In 1960

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In 1960
The Outdoor Recreation Resources Review
Commission found

• The simple activities are the most popular
  driving, walking, swimming, picnicking
• Water is a focal point of outdoor recreation,
  to sit by, swim in, ski across, and run boats
  over.
• Outdoor recreation is a major leisure time
  activity and it is growing in importance, 90
  participated in the summer of 1960.

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In 2000
The Forest Service RPA Assessment found

• Outdoor recreation continues to be immensely
  popular, 97 percent age 16 participate in 2000.
• The four most popular single activities
• are walking, going to the beach, family
  gatherings out-of-doors, and sightseeing.
• Almost all outdoor activities are forecast to
  grow in number of people participating and in
  travel.

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U.S. Population Density by 2020
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The Changing American Society

• About 1 million new immigrants per year
• More people 1990 248 mm
• 2000 275 mm
• 2020 325 mm
• 2050 404 mm
• 2075 481 mm
• 2100 571 mm
• Getting older Median age 35?38 (by 2020)
• Changing ethnicities by 2050
• Anglo Americans 76?50
• African Americans 12 ?15
• Hispanic Americans 9 ?21
• Asian Americans 4 ?11

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Growing Recreation Demand
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Fastest Growing One-Half
Recent Trends (Millions of Participants, 16 and
Older)
Percent Number Number Number Change Activity
in 1983 in 1995 in 2000 (83-2000) Backpacking
8.8 15.2 27.9 217.1 Bird Watching 21.2
54.1 65.0 206.6 Hiking 24.7 47.8
69.8 182.6 Snowmobiling 5.3 7.1
10.7 101.8 Walking 93.6 133.7 172.3
84.1 Downhill Skiing 10.6 16.8 19.3
82.1 Off-Road Driving 19.4 27.9 35.0
80.4 Swimming/river, lake, or ocean 56.5
78.1 94.8 67.8 Cross-country Skiing 5.3
6.5 8.8 66.0 Boating
(overall) 49.5 58.1 76.7
54.9 Bicycling 56.5 57.4 86.2 52.6
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The Rest of the Story
Recent Trends (Millions of Participants, 16 and
Older)
Percent Number Number Number Change Activity
in 1983 in 1995 in 2000 (83-2000) Camping
Primitive Area 17.7 28.0 25.8 45.8 Horseback
Riding 15.9 14.3 23.1 45.3 Motorboating 33.6 47
.0 48.2 43.5 Picnicking 84.8 98.3 118.3 39.5 C
amping - Developed Area 30.0 41.5
41.3 37.7 Sightseeing 81.3
113.4 108.6 33.6 Fishing 60.1 57.8
67.9 12.9 Sailing 10.6 9.6 10.9
2.8 Hunting 21.2 18.6 20.9 - 1.4 Water
Skiing 15.9 17.9 15.7 - 1.3
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Overall Size of the Outdoor Market
Percent of Millions Activity Population Participa
ting Trail/Street/Road Activities 87.4 183.2 T
raditional Social Activities 80.5 168.8 Viewing/
Learning Activities 67.8 142.2 Swimming 62.3 1
30.6 Boating/Floating/Sailing 36.6
76.7 Fishing 32.4 67.9 Outdoor
Adventure 27.0 56.6 Snow/Ice
Activities 25.6 53.7 Outdoor Team
Sports 23.7 49.7 Hunting 10.0 20.9
People 16 years or older in the U.S. in 2000
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Recreation on Trails in the Rocky Mountain Region
Mtn. Horse- Hiking Back-
Visit Biking back
packing Primitive or Riding
Wilderness Area
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Camping and Picnicking in the Rocky Mountain
Region
Picnicking Family Developed
Primitive Gatherings
Camping Camping
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Visiting Managed Learning Sites in the Rocky
Mountains
Prehistoric Sites RM 30 Rest of US 19
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Viewing and Learning about Nature
Bird Viewing/ Viewing/ Viewing/
Viewing/ Watching Photo Photo
Photo Photo Fish
Wildlife Flowers Scenery
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Consumptive Recreation
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Motorized Recreation
Driving for Pleasure RM 59 Rest of US 52
Off-Highway Driving RM 28 Rest of US 16
Snowmobiling RM 4 Rest of US 5
Motor Boating RM 24 Rest of US 23
Jet Skiing RM 16 Rest of US 9
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Snow and Ice
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Source Roper Organization, 1990 Times Mirror,
1994 NEETF, 1998.
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Spending on the Environment
Too Much 7
Too Little 49
About Right 28
(Dont Know) (15)
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Objectives for Managing Public Lands (Percent
saying important to very important)
Source NSRE/Shields VOBA Module
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Source Haas, 1998.
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Limit Visitors If Too Crowded
89
Limit Visitors If Resources Being Harmed
95
Source Haas, 1998.
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Wilderness in the American Mind
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Public Views on Wilderness

• Nationally about 1/2 of Americans 16 report
  knowing about the NWPS
• Only 4.4 feel we have put too many acres into
  the NWPS
• - Not enough, 52.6
• - About right, 26.9
• - Too much, 4.4
• - Not sure, 15.4

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What Americans in 2000 Value about Wilderness
Percentage Saying It Is
Protecting air quality 58.4 1.5 Protecting
water quality 55.9 1.5 Protecting wildlife
habitat 52.7 3.1 Protecting endangered
species 49.8 5.0 Legacy for future
generations 49.1 3.1 Preserving unique
ecosystems and genetics 44.3 5.1 Future option
to visit 37.5 7.1 Just knowing it is
preserved 36.9 6.4 Providing scenic
beauty 35.4 5.5 Providing recreation
opportunities 27.8 7.2 Providing spiritual
inspiration 25.9 16.7 Undisturbed area
for scientific study 23.9 11.6 Providing
income for tourism industry 9.7 33.5
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OUTDOOR PERSONALITIESSEGMENTING AMERICANS BY
THE RECREATION ACTIVITIES THEY PREFER
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Nature Lovers
Well-off, highly-educated, older, mostly white
females in small households with no kids and who
like to
Picnic Visit Nature Centers Walk Sightsee And Watc
h Wildlife and Birds
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Outdoor Avids
Middle-aged, white, more male than female,
college educated, high-incomed 2-person
householders with no kids, and who like to
Participate in family activities Attend
sports Visit historic or nature sites Camp, hunt,
and fish Motorboat and go to the beach Watch
wildlife and birds
They dont play sports or snow activities.
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Forecasts
Projected Demand to 2020
Millions Indexed Change Participating
(Base year is 1995) Activities (1995) People Days
Trips Land-Based Sightseeing 113 1.32 1.43 1.43 No
n-consumptive wildlife 117 1.29 1.09 1.15 Biking
57 1.28 1.25 1.45 Family Gatherings 124 1.24 1.23
0.83 Hiking 48 1.23 1.24 1.23 Horseback Riding
14 1.23 1.22 1.29 Rock Climbing
8 1.21 1.15 1.03 Walking 134 1.21 1.29
-- Camping 42 1.19 1.36 1.30 Backpacking
15 1.11 1.15 1.08 Off-Road Driving
28 1.05 0.99 1.06 Hunting 19 0.91 0.99 1.03
Forecasts
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Forecasts
Projected Demand to 2020
Millions Indexed Change Participating
(Base year is 1995) Activities (1995) People Days
Trips Water-Based Going to the
Beach 124 1.24 1.17 1.17 Motor Boating
47 1.21 1.14 1.16 Swimming 78 1.21 1.12 1.09 Fish
ing 58 1.17 1.17 1.10 Canoeing
14 1.15 1.28 1.14 Rafting/Floating
15 1.07 1.17 1.10 Winter-Based Cross-Country
Skiing 6 1.26 0.96 1.12 Downhill Skiing
17 1.22 1.31 1.36 Snowmobiling 7 1.09 1.32 1.35
Forecasts
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Public Land x Recreation Demand Hotspots, 2020
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Public Lands Overlaid onto Projected Recreation
Demand Hotspots, 2020
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