise could be used for other expenses,
savings or investments.
Courtesy of Marketing Independent Schools in the
21st Century, Chapter six, The Affordability
Dilemma by Mark Mitchell
37Pricing Strategies
- PAVS Factors Prestige, Affordability, Value,
Sacrifice - Pricing Strategy Now for Most Schools, Regardless
of PAVS Factors High price/low subsidy (our
unique model unrelated to marketplace). - Pricing Strategy for the Future
- Highly selective schools (fill up in March) Have
all four factors in play. Long waiting lists. Can
charge whatever they want. Consider high
price/high subsidy. - Typical schools (fill up eventually) Have some
of the factors in play. Consider moderate
price/moderate subsidy (e.g., more families,
lower grants). - Many schools (open admissions take anyone,
anytime) Affordability the key factor. Consider
low price/low subsidy until other PAVS factors
come into play.
Courtesy of Marketing Independent Schools in the
21st Century, Chapter six, The Affordability
Dilemma by Mark Mitchell
38Revenue Theory of Cost
- Absence of profit motive
- Goal Educational excellence
- Few limits to the money to spend to reach the
goal - Ever increasing expenditures
- Cost of services is determined by changes in
available resources - Fundraising and tuition increases meet needs
Sorrel Paskin, Consultant
39Personal Services vs. Goods
- The prices of personal services will rise faster
than the prices of manufactured goods. - Price of goods reflects costs to produce
- Productivity advances in manufacturing
- Wages rise the same (Baumols Disease)
40Function Lust
- Administration should not be an end in itself
- Is the mission advanced by more of these?
- technology, plant, administration
Sorrel Paskin, Consultant
41Philanthropy
- Americans give away a lot of money
- Education is the number one recipient (after
religious enterprises) - Giving is dramatically different from school to
school - It is easier to raise money than to spend it
well. Poor spending decisions make it harder to
raise money down the road.
42Endowments
- The big endowments have been built by
- People dying (bequests)
- Effective investments prudence genius
- Sale of real estate
43Borrowing
- Debt to Endowment Ratio Closing in on 11 (or
worse) for even some of the most established
schools. - Moodys Investment Report Although the demand
for private education continues to be strong,
growing concern over affordability may limit the
revenue growth for less selective institutions
and institutions serving a geographically
concentrated and/or economically limited
population. Private schools also remain
vulnerable to sustained economic volatility
nationwide.
44Goals for a Schools Financing Task Force
- Understand the current situation - inside and out
- Look at trend data NAIS StatsOnline 10-year
Trends and ones own school benchmark group - Explore options for the future
45What options do we have?
Some ideas Not a definitive list
46Choices Revenue
- Revenue enhancements - must be sustainable in the
long run to preserve budgetary balance - Increase enrollment (Net tuition revenue
approach) - Capitalize upon intellectual property (Calvert
School model Foxfire-10M copies from oral
history project in GA school class web
authoring Kids Battle the Grown-ups-trivia game
co-authored by 6th graders) - Fuller utilization of facility property (LFA
model adult ed in evening classes and sports
clubs during class time weekends urban air
rights CA water rights etc. See Reading,
Writing, Revenue, Independent School-Fall
2003)
47Choices Revenue
- Revenue enhancements - must be sustainable in the
long run to preserve budgetary balance - Franchising (Hyde School Learning Unlimited
models. See Spare Change, Independent
School-Fall 2003) - Enhance fundraising (Serious deferred giving
program)
48Choices Cost Containment
- Cost containment
- Increase productivity (via student/teacher
ratios case load-- students or class
meetings--vs. course load approaches) - Mediate the arms race for new facilities
- Sunset a program every time you add one
- Temper acquisition of technology
49Choices Cost Containment
- Cost containment
- Watch growth of financial aid
- Charge for additional services counseling, ESL,
LD tutoring - Benchmark compensation packages
- Seek efficiencies via outsourcing and consortia
purchasing
50Choices Create Alternative Financial Scenarios
- Project three possible future paths, using the
NAIS Online Financing Schools Calculator
51Lets get to work!
The End!