INBU 4200 INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

1 / 61
About This Presentation
Title:

INBU 4200 INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT

Description:

INBU 4200 INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT – PowerPoint PPT presentation

Number of Views:539
Avg rating:3.0/5.0
Slides: 62
Provided by: leedsbu9
Category:

less

Transcript and Presenter's Notes

Title: INBU 4200 INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT


1
INBU 4200 INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
  • Lecture 9
  • Topic Understanding and Managing Foreign
    Exchange Exposure

2
What is Foreign Exchange Exposure?
  • Simply put, foreign exchange exposure is the risk
    associated with activities that involve a global
    firm in currencies other than its home currency.
  • Essentially, it is the risk that a foreign
    currency may move in a direction which is
    financially detrimental to the global firm.
  • Given our observed potential for adverse exchange
    rate movements, firms must
  • Assess and Manage their foreign exchange
    exposures.

3
Does Foreign Exchange Exposure Matter? What do
Global Firms Say
  • Nike Our international operations and sources
    of supply are subject to the usual risks of doing
    business abroad, such as possible revaluation of
    currencies (2005).
  • Starbucks In fiscal 2004, international company
    revenue in US dollars increased 32, in part
    because of the weakening U.S. dollar against both
    the Canadian dollar and the British pound.
    (2005).
  • McDonalds In 2000, the weak euro, British pound
    and Australian dollar had a negative impact upon
    reported US dollar results. (2000).

4
Global Companies and FX Exposure
  • What is the specific risk to a global firm from
    foreign exchange exposure?
  • Settlement value of foreign currency denominated
    contracts, in home currency equivalents, can be
    adversely affected.
  • Cash flows from foreign operations, in home
    currency equivalents, can be adversely affected.
  • The global competitive position of the firm will
    be affected by adverse changes in exchange rates.
  • The value (market price) of the firm, as set by
    home resident investors, will be adversely
    affected.

5
Types of Foreign Exchange Exposure
  • There are three distinct types of foreign
    exchange exposures that global firms may face as
    a result of their international activities.
  • These foreign exchange exposures are
  • Transaction exposure
  • Economic exposure
  • Translation exposure (sometimes called accounting
    exposure).
  • We will develop each of these in the slides which
    follow.

6
Transaction Exposure
  • Transaction Exposure Results from a firm taking
    on fixed cash flow foreign currency denominated
    contractual agreements.
  • Examples of translation exposure
  • An Account Receivable denominate in a foreign
    currency.
  • A maturing financial asset (e.g., a bond)
    denominated in a foreign currency.
  • An Account Payable denominate in a foreign
    currency.
  • A maturing financial liability (e.g., a loan)
    denominated in a foreign currency.

7
Economic Exposure
  • Economic Exposure Results from the physical
    entry of a global firm into a foreign market.
  • This is a long term foreign exchange exposure
    resulting from a previous FDI location decision.
  • Over time, the firm will acquire foreign currency
    denominated assets and liabilities in the foreign
    country.
  • The firm will also have operating income in the
    foreign country.
  • Economic exposure impacts the firm through
    contracts and transactions which have yet to
    occur, but will, in the future, because of the
    firms location.
  • These are really future transaction exposures
    which are unknown today.
  • Economic exposure can have profound impacts on a
    global firms competitive position and on the
    market value of that firm.

8
Two Channels of Economic Exposure
Impact on the home currency value of assets and
liabilities
Firms Competitiveness and Firm Value
Exchange Rate Fluctuations
Impact on future operating cash flows
9
Translation Exposure
  • Translation Exposure Results from the need of a
    global firm to consolidated its financial
    statements to include results from foreign
    operations.
  • Consolidation involves translating subsidiary
    financial statements from local currencies (in
    the foreign markets where the firm is located) to
    the home currency of the firm (i.e., the parent).
  • Consolidation can result in either translation
    gains or translation losses.
  • These are essentially the accounting systems
    attempt to measure foreign exchange ex post
    exposure.

10
Assessing Foreign Exchange Exposure
  • All global firms are faced with the need to
    analyze their foreign exchange exposures.
  • In some cases, the analysis of foreign exchange
    exposure is fairly straight forward and known.
  • For example Transaction exposure.
  • There is a fixed (and thus known) contractual
    obligation (in some foreign currency) .
  • While in other cases, the analysis of the foreign
    exchange exposure is complex and less certain.
  • For example Economic exposure
  • There is great uncertainty as to what the firms
    exposures will look like over the long term.
  • Specifically when they will take place and what
    the amounts will be.

11
Using a Hedge to Deal with Exposures
  • In using a hedge, a firm will establish a
    situation opposite to its initial foreign
    exchange exposure.
  • A firm with a long position in a foreign currency
    will
  • Offset that position with a short position in the
    same currency.
  • A firm with a short position in a foreign
    currency will
  • Offset that position with a long position in the
    same currency.
  • In essence, the firm is covering (offsetting)
    the original foreign exchange position.
  • Since the firm has two opposite foreign
    exchange positions, they will cancel each other
    out.

12
To Hedge or Not to Hedge?
  • What are some of the factors that would influence
    a global firms decision to hedge its exposures?
  • Perhaps the firms assessment of the future
    strength or weakness of the foreign currency it
    is exposed in.
  • This involves forecasting and how comfortable the
    firm is with the results of the forecast.
  • If the firm has a long position in what they
    think will be a strong currency they may decide
    not to hedge, or do a partial hedge.
  • On the other hand, firms may decide they want to
    focus on their core business and not have any
    exposures.
  • Does Starbucks want to sell coffee overseas or
    speculate on currency moves?
  • Obviously, this is different from a company
    managing a hedge fund, or a currency trading
    floor?

13
Hedging Strategies
  • It would appear that most firms (except for those
    involved in currency-trading) would prefer to
    hedge their foreign exchange exposures.
  • But, how can firms hedge?
  • (1) Financial Contracts
  • Forward contracts (also futures contracts)
  • See Appendix 1 for a discussion of forward
    contracts.
  • Options contracts (puts and calls)
  • Borrowing or investing in local markets.
  • (2) Operational Techniques
  • Geographic diversification (spreading the risk)

14
Foreign Exchange Options Contracts
  • One type of financial contract used to hedge
    foreign exchange exposure is an options contract.
  • Definition An options contract offers a global
    firm the right, but not the obligation, to buy
    (call) or sell (put) a given quantity of some
    foreign exchange,
  • at a specified price (i.e., exchange rate), and
  • at some date in the future.

15
Foreign Exchange Options Contracts
  • Options contracts are either written by global
    banks (market maker banks) or purchased on
    organized exchanges (e.g., the Chicago Mercantile
    Exchange).
  • Options contracts provide the global firm with
  • (1) Insurance (floor or ceiling exchange rate)
    against unfavorable changes in the exchange rate,
    and additionally
  • (2) the ability to take advantage of a favorable
    change in the exchange rate.
  • This latter feature is potentially important as
    it is something a forward contract will not allow
    the firm to do.
  • But the global firm must pay for this right.
  • This is the option premium (which is a
    non-refundable fee).

16
Statement from Nike Corporation
  • Nike We use forward exchange contracts and
    option contracts to hedge certain anticipated
    foreign currency exchange transactions
    including receivable and payable balances.
    (2005).

17
A Put Option To Sell Foreign Exchange
  • Put Option
  • Allows a global firm to sell a (1) specified
    amount of foreign currency at (2) a specified
    future date and at (3) a specified price (i.e.,
    exchange rate) all of which are set today.
  • Put option is used to offset a foreign currency
    long position (e.g., an account receivable).
  • Provides the firm with an lower limit (floor)
    price for the foreign currency it expects to
    receive in the future.
  • If spot rate proves to be advantageous, the
    holder will not exercise the put option, but
    instead sell the foreign currency in the spot
    market.
  • Firm will not exercised if the spot rate is
    worth more.

18
A Call Option To Buy Foreign Exchange
  • Call Option
  • Allows a global firm to buy a (1) specified
    amount of foreign currency at (2) a specified
    future date and at a (3) specified a price (i.e.,
    at an exchange rate) all of which are set today.
  • Call option is used to offset a foreign currency
    short position (e.g., an account payable).
  • Provides the holder with an upper limit
    (ceiling) price for the foreign currency the
    firm needs in the future.
  • If spot rate proves to be advantageous, the
    holder will not exercise the call option, but
    instead buy the needed foreign currency in the
    spot market.
  • Firm will not exercise if the spot rate is
    cheaper.

19
Overview of Options Contracts
  • Important advantage
  • Options provide the global firm which the
    potential to take advantage of a favorable change
    in the spot exchange rate.
  • Recall that this is not possible with a forward
    contract.
  • Important disadvantage
  • Options can be costly
  • Firm must pay an upfront non-refundable option
    premium which it loses if it does not exercise
    the option.
  • Recall there are no upfront fees with a forward
    contract.
  • This fee must be considered in calculating the
    home currency equivalent of the foreign currency.
  • This cost can be especially relevant for smaller
    firms and/or those firms with liquidity issues.
  • See Appendix 2 for a further discussion of
    options contracts.

20
Hedging Through Borrowing or Investing in Foreign
Markets
  • Another strategy used to hedge foreign exchange
    exposure is through the use of borrowing or
    investing in foreign currencies.
  • Global firms can borrow or invest in foreign
    currencies as a means of offsetting foreign
    exchange exposure.
  • Borrowing in a foreign currency is done to offset
    a long position.
  • Investing in a foreign currency is done to offset
    a short position.

21
Statement from McDonalds
  • McDonalds The company uses foreign currency
    denominated debt to hedge its investments in
    certain foreign subsidiaries and affiliates.
    (2005)

22
Specific Strategy for a Long Position
  • Global firm expecting to receive foreign currency
    in the future (long position)
  • Will take out a loan (i.e., borrow) in the
    foreign currency.
  • Will convert the foreign currency loan amount
    into its home currency at the spot exchange rate.
  • And eventually use the long position to pay off
    the foreign currency denominated loan.
  • What has the firm accomplished?
  • Has effectively offset its foreign currency long
    position (with the foreign currency loan, which
    is a short position).
  • Plus, immediate conversion of its foreign
    currency long position into its home currency.

23
Specific Strategy for a Short Position
  • Global firm needing to pay out foreign currency
    in the future (short position).
  • Will borrow in its home currency (an amount equal
    to its short position at the current spot rate).
  • Will convert the home currency loan into the
    foreign currency at the spot rate.
  • Will invest in a foreign currency denominated
    asset
  • And eventually use the proceeds from the maturity
    asset to pay off the short position.
  • Global firm has
  • Offset its foreign currency short exposure (with
    the foreign currency denominate asset which is a
    long position)
  • Plus immediate conversion of its foreign currency
    liability into a home currency liability.
  • See Appendix 3 for more discussion of this
    borrowing and lending strategy.

24
Hedging Unknown Cash Flows
  • Up to this point, the hedging techniques we have
    covered (forwards, options, borrowing and
    investing) have been most appropriate for
    covering transaction exposure.
  • Why?
  • Because transaction exposures have known foreign
    currency cash flows and thus they are easy to
    hedge with financial contracts
  • However, economic foreign exchange exposures do
    not provide the firm with this known cash flow
    information.

25
Dealing with Economic Exposure
  • Recall that economic exposure is long term and
    involves unknown future cash flows.
  • So this type of exposure is difficult to hedge
    with the financial contracts we have discussed
    thus far.
  • What can the firm do to manage this economic
    exposure?
  • Firm can employ an operational hedge.
  • This strategy involves global diversification of
    production and/or sales markets to produce
    natural hedges for the firms unknown foreign
    exchange exposures.
  • As long as exchange rates with respect to these
    different markets do not move in the same
    direction, the firm can stabilize its overall
    cash flow.

26
Nikes Global Diversification of Manufacturing
for Footwear, By Country, 2005
  • Country Percent
  • China 36
  • Vietnam 26
  • Indonesia 22
  • Thailand 15
  • Others Argentina, Brazil, India, Mexico,
  • and South Africa
  • Source Nike, 2005 Annual report

27
Nikes Global Diversification of Sales by
International Region (U.S. Dollars in Millions),
2005
  • Market Revenue Percent
  • United States 5,129.3 37.3
  • EMEA 4,281.6 31.2
  • Asia Pacific 1,897.3 13.8
  • Americas 695.8 5.1
  • Other 1,735.7 12.6
  • Total 13,739.7
  • Note EMEA is Europe, Middle East and Africa

28
Translation Exposure
  • Translation exposure is commonly referred to as
    accounting exposure because it refers to the
    impact of exchange rate changes on the
    consolidated financial reports of a global firm.
  • These include impacts on assets and liabilities
    and profits which have been acquired or occurred
    in the past.
  • Why do global firms need to consolidate
    statements?
  • To report financial results to their
    shareholders.
  • To report income to taxing authorities.
  • The accounting approach for consolidating
    financial statements depends upon the accounting
    requirements of the firms headquartered country.
  • The U.S. is governed by FASB 52.
  • Balance sheet and income statement gains or
    losses associated with the consolidation process
    show up in the shareholders equity account

29
Statement from Nike
  • Nike Adjustments resulting for translating
    foreign currency financial statements into U.S.
    dollars are included in the foreign currency
    translation adjustment, a component in the
    shareholders equity account. (2005).

30
Nikes 2005 Financial Statement Summary
  • Consolidated Balance Sheet, Fiscal 2005 (millions
    of U.S. dollars)
  • Assets 8,793.6
  • Liabilities 3,149.4
  • Shareholders Equity 5,644.2
  • Of which foreign currency
  • translation adjustments were
    70.1
  • This is a cumulative amount (e.g., in 2004 it
    was 27.5

31
A Comprehensive Approach for Assessing and
Managing Foreign Exchange Exposure
  • Step 1 Determining Specific Foreign Exchange
    Exposures.
  • By currency and amounts (where possible)
  • Step 2 Exchange Rate Forecasting
  • Determining the likelihood of adverse currency
    movements.
  • Important to select the appropriate forecasting
    model.
  • Perhaps a range of forecasts is appropriate
    here (i.e., forecasts under various assumptions)

32
A Comprehensive Approach for Assessing and
Managing Foreign Exchange Exposure
  • Step 3 Assessing the Impact of the Forecasted
    Exchange Rates on Companys Home Currency
    Equivalents
  • Impact on earnings, cash flow, liabilities
  • Step 4 Deciding Whether to Hedge or Not
  • Determine whether the anticipated impact of the
    forecasted exchange rate change merits the need
    to hedge.
  • Perhaps the estimated impact is so small as not
    to be of a concern.
  • Or, perhaps the firm is convinced it can benefit
    from its exposure.

33
A Comprehensive Approach or Assessing and
Managing Foreign Exchange Exposure
  • Step 5 Selecting the Appropriate Hedging
    Instruments.
  • What is important here are
  • Firms desire for flexibility.
  • Cost involved with financial contracts.
  • The type of exposure the firm is dealing with.

34
What Hedges are Used?
  • 1995 study by Kwok and Folks of Fortune 500
    companies revealed
  • Type of Product Heard of Used
  • Forwards 100.0 93.1
  • Bank (O-T-C) Options 93.5 48.4
  • FX Futures 98.8 20.1
  • Exchange traded options 96.4 17.3
  • Why do you think the first two are preferred over
    the last two?

35
Preference for Forward Market Contracts
  • Why is there a preference for forward contracts?
  • Perhaps because they are simple to understand and
    simple to use.
  • Forward contract can be tailored to offset known
    contractual agreements.
  • They are written by market maker banks for global
    customers on the basis of the customers
    particular needs
  • For a particular foreign currency and amount.
  • For a particular cash flow (future date).

36
Preference of Bank Options over Exchange Traded
Options and Futures
  • As with forwards, bank options can be tailored to
    the specific needs of the global customer.
  • And they provide the firm with the flexibility to
    take advantage of a favorable change in exchange
    rates.
  • But with a cost, which, in part, explains the
    preference for forwards over options.
  • Exchange traded options and foreign exchange
    futures are not over the counter instruments.
  • They trade on exchanges
  • The contracts are standardized with regard to
    currency itself, the amount, and the maturity
    dates of the product.
  • Thus, they may not be appropriate for a global
    firms specific needs.
  • Especially with regard to timing and amounts.

37
Appendix 1 Hedging Foreign Exchange Exposure
with Forward Contracts
38
Forward Contracts
  • These are foreign exchange contracts offered by
    market maker banks.
  • They will sell foreign currency forward, and
  • They will buy foreign currency forward
  • Market maker banks will quote exchange rates
    today at which they will carry out these forward
    agreements.
  • These forward contracts allow the global firm to
    lock in a home currency equivalent of some
    fixed contractual foreign currency cash flow.
  • These contracts are used to offset the foreign
    exchange exposure resulting from an initial
    commercial or financial transaction.

39
Statement from Financial Reports
  • Nike We use forward exchange contracts and
    option contracts to hedge certain anticipated
    foreign currency exchange transactions
    including receivable and payable balances.
    (2005).

40
Example 1 The Need to Hedge
  • U.S. firm has sold a manufactured product to a
    German company.
  • And as a result of this sale, the U.S. firm
    agrees to accept payment of 100,000 in 30 days.
  • What type of exposure does the U.S. firm have?
  • Answer Transaction exposure an agreement to
    receive a fixed amount of foreign currency in the
    future.
  • What is the potential problem for the U.S. firm
    if it decides not hedge (i.e., not to cover)?
  • Problem for the U.S. firm is in assuming the risk
    that the euro might weaken over this period, and
    in 30 days it will be worth less (in terms of
    U.S. dollars) than it is now.
  • This would result in a foreign exchange loss for
    the firm.

41
Hedging Example 1 with a Forward
  • So the U.S. firm decides it wants to hedge
    (cover) this foreign exchange transaction
    exposure.
  • It goes to a market maker bank and requests a 30
    day forward quote on the euro.
  • The market marker bank quotes the U.S. firm a bid
    and ask price for 30 day euros, as follows
  • EUR/USD 1.2300/1.2400.
  • What do these quotes mean
  • Market maker will buy euros in 30 days for
    1.2300
  • Market maker will sell euros in 30 days for
    1.2400

42
Example 2 The Need to Hedge
  • U.S. firm has purchased a product from a British
    company.
  • And as a result of this purchase, the U.S. firm
    agrees to pay the U.K. company 100,000 in 30
    days.
  • What type of exposure is this for the U.S. firm?
  • Answer Transaction exposure an agreement to pay
    a fixed amount of foreign currency in the future.
  • What is the potential problem if the firm does
    not hedge?
  • Problem for the U.S. firm is in assuming the risk
    that the pound might strengthen over this period,
    and in 30 days it take more U.S. dollars than now
    to purchase the required pounds.
  • This would result in a foreign exchange loss for
    the firm.

43
Hedging Example 2 with a Forward
  • So the U.S. firm decides it wants to hedge
    (cover) this foreign exchange transaction
    exposure.
  • It goes to a market maker bank and requests a 30
    day forward quote on pounds.
  • The market maker quotes the U.S. firm a bid and
    ask price for 30 day pounds as follows
  • GBP/USD 1.7500/1.7600.
  • What do these quotes mean
  • Market maker will buy pounds in 30 days for
    1.7500
  • Market maker will sell pounds in 30 days for
    1.7600

44
So What will the Firm Accomplished with the
Forward Contract?
  • Example 1 The firm with the long position in
    euros
  • Can lock in the U.S. dollar equivalent of the
    sale to the German company.
  • It knows it can receive 123,000
  • At the forward bid 1.2300/1.2400
  • Example 2 The firm with the short position in
    pounds
  • Can lock in the U.S. dollar equivalent of its
    liability to the British firm
  • It knows it will cost 176,000
  • At the forward ask price 1.7500/1.7600

45
Advantages and Disadvantages of the Forward
Contract
  • Contracts written by market maker banks to the
    specifications of the global firm.
  • For some exact amount of a foreign currency.
  • For some specific date in the future.
  • No upfront fees or commissions.
  • Bid and Ask spreads produce round transaction
    profits.
  • Global firm knows exactly what the home currency
    equivalent of a fixed amount of foreign currency
    will be in the future.
  • However, global firm cannot take advantage of a
    favorable change in the foreign exchange spot
    rate.

46
Appendix 2 Examples of Put and Call Options
47
Put Option Example
  • Recall the U.S. firm which had the 30 day account
    receivable in euros (slide 16)
  • Firm anticipates receiving 100,000 euros in 30
    days.
  • Assume the current spot rate is 1.2500/1.2600
  • Thus the receivable is worth 125,000 at the spot
    rate.
  • Assume the firm negotiates a put contract with a
    strike price of 1.2000.
  • Thus, the U.S. firm has established an exchange
    rate lower limit for these euros at 1.20 (or
    120,000
  • And it will be charged a non-refundable fee of
    2,000 for this contract to lock in this lower
    limit.

48
Put Option Example Continued
  • Assume in 30 days the euro spot rate is quoted
    as
  • 1.15/1.17
  • What has the euro done from 1.25/1.26
  • Weakened, by 0.10 per euro.
  • Account receivable is now worth 115,000 at this
    spot rate.
  • What will the U.S. firm do?
  • U.S. firm will exercise its put option and sell
    the euros at the strike price of 1.20.
  • Firm will receive 120,000 less the 2,000 up
    front fee, or 118,000
  • What would the firm have done if the up-front fee
    was greater than 5,000?

49
Call Option Example
  • Recall the U.S. firm which had the 30 day account
    payable in pounds (slide 18).
  • Firm knows that it must pay 100,000 pounds in 30
    days.
  • Assume the current spot rate is 1.7200/1.7400
  • Thus the payable will cost 174,000 at the
    current rate.
  • Assume the firm negotiates a call contract with a
    strike price of 1.8000
  • Thus, the U.S. firm has established an exchange
    rate upper limit for these pounds at 1.80 (or
    180,000
  • And it will be charged a non-refundable fee of
    3,000 for this contract to lock in this upper
    limit.

50
Put Option Example Continued
  • Assume in 30 days the euro spot rate is quoted
    as
  • 1.35/1.37
  • What has the euro done?
  • Strengthened, by 0.10 per euro.
  • Account receivable is now worth 135,000 at this
    spot rate.
  • What will the U.S. firm do?
  • Firm will not exercise its put option and instead
    will sell the euros in the spot market at 1.35
  • Firm will end up receiving 135,000 (less the
    2,000 up front fee), or 133,000 for the euros.

51
Review of Put Option Example
  • We can see from the previous example, that with
    the use of a put option, the firm was able to
    establish (lock in) a lower limit for a long
    position it has in a foreign currency.
  • The firm can also walk away from the put contract
    if the exchange rate moves in its favor.
  • Specifically, if the foreign currency
    strengthens.
  • This is not a feature of a forward contract.

52
Call Option Example
  • Assume in 30 days the pound spot rate is quoted
  • 1.84/1.86
  • What has the pound done from 1.72/1.74
  • Strengthened, by 0.12 per pound
  • Account payable will now require 186,000 at this
    spot rate.
  • What will the U.S. firm do?
  • U.S. firm will exercise its call option and buy
    the pounds at the strike price of 1.80.
  • Firm will pay 180,000 plus the 3,000 up front
    fee, or 183,000, for the pounds
  • What would the firm have done if the up-front fee
    was greater than 6,000?

53
Call Option Example Continued
  • Assume in 30 days the pound spot rate is quoted
  • 1.64/1.66
  • What has the pound done from 1.72/1.74
  • Weakened, by .08 per pound
  • Account payable will now require 174,000 at this
    spot rate.
  • What will the U.S. firm do?
  • U.S. firm will not exercise its call option and
    instead buy the pounds at the current spot rate
    of 1.74.
  • Firm will pay 174,000 plus the 3,000 up front
    fee, or 177,000, for the pounds

54
Review of Call Option Example
  • We can see from the previous example, that with
    the use of a call option, the firm was able to
    establish (lock in) a upper limit for a short
    position it has in a foreign currency.
  • The firm can also walk away from the call
    contract if the exchange rate moves in its favor.
  • Specifically, if the foreign currency weakens.
  • This is not a feature of a forward contract.

55
Examples of Borrowing or Lending to Offset
Foreign Exchange Exposure
56
Using Local Currency Borrowing to Hedge
  • Assume a U.S. firm expects to receive 1,000,000
    in 1 year as a result of a sale to a British
    company.
  • The U.S. firm could
  • Sell the pounds 1 year forward, or
  • Purchase a put option on the pounds.
  • However, the firm would like to get its money
    now!
  • What can it do to achieve this?
  • Go to a local U.K. bank and take out a 1 year
    loan in pounds.
  • Borrow an amount equal to 1,000,000 minus the
    interest that the back will charge on the loan.
  • Swap out of pounds into dollars at the current
    spot rate.
  • In1 year, when the firm receives payment from the
    British company, use those pound proceeds pay off
    the bank loan.
  • Where is the long and short positions in the
    above example?

57
Borrowing Example
  • Assume
  • (1) The current spot rate is 1.85/1.87
  • (2) The U.K. loan rate is 5 per annum.
  • Then
  • Borrow 950,000 (Note 50,000 is the interest)
  • Swap out of pounds into dollars
  • 1,757,500 (at bid quote of 1.85)
  • In I year, use the 1,000,000 account receivable
    to pay off the loan.
  • Loan payoff 950,000 50,000 1,000,000
  • What did the U.S. firm achieve?
  • It got its dollars NOW rather than waiting 1 year.

58
Review of Local Currency Borrowing to Hedge
  • Strategy used to cover a long position.
  • Firm gets its home currency equivalent now and
    can use it.
  • Important if the firm is faced with liquidity
    issues.
  • However, the firm will not benefit from a
    favorable change in the exchange rate.
  • Also, what if the paying firm defaults.
  • How can the firm protect itself against this
    risk?
  • Answer Insist on a letter of credit and a
    bankers acceptance from the foreign firm.

59
Using Local Currency Investing to Hedge
  • Assume a U.S. firm knows it needs to pay
    1,000,000 to a British firm in 1 year.
  • The U.S. firm could
  • Buy the pounds 1 year forward, or
  • Purchase a call option.
  • However, it could also
  • Go to a U.S. bank and take out a 1 year loan in
    U.S. dollars.
  • Borrow an amount in dollars which will be equal
    to 1,000,000 minus the 1 year U.K. interest
    rate.
  • Swap out of the U.S. dollars into pounds.
  • Invest the pounds in a 1 year U.K. bond and use
    the pound proceeds from the maturing bond in 1
    year to pay the liability.
  • Where is the long and short positions in the
    above example?

60
Investing Example
  • Assume
  • (1) The current spot rate is 1.85/1.87
  • (2) The U.S. borrowing rate is 6 per annum.
  • (2) The U.K. investing rate is 8 per annum.
  • Then
  • The firm needs 920,000 which if invested at 8
    for a year will equal the 1,000,000 it needs in
    1 year.
  • At the spot rate, the firm needs to borrow
    1,720,400 from a U.S. bank (920,000 x 1.87).
  • Swap out of dollars into pounds
  • 920,000 (at ask quote of 1.87)
  • Invest in a 1 year U.K. financial asset at 8.
  • Use the maturing U.K. asset to meet the account
    payable.
  • What did the U.S. firm achieve?
  • It converted its 1 year pound liability into a
    known U.S. dollar liability.

61
Review of Local Currency Investing to Hedge
  • Strategy used to cover a short position.
  • Firm locks in its home currency equivalent now
    with its loan in its home country.
  • It has exchanged the foreign currency liability
    with a home currency liability.
  • Firm can earn some interest in the foreign
    country to offset the interest it will pay on the
    home country loan.
  • However, the firm will not benefit from a
    favorable change in the exchange rate.
  • Also, what if the bond issuer defaults.
  • How can the firm protect itself against this
    risk?
  • Answer Buy a government bond (with no risk of
    default).
Write a Comment
User Comments (0)
About PowerShow.com