India project not used

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India project not used
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Summary Areas of Potential Cooperation to
Realize Sinks Potential

• Perform pilot project analyses issues.
• Stimulate development of standard methods
  guidance for US and developing country offsets.
• Improve models to handle socioeconomic and
  technical issues.
• Dialog on potential activities issues with
  stakeholders.
• Assess rural livelihood, biodiversity effects.
• Assist key countries in assessing international
  offsets opportunities, barriers, institutional
  arrangements.

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General, Evolving Steps for Quantifying
LULUCF Project GHG Benefits

• 1 Establish Baseline Without Project.
• Access data, tools for candidate area and
  activities. (Assumes future data sets available
  in 2 years).
• Identify appropriate spatial and temporal
  boundaries for without-project baseline and
  project.
• Quantify probability of current land use
  changing without project by
  activity and location.
• Estimate the initial C stock without project
  and project changes in it.

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DRAFT Steps for Quantifying LULUCF Project
GHG Benefits
2 Identify and Assess the Project Case Identify
project activities and location. Determine the
relative additionality of proposed project
activities land use drivers and
policies. Estimate change in C stock with
project. 1
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DRAFT Steps for Quantifying LULUCF Project
GHG Benefits

• 3 Address GHG accounting issues leakage,
  duration, etc. in Project Case.
• Determine likelihood of leakage, and select
  estimated leakage factor.
• Adjust accounting for duration, saturation,
  policies, other factors.
• 4 Develop monitoring, verification, reporting
  approaches
• 5 Adjust Baseline and Project Cases, if
  Changes Occur over Time.

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Baselines Conceptual Framework
Source IPCC LUCF SR, 2000 presentations
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Option Spatial Approach to Baseline Setting,
Projections, Emissions

• Can identify 3-4 predisposing or driving factors
  roads, population change, land tenure.
• Regional resolution can establish subregions to
  provide finer resolution and higher
  predictiveness.
• Factors set baseline by activity location,
  estimate future land use change and emissions.
• Spatial approach allows much finer baseline
  resolution than tablular approaches (activity,
  location, tenure), model verification with
  historic data.

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Leakage cut this??

• Leakage may be quantified by
• Monitoring key indicators of leakage, e.g.,
  timber or agricultural output, movement of
  dwellers
• Using standard risk coefficients that are
  specific to type of project and region
• Leakage may be offset by
• Creating buffer zones as in the PAP project in
  Costa Rica
• Reducing the estimated carbon benefits as in the
  Reduced Impact Logging (RIL) Project in Malaysia.